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Could the Nasdaq Sell-Off Make This Growth Stock a Buy Again?
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-12 07:09
Core Viewpoint - The current market correction, particularly in the Nasdaq Composite, presents potential buying opportunities for long-term investors, especially in high-quality stocks like Costco, despite its current high valuation [2][4][5]. Company Overview - Costco operates as a club retailer, generating significant revenue from membership fees, which constitute over half of its gross income, allowing it to maintain low retail margins [6][7]. - The company has a strong customer retention strategy, evidenced by a membership renewal rate exceeding 90%, indicating effective customer satisfaction [7]. Financial Performance - In the fiscal second quarter of 2025, Costco reported a 9.1% increase in sales, with same-store sales also rising, alongside a 5.1% increase in traffic and a 3.2% rise in the average ticket size [8]. - Despite a strong operational performance, Costco's quarterly earnings fell slightly short of Wall Street's consensus estimates, leading to some investor disappointment [8]. Valuation Insights - Costco's stock is currently considered expensive, with its price-to-sales, price-to-earnings, and price-to-book ratios all above their five-year averages and near historical highs [3][4]. - If the market downturn continues, Costco's stock may reach more reasonable valuation levels, making it an attractive option for growth-oriented investors [5][9]. Investment Strategy - Investors are encouraged to prepare a wish list of stocks, including Costco, to capitalize on potential price drops during market corrections [2][10]. - A target for increased interest in Costco's stock would be if its average price-to-earnings ratio aligns with its five-year average of around 40 [11].
Nasdaq Correction: 2 Stocks Down 13% and 57% to Buy Now and Hold Forever
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-12 01:03
Core Viewpoint - The current market volatility presents a buying opportunity for certain stocks, particularly Costco Wholesale and SoFi Technologies, which are experiencing significant price adjustments despite their strong business fundamentals [2]. Costco Wholesale - Costco has shown reliable sales and income growth, with a 9% year-over-year increase in sales for the fiscal 2025 second quarter, driven by a 6.8% rise in comparable-store sales [4]. - E-commerce sales have surged by 21% in the same quarter, indicating a strong digital presence and growth in big and bulky item sales [4]. - Quarterly earnings per share rose from $3.92 to $4.02, supported by a loyal customer base and a recurring revenue stream from membership fees, which increased paid member households by 6.8% year over year [5]. - Despite a high P/E ratio exceeding 60, Costco's stock is currently trading at 55 times trailing-12-month earnings, reflecting market confidence in its long-term growth potential [6]. SoFi Technologies - SoFi, a tech-focused financial services company, reported a 27% year-over-year revenue increase in the 2024 fourth quarter, transitioning to a net income of $499 million from a loss of $301 million the previous year [7]. - The company is attracting millions of new customers, particularly young professionals, through its user-friendly digital platform that simplifies financial management [8]. - SoFi has diversified its offerings beyond lending, including bank accounts and investment tools, and has introduced unique services like a fund for investing in SpaceX [9]. - The financial services segment has seen an 84% year-over-year sales increase, with non-lending segments growing to represent 49% of total sales, alleviating pressure on the lending segment [10]. - SoFi's stock is currently 57% off its all-time high, trading at a forward P/E ratio of 23, suggesting potential for long-term investment despite inherent risks [11].
Costco Price Plunge Equals Opportunity for Investors
MarketBeat· 2025-03-11 11:12
Costco Wholesale Dividend PaymentsDividend Yield0.50% Annual Dividend$4.64 Dividend Increase Track Record21 Years Annualized 3-Year Dividend Growth13.59% Dividend Payout Ratio27.09% Recent Dividend PaymentFeb. 21 COST Dividend HistoryCostco Wholesale NASDAQ: COST March 2025 price plunge allows investors to buy into this industry-leading membership club at a discount ahead of an expected special dividend payment. The company is still a few quarters away from being able to issue another special but is on trac ...
5 Reasons to Buy Costco Stock Like There's No Tomorrow
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-11 01:00
Core Viewpoint - Costco's recent earnings report showed strong revenue growth despite a slight earnings miss, indicating resilience in a challenging macroeconomic environment and presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 of fiscal 2025, Costco's revenue increased by 9% year over year to $63.72 billion, surpassing analysts' expectations by $640 million [1]. - Net income rose by 3% to $1.79 billion, or $4.02 per share, although it fell short of the consensus forecast by $0.09, primarily due to higher merchandise costs [2]. Group 2: Comparable Store Sales - Adjusted comparable store sales (comps) grew by 10.6% in fiscal 2022, 5.2% in fiscal 2023, and 5.9% in fiscal 2024, with an additional rise of 8.1% in the first half of fiscal 2025 [3]. - The growth in comps suggests that Costco is well insulated from inflation, which typically drives consumers to bulk purchases [4]. Group 3: Membership Growth - The total number of Costco cardholders increased by 6.6% year over year to 140.6 million, indicating strong retention of pricing power [6][7]. - The gross margin expanded by five basis points to 10.85%, while the operating margin rose by 10 basis points to 3.63% during the quarter [7]. Group 4: Membership Renewal Rates - Worldwide renewal rates remained steady at 90.5%, with the U.S. and Canada renewal rate increasing by 10 basis points to 93% [8][9]. - High renewal rates suggest that memberships are sticky, providing a competitive edge against rivals like Walmart's Sam's Club and BJ's Wholesale Club [9]. Group 5: Expansion Strategy - Costco has consistently opened new warehouses, increasing the number from 838 in fiscal 2022 to 890 in fiscal 2024, and reaching 897 by the end of Q2 2025 [10][11]. - This ongoing expansion reflects Costco's confidence in its business model despite macroeconomic challenges [11]. Group 6: Valuation Justification - Analysts project Costco's revenue and earnings per share to grow at compound annual growth rates of 7% and 10%, respectively, from 2024 to 2027 [12]. - The company's robust business model supports its premium valuation, trading at 48 times next year's earnings [12][13].
Costco's February Comparable Sales Show Impressive Growth
ZACKS· 2025-03-10 15:06
Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) continued with its decent comparable sales growth in February. The performance reflects Costco’s ability to attract value-conscious shoppers with its competitive pricing and high-quality offerings.Decoding COST’s February CompsCOST’s comparable sales for February illustrate its market strength. For the four weeks ended March 2, 2025, comparable sales in the United States and Canada grew 8.6% and 3.2%, respectively, while Other International markets saw a decrease of 0.6%. ...
2 Top Growth Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist in the Nasdaq Correction
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-10 08:40
The Nasdaq has been a surefire winner over the past two years, soaring in the double digits annually. Investors were optimistic about the potential for a lower interest rate environment ahead and the fact that such a backdrop could benefit high-growth companies. Declining rates makes it easier for them to borrow to expand -- and offer potential customers more buying power. All of this has fueled revenue growth, and investors have particularly favored companies in the hot areas of artificial intelligence and ...
美股风云突变?但有 Costco“稳如磐石”
海豚投研· 2025-03-08 12:19
Core Viewpoint - Costco's Q2 FY2025 financial results show strong growth in revenue and comparable sales, but profits fell short of expectations, indicating potential inflationary pressures in the U.S. economy [1][7][10]. Sales Performance - Overall comparable sales growth for Costco was 6.8%, significantly higher than the previous quarter and exceeding market expectations by 0.4 percentage points. When excluding fuel price fluctuations and currency effects, the comparable sales growth reached 9.1%, a 2 percentage point increase from the previous quarter [1][10]. - The sales growth can be attributed to a 5.7% increase in customer traffic and a 1% increase in average transaction value. This quarter marked the first time since Q1 FY2023 that the average transaction value increased by over 1% year-over-year [1][11]. Regional Analysis - In terms of regional performance, comparable sales in the U.S., Canada, and other international markets grew by 8.3%, 4.6%, and 1.7%, respectively. The U.S. market was the primary driver of growth, with a 3.1 percentage point increase from the previous quarter [2][12]. - Excluding currency and fuel price impacts, comparable sales growth in Canada and international markets also reached 10% [2][12]. E-commerce Growth - E-commerce sales surged by 21% year-over-year, significantly surpassing the expected 15% growth. Online traffic increased by 13%, and average order value rose by 10%, indicating a strong upward trend in pricing [3][13][14]. Membership Fees - Membership fee revenue for the quarter was $1.19 billion, a 7.4% year-over-year increase, but below the market expectation of 9.5%. The number of paying members increased by 1 million, representing a 6.8% year-over-year growth, which is the lowest growth rate in recent times [3][15][16]. Financial Metrics - Total revenue for the quarter reached $63.7 billion, a 9% year-over-year increase, driven primarily by strong product sales. The gross profit margin for merchandise sales was 10.9%, a slight increase of 0.05 percentage points year-over-year [4][17][19]. - Operating profit was $2.32 billion, reflecting a 12.3% year-over-year increase, although it fell short of the market expectation of $2.33 billion. Net profit was $1.79 billion, a 2.6% year-over-year increase, which was below the expected $1.84 billion [5][22]. Cost Management - Selling and administrative expenses totaled $5.85 billion, a year-over-year increase of 8.1%, which was slightly lower than the revenue growth rate. This resulted in a decrease in the expense ratio to 9.06% [4][18].
Costco(纪要):目前未见明显通胀,但要警惕关税影响
海豚投研· 2025-03-08 12:19
| Costco quarterly results wrap | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | $ '00 mn | 1023 | 2024 | 3024 | 4024 | 1025 | 2025 | 2025E | 2023 | 3025 | 4023 | 1024 | Var. | Total revenue | 544 | ਦੇ ਫੇ ਤੇ | ਦੇਤ ਦ | 789 | 578 | ਦੇ8 4 | રે 8 ટ | 797 | 622 | 637 | ୧30 | 1.1% | | 8.196 | ર રેત્રેસ | 2.0% | ਰੇਂ ਦੇ ਦੇ | 6.2% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 1.0% | 7. ...
Costco Q2 Earnings Lag Estimates, E-Commerce Comp Sales Rise 21%
ZACKS· 2025-03-07 18:20
Core Insights - Costco Wholesale Corporation reported second-quarter fiscal 2025 results with total revenues exceeding estimates while adjusted earnings fell short, both metrics showing year-over-year growth [1][2][3] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share were $4.02, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.09, but up 8.4% from $3.71 in the prior year [2] - Total revenues reached $63,723 million, a 9% increase from the previous year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $63,224 million [3] - Comparable sales rose 6.8% year over year, exceeding the estimated 4.3%, with U.S. comparable sales growing 8.3% [3][6] Membership and Sales Growth - Membership fees increased 7.4% to $1,193 million, with paid household members rising 6.8% to 78.4 million [5] - Total cardholders grew 6.6% to 140.6 million, indicating strong customer loyalty with a membership renewal rate of 90.5% [4][5] Operational Metrics - Global shopping frequency improved by 5.7%, while average transaction size grew by 1% [6] - E-commerce sales saw a significant increase of 20.9% year over year, or 22.2% when excluding gasoline prices and currency fluctuations [7] Margin and Income - Gross margin expanded by 5 basis points to 10.9%, with operating income growing 12.3% to $2,316 million [7] - Operating margin improved by 10 basis points to 3.6%, although it fell short of the anticipated 20 basis-point expansion [7] Expansion Plans - Costco operates 897 warehouses globally, with plans to open 28 new locations in fiscal 2025 [8] Financial Health - The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $12,356 million and long-term debt of $5,755 million [10] - Capital expenditures for the quarter were approximately $1.14 billion, with a forecast of about $5 billion for fiscal 2025 [10]
Shares of Costco Fall After Mixed Earnings and Warnings About Tariffs
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-07 16:29
Core Insights - Costco's shares fell 6.4% following mixed earnings results, with management discussing the impact of tariffs on the business and the retail sector [1] Financial Performance - Earnings per share for the second fiscal quarter of 2025 were reported at $4.02, missing Wall Street estimates by $0.09 [2] - Revenue reached $63.7 billion, surpassing estimates of $63.13 billion [2] Tariff Impact - Approximately one-third of Costco's U.S. sales are imported, with less than half of those products sourced from China, Mexico, and Canada [3] - Management emphasized that tariffs will affect the entire retail sector, but Costco is prepared to mitigate the impact through a reduced SKU model and strong supplier partnerships [4] Membership Fees - Costco raised annual membership fees for the first time since 2017, contributing about 3% to fee income in the second fiscal quarter, with most benefits expected over the next four quarters [5] Stock Valuation - Despite recent sell-offs, Costco's stock trades at 53 times forward earnings, indicating a significant rerating in 2024; however, the elevated valuation and ongoing tariff issues suggest caution in buying the stock [6]