RESULTS 2Q25 This information belongs to Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission from the Company. PUBLIC INFORMATION This information belongs to Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission from the Company. PUBLIC INFORMATION DISCLAIMER This conference call may include statements about future events, based on Embraer's expectations and market financial trends. Such statements are subject to uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from those ...

Core Insights - Embraer S.A. (ERJ) is set to release its second-quarter 2025 results on August 5, with an expected revenue of $1.67 billion, reflecting an 11.8% increase year-over-year [1][10][11] - The company has a four-quarter average earnings surprise of 150.60%, indicating strong performance expectations [1] Commercial Aviation Segment - Aircraft deliveries in the Commercial Aviation segment remained flat year-over-year, likely having a neutral impact on second-quarter sales [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for this segment's revenues is $551.4 million, indicating a decline of 0.5% from the year-ago quarter [4] Executive Aviation Segment - The Executive Aviation segment is projected to see a revenue increase of 25.6% year-over-year, with an estimated revenue of $422 million, driven by a 40.7% rise in executive jet deliveries [5][11] Defense & Security Segment - Revenues from the Defense & Security segment are expected to increase by 18.7% year-over-year, with an estimated revenue of $222 million, supported by higher A-29 Super Tucano aircraft sales [6][11] Services & Support Segment - The Services & Support segment is anticipated to grow by 14% year-over-year, with an estimated revenue of $460.6 million, bolstered by increased demand for aftermarket aircraft solutions and MRO activities [7][8][11] Overall Financial Performance - The overall revenue performance is expected to be strong across three of the four major business segments, contributing positively to the company's bottom line [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ERJ's earnings is pegged at 47 cents per share, indicating a 6.8% increase from the prior-year figure [12]

Group 1: Trade Impact - The U.S. has raised tariffs on Brazilian imports from 10% to 50%, affecting a wide range of products including orange juice, coffee, and aircraft manufacturing [1][2] - Brazil's average tariff on U.S. goods is currently 2.7%, with a projected trade deficit of $43 billion in goods and $165 billion in services with the U.S. from 2024 to 2025 [1] - The Brazilian National Industry Confederation estimates that the new tariffs will lead to a 0.37% decrease in U.S. GDP and a 0.16% decrease in Brazilian GDP, with a potential loss of 52 billion Brazilian Reais in exports and 100,000 jobs in Brazil [2] Group 2: Sector-Specific Effects - The Brazilian orange juice export sector warns that the new tariffs could lead to an "unsustainable state," potentially causing harvest interruptions and factory chaos [3] - The Brazilian coffee export sector, which relies heavily on the U.S. market (16% of total exports), will face significant price increases, impacting over 300,000 coffee farming families and 2.2 million coffee workers in the U.S. [4] - The Brazilian aircraft manufacturing sector estimates that each exported plane to the U.S. will incur an additional cost of approximately $9 million due to the tariffs, with potential total losses reaching 2 billion Reais [5] Group 3: Furniture and Other Industries - The Brazilian furniture industry, which exports 30% of its products to the U.S., is experiencing order reductions and potential job losses for over 1.1 million workers due to the tariff increase [6][7] - The furniture sector has seen tariffs rise from an average of 3.5% to 50%, leading to significant disruptions in operations [7] Group 4: Political and Economic Reactions - Brazilian President Lula has condemned the U.S. tariffs as unacceptable interference in Brazil's sovereignty and has indicated plans for retaliatory measures [8] - The Brazilian government is actively seeking to negotiate with U.S. businesses to mitigate the negative impacts of the tariffs [11] - Analysts suggest that the tariff conflict reflects deeper political tensions, with the U.S. using trade measures as leverage against Brazil's domestic politics [12][13]

当地时间7月28日，巴西航空工业公司总裁弗朗西斯科.戈麦斯.内托在接受当地媒体采访时表示，预计美 国加征关税可能造成订单取消和裁员等影响，给该公司带来数十亿美元损失。根据巴航工业内部估计， 如果加征50%关税落地，该公司将为每架飞机额外支付5000万雷亚尔(约合6423.06万元人民币)，并可能 导致订单取消、交货延迟、削减投资甚至裁员等负面影响。此前，美国天西航空公司表示订购74架巴航 工业生产的喷气式飞机，合同有效期至2032年。若关税政策落地，双方考虑协商推迟交货，直至关税问 题得到解决。巴航工业是仅次于波音和空客的全球第三大客机制造商，该公司使用的部分零部件及发动 机均产自美国。美国是巴西航空工业公司的主要出口市场之一。据统计，巴航工业对美销售的商用飞机 和公务机销售额分别占到该公司销售总额的45%和70%。(央视新闻) ...

Core Insights - Porter Airlines and Embraer CAE Training Services (ECTS) are expanding pilot training operations with a new Embraer E195-E2 full-flight simulator in Montreal, enhancing local job opportunities and supporting the airline's growth [1][2][4] Group 1: Company Developments - The new simulator will increase training capacity for Porter's expanding fleet, which has already received 46 aircraft with expectations of up to 100 [2] - The simulator features the CAE Prodigy visual system, developed in Montreal, providing advanced training technology for pilots [1][3] Group 2: Strategic Partnerships - The partnership between Porter, Embraer, and CAE aims to elevate aviation safety and training standards, with CAE's expertise ensuring high-quality training for pilots [3][4] - ECTS operates additional simulators in Singapore and Madrid, indicating a global training network for the E2 aircraft [4] Group 3: Industry Context - Embraer is a leading manufacturer of commercial jets with a significant global presence, having delivered over 9,000 aircraft since its founding [7][8] - CAE has a long history in aviation training and simulation, with approximately 13,000 employees across 240 sites in over 40 countries, emphasizing its commitment to safety and innovation [9]

而与此同时，征收关税对于美国的航空公司也是一个问题。由于缺乏其他制造商提供支线飞机等类似的 产品，美国的航空公司可能无法获得新飞机。私人飞机运营商Flexjet近日重申其2月份的协议，即以高 达70亿美元的价格购买巴西航空工业公司的182架飞机，另外还可能再额外购买30架。目前Flexjet在美 国运营143架巴西航空工业公司生产的飞机，该公司董事长肯尼斯·里奇称，虽然关税上调会影响成本， 最初制造商也会承担部分成本，然而随着时间推移，额外成本会转嫁给买家。 据英国《金融时报》报道，航空业正紧急应对美国关税政策的冲击，不断攀升的成本已传导至该行业高 度整合的供应链。报道提到，该行业自1979年以来基本不存在关税壁垒，其供应链遍布全球。例如，波 音从意大利和日本进口部分飞机部件，但目前已面临更高进口成本。 日前，巴西副总统兼发展、工业、贸易和服务部部长阿尔克明同包括巴西航空工业公司在内的航空、牛 肉、能源、纸浆等受关税影响的行业代表举行会谈，主要的议题是向美国寻求至少再延长90天的讨论时 间。阿尔克明表示，目前政府的首要任务是通过与美国政府对话和谈判来解决问题，美国政府尚未对巴 西发出的要求暂停加征关税的信函作 ...

One of the trends I identified when covering Embraer S.A. ( ERJ ) was the bottleneck in aircraft engines that still hinders manufacturing capacity. That led me to analyze Rolls-Royce Holdings plc ( OTCPK:RYCEYExperience is difficult to learn. After 30 plus years of critically analyzing the nuts and bolts of businesses as diverse as airlines, oil, retail, mining to fintech and ecommerce plus the macro, monetary and political drivers. I continue to immensely enjoy learning and applying my experience to unrave ...

Core Viewpoint - The CEO of Embraer has indicated that proposed tariffs by the U.S. could have a detrimental impact on the company, comparable to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic [1][2]. Group 1: Impact of Tariffs - Approximately 75% of Embraer's business jets and nearly 50% of its regional airliners are delivered to U.S. clients, making the U.S. market crucial for the company [2]. - The CEO estimates that if the proposed 50% tariff is implemented, it could lead to a revenue decline similar to that experienced during the pandemic [2]. - Shipping Embraer's E175 jets would become "unfeasible" under the proposed tariffs, affecting regional aviation significantly [3]. Group 2: Broader Industry Implications - The CEO described the situation as a "lose-lose" for both Embraer and the U.S., as the U.S. also supplies essential parts like engines and avionics [4][3]. - The aviation industry has already faced challenges due to tariffs, impacting major players like Boeing and Airbus [5]. - The complex global supply chains in the aviation industry make it difficult for companies to absorb such tariffs without significant repercussions [11].

Embraer's stock sunk after its CEO said the aircraft manufacturer could revise its business plan if Trump’s tariffs are implemented. https://t.co/pZgAlFndlb ...

巴西航空工业公司CEO：我们相信巴西和美国能够达成双边协议。关税对收入的影响可能与新冠疫情的 影响类似。 ...