Core Viewpoint - The recent significant decline in the Hong Kong technology sector, represented by the Hang Seng Tech Index, has created a strong investment opportunity due to extreme pessimism in the market narrative [1] Economic Fundamentals - Economic data indicates a slowdown in both PMI production and demand, while prices continue to strengthen; structural issues related to insufficient domestic demand persist, making the expansion of domestic demand a key policy focus [2] - PPI is expected to recover further, indicating potential positive shifts in the economic landscape [2] Liquidity and Funding - The Federal Reserve did not lower interest rates in January, with the nomination of a new chair, which may influence market dynamics; both domestic and Hong Kong capital have been increasing their holdings in the Hong Kong stock market [2] Valuation - The relative valuation of the Hong Kong technology sector has reached historical lows, with the Hang Seng Tech Index/A-share dual innovation index premium nearing historical minimum levels; the current regulatory environment for internet companies is significantly better than in 2022 and 2023, suggesting that the Hong Kong tech sector is undervalued [2] - The odds and win rates for investing in Hong Kong technology appear favorable moving forward [2] Policy Environment - Strict control over IPO quality is expected to improve market sentiment, as the previous oversupply of IPOs has been a common narrative explaining the weak performance of Hong Kong stocks [2] Investment Strategy - Focus on sectors such as technology (AI and internet, high-end manufacturing), non-bank financials (insurance), and high-dividend stocks [3] - The investment paradigm is shifting from "arms race" to "profit verification," leading to value discovery for Hong Kong internet companies; the AI ecosystem in Hong Kong is becoming increasingly comprehensive, covering hardware, foundational models, and vertical applications [3] - Instant retail business losses are narrowing and are gradually being priced in by the market; the technology sector's discount is approaching historical extremes, providing a clear "high cut low" configuration advantage [3] Non-Bank Financials - The asset side is characterized by a "bull market in stocks and bear market in bonds," with a strong beta in the operating side and a favorable opening for liabilities [4] High-Dividend Strategy - The Hang Seng High Dividend Yield Index has a dividend yield of approximately 6%, indicating stable dividend capacity; there is an increasing allocation of insurance and "fixed income+" funds from southbound capital towards high-dividend assets [4]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's autonomous driving is accelerating, with Optimus Gen 3 expected to launch this quarter and enter mass production by year-end, which is anticipated to become a core long-term value for the company [1] Group 1: Automotive Business Outlook - The visibility of growth in the automotive sector is weak, with a quarter-over-quarter decline in deliveries expected for Q4 [1] - Short-term revenue and profit volatility in the automotive business is increasing, and there is a lack of clear guidance on new models [1] - The market remains cautious regarding the cyclical recovery of the automotive core business, with no plans for new model launches in the short term [1] Group 2: Financial Projections and Concerns - The company lacks substantial cash flow, raising concerns that it may enter a cash-burning phase later this year [1] - The scalability of robotics and the cash flow potential from Robotaxi remain to be observed [1] - The firm has reduced its earnings forecasts for 2026 and 2027 by 20% and 39% respectively, reflecting automotive downturn risks, increased R&D expenses, and significant capital expenditure [1] - The target price has been lowered to $441, maintaining a "neutral" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry maintains a recommended rating, supported by a "slow bull" market trend that benefits both asset returns for insurance companies and sales of floating income-type dividend insurance [1] Group 1: Life Insurance Companies - In 2023, life insurance companies achieved a cumulative premium income of 43,624 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 8.9%, slightly down from 9.1% [3] - December's premium income for life insurance companies was 2,152 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 6.0%, with life insurance premiums at 1,683 billion, up 10.1% [3] - The strong performance in life insurance is expected to continue into 2026, particularly in the bancassurance channel, where new single premiums are anticipated to double [3] Group 2: Property Insurance Companies - Property insurance companies reported a cumulative premium income of 17,570 billion in 2023, with a stable year-on-year growth of 3.9% [4] - December's premium income for property insurance was 1,413 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 4.4%, and auto insurance premiums at 977 billion, up 2.2% [4] - Non-auto insurance premiums in December reached 437 billion, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 9.6%, driven by low base effects from the previous year [4] Group 3: Overall Industry Performance - The total premium income for the insurance industry in 2023 was 61,194 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.4% [5] - By the end of December, the total assets of the insurance industry reached 413,145 billion, a 15.1% increase from the beginning of the year, while net assets grew by 10.2% to 36,640 billion [5] - Investment recommendations include China Ping An, New China Life, China Life, and China Taiping, with a focus on the long-term investment value of China Property Insurance [5]

Group 1: Bond Market Outlook - The current funding and fundamental conditions are favorable for bond assets, presenting a relatively good investment opportunity [1] - Year-to-date, the 10-year government bond yield has decreased from approximately 1.9% to around 1.8%, while the 30-year yield has fallen from 2.3% to about 2.25% [1] - The investment value of bond assets is marginally recovering in the first quarter, marking a rare window of opportunity for the year [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The funding environment remains loose, with government bond issuance expected to rise, and financial support for fiscal bond issuance keeping funding rates low [1] - The overnight rate DR001 has dropped below 1.3%, and DR007 has decreased to around 1.45%, indicating a significant narrowing of the policy interest rate spread [1] - Short-term fundamentals are likely to remain weak, with last year's fixed asset investment growth showing negative growth for the first time, and significant declines in real estate and manufacturing investment [1] Group 3: Industry Operating Rates - The asphalt sample enterprise operating rate was 24.5%, down 1.0 percentage points week-on-week, with a year-on-year growth of 10.9% [3] - The national electric furnace operating rate was 52.56%, down 8.98 percentage points week-on-week, with a year-on-year growth of 86.3% [5] - The operating rate of major steel enterprises' blast furnaces was 73.7%, down 0.1 percentage points week-on-week, with a year-on-year decline of 2.4% [8] Group 4: Production and Capacity Utilization - The steel mill capacity utilization rate was 86.33%, up 0.42 percentage points week-on-week, with a year-on-year decline of 0.6% [30] - The average daily crude steel production of key enterprises was 1.935 million tons in late January, down 44,000 tons from mid-January, with a year-on-year decline of 8.3% [54] - The average daily cement production was 8.118 million tons, down 654,000 tons week-on-week, but up 36.5% year-on-year [71] Group 5: Real Estate Market - The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 cities was 1.395 million square meters, down 42,300 square meters week-on-week, but up 242.2% year-on-year [131] - The land transaction area was 12.0525 million square meters, up 4.4562 million square meters week-on-week [134] - The land transaction premium rate was 3.12%, down 0.45 percentage points week-on-week [135] Group 6: Logistics and Transportation - The subway passenger volume was 419.951 million trips, up 5.1195 million trips week-on-week, with a year-on-year increase of 44.8% [142] - The domestic civil aviation flight execution was 100,919 flights, up 6.7% week-on-week, but down 1.5% year-on-year [146] - The port cargo throughput was 281.597 million tons, up 9.27% week-on-week [151]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the recent volatility in Hong Kong's technology sector, with the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping 6.5% in a week, is primarily due to liquidity shocks, but the outlook for investing in Hong Kong tech stocks remains positive with high odds and win rates [1] - From the perspective of odds, the discount of Hong Kong tech stocks relative to A-share tech stocks is near historical lows, suggesting significant undervaluation, especially in the context of improved regulatory and economic conditions compared to 2022 and 2023 [1] - In terms of win rates, favorable factors are accumulating, including the peak of overseas liquidity shocks having passed, the effectiveness of the "buy the dip" strategy, and the potential for a rebound as the relative valuation of Hong Kong tech stocks approaches historical lows [1] Group 2 - Investment opportunities in Hong Kong tech-related ETFs are highlighted, including the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180.SH), Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330.SH), and Hong Kong Stock Connect Tech ETF (159101.SZ), which provide low-threshold access for A-share investors [2] - The Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330.SH) focuses on major Hong Kong internet companies such as Alibaba, Baidu, Tencent, and NetEase, while the Hong Kong Stock Connect Tech ETF (159101.SZ) emphasizes leading companies and includes innovative pharmaceutical stocks [2] - These ETFs are listed on mainland stock exchanges and support T+0 intraday trading, offering convenience for investors without the need for cross-border accounts or currency exchange [2]

Core Viewpoint - The recent weakness in the Hang Seng Tech index is attributed to a significant liquidity shock, but the fundamental outlook and bullish logic for Hong Kong tech stocks remain unchanged [1][2]. Group 1: Liquidity Analysis - The peak of the overseas liquidity shock has passed, and the "buy the dip" strategy is considered effective [1][2]. - The recent liquidity shock from the "Wash Trade" has led to a sharp decline in Hong Kong stocks, but this is expected to gradually subside [2][3]. - Domestic liquidity disturbances caused by public funds over-allocating to Hong Kong stocks are also coming to an end, reducing selling pressure [3]. Group 2: Valuation Insights - The relative valuation of Hong Kong tech stocks is at a historical low compared to A-share tech stocks, indicating a potential for a rebound [3][4]. - The current valuation levels are significantly lower than previous lows in March and October 2022, suggesting that Hong Kong tech stocks are undervalued in the context of a favorable regulatory and economic environment [3][4]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Fundamentals - Strict control over IPO quality is expected to improve market sentiment, as excessive IPOs have previously contributed to weak performance in Hong Kong stocks [4]. - The fundamental outlook for Hong Kong stocks remains solid, with earnings expectations stabilizing after recent declines [4][5]. - The tech industry is experiencing positive developments, with major companies like Tencent and Alibaba promoting large models, indicating ongoing innovation and growth [4].

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 上海证券交易所 为促进易方达中证红利低波动交易型开放式指数证券投资基金（以下简称低波红利，基金代 码:563020）的市场流动性和平稳运行，根据《上海证券交易所基金自律监管规则适用指引第2号——上 市基金做市业务》等相关规定，本所同意招商证券股份有限公司自2026年02月10日起为低波红利提供主 做市服务。 2026年02月09日 特此公告。 上证公告（基金）【2026】321号 ...

上市次日即2022年6月24日，慕思股份盘中最高价报61.67元，为该股上市以来最高价。该股目前处 于破发状态。 慕思股份首次公开发行股票募集资金总额为155,758.93万元，扣除发行费用8,044.55万元，募集资金 净额为147,714.38万元。慕思股份于2022年6月13日披露的招股说明书显示，该公司原拟募集资金 147,714.38万元，用于华东健康寝具生产线建设项目、数字化营销项目、健康睡眠技术研究中心建设项 目。 中国经济网北京2月9日讯 慕思股份(001323.SZ)今日股价下跌，该股收盘报28.26元，跌幅1.43%。 (责任编辑：魏京婷) 慕思股份于2022年6月23日在深圳证券交易所主板上市，发行的股票数量为4,001.00万股，发行价格 为38.93元/股，保荐机构为招商证券股份有限公司，保荐代表人为邓永辉、康自强。 慕思股份首次公开发行股票的发行费用约8,044.55万元（各项费用均为不含税金额），其中，保荐 及承销费用5,700.00万元。 慕思股份于2025年8月15日发布分红方案，拟每10股转增1股。除权除息日为2025年8月21日，红股 上市日为2025年8月21日。 ...

Supply Side - The oligopoly structure has formed, with mainland Chinese manufacturers achieving absolute dominance in the LCD sector, leading to stable profitability due to cyclical weakening [2] - The reduction in supply from panel manufacturers during the Spring Festival will further support the upward trend in panel prices [3] Demand Side - The World Cup events in North America and Mexico are driving demand, while rising storage costs are accelerating the trend towards larger TV sizes, with BOM cost for storage in TVs expected to rise from 2.5-3% to 6-7% [3] - TCL Electronics' acquisition of Sony's TV division poses a challenge to Samsung's global TV leadership, with projected shipments in 2025 showing only a 1 million unit difference between TCL+Sony and Samsung [3] Upstream Panels - Mainland China's LCD panel global market share is 72%, with TCL Huaxing and BOE holding over 50% market share [4] - The depreciation peak for TCL Huaxing's panel lines has passed, releasing profit elasticity, with overall depreciation expected to decline from 2026 onwards [4] Downstream TVs - The global shipment of MiniLED TVs is expected to exceed 20 million units by 2026, with a penetration rate surpassing 10%, which will indirectly reduce panel cost proportions [5] - The combination of MiniLED technology and larger sizes is expected to alleviate cost pressures, with TCL Electronics and Hisense Visual continuing to be favored for their global strategies and technological leadership [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company aims to leverage the accelerating IPO issuance pace to enhance revenue through various strategies, focusing on strengthening its client base and optimizing its investment banking services [1] Group 1: Business Strategy - The company will actively grasp the favorable timing of the accelerated IPO issuance [1] - It plans to enhance revenue levels through multiple measures [1] - The company is committed to deepening its presence in branch institutions, investment platforms, and with China Merchants Bank [1] Group 2: Client Development - The company aims to strengthen its client system and solidify its enterprise customer base [1] - It will continuously build a technology investment banking brand and dynamically optimize the "three investment" linkage mechanism [1] - The company seeks to enhance cooperation with VC institutions, focusing on early identification of quality technology enterprises [1] Group 3: Industry Focus - The company is actively promoting the "Strong Chain Project" to connect "Leaping Enterprises" with leading enterprises [1] - It aims to deepen the integration of industry and finance, focusing on three core tracks: digital technology, green technology, and life sciences [1] - The company intends to explore high-quality enterprises within the industrial chain and actively support China Merchants Group's third entrepreneurial phase [1]