Core Insights - Carnival Corp (CCL) reported strong free cash flow for Q3 ending August 31, indicating increasing consumer interest in cruises, with potential undervaluation of CCL stock by over 23% [1][2] - Current trading price of CCL stock is $29.14, down from a peak of $31.45 on September 18 and $32.49 on August 28 [1] Financial Performance - Revenue increased by 3.25% year-over-year (Y/Y) to $8.153 billion, while cash flow from operations rose by 14.77% Y/Y to $1.383 billion [4] - For the first nine months of the fiscal year, revenue was up 6.34% Y/Y, but capital expenditures (capex) increased by 12.1% in Q2, leading to a lower free cash flow (FCF) margin of 9% compared to an operating cash flow (OCF) margin of 17% [4][5] - The FCF margin for the first nine months was 12.8%, which is an improvement from last year's 7.3% [5] Management Guidance - Management has raised revenue and yield guidance for the third time, which could enhance operating cash flow and OCF margins [6] - Future FCF margins may improve depending on capex spending in fiscal Q4, ending November 30 [6] Capital Expenditures - Management indicated that there is $1.7 billion in remaining capex, reduced from the previous guidance of $2.3 billion, with $648 million in capex booked during fiscal Q3, lower than the $850 million in Q2 [7]

Market Overview - Wall Street experienced modest gains in technology and growth sectors, while small caps and blue chips showed stagnation as investors prepared for significant economic data releases, particularly the September labor market report [1] - The S&P 500 rose by 0.3% to 6,660, and the Nasdaq 100 increased by 0.6%, leading the major indexes [2] Notable Company Performances - Robinhood Markets Inc. surged by 9% after CEO Vlad Tenev announced over four billion event contracts traded on the platform since launch [2] - Kellanova gained over 5% following Italy's Ferrero Group's completion of a $3.1 billion acquisition of WK Kellogg Co. [2] - Carnival Corp. slid more than 5% despite exceeding Wall Street's quarterly expectations [3] Commodity and Digital Asset Movements - Precious metals saw significant increases, with gold rising nearly 2% to $3,830, marking an 11% increase for September, the best month since 2012; silver also increased by 2.1% above $47 [3] - Oil prices fell by 3.6% as crude exports resumed from Iraq's Kurdistan region and OPEC+ indicated potential supply increases [4] - Bitcoin advanced by 1.6% to $114,000, recovering some of last week's 2.6% decline [4] Performance of Major Indices and ETFs - The Dow Jones decreased by 0.1% to 46,220.76, while the Russell 2000 also fell by 0.1% to 2,430.84 [8] - The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF rose by 0.1% to $609.59, while the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average inched down by 0.1% to $461.75 [8] Top Gainers and Losers in S&P 500 - Top gainers included Robinhood Markets Inc. (+8.89%), Western Digital Corp. (+6.76%), and Coinbase Global Inc. (+5.80%) [6] - Top losers included Carnival Corporation (-4.72%) and Williams-Sonoma Inc. (-4.65%) [9]

Core Viewpoint - The cruise industry is experiencing record quarterly net income, revenue, and booking volume, indicating strong performance and growth potential, leading Melius to suggest that the recent stock selloff presents a buying opportunity [1] Summary by Category - **Financial Performance** - Quarterly net income, revenue, and booking volume reached all-time highs, showcasing the industry's robust financial health [1] - **Market Sentiment** - The stock's recent decline is viewed as an opportunity for investors to capitalize on the strong fundamentals of the cruise industry [1]

Company Performance - Carnival reported third quarter earnings that exceeded estimates, with adjusted EPS at $1.43 and revenue surpassing $8 billion [1] - Despite strong earnings, Carnival's stock is trading lower, reflecting market concerns despite a 23% year-to-date increase and a 64% rise over the past year [4][19] Market Trends - Booking trends for Carnival have strengthened since May, indicating robust demand for cruises, particularly for 2026 [2][6] - The cruise industry is experiencing a positive consumer sentiment, with customers willing to spend on future vacations [8][9] Competitive Landscape - Carnival's stock has underperformed compared to Royal Caribbean but has outperformed Norwegian Cruise Line [7] - Viking is noted as the only cruise line outperforming on the day following Carnival's earnings report [2][29] Financial Considerations - Carnival is facing concerns regarding external factors such as potential shutdowns and tariffs, which may impact future performance [5] - The company has significant debt due to expansion efforts, but it trades at a relatively low PE ratio of about 13 to 14, suggesting potential investment opportunities [10][11] Investment Strategies - Options strategies are being discussed to capitalize on the current lower implied volatility following earnings, with a focus on in-the-money calls for bullish trades [20][22] - A put butterfly strategy is being considered for Royal Caribbean, which has a strong balance sheet and is expected to perform well despite upcoming earnings [26][27]

Core Insights - Carnival Corporation & plc reported record third-quarter 2025 results with net income of $1.9 billion, or $1.33 per diluted share, an increase from $1.7 billion a year earlier [1] - Adjusted net income was $2.0 billion, or $1.43 per diluted share, exceeding analyst expectations of $1.32 [1] - Revenue rose to $8.153 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $8.101 billion and increasing from $7.9 billion last year [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA reached $3.0 billion [1] - Net yields in constant currency increased by 4.6% year over year, while gross margin yields improved by 6.4% [2] - Cruise costs per available lower berth day (ALBD) rose by 4.6% from 2024, with adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel increasing by 5.5%, which was 1.5 points better than guidance [2] Operational Metrics - Fuel consumption per ALBD fell by 5.2% due to efficiency investments [3] - Passenger cruise days totaled 27.5 million, with occupancy steady at 112% [3] - Customer deposits reached a record $7.1 billion as of August 31 [3] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Cash from operations was $1.38 billion in the quarter and $4.7 billion year-to-date [3] - Capital expenditures totaled $648 million in the quarter [3] - Liquidity stood at $6.26 billion, and total debt was $26.5 billion [4] Debt Management - The company improved its net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio to 3.6x from 4.7x a year earlier [4] - During the quarter, the company refinanced $4.5 billion of debt and prepaid $700 million, while issuing new senior unsecured notes totaling $4.2 billion [6] - Moody's upgraded its credit rating and maintained a positive outlook [6] Future Outlook - Booking trends have strengthened since May, with higher booking volumes than last year, affirming the success of demand generation efforts [5] - Nearly half of 2026 is booked at historical high prices for both North America and Europe segments, building a strong base for next year [5] - Record booking volumes for 2027 were achieved during the third quarter [5]

Joining us now first on CNBC is Carnival Corporation CEO Josh Weinstein. It's it's good to have you back. It sounds like you're another healthy report card on demand for cruising.>> Yeah, you you got it right. We uh we just finished our third quarter. Our our yields were up uh over four and a half% uh nicely over guidance.Uh you know, guests are enjoying what we have to offer. We have eight worldclass brands that are all doing amazing things all over the world. And uh and it shows in the results.It shows in ...

Core Viewpoint - Carnival Corporation (CCL.US) shares fell over 5% after reporting strong earnings, as investors took profits following a peak at $32.49, despite a pre-market increase of 4% [1] Financial Performance - Carnival reported record adjusted net income of $1.9 billion for Q3, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.43, a 13% increase year-over-year, surpassing the 2019 record [1] - Revenue grew by 3.2% year-over-year to $8.2 billion, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of record revenue, driven by a 3.6% increase in ticket revenue and a 2.5% increase in onboard spending [1] - Customer deposits reached a record high of $7.1 billion [1] Future Outlook - The CEO of Carnival, Josh Weinstein, indicated that booking volumes have significantly outpaced capacity growth, with nearly half of the 2026 itineraries already booked in North America and Europe, and prices at historical highs [1] - The company expects adjusted net income for the full year to increase by approximately 55%, with EPS projected at around $2.14, up from the previous guidance of $2.02 [1]

Core Insights - Carnival Corporation reported strong demand for cruising, with yields up over 4.5% in the third quarter, exceeding guidance [1][2] - The company has increased its guidance for the third time this year, projecting over 5% yields for the year, primarily driven by same-ship sales rather than new ships [2][3] - Booking visibility is strong, with 50% of 2026 bookings already secured and two-thirds booked for the next 12 months [2][3] Financial Performance - Carnival Corporation achieved a 13% return on invested capital (ROIC) for the first time in nearly 20 years, alongside record net income for the quarter [4] - The company has reported record revenues, EBITDA, and operating income on a unit basis, marking the highest performance in 20 years [4] - Booking volumes for Carnival Cruise Line, the largest brand, were 8% higher year-over-year in the third quarter [5] Market Positioning - The strength of the portfolio is evident, particularly in the top two returning brands, Carnival and Aida, which are performing well due to the value offered [6] - Pricing growth is expected to hold into next year, with bookings at higher prices compared to the previous year for both North American and European brands [7] - Carnival Corporation competes not just with other cruise lines but also with the broader vacation market, emphasizing the value proposition of cruising over land-based vacations [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - Carnival Corporation (CCL.US) reported strong Q3 earnings, exceeding Wall Street expectations, but its stock fell over 5% due to profit-taking after reaching an intraday high of $32.49 [1] Financial Performance - Q3 adjusted net profit reached a record $1.9 billion, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.43, a 13% increase year-over-year, surpassing the 2019 record [1] - Revenue grew by 3.2% year-over-year to $8.2 billion, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of record revenue, driven by a 3.6% increase in ticket sales and a 2.5% increase in onboard spending [1] - Customer deposits reached a record $7.1 billion, indicating strong future demand [1] Guidance and Market Outlook - The company raised its full-year adjusted net profit guidance by approximately 55%, projecting EPS of about $2.14, up from the previous guidance of $2.02 [1] - CEO Josh Weinstein noted that booking volumes have significantly outpaced capacity growth, with nearly half of 2026 itineraries already booked at historically high prices in North America and Europe [1]

Group 1 - Carnival reported $8.15 billion in revenue for the quarter ended August 2025, a year-over-year increase of 3.3% [1] - EPS for the same period was $1.43, compared to $1.27 a year ago, representing an EPS surprise of +8.33% over the consensus estimate of $1.32 [1] - The reported revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.07 billion by +0.99% [1] Group 2 - Key metrics monitored include ALBDs at 24.6 million, occupancy percentage at 112%, and passenger cruise days (PCDs) at 27.5 million [4] - Fuel cost per metric ton consumed was reported at $607.00, higher than the estimated $595.27 [4] - Net yields per ALBD were $249.11, surpassing the average estimate of $247.58 [4] Group 3 - Revenues from onboard and other sources were $2.72 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $2.66 billion, with a year-over-year change of +2.5% [4] - Revenues from passenger tickets reached $5.43 billion, compared to the average estimate of $5.34 billion, reflecting a year-over-year change of +3.7% [4] - Carnival's stock has returned -4% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite increased by +2.9% [3]