Carnival (CCL)
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Carnival (CCL) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-06 08:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved a turnover of INR 1,058 crores for Q1 FY '26, a growth of 37% compared to INR 774.6 crores in the same quarter last year, marking the first time the company surpassed INR 1,000 crores in a quarter [4] - EBITDA increased to INR 161.43 crores, up 23% from INR 131.62 crores, while PBT grew by 8% to INR 131.62 crores, and net profit rose by 1% to INR 72.45 crores [4] - The increase in PBT was impacted by higher interest and depreciation costs [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The domestic market for branded products generated approximately INR 150 crores in the first quarter, with nearly INR 100 crores coming from brand and retail business [5] - The company continues to gain market share across various channels and geographies due to aggressive growth strategies [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Green coffee prices have softened by 20% to 30% in the last two to three months, although volatility remains high [5] - The period between the end of the Brazil crop and the start of the Vietnam crop in December is seen as critical for price stabilization [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain a volume growth guidance of 15% to 20% year-on-year, focusing on EBITDA growth in line with volume increases [13] - The management is optimistic about leveraging the tariff situation, particularly with Brazil's 50% tariff, which may reroute coffee to India and Vietnam for processing [15] - The company is expanding its branded business, particularly in the UK and India, with plans to build brand awareness and capture premium segments [36][39] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the current market environment is characterized by price volatility, which affects buyer commitment to long-term contracts [20] - The management expressed confidence in maintaining or surpassing volume growth in the upcoming quarters, despite recent price fluctuations [52] Other Important Information - The company reported a net debt of INR 1,671 crores, down from INR 1,812 crores as of March 31 [28] - Depreciation costs are at peak levels due to the commissioning of new units, and interest costs are expected to decrease as working capital requirements lower [25][26] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the stable number to look at for EBITDA margins given the volatility? - Management advised that the right way to gauge performance is to focus on EBITDA growth numbers rather than margins, which can fluctuate due to coffee price changes [12] Question: Will Brazil's tariff impact coffee sourcing to India and Vietnam? - Management confirmed that there is a possibility of coffee being rerouted to India and Vietnam due to the high tariff on Brazilian coffee, providing a competitive advantage [15] Question: What is the outlook for coffee prices and inventory? - Management indicated that stable prices are crucial for long-term contracts, and the current volatility is causing buyers to be tentative [20] Question: What are the capacity utilization levels for new units? - The company reported that existing capacity is running at full capacity, while new capacity utilization is around 10% to 15% [34] Question: What is the geographical revenue split? - Approximately 10% of exports come from the American markets, 35-40% from European markets, and the remaining from Asian markets [120]
Is Carnival (CCL) Stock Outpacing Its Consumer Discretionary Peers This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-08-04 14:41
Investors interested in Consumer Discretionary stocks should always be looking to find the best-performing companies in the group. Has Carnival (CCL) been one of those stocks this year? A quick glance at the company's year-to-date performance in comparison to the rest of the Consumer Discretionary sector should help us answer this question. Carnival is a member of our Consumer Discretionary group, which includes 255 different companies and currently sits at #10 in the Zacks Sector Rank. The Zacks Sector Ran ...
CARNIVAL AND TELLURIDE SUV NAMED 2025 CATEGORY WINNERS BY NEW ENGLAND MOTOR PRESS ASSOCIATION
Prnewswire· 2025-08-04 13:00
BOSTON, Aug. 4, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- The 2025 Carnival MPV and 2025 Telluride SUV each received 2025 Winter Vehicle Awards from the New England Motor Press Association (NEMPA). This is the fourth time the Telluride has won a Winter Vehicle Award from the automotive media group, including three class wins for midsize SUV (2021, 2024, 2025) and an overall win for Winter SUV of the Year in 2020. This is the first class win in the minivan category for the Carnival. Carnival and Telluride SUV named 2025 category ...
Carnival: Clearly Undervalued Compared To Peers
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-03 08:27
Group 1 - Carnival Corporation is the world's largest cruise company and is currently seen as a potential investment opportunity due to its recovery from pandemic-related challenges [1] - The travel industry, including Carnival, experienced significant setbacks during the pandemic, leading to a need for strategic financial maneuvers [1] Group 2 - The company raised capital during the pandemic to navigate through financial difficulties, indicating proactive management in response to industry challenges [1]
Carnival Corporation (CCL) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-07-31 14:01
Core Viewpoint - Carnival's stock has shown a modest return of +1.7% over the past month, underperforming the S&P 500's +2.7% and the Leisure and Recreation Services industry's +4.9% [1] Earnings Estimates Revisions - Carnival is expected to report earnings of $1.31 per share for the current quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +3.2% [4] - The consensus earnings estimate for the current fiscal year is $2, indicating a significant year-over-year change of +40.9% [4] - For the next fiscal year, the consensus estimate is $2.28, suggesting a +13.8% increase from the previous year [5] - The Zacks Rank for Carnival is 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive outlook based on recent earnings estimate revisions [6] Projected Revenue Growth - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $8.05 billion, representing a year-over-year change of +2% [10] - For the current fiscal year, revenue estimates are $26.49 billion, indicating a +5.9% change, while the next fiscal year's estimate is $27.44 billion, reflecting a +3.6% change [10] Last Reported Results and Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, Carnival generated revenues of $6.33 billion, a +9.5% increase year-over-year, and an EPS of $0.35 compared to $0.11 a year ago [11] - The company exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues by +1.97% and for EPS by +45.83% [11] - Carnival has consistently beaten consensus EPS and revenue estimates over the last four quarters [12] Valuation - Carnival is graded A on the Zacks Value Style Score, indicating it is trading at a discount compared to its peers [16]
2 Breakout Stocks to Buy Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-29 08:05
Group 1: Carnival - Carnival's shares have surged 18% year to date, outperforming the S&P 500's 8% return, indicating strong demand for travel [3][4] - The company has achieved eight consecutive quarters of record revenue, with a projected revenue of $25 billion for 2025 and adjusted earnings per share of $2.00 [4][6] - The cruise industry has shown resilience post-pandemic, with 82% of previous cruisers planning to cruise again, supporting Carnival's growth [5] - Management has noted strong demand for bookings extending into 2026, which is driving higher ticket prices and boosting margins [6][7] - Analysts forecast Carnival's earnings to grow at an annualized rate of 21%, supported by a conservative forward price-to-earnings multiple of 15 [7] Group 2: Toast - Toast has seen a 33% increase in stock price year to date, capitalizing on the digital transformation in the restaurant industry [8] - The company added over 6,000 net locations in Q1, resulting in a 25% year-over-year increase and a 31% rise in annualized recurring revenue [10] - Strong revenue growth is improving margins, particularly in high-margin areas like subscriptions and payment solutions, with recurring gross profit growing 37% year over year in Q1 [10] - ToastIQ, an AI feature, is enhancing the platform's capabilities by pulling insights from millions of transactions, creating a competitive advantage through network effects [11] - The stock is being recognized as a sustainable, high-growth software company, targeting a large addressable market of approximately 875,000 restaurants in the U.S. [12]
CCL vs. NCLH: Which Cruise Stock is the Better Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 15:36
Core Insights - Cruise operators are experiencing strong consumer demand, with higher occupancy, onboard spending, and forward bookings, leading to top-line growth for both Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) [1][2] Summary of Carnival Corporation (CCL) - CCL is enhancing structural momentum through fleet rationalization, capacity reallocation, and margin-focused initiatives, retiring older ships and deploying newer vessels to high-demand regions [3][6] - The company utilizes a multi-brand strategy to target a diverse customer base, allowing for differentiated pricing and itineraries, which supports pricing flexibility and revenue resilience [4] - CCL is improving digital and loyalty infrastructure to enhance commercial efficiency and guest retention, with a new loyalty program expected to launch in 2026 [5] - The company benefits from global scale and centralized sourcing, with a minimal newbuild pipeline through 2029, focusing on higher free cash flow generation [6] - CCL's fiscal 2025 sales and EPS estimates suggest year-over-year increases of 5.8% and 40.9%, respectively, with earnings estimates rising by 8.1% in the past 60 days [11] - CCL's stock has increased by 59% in the past three months, outperforming the industry and S&P 500 [19] - CCL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.63X, below the industry average of 20.26X [21] Summary of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) - NCLH focuses on a premium-priced, lower-capacity model targeting affluent guests, with disciplined capacity growth and innovative ship design [7][8] - The company is expanding its Prima-class fleet to enhance onboard experiences, but faces margin pressure from dry dock expenses, inflation, and fuel price volatility [8][10] - NCLH's fiscal 2025 sales and EPS estimates indicate year-over-year increases of 6.2% and 10.4%, but earnings estimates have declined by 1% in the past 60 days [15] - NCLH's stock has risen by 37% in the past three months [19] - NCLH trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10.61X [21] Comparative Analysis - CCL is positioned as a more compelling investment choice due to its broader brand reach, improving operating leverage, and strategic focus on margin enhancement [23][24] - CCL's stronger earnings momentum and upward estimate revisions reinforce its stability compared to NCLH, which faces elevated leverage and ongoing margin pressures [24][26]
Beloved "Love Boat" Cruise Director Cynthia Lauren Tewes and Guest Star Charo Join 2025 Theme Cruise Aboard Regal Princess
Prnewswire· 2025-07-28 13:30
Core Points - Princess Cruises is hosting a special "Love Boat" themed cruise featuring original cast members and exclusive performances, scheduled for November 16-23, 2025 [1][2][4] - The cruise will include meet-and-greets with cast members, themed activities, and live performances by Charo, enhancing the nostalgic experience for fans [3][4] - An exclusive "Captain Package" is available, offering unique experiences such as a cocktail hour with the cast and commemorative merchandise [4] Company Overview - Princess Cruises is recognized as "The Love Boat," a brand that has become synonymous with cruising, offering vacations to millions in sought-after destinations [7] - The cruise line operates a fleet of 16 ships, providing personalized experiences and a range of activities, from world-class dining to entertainment [7] - The company is part of Carnival Corporation & plc, indicating its significant presence in the cruise industry [7]
Down 59%, Is Carnival Stock a Once-in-a-Generation Investment Opportunity?
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-26 08:32
Core Viewpoint - Carnival has shown significant recovery and growth post-COVID-19, with strong financial performance and a positive outlook for the future, despite some economic uncertainties [1][4][11]. Financial Performance - Carnival's revenue dropped to $1.9 billion in fiscal 2021 but rebounded to $25 billion in fiscal 2024, marking a 13-fold increase [5]. - The company reported an 8.6% top-line gain in Q2 2025, achieving a record sales figure for that quarter [5]. - Operating income reached $934 million in Q2 2025, a stark contrast to the $1.5 billion operating loss in Q2 2021 [8]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The cruise industry is attracting younger travelers and first-time cruisers, which could lead to long-term customer loyalty [7]. - Spending on cruises constitutes less than 3% of the global travel industry, indicating significant growth potential [7]. - Wall Street forecasts a compound annual growth rate of 22.2% for Carnival's earnings per share from fiscal 2024 to fiscal 2027 [9]. Debt Management - Carnival's current debt stands at $27.3 billion, with $7 billion refinanced in the current year [10]. - Upgrades from two major credit rating agencies reflect a reduction in financial risk for the company [10]. Valuation and Investment Outlook - The stock is currently valued at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16, which is a substantial discount compared to the S&P 500 index [11]. - While Carnival's shares are expected to outperform the market over the next five years, they may not deliver life-changing results in the long term [12].
Carnival (CCL) Up 20.6% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 16:31
Core Viewpoint - Carnival Corporation has reported strong financial results for Q2 fiscal 2025, with adjusted earnings and revenues exceeding estimates, driven by sustained demand and robust onboard revenues [2][5][7]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 were 35 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 24 cents by 45.8%, and up from 11 cents in the same quarter last year [5]. - Revenues for the quarter reached $6.33 billion, exceeding the consensus mark of $6.21 billion by 2% and reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9.5% [5]. - Adjusted net income for the quarter was $470 million, a significant increase of 250.7% year over year from $134 million, attributed to higher ticket prices and increased onboard spending [7]. - Adjusted EBITDA totaled $1.51 billion, up from $1.2 billion reported in the prior-year quarter [7]. Strategic Initiatives - Carnival has surpassed its 2026 SEA Change financial targets 18 months ahead of schedule, with adjusted EBITDA per ALBD growing 52% and adjusted ROIC increasing more than 12.5% [3]. - The company aims to focus on same-ship, high-margin revenue growth to ensure robust revenue visibility and profitability in 2026 and beyond [4]. Balance Sheet and Liquidity - As of May 31, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $2.15 billion, up from $1.21 billion as of November 30, 2024, with total liquidity of $5.17 billion [8]. - Total debt as of May 31 was $27.3 billion, slightly down from $27.48 billion as of November 30, 2024 [8]. Booking Trends - Carnival's cumulative advanced booked position for the remainder of 2025 remains strong, with record-high cumulative advance bookings and pricing at historical peaks [10][11]. - Total customer deposits as of May 31 were $8.08 billion, an increase from $7.3 billion reported in the preceding quarter [11]. Future Outlook - For Q3 fiscal 2025, Carnival expects adjusted EBITDA to be approximately $2.87 billion and adjusted net income to be about $1.8 billion, with adjusted EPS projected at nearly $1.30 [12]. - For the full fiscal 2025, the company anticipates adjusted EBITDA to be approximately $6.9 billion, reflecting over 10% growth year over year, and adjusted net income is now expected to be about $2.69 billion [13].