Core Thesis - Carrier Global Corporation is positioned as a high-quality industrial franchise with strong demand and favorable long-term growth drivers, despite facing near-term cyclical pressures in residential HVAC [2][3]. Company Overview - Carrier Global Corporation specializes in intelligent climate and energy solutions across various regions, including the United States, Europe, and Asia Pacific [2]. - The company has undergone a strategic transformation, exiting its Fire & Security and Commercial Refrigeration businesses to focus solely on HVAC and climate solutions [2]. Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company's refined focus aligns with long-term trends in energy efficiency, sustainability, and infrastructure modernization [3]. - Although residential demand is expected to soften through 2025, Carrier's commercial segment is anticipated to perform strongly, driven by AI-driven data center expansion and the demand for high-efficiency cooling systems [3]. - Tightening global environmental regulations and the increasing adoption of heat pumps are expected to create a multi-year replacement cycle that is resilient and largely non-discretionary [3]. Investment Strategy - Selling the March 2026 $50 puts indicates confidence in Carrier's business fundamentals and provides downside protection, as this level aligns with the company's 52-week low [4]. - The implied entry price of $49.20, after collecting an $0.80 premium, offers a significant margin of safety compared to the current share price of approximately $57.30 [5]. - The investment strategy is designed to capitalize on Carrier's evolution into a leading climate and energy solutions provider, which the market may currently undervalue [5].

If you like to see more ideas, please subscribe to the premium service "Value in Corporate Events" here and try the free trial. In this service we cover major earnings events, M&A, IPOs and other significant corporate events with actionable ideas. Furthermore, we provide coverage of situations and names on request!By the middle of October, I concluded that Carrier Global Corporation ( CARR ) was giving its investors the chills. Following a successful and full transformation to become an HVAC business, the c ...

Core Viewpoint - Carrier Global Corporation is set to release its fourth quarter 2025 earnings on February 5, 2026, and will host a conference call and webcast at 7:30 a.m. ET [1]. Group 1: Earnings Release - The earnings release will be accompanied by a conference call and webcast, with a presentation and news release available on the investor relations website prior to the call [2]. - A recording of the conference call will be accessible on the website later in the day [2]. Group 2: Company Overview - Carrier Global Corporation is a global leader in intelligent climate and energy solutions, focusing on innovations that enhance comfort, safety, and sustainability [3]. - The company has a long history of advancements in climate solutions, including temperature control and air quality, and is committed to improving lives and empowering critical industries [3]. - Carrier has been a pioneer in modern air conditioning since 1902 and emphasizes a customer-centric approach through its inclusive workforce [3].

Company Overview - Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) was founded in 2019 and specializes in advanced heating, ventilation, refrigeration, air conditioning, fire, security, and building automation technologies globally. The company has a market capitalization of $47.4 billion and operates through the HVAC and Refrigeration segments [1]. Earnings Expectations - Carrier Global is expected to release its Q4 2025 earnings soon, with analysts anticipating a profit of $0.39 per share, which represents a decline of 27.8% from $0.54 per share in the same quarter last year. The company has exceeded Wall Street's earnings expectations in each of the past four quarters [2]. - For fiscal 2025, analysts expect CARR to report an EPS of $2.64, reflecting a nearly 3.1% increase from $2.56 in fiscal 2024. EPS is projected to grow 9.5% year over year to $2.89 in fiscal 2026 [3]. Stock Performance - CARR stock has declined by 16.7% over the past 52 weeks, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which rose by 19.7%, and the State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF, which returned 24.2% during the same period [4]. Dividend Announcement - On December 3, CARR stock rose by 1.5% following the announcement of a $0.24 per-share quarterly dividend, which represents a 200% increase since early 2020. This reflects the company's disciplined approach to capital allocation and commitment to shareholder value. The dividend is set to be payable on February 9 [5]. Analyst Ratings - Analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic consensus opinion on CARR, with a "Moderate Buy" rating overall. Among 23 analysts, 11 recommend a "Strong Buy," one a "Moderate Buy," and 11 suggest a "Hold." The average analyst price target for CARR is $72.05, indicating a potential upside of 30.1% from current levels [6].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The discussion centers around the HVAC (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning) industry and liquid cooling technologies, particularly in relation to NVIDIA's new Vera Rubin chip platform [1][2]. Core Insights 1. **Advancements in Liquid Cooling**: NVIDIA's CEO announced that the new Vera Rubin chips can be cooled using liquid cooling systems instead of traditional water chillers, which has implications for HVAC OEMs [1]. 2. **Market Reaction**: Following the announcement, HVAC OEMs such as Johnson Controls (JCI), Trane Technologies (TT), and Carrier Global (CARR) experienced a sell-off, while liquid cooling companies like nVent Electric (NVT) and Vertiv (VRT) saw modest gains [1]. 3. **Continued Need for Traditional Chillers**: Despite the advancements, traditional chillers remain essential for cooling data centers, especially during peak temperature days, indicating that the sell-off of HVAC OEMs may have been unwarranted [2]. 4. **Collaboration with Chip Manufacturers**: HVAC OEMs are actively collaborating with chip manufacturers on next-generation technology roadmaps, exemplified by TT's partnership with NVIDIA on a thermal management system for AI infrastructure [2]. 5. **Future of Liquid Cooling**: The need for advanced liquid cooling technologies is expected to grow as next-generation chips will have significantly higher compute capacities, necessitating continued innovation in cooling solutions [2]. 6. **Two-Phase Cooling Adoption**: The CES announcement may accelerate the adoption of two-phase cooling technologies, which are anticipated to be more energy-efficient than current single-phase systems [2]. 7. **Investment Activity**: JCI's investment of approximately $25 million in Accelsius, a leader in dual-phase cooling, highlights the industry's shift towards more advanced cooling solutions [2]. Additional Considerations 1. **Short-Term Market Volatility**: The industry has seen several short-term sell-offs due to new technology developments, which have historically provided "buy the dip" opportunities for investors [2][6]. 2. **Earnings Outlook**: The upcoming 4Q earnings reports are expected to address the resilience and growth potential of both HVAC OEMs and liquid cooling companies, which could influence market sentiment [2]. 3. **Valuation and Risks**: - nVent Electric (NVT) is rated as a Buy with a 12-month price target of $145, based on a multiple of 21.0x EBITDA [10]. - Vertiv (VRT) is also rated as a Buy with a price target of $204, based on a multiple of 23x EBITDA [11]. - Carrier Global (CARR) and Johnson Controls (JCI) are rated as Buy with price targets of $68 and $137, respectively, while Trane Technologies (TT) is rated Neutral with a price target of $458 [13][15][16]. Conclusion - The developments at CES 2026 signal a transformative period for the HVAC and liquid cooling industries, with significant implications for market dynamics and investment opportunities. The ongoing collaboration between HVAC OEMs and chip manufacturers, along with advancements in cooling technologies, will be critical in shaping the future landscape of the industry [2].

格隆汇1月6日｜由于英伟达首席执行官的言论引发了市场对数据中心冷却产品需求的担忧，制冷系统制 造商的股价周二大幅下跌。制造水冷设备及类似系统的江森自控股价一度暴跌11%，创下2022年以来最 大单日盘中跌幅。摩丁制造一度下跌21%，开利全球和特灵科技也纷纷走低。英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋 在拉斯维加斯举行的CES展会上表示，使用不需要冷水机组的水温，就有可能为搭载英伟达下一代 Rubin芯片的机架进行冷却。巴克莱银行分析师Julian Mitchell写道："鉴于英伟达在整个人工智能生态系 统中的核心地位，人们不应轻视他们的言论，尽管这些言论乍一看相当具有戏剧性。" ...

Core Viewpoint - The cooling stocks for data centers experienced a significant decline following Jensen Huang's comments regarding data center cooling solutions at the CES event, indicating a potential shift in technology that could impact the market dynamics for these companies [1] Group 1: Market Reaction - Data center cooling stocks collectively dropped, with Johnson Controls and Trane Technologies falling by 10% at one point [1] - Modine experienced a decline of up to 20% [1] - Carrier and Vertiv Technologies saw declines exceeding 5% [1] Group 2: Technological Implications - Jensen Huang stated that servers equipped with the new Rubin chip could utilize cooling methods that do not require water, suggesting a significant change in cooling technology [1] - The airflow requirements for the new Rubin chip servers are comparable to those of the existing Blackwell chip servers, indicating a potential for reduced cooling costs and infrastructure changes [1]

Makers of cooling systems saw their stocks sell off Tuesday after comments by Nvidia Corp.’s chief executive raised fears about demand for their products from data centers. Johnson Controls International Plc, which makes water-cooled chillers and similar systems, slid 6.2% in its worst day since July. Modine Manufacturing Co. closed down 7.5% after paring an earlier drop of as much as 21%. Trane Technologies Plc fell 2.5%. Most Read from Bloomberg Photographer: Bridget Bennett/Bloomberg It’s possible t ...

来源：视频滚动新闻 数据中心降温概念股特灵科技（TT）美股盘初跌超10%，开利全球（CARR）跌约6.6%，江森自控 （JCI）跌10.8%，摩丁制造（MOD）跌13.5%，维谛技术（VRT）跌6%。投资者关注英伟达CEO黄仁 勋最新讲话。 ...

每经AI快讯，1月6日，数据中心冷却股集体大跌，江森自控、特灵科技一度跌10%，Modine一度跌 20%，开利、维谛技术跌超5%。 ...