Core Insights - Deere & Company reported Q3 fiscal 2025 earnings of $4.75 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.62, but reflecting a 24% decline year-over-year due to lower shipment volumes [1][9] Financial Performance - Net sales from equipment operations were $10.36 billion, down 9% year-over-year, but above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.26 billion. Total net sales, including financial services, were $12.02 billion, down 8.6% year-over-year [2][9] - The cost of sales decreased by 3.5% year-over-year to $7.57 billion, while total gross profit fell 21.2% to $2.79 billion. Total operating profit, including financial services, dropped 31.7% year-over-year to $1.57 billion [3] Segment Performance - Production & Precision Agriculture segment sales fell 16% year-over-year to $4.27 billion, missing estimates. Operating profit decreased 50% to $580 million due to lower shipment volumes [4] - Small Agriculture & Turf sales decreased 1% to $3.03 billion, exceeding projections. Operating profit fell 2% to $485 million, impacted by lower shipment volumes and higher warranty expenses [5] - Construction & Forestry sales were $3.06 billion, down 5% year-over-year, with operating profit decreasing 47% to $237 million due to unfavorable price realization and higher production costs [6] Financial Services - Revenues in the Financial Services division were $1.42 billion, down 4% year-over-year, while net income increased to $205 million from $153 million in the prior-year quarter, attributed to lower provision for credit losses [7] Cash and Debt Position - Cash and cash equivalents stood at $8.58 billion, up from $7.32 billion at the end of fiscal 2024. Cash flow from operating activities was $3.46 billion in the first nine months of fiscal 2025, down from $4.14 billion in the prior-year period. Long-term borrowing increased to $44.43 billion from $43.23 billion year-over-year [8] Guidance - Deere narrowed its fiscal 2025 net income forecast to between $4.75 billion and $5.25 billion. Expected sales declines include 15-20% for Production & Precision Agriculture, 10% for Small Agriculture & Turf, and 10-15% for Construction & Forestry [10] Stock Performance - DE shares have increased by 39.5% over the past year, outperforming the industry's growth of 37.4% [11]

Core Viewpoint - John Deere is facing significant financial challenges due to rising tariff costs, which are projected to reach $600 million for fiscal 2025, impacting net income and sales performance [1][3]. Financial Performance - In the fiscal third quarter, John Deere reported a net income of $1.29 billion, a decrease of 26% from $1.73 billion in the same period last year [3]. - Total net sales for the quarter were $12.02 billion, down 9% from $13.15 billion year-over-year [3]. - Earnings per share were reported at $4.75, exceeding expectations of $4.63 [5]. - Revenue for the quarter was $10.36 billion, slightly above the expected $10.31 billion [5]. Tariff Impact - The company incurred approximately $200 million in tariff costs during the third quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to around $300 million [3]. - The forecast for the pre-tax impact of tariffs in fiscal 2025 has been adjusted to nearly $600 million [3]. Outlook - John Deere has revised its net income outlook for the fiscal year to a range of $4.75 billion to $5.25 billion, down from a previous estimate of $4.75 billion to $5.5 billion [4]. - CEO John May emphasized the company's commitment to addressing current customer needs while preparing for future growth despite near-term uncertainties [4].

Deere's Outlook and Visibility - Deere is taking a cautiously optimistic outlook for the fourth quarter, with good visibility due to full order books for the next four to five months [1][2] - Uncertainty remains regarding the demand in 2026, considering the less favorable commodities backdrop and trade uncertainty [2][3] - Deere is observing incremental demand in Europe and a potential recovery in South America [4] Pricing and Inventory - Negative pricing was implemented in the large agriculture business to reduce excess inventory in North America, which was unexpected [4] - Early order program commentary was somewhat negative, but anticipated due to short positioning [5] Innovation and Technology - Innovation, particularly technologies like See & Spray, is contributing to higher yields (USDA expects 188 bushels per acre of corn) and driving pricing power for Deere [6][7] - Farmers are willing to pay for technologies that lower input costs while protecting yields [7] Cost Considerations - Tariffs pose incremental cost challenges that need to be factored into pricing [7]

Core Viewpoint - Deere & Company (DE.US) reported a significant decline in net profit and adjusted its revenue outlook for fiscal year 2025, reflecting ongoing challenges in the agricultural equipment market [1] Financial Performance - The company’s net profit decreased by 26% year-over-year to $1.289 billion [1] - Earnings per share fell to $4.75 [1] - The revenue outlook for fiscal year 2025 was revised down to between $4.75 billion and $5.25 billion, from a previous range of $4.75 billion to $5.5 billion [1] Sales Performance - Sales in the production and precision agriculture segment dropped by 16% year-over-year to $4.27 billion [1] - The decline in sales is attributed to an oversupply of used equipment, which has suppressed demand for new equipment [1]

Core Points - Deere & Company (DE.US) shares fell nearly 8% to $472.59 following the release of its third-quarter financial results [1] - The company's net profit decreased by 26% year-over-year to $1.289 billion, with earnings per share dropping to $4.75 [1] - Deere has revised its fiscal year 2025 net income outlook down to $4.75 billion to $5.25 billion, from a previous range of $4.75 billion to $5.5 billion [1] - Sales in the production and precision agriculture segment for the third quarter of 2025 declined by 16% year-over-year to $4.27 billion, attributed to an oversupply of used equipment, which has suppressed demand for new equipment [1]

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Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales and revenues decreased by 9% to DKK 12.018 billion, with equipment operations net sales also down 9% to DKK 10.357 billion [10] - Net income attributable to Deere and Company was €1.289 billion, or $4.75 per diluted share [10] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - Production and Precision Ag segment net sales fell 16% year over year to €4.273 billion, primarily due to lower shipment volumes and unfavorable price realization [10][11] - Small Ag and Turf segment net sales decreased by 1% year over year to €3.025 billion, with operating profit declining slightly to €485 million, resulting in a 16% operating margin [12] - Construction and Forestry segment net sales were down 5% year over year to DKK 3.059 billion, with an operating profit of €237 million and a 7.7% operating margin [19][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S. and Canada, large ag equipment industry sales are expected to decline approximately 30% in fiscal year 2025 due to high interest rates and elevated used inventory levels [13] - Small ag and turf industry demand in the U.S. and Canada is projected to decrease by 10% [14] - European market sentiment is improving, with expectations for industry sales to be flat to down 5% in fiscal year 2025 [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on disciplined execution amidst challenging market dynamics, with a strong emphasis on managing production costs and inventory levels [6][8] - Deere is positioning itself to respond effectively to market demand inflections, having reduced inventories significantly across all business segments [29][32] - The company is investing in technology and precision agriculture solutions to drive future growth and improve customer outcomes [59][110] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that global uncertainty and high interest rates are impacting customer sentiment, leading to cautious capital purchases [28] - Despite challenges, there are signs of optimism in certain markets, with improved retail sales and order activity in specific segments [9][44] - The company remains committed to delivering long-term value for customers and shareholders, leveraging its operational efficiencies and market position [67][68] Other Important Information - Tariff costs in the quarter were approximately $200 million, with a forecasted pretax impact of nearly $600 million for fiscal year 2025 [37][38] - The company has seen a positive response to pricing actions taken in the North American earthmoving market, with retail settlements up mid-single digits year over year [39] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide additional color on the quarter's performance? - Management highlighted the challenges posed by global trade dynamics and interest rate expectations, emphasizing the importance of focusing on controllable factors like production and inventory management [28] Question: What are the expectations for production in relation to retail demand next year? - Management indicated that production is expected to align closely with retail demand, particularly in large ag, while small ag and turf may see some lift due to underproduction this year [75] Question: Can you elaborate on the early order programs and their trends? - Management noted that while there is caution in ordering due to market uncertainty, early returns on planters and combines are positive, though it is still early in the programs [81][82] Question: How is the company addressing pricing competition in the market? - Management acknowledged the competitive pricing environment but expressed optimism about the market's ability to bear higher pricing, especially with positive retail sales trends [86] Question: What is the outlook for cash flow guidance? - Management explained that the cash flow guidance remains unchanged due to the uncertain environment, but they feel confident about inventory levels and retail sales trends [94]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales and revenues decreased by 9% to DKK 12.018 billion, with equipment operations net sales also down by 9% to DKK 10.357 billion [9] - Net income attributable to Deere & Company was €1.289 billion, or $4.75 per diluted share [9] - Operating margin for equipment operations was reported at 12.6% [5] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - **Production and Precision Ag**: Net sales decreased by 16% year over year to €4.273 billion, primarily due to lower shipment volumes and unfavorable price realization [10] - **Small Ag and Turf**: Net sales were down 1% year over year to €3.025 billion, with a slight decline in shipment volumes offset by positive currency translation [11] - **Construction and Forestry**: Net sales decreased by 5% year over year to DKK 3.059 billion, mainly due to unfavorable price realization [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S. and Canada, large ag equipment industry sales are expected to decline by approximately 30% in fiscal year 2025 due to high interest rates and elevated used inventory levels [12] - Small ag and turf industry demand in the U.S. and Canada is projected to be down 10% [13] - European market sentiment is improving, with expectations for industry sales to be flat to down 5% in fiscal year 2025 [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on disciplined execution amidst challenging market dynamics, managing production costs, and inventory levels effectively [5][6] - There is an emphasis on responding proactively to market downturns and maintaining robust investment levels for future growth [65] - The company aims to build production in line with retail demand as market conditions improve [26][65] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that global uncertainty and high interest rates continue to weigh on customer sentiment, but there are signs of improved demand in certain segments [5][6] - The company remains optimistic about its order books and is well-positioned to respond to demand growth when it returns [7][65] - Management highlighted the importance of managing costs and production efficiency to navigate the current economic environment [30][32] Other Important Information - Tariff costs in the quarter were approximately $200 million, with a forecasted pretax impact of nearly $600 million for fiscal year 2025 [32][33] - The company has seen significant reductions in inventory levels across various segments, positioning itself well for future demand [26][27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Production to retail demand expectations - Management indicated that production levels could align closely with retail sales increases, particularly in large ag, while small ag and turf may see some lift due to underproduction this year [70][73] Question: Early order programs insights - Management noted that planter programs are seeing cautious ordering, while early responses for combines are positive but still early in the cycle [76][79] Question: Pricing and market competition - Management acknowledged competitive pricing pressures but noted positive market responses to recent pricing actions, with expectations for some price moderation in the fourth quarter [97][99] Question: Cash flow guidance variability - Management explained that the cash flow guidance range reflects uncertainties in the market, but they feel confident about inventory levels and retail sales trends [91][94] Question: Tariff impacts and mitigation strategies - Management provided details on the tariff costs and their allocation among business units, emphasizing ongoing efforts to mitigate these impacts [114]

Core Viewpoint - Deere & Company (DE.US) experienced a significant decline in stock price, dropping over 7.5% to $474.83, following the release of its third-quarter financial results which showed continued revenue and profit declines [1] Financial Performance - The company's third-quarter revenue decreased by 8.6% year-over-year to $12.02 billion, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of decline, although it surpassed analysts' average expectation of $11.86 billion [1] - Net profit fell by 25.7% year-over-year to $1.29 billion, translating to earnings per share of $4.75, which exceeded the expected $4.58 [1] Market Conditions - CEO John May indicated that customer sentiment remains cautious due to uncertainties surrounding trade policies and economic conditions [1] - The company is actively addressing the issue of a large number of used equipment in the industry [1]

Financial Performance - Deere reported $10.36 billion in revenue for the quarter ended July 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 9.1% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same period was $4.75, down from $6.29 a year ago [1] - The reported revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.26 billion by 0.97%, while the EPS surprised by 2.81% against the consensus estimate of $4.62 [1] Segment Performance - Equipment Operations net sales were $10.36 billion, surpassing the six-analyst average estimate of $10.18 billion, but still down 9.1% year-over-year [4] - Construction & Forestry net sales reached $3.06 billion, slightly below the $3.11 billion average estimate, marking a 5.4% decline year-over-year [4] - Agriculture and Turf net sales totaled $7.3 billion, exceeding the $7.07 billion average estimate, but down 10.5% year-over-year [4] - Small Ag & Turf net sales were $3.03 billion, outperforming the five-analyst average estimate of $2.78 billion, with a minor decline of 0.9% year-over-year [4] - Production & Precision Ag net sales were $4.27 billion, slightly below the $4.28 billion average estimate, reflecting a significant 16.2% year-over-year decline [4] Financial Services - Financial services revenues amounted to $1.42 billion, below the $1.51 billion estimate, representing a 4.8% decline year-over-year [4] - Total financial services revenue was $1.54 billion, compared to the $1.62 billion estimate, indicating a 7.4% year-over-year decrease [4] - Finance and Interest Income from financial services was $1.43 billion, below the $1.49 billion estimate, down 6.8% year-over-year [4] Stock Performance - Shares of Deere have returned +1.1% over the past month, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.5% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [3]