Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST) is included among the 15 Best Blue-Chip Stocks with Growing Dividends. Costco (COST) Target Lowered at Truist on Valuation Concerns Photo by Dan Dennis on Unsplash On December 12, Truist analyst Scot Ciccarelli cut Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST) price target to $926 from $1,033 and kept a Hold rating. He noted the company had another solid quarter, with US comps up 5.9% and enterprise comps up 6.4%. Membership growth is still healthy at 5.2%, but it ...

Core Insights - Expectations of stable economic growth and improving financial conditions are influencing investor strategies as they approach 2026 [1] - Blue-chip retail stocks like Walmart, Costco, and Lowe's are gaining attention due to their operational resilience and steady earnings performance [1] Economic Context - The economic growth in 2025 moderated as the transition from post-pandemic momentum to sustainable expansion occurred, with business investment softening and global trade remaining uneven [2] - Ongoing policy uncertainties regarding taxation and tariffs led many firms to delay major capital expenditures [2] - Inflation remained above the Federal Reserve's long-term target, prompting cautious interest rate cuts to ease financial conditions [3] Market Performance - Equity markets showed positive sentiment with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining approximately 14%, the S&P 500 advancing about 16%, and the Nasdaq Composite rising 19% year-to-date [4] Blue-Chip Retail Stocks - Blue-chip retail stocks are characterized by financial strength and a history of reliable returns, making them less volatile and dependable for investors [5] - These retailers possess strong market positions, brand recognition, and loyal customer bases, providing a competitive edge and growth opportunities [6] Company-Specific Insights Walmart - Walmart is enhancing its omnichannel retail position through technology, e-commerce, and high-margin profit streams [10] - The company has a market capitalization of $931.1 billion and pays a quarterly dividend of about $0.24 per share, with a payout ratio of 37% and a five-year dividend growth rate of 4.9% [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate suggests growth of 4.5% in sales and 4.8% in EPS for the current financial year [11] Costco - Costco's membership-driven model is driving strong traffic and brand loyalty, supported by digital capabilities and operational technology [12] - The company has a market cap of $382 billion and pays a quarterly dividend of $1.30 per share, with a payout ratio of 28% and a five-year dividend growth rate of 13.7% [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates growth of 7.5% in sales and 11.3% in EPS for the current financial year [13] Lowe's - Lowe's is implementing a Total Home Strategy to enhance its competitive position through improved Pro capabilities and online experience [14] - The company has a market cap of $139.6 billion and pays a quarterly dividend of $1.20 per share, with a payout ratio of 39% and a five-year dividend growth rate of 15.6% [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate suggests growth of 2.9% in sales and 2.2% in EPS for the current financial year [15]

Key Takeaways COST Q1 comps rose 6.4% on solid traffic, strong renewal rates and e-commerce growth.Membership fee income grew 14% as paid members hit 81.4M and executive members rose 9.1%.Digitally enabled sales surged 20.5%, driven by app growth, same-day delivery and AI investments.Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) released its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on Dec. 11, after the closing bell, drawing fresh attention from investors tracking the retail sector’s performance. Given its stable growth and ...

Consumer Sentiment and Spending Trends - U.S. consumer sentiment fell to its lowest level in over three years in early November, but there was a slight uptick in December [3] - Despite economic worries, nearly 203 million U.S. shoppers participated in the holiday shopping period from Thanksgiving to Cyber Monday, marking the highest turnout in at least nine years [5] - Retail sales have shown resilience, with many retailers exceeding quarterly sales expectations, indicating steady consumer demand [6][7] Retail Performance and Consumer Behavior - Big-box retailers like Walmart and Costco reported strong sales, while discretionary retailers also exceeded expectations, suggesting a consistent consumer spending pattern [6][7] - Lower-income consumers have remained resilient, continuing to spend despite economic pressures, while higher-income consumers have supported retail sales through rising home values and stock market gains [8][9] - Retailers have noted that consumers are selective in their spending, often seeking deals and discounts, which has driven strong turnout during promotional sales [13][14] Economic Indicators and Retail Forecasts - Retail sales have consistently grown nearly or more than 4% year-over-year, surpassing earlier predictions of 2.7% to 3.7% growth [19] - Holiday hiring by retailers is expected to be the lowest in at least 15 years, reflecting caution in managing costs amid economic uncertainty [20] - Retailers are experiencing a divide between winners and losers, with those executing well capturing the dollars of selective shoppers [24] Price Dynamics and Consumer Spending - Some retail spending growth has been attributed to price hikes, as consumers are motivated to purchase before further price increases occur [14][15] - The disconnect between consumer sentiment and actual spending behavior has been noted, with higher-income households continuing to spend despite low sentiment [16][17] - Retailers have been able to offer deals due to excess inventory purchased earlier in the year, which may lead to a strong start to the holiday season but a weaker end [30] Conclusion on Consumer Outlook - The current economic environment has led consumers to make trade-offs, seeking value while still engaging in holiday spending [27][28] - The overall sentiment suggests a paradox where consumers feel uncertain yet continue to spend, driven by the emotional significance of the holiday season [29][31]

Roth Capital将开市客的目标价从906美元下调至769美元，评级从"中性"下调至"卖出"。(格隆汇) ...

Core Insights - Costco Wholesale reported strong fiscal Q1 earnings, with revenue increasing by 8% to $67.31 billion and adjusted EPS rising by 11% to $4.50, surpassing analyst expectations [5] - Despite strong sales momentum, Costco's stock has declined nearly 5% year-to-date and is about 11% lower over the past year [1] Sales Performance - E-commerce sales surged by 20.5%, with traffic increasing by 24% and average order value up by 13% [2] - Same-store sales grew by 6.4% when adjusted for gasoline prices and foreign currency, with U.S. same-store sales rising by 5.9% and Canadian comparable-store sales climbing by 9% [6] - Membership-fee revenue increased by 14% year-over-year to $1.33 billion, supported by a price hike in September 2024 [8] Membership Dynamics - Paid memberships rose by 5.2% to 81.4 million households, with higher-cost executive memberships increasing by 9.1% to 39.7 million [8] - Membership renewal rates were 92.2% in North America and 89.7% worldwide, although younger consumers showed lower renewal rates [9] Expansion and Future Outlook - Costco opened eight new locations in the quarter, bringing the total to 921 stores, but reduced its new store outlook to 28 for the fiscal year due to delays [10] - The stock's forward P/E ratio is currently at 43.5, which is below its earlier valuation this year but still higher than historical averages [12] - The company is expected to remain range-bound in stock performance over the next year as it works to align its valuation with its strong operational performance [14]

Core Insights - Costco and Dollar Tree are both performing well in a challenging economy, but Costco has a stronger track record of success [1] - Consumers are increasingly seeking bargains, with Dollar Tree attracting higher-income shoppers [1][6] - Costco operates on a membership model, which contributes significantly to its operating income and allows for lower product margins [1][11] Business Models - Costco is a club store requiring a yearly membership fee, which constitutes about half of its operating income [1] - Dollar Tree operates as a traditional retailer, relying on low price points to attract customers [3] - Dollar Tree faces higher risks of losing customers to other retail concepts compared to Costco [3] Recent Performance - Costco reported a 6.4% increase in same-store sales and a 3.1% increase in traffic for its fiscal second-quarter 2026 [4] - Dollar Tree's same-store sales rose by 4.2% in its third quarter of 2025, with an influx of higher-income shoppers [4][6] Customer Demographics - Dollar Tree gained approximately three million new households, with 60% earning over $100,000, indicating a shift from more premium retailers like Target [6] - Costco's model encourages long-term customer loyalty due to its curated selection of high-quality products [7] Economic Outlook - If the economy improves, Costco is likely to continue thriving, while Dollar Tree may lose its wealthier customers [8] - Dollar Tree's strategy to upgrade its product assortment could shift its low-price appeal [7] Valuation Metrics - Costco's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 47, while Dollar Tree's is 24.5, indicating that both stocks are considered expensive relative to their historical averages [11] - Costco's five-year average P/E is approximately 44, and Dollar Tree's is about 21 [11] Investment Considerations - Costco's consistent business model and strong financial results make it appealing to investors, despite its high valuation [14] - Dollar Tree's recent attempts to expand its product range follow a problematic acquisition, which may affect its long-term viability [13]

AND YOUR NEXT GUEST SAYS MORE DOWNSIDE MAY BE COMING. HE DOWNGRADED COSTCO TO A CELL FROM A NEUTRAL. JOINING US NOW IS BILL KIRK COVERS RETAIL AT ROTH CAPITAL PARTNERS.BILL THE CALL IS GETTING A LOT OF ATTENTION. SO WE APPRECIATE YOU COMING ON POWER LUNCH. WHAT'S THE PRIMARY THESIS BEHIND THAT SELL RATING.>> YEAH, THANKS FOR HAVING ME. THE PRIMARY THESIS IS WHEN YOU UNPACK THE QUARTER, THERE'S A LOT OF KEY METRICS THAT ARE GOING THE INCORRECT WAY. IF YOU TAKE A LOOK AT TRAFFIC, WHETHER IT'S IN THE UNITED ST ...

covers retail at Roth Capital Partners. Bill, the call is getting a lot of attention, so we appreciate you coming on Power Launch. What's the primary thesis behind that cell rating.Yeah, the Thanks for having me. The the primary thesis is when you you unpack the quarter, there's a lot of key metrics that are going the incorrect way. Uh if you take a look at traffic, whether it's in the United States or even the worldwide number, it's decelerating.It decelerated this quarter from last quarter, which decelera ...

This top stock can grow in value for a lifetime.A $1,000 investment in Costco Wholesale (COST 3.01%) stock in 1995 would be worth $157,000 today, assuming dividends were reinvested to purchase additional shares. That is a rare 100-plus bagger, showing the power of patiently holding shares of quality businesses for a lifetime of compounding returns.Its expansion in North America largely drove those returns, but it is still in the early innings of international expansion. If you're looking to park extra cash ...