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Carnival: An Undervalued Vessel Ready To Cruise Higher
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-25 15:03
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the identification of investment opportunities in undervalued companies, leveraging the author's extensive experience in financial markets and institutions [1]. Group 1 - The author has a background as a managing editor at a financial media publication that focused on mid and small-cap companies, which informs the analysis of potential investment opportunities [1]. - The research includes thorough analysis of financial statements, market trends, and upcoming events that may impact specific companies or industries [1].
Carnival's Loyalty Overhaul Takes Shape: Will It Lift Long-Term Demand?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 14:56
Group 1: Core Strategy and Program Launch - Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) is set to launch "Carnival Rewards," a new customer loyalty program in June 2026, aimed at enhancing long-term guest engagement through data-driven personalization and monetization [1][9] - The new program will reward guests based on total spending, including onboard expenditures and co-branded credit card usage, moving away from the traditional model based on cumulative cruise days [2][9] - The initiative is expected to generate positive cash flow initially, but will result in a temporary yield reduction of approximately 50 basis points in 2026, with expectations of becoming accretive by 2028 [3][9] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) operates a unified loyalty program focused on vacation frequency and experiential engagement, with loyalty members accounting for 40% of total bookings in 2024 and spending 25% more per trip than non-members [5] - Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) is enhancing its fleet and destination offerings but has not yet introduced a spend-based loyalty framework, maintaining a focus on cruise frequency [6] Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - CCL shares have increased by 22.8% over the past three months, outperforming the industry growth of 8.5% [7] - CCL trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 12.70X, significantly lower than the industry average of 18.32X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year earnings increase of 32.4% for fiscal 2025 and 13.7% for fiscal 2026, with EPS estimates for fiscal 2025 having risen in the past 30 days [12]
X @Investopedia
Investopedia· 2025-06-25 13:00
Financial Performance - Carnival Corporation exceeded fiscal second-quarter profit and sales forecasts [1] - Carnival Corporation increased its outlook based on more passengers and lower costs [1]
创纪录需求助推业绩飙升 邮轮巨头嘉年华(CCL.US)上调全年盈利预期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-25 00:21
Core Viewpoint - Carnival Corporation (CCL.US) reported significantly better-than-expected Q2 earnings, leading to a nearly 7% surge in stock price, and raised its full-year guidance [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share reached $0.35, exceeding analyst expectations of $0.24 [1] - Adjusted revenue hit a record high of $6.3 billion, surpassing market expectations of $6.2 billion [1] - Net profit soared to $565 million, a substantial increase from $92 million in the same period last year [1] Customer Insights - Customer advance payments reached a historic high of $8.5 billion [1] - The company noted that the cumulative booking volume for 2026 is on par with the record levels of 2025, with pricing remaining at historical highs [1] - Carnival highlighted the price advantage of sea travel over land vacations, which is particularly appealing to consumers with limited income amid economic uncertainty [1] Operational Highlights - The CEO stated that all brands under Carnival are showing strong growth momentum [1] - The profit margin for the last quarter reached its highest level in nearly two decades, driven by a surge in last-minute bookings, strong onboard spending, and rising ticket prices [1] Future Outlook - Carnival announced it has achieved its "2026 SEA Change" financial goals 18 months ahead of schedule, with adjusted return on invested capital and EBITDA per available bed day reaching near two-decade highs [2] - The company raised its full-year profit forecast, now expecting adjusted net income to be 40% higher than in 2024, an increase of approximately $200 million from March estimates [2] - Adjusted EBITDA for the year is projected to reach $6.9 billion, up from previous estimates of $6.7 billion [2] - The opening of the new private island resort "Celebration Key" in the Bahamas is set for July 19, which is expected to further enhance the company's offerings [2] - Post-pandemic demand for cruises remains strong, with rising ticket prices and increased occupancy rates driving industry profits back to pre-pandemic levels [2]
Carnival shares pop on earnings beat and raised full-year outlook
CNBC· 2025-06-24 18:23
Core Insights - Carnival shares increased approximately 7% following the release of stronger-than-expected second-quarter results and an upward revision of its full-year guidance [1] - The company reported adjusted earnings of 35 cents per share, surpassing analyst expectations of 24 cents, with adjusted revenue reaching a record $6.3 billion compared to the anticipated $6.2 billion [1] Financial Performance - Net income rose significantly to $565 million, up from $92 million a year ago, indicating strong financial growth [2] - Carnival raised its full-year guidance, now expecting adjusted net income to be 40% higher than 2024, translating to an increase of about $200 million from its previous forecast in March [2] Future Expectations - The company anticipates full-year adjusted EBITDA to be $6.9 billion, an increase from the prior estimate of $6.7 billion [3] - Carnival is set to open the island Celebration Key in the Bahamas on July 19, which is expected to contribute positively to future revenues [3] Industry Trends - Post-pandemic cruise demand remains robust, with expectations of higher prices and fuller ships, which are likely to drive profits closer to pre-pandemic levels [4]
Carnival Reports Record Q2 Results
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-24 17:04
Core Insights - Carnival Corp. reported its eighth consecutive quarter of record revenue, with EBITDA rising 26% year over year and net income of $565 million exceeding management's guidance by $185 million [1] - The company surpassed all three of its 2026 strategic targets 18 months early and upgraded its full-year guidance [1] Financial Performance - In the trailing 12 months, EBITDA per available lower berth day (ALBD) was 52% above the 2023 baseline, and return on invested capital (ROIC) surpassed 12.5%, marking the highest levels in nearly two decades [2][3] - Unit net yields expanded by over 6.4% on an adjusted basis compared to the prior year, building on a comparable 12% gain from last year [2] Strategic Initiatives - Carnival is investing in exclusive destinations like Celebration Key, which features 275,000 square feet of lagoon space, to capture greater price premiums and boost market share against land-based vacation alternatives [4] - Early pricing premiums on Celebration Key itineraries are in line with expectations, supporting the company's portfolio yield management strategy [5] Financial Flexibility - During the second quarter, Carnival prepaid $350 million in senior notes due in 2026 and increased its revolving credit capacity by 50% to $4.5 billion [6] - The net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio improved from 4.1x to 3.7x, with rating upgrades bringing the company just one notch below investment-grade status at both S&P Global and Fitch [6][7] Future Outlook - Full-year 2025 net income guidance was increased by $200 million to approximately $2.7 billion, with net yield growth guidance raised to 5% for FY2025 [8] - The company plans to set new post-2026 financial and environmental targets and focus on the launch of Celebration Key in July 2025 and the new Carnival Rewards loyalty program in the second half of 2026 [9]
Business is strong and our brand is amazing, says Carnival Corporation CEO Josh Weinstein
CNBC Television· 2025-06-24 16:04
Company Overview - Carnival Corporation CEO Josh Weinstein discusses consumer demand, summer travel, and the stock [1]
Compared to Estimates, Carnival (CCL) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 16:00
Core Viewpoint - Carnival reported strong financial results for the quarter ended May 2025, with revenue and EPS exceeding expectations, indicating positive growth and operational efficiency [1][3]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the quarter was $6.33 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9.5% [1]. - EPS was reported at $0.35, a significant increase from $0.11 in the same quarter last year, representing a surprise of +45.83% against the consensus estimate of $0.24 [1]. - The reported revenue surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.21 billion by +1.97% [1]. Key Metrics - Available lower berth days (ALBDs) were reported at 24.2 million, slightly below the five-analyst average estimate of 24.21 million [4]. - Occupancy percentage was 104%, close to the average estimate of 104.5% [4]. - Passenger cruise days (PCDs) totaled 25.3 million, slightly above the four-analyst average estimate of 25.28 million [4]. - Fuel cost per metric ton consumed was $614, lower than the estimated $652.38 [4]. - Net yields per ALBD were $200.07, exceeding the average estimate of $195.23 [4]. - Revenues from onboard and other sources reached $2.22 billion, surpassing the average estimate of $2.18 billion, marking a year-over-year increase of +9.7% [4]. - Revenues from passenger tickets amounted to $4.10 billion, compared to the average estimate of $4.01 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +9.3% [4]. Stock Performance - Carnival's shares have returned +8% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.9% change [3]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [3].
Carnival's Q2 Earnings & Revenues Top Estimates, FY25 View Up
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 15:56
Core Insights - Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) reported strong second-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with adjusted earnings and revenues exceeding expectations and showing year-over-year growth [1][4] - The company achieved its 2026 SEA Change financial targets 18 months ahead of schedule, indicating operational efficiency and strategic growth [2] - CCL aims to maintain high-margin revenue growth and robust profitability through favorable booking positions [3] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 were 35 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 24 cents by 45.8%, compared to 11 cents in the same quarter last year [4] - Revenues for the quarter reached $6.33 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $6.21 billion by 2% and increasing by 9.5% year over year [4] - Adjusted net income for the quarter was $470 million, a significant increase of 250.7% from $134 million year over year, driven by higher ticket prices and onboard spending [6] Revenue Breakdown - Passenger ticket revenues amounted to $4.1 billion, up from $3.75 billion in the prior-year quarter, exceeding estimates of $3.96 billion [4] - Onboard and other revenues increased to $2.22 billion from $2.03 billion year over year, aligning closely with estimates [5] Balance Sheet and Liquidity - As of May 31, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $2.15 billion, up from $1.21 billion as of November 30, 2024, with total liquidity at $5.17 billion [7] - Total debt as of May 31 was $27.3 billion, slightly down from $27.48 billion as of November 30, 2024 [7] Booking and Future Outlook - CCL reported strong advance bookings for 2025 and 2026, with record levels and historical high pricing, indicating robust demand [8][9] - For Q3 fiscal 2025, the company expects adjusted EBITDA of approximately $2.87 billion and adjusted net income of about $1.8 billion [11] - The fiscal 2025 outlook has been raised, with adjusted EBITDA now anticipated to be approximately $6.9 billion, reflecting over 10% growth year over year [12]
Carnival (CCL) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 15:26
Carnival (CCL) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.35 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.24 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.11 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +45.83%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this cruise operator would post earnings of $0.02 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.13, delivering a surprise of +550%.Over the last four quarters, the company ...