We recently published Jim Cramer Discussed These 11 Stocks & Commented On A Market Reversal. Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST) is one of the stocks Jim Cramer discussed. As is generally the case, Cramer ended up discussing Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST) as he mentioned Walmart. Despite the fact that the retailer's shares have struggled recently, Cramer has continued to hold the stock for his charitable trust. In fact, he has gone as far as to comment that Costco Wholesale Corporation ...

分组1 - The core theme revolves around identifying retailers that can perform well despite a weak consumer environment, with Tractor Supply being highlighted as a hedge against this weakness [1] - Walmart is favored for its resilience, despite having a high valuation multiple, while Costco is noted for disappointing performance and reaching its first 52-week lows since 2009 [1][3] - The decline in Costco's stock price is significant, but the company is still considered fundamentally strong, indicating a potential buying opportunity once a bottom is confirmed [3] 分组2 - The discussion includes the performance of strip malls, suggesting they are still relevant in the retail landscape [4]

Costco logo in front of Costco homepage on desktop computer. Key Points COST shares have now erased all of their 2025 gains following a 10% dip in the last three months. Despite consistent earnings beats and strong comp sales, the stock is nearing crucial technical levels that could trigger the next wave of momentum. Is COST finally ready to rebound? There are reasons for hope and fear, but the charts are hinting that further downside lies ahead. Interested in Costco Wholesale Corporation? Here are fi ...

Core Viewpoint - BJ's Wholesale Club is trading at a significant discount compared to Costco, presenting an interesting investment opportunity for those who find Costco's stock too expensive [1]. Membership and Sales Trends - BJ's total fiscal third-quarter revenue increased by 4.9% year over year to $5.35 billion, with comparable sales growing by 1.1%, and adjusted for gasoline prices, they rose by 1.8% [5]. - Membership fee income surged by 9.8% to $126.3 million, driven by higher-tier membership penetration and fee increases [5]. - Digitally enabled comparable sales grew by 30% year over year, indicating a significant increase in online sales contribution [7]. Profitability and Operating Performance - BJ's operating income declined by 4.8% year over year to $218.4 million, while net income slipped by 2.4% to $152.1 million due to rising labor and occupancy costs [6]. - The company expects comparable club sales, excluding gasoline, to rise by 2% to 3% for the full fiscal year and has raised its adjusted earnings-per-share outlook to a range of $4.30 to $4.40 [7][8]. Valuation Comparison - BJ's trades at approximately 19 times forward earnings and about 0.6 times sales, while Costco trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of about 44 and 1.4 times sales [11]. - The valuation gap reflects BJ's slower growth profile, with total revenue increasing by 4.3% year over year to $15.9 billion for the first nine months of fiscal 2025, compared to Costco's 8.2% revenue growth [10][11]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - BJ's operates fewer than 300 clubs, while Costco has over 900, which contributes to Costco's stronger brand recognition and sales volume [12]. - BJ's must demonstrate its ability to achieve sustained sales growth and competitive advantages in a crowded market that includes Costco and Walmart's Sam's Club [14]. Investment Perspective - BJ's current valuation appears reasonable for a membership-based retailer with positive comparable sales and increasing membership fees, making it a solid alternative for investors seeking exposure to the warehouse club model [15].

Core Insights - Costco's business model focuses on minimizing costs to provide savings to its members, operating its stores like warehouses with merchandise on pallets and limited traditional store investments [1][2] - The company emphasizes a simple operating philosophy of keeping costs down and leveraging its large membership base and buying power to offer the best prices [2] - While cautious with technology investments, Costco is making strategic upgrades to enhance user experience, including checkout process improvements and digital enhancements [3][4][6] Checkout Improvements - Costco has tested self-checkout but has shifted to a new method that integrates human cashiers while speeding up the checkout process for members [4] - The new checkout technology allows employees to scan items while members are in line, reducing the time spent at the cashier [5] Technology Enhancements - The company is advancing its technology roadmap for digital and e-commerce, focusing on improving search effectiveness and user experience [6] - Recent enhancements include data augmentation for better search, passwordless sign-in for the mobile app, and a waiting room feature for high-demand items to reduce bot traffic and improve site stability during peak times [7]

We recently published 10 Stocks Jim Cramer Talked About. Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST) is one of the stocks Jim Cramer discussed. For Jim Cramer's morning appearances, where there's Walmart, there's also Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST). He has discussed both firms regularly throughout 2025 and kept an upbeat tone about them. Cramer believes that Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST) plays an important role in the economy to ensure that Americans can buy affordable groceries. H ...

Core Insights - Costco has generated a total return of 159% over the past five years, with net sales reaching $270 billion in fiscal 2025, although shares are currently 17% off their peak [1] Group 1: Membership Model - Costco's membership model is a key differentiator, requiring customers to pay an annual fee of $65 to shop at its warehouses, with 81 million membership households globally, reflecting a 6.3% year-over-year increase in Q4 2025 [3][4] - The high renewal rate of around 90% for memberships fosters customer loyalty and encourages repeat visits to warehouses [4] Group 2: Sales Performance - Same-store sales (SSS) increased by 5.9% in fiscal 2025, indicating consistent growth and strong operational stability [5][6] - The company's strategy of offering high-quality merchandise at competitive prices contributes to its ability to maintain steady demand across various economic conditions [6] Group 3: Valuation Concerns - Costco shares are considered expensive, trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 49.2, which raises concerns about potential returns if purchased at high valuations [8] - The elevated P/E ratio suggests that the market may consistently reward Costco with a premium valuation, but this leaves little margin for safety and could lead to future contraction as the company matures [9]

Core Insights - Costco's stock has experienced a decline despite strong business performance, with shares trading below $900 and showing a negative return for 2025 [1][2] Business Performance - Costco remains a robust retailer, with a successful membership model and private-label brands driving consistent traffic and high renewal rates [2] - In fiscal Q4, net sales increased by 8% year-over-year to $84.4 billion, while full-year net sales rose by 8.1% to $269.9 billion, primarily due to strong comparable sales growth [3] - Comparable sales grew by 5.7%, with e-commerce sales increasing by 13.6% in the quarter and 15.6% for the year [3] - Earnings per share in Q4 rose by 11% year-over-year, supported by the opening of 10 new warehouses, including several internationally [4] Membership and Revenue - Membership fee income grew by 14% year-over-year to approximately $1.72 billion, with 81 million paid household memberships, a 6.3% increase from the previous year [5] - Executive members, who increased by 9.3% year-over-year, accounted for nearly three-quarters of worldwide sales [5] - Renewal rates in the U.S. and Canada dipped to 92.3%, with worldwide renewal at 89.8%, attributed to more online signups and a past promotional campaign [6] Valuation Concerns - Costco's current price-to-earnings ratio stands at 49, significantly higher than the S&P 500's ratio of about 26, indicating limited margin for error if growth slows [7][9] - While membership fee income is growing, the recent increase in membership fees may limit future growth in this area, as such increases are typically spaced out by more than five years [10] Financial Position - Costco ended fiscal 2025 with over $15 billion in cash and short-term investments against $5.7 billion in long-term debt, resulting in a net cash position that supports dividends and ongoing expansion [11] Investment Outlook - Investors may be overpaying for Costco shares given the high valuation, and it may be prudent for new investors to wait for a better entry point [12]

Core Insights - Costco operates membership warehouses offering a wide range of branded and private-label products, benefiting from a low-margin, high-volume business model that drives strong sales growth and customer loyalty [1][2] Business Model and Operations - The company has over 870 warehouses globally and is expanding its e-commerce platform, leveraging scale efficiencies, membership fee growth, and disciplined cost control [2] - Costco's subscription-based model generates recurring revenue and stable cash flows, while its limited SKU strategy enhances inventory turnover and pricing power against competitors [2] Financial Analysis - Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis indicates forecasted free cash flows (FCF) growing from $7.8 billion in 2025 to $9.8 billion in 2029, with a total present value of FCFs at $33.5 billion [3] - The terminal value, calculated using a perpetuity growth model, is estimated at $144.2 billion, leading to a present value of the terminal value of $92.8 billion [3] - The enterprise value is calculated at $126.3 billion, factoring in net cash of $7.2 billion, resulting in an equity value of $133.5 billion [4][5] Valuation - The intrinsic value per share is estimated at approximately $301, while the current market price is around $890.60, indicating a margin of safety of -66% [5] - Despite Costco's strong free cash flow growth and brand loyalty, shares are trading well above intrinsic value, suggesting that long-term investors may want to wait for a more attractive valuation before making investment decisions [5]

Core Insights - Costco Wholesale Corp Inc (NASDAQ:COST) triggered a significant Power Inflow alert, indicating a bullish trend in trading activity [3][4] - The stock price dropped by 2% before the alert, but subsequently saw a rise, reaching a post-alert high of $890.95 [4][8] - The Power Inflow signal suggests a strong shift towards buying activity, making it a strategic entry point for traders [6][8] Power Inflow Signal - The Power Inflow alert is a proprietary signal from TradePulse, issued within the first two hours of trading, highlighting significant shifts in order flow [6] - This alert indicates a high probability of bullish price movement for the remainder of the trading day [6] - Order flow analytics provide insights into real-time buying and selling trends, enhancing understanding of market sentiment [7] COST Performance - At the time of the Power Inflow, COST was priced at $879.63, with an intraday high of $890.95, reflecting a gain of 1.29% [8] - The closing price after the alert was $890.60, marking a 1.25% increase [8] - The effectiveness of the Power Inflow signal is demonstrated by the short-term gains following the alert, indicating potential for stock price reversal [8]