本报（chinatimes.net.cn）记者王潇雨 上海报道 权MRO大修厂、2个发动机零部件周转库（Storefront）、1个快修厂，覆盖所有在中国使用的GE/CFM 发动机型号。" 据GE航空航天方面透露，其在2024年宣布将在五年内向全球MRO设施投资10亿美元以提高产能、引进 新技术，提升大修厂维修能力，进一步缩短交付时间。而上海OWS也是这项计划的一部分。此外还包 括一些授权企业，持续提升在中国的发动机维修能力。尤其是对与在波音737系列、空客A320系列以及 C919系列上都广泛使用的CFM LEAP发动机，"目前上海OWS和四川SSAMC都能进行快修，SSAMC针 对LEAP的大修能力也在进一步扩展。"前述GE航空航天相关负责人表示。 超过百年历史的航空发动机制造巨头美国通用电气航空航天集团（下称"GE航空航天"）在民航领域具 有广泛的产品线覆盖，其中就包括大型宽体客机、单通道干线客机以及支线喷气式客机及公务机等几乎 全部类型的商用飞机产品。同时也为包括美国波音公司（下称"波音"）、欧洲空中客车公司（下称"空 客"）、巴西航空工业公司（下称"巴航工业"）以及中国商用飞机有限责任公司（下称"中 ...

Core Insights - The successful delivery of the first repaired engine by Zhuhai Mo Tian Yu Jin Wan Factory to China Southern Airlines marks a significant milestone in the MRO (Maintenance, Repair, Overhaul) capabilities of the airline [1][4] - The Jin Wan Factory, a joint venture between China Southern Airlines and German MTU Aero Engines, officially commenced operations in March 2023 and aims to enhance service quality and efficiency in engine maintenance [1][2] Group 1 - The Jin Wan Factory is expected to deliver over 50 engines this year, with an annual maintenance capacity projected to reach 260 engines after full production [2][5] - The factory's operational efficiency and advanced production management systems are designed to support the MRO network for GTF engines, indicating a commitment to high-quality service [2][5] - The combined maintenance capacity of the Zhuhai Mo Tian Yu facilities is anticipated to exceed 700 engines annually, positioning it as a potential leader in the global MRO market [5]

Core Insights - The successful delivery of the first PW1100G-JM engine by Zhuhai Motianyu Jinwan Factory to China Southern Airlines marks a significant milestone in the engine MRO (Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul) sector for the airline [1][5] - The Jinwan Factory, which began operations in March 2023, is a joint venture between China Southern Airlines and MTU Aero Engines, aimed at enhancing MRO capabilities [1][5] Company Developments - The Jinwan Factory is expected to deliver over 50 engines in 2023, with a projected annual maintenance capacity of 260 engines once fully operational [5] - Combined with its other facility, Zhuhai Motianyu aims to achieve an annual maintenance capacity exceeding 700 engines, positioning itself as a potential leader in the global MRO market [5][6] Industry Context - MTU Aero Engines, a key partner in this venture, reported a revenue of €7.5 billion for the fiscal year 2024 and maintains a significant presence in the global aviation market, servicing one-third of the commercial fleet [6] - The factory's strategic location near major cities like Hong Kong, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, and Macau enhances its operational advantages in the Asian aviation market [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the investment potential in the aviation engine industry, likening it to a "super razor-and-blade" model where initial sales are low-margin, but long-term service and parts replacement generate significant profits [4][16][22]. Group 1: Investment Insights - The aviation engine industry operates under a "triple constraint" where it must achieve high power, low fuel consumption, and extreme reliability simultaneously, making it a unique and challenging sector [10][12]. - The industry is characterized by a long product lifecycle, with significant cash flow generated from after-market services and parts replacement over decades [29][42]. - The market often misprices long-term value due to short-term fluctuations, presenting opportunities for investors who can identify these discrepancies [6][44]. Group 2: Business Model and Competition - The "super razor-and-blade" model in aviation engines involves selling engines at low margins while profiting from high-margin maintenance and parts over time [16][20]. - The CFM56 engine serves as a prime example of this model, showcasing a lengthy development and delivery cycle that creates a substantial technological moat [17][19]. - The aviation engine market is dominated by a few players, and the industry's focus on safety and compliance creates high barriers to entry for new competitors [27][28]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The aviation industry has recently faced challenges due to supply chain disruptions, impacting the delivery of new aircraft and subsequently increasing demand for after-market services [41][42]. - The industry's reliance on a global supply chain means that any disruption can significantly affect production and service timelines, highlighting the importance of operational resilience [40][41]. - The article notes that while the aviation engine market is currently stable, the long-term outlook remains dependent on technological advancements and the ability to adapt to changing market conditions [37][39].

Core Insights - The aviation engine industry seeks optimal solutions under the "impossible triangle," aiming to balance three core performance goals: strong power, ultra-low fuel consumption, and extreme reliability [5][8][9] - Investment opportunities lie in identifying companies with unique business models and significant long-term value, particularly when pricing is relatively insufficient [4][30] Group 1: Aviation Engine Fundamentals - Aviation engines are characterized by the need to meet three conflicting performance indicators: powerful thrust, low fuel consumption, and high reliability [5][8] - The industry standard for civil aviation engines requires engines to provide sufficient power for aircraft weighing up to 80 tons while achieving fuel consumption of 2 liters per 100 kilometers per seat [7] - Reliability standards demand that engines operate without failure for approximately 30 years, equating to 100,000 hours of operation with a maximum of one unscheduled stop [7][8] Group 2: Business Model and Competitive Landscape - The aviation engine industry exemplifies the "super knife and blade" model, where engines are sold at low initial costs, while high-margin maintenance and service revenues are generated over time [9][10] - The CFM56 engine serves as a prime example, with a 17-year development cycle and a delivery span of 33 years, showcasing the long-term technological advantage [10][12] - The high resale value of engines is attributed to rigorous lifecycle management and maintenance, ensuring that engines retain significant value even as the aircraft depreciates [12][13] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Investment Opportunities - The aviation engine market is currently characterized by a stable operating environment, with after-market service revenues becoming increasingly critical [26][27] - The global supply chain's disruptions have led to delays in aircraft deliveries, which paradoxically boosts after-market service demand as older engines require more maintenance [27][28] - Market inefficiencies arise from a lack of understanding and accurate pricing in the aviation engine sector, presenting opportunities for investors to capitalize on mispriced assets [29][30]

Core Viewpoint - Safran Group reported a strong performance in Q1 2025 with a 16.7% increase in adjusted revenue, reaching €7.257 billion, driven by growth in the civil aviation aftermarket [2][3] Group Performance - The consolidated revenue for Q1 2025 was €7.38 billion, reflecting a 16.7% increase compared to Q1 2024, with organic growth at 13.9% [2][3] - Positive impacts from business scope changes contributed €32 million, while currency fluctuations added €142 million, with an average EUR/USD exchange rate of 1.05 for Q1 2025 [3] Business Segment Performance - The propulsion segment saw a 16.4% organic revenue growth, primarily driven by a 25.1% increase in civil engine spare parts revenue [4] - Civil engine services revenue grew by 17.6%, supported by RPFH contracts for LEAP engines, with 319 LEAP engines delivered in Q1 2025 compared to 367 in Q1 2024 [4] - The equipment and defense segment experienced a 10.8% revenue increase, particularly in nacelles, landing gear systems, and avionics [4] Aircraft Interiors - The aircraft interiors segment achieved a robust 13.8% growth, surpassing Q1 2019 levels by 8%, with aftermarket services growing by 17.4% [5] - Original equipment sales increased by 11.5%, driven by a significant rise in business class seat deliveries [5] Full-Year Outlook - Safran Group maintains its full-year outlook for 2025, expecting approximately 10% revenue growth and recurring operating profit between €4.8 billion and €4.9 billion [6] - Free cash flow is projected to be between €3 billion and €3.2 billion, accounting for an estimated negative impact of €380 million to €400 million from the French large enterprise tax [6] Assumptions and Risks - The outlook is based on assumptions including a 15% to 20% increase in LEAP engine deliveries compared to 2024 [7] - Spare parts revenue is expected to grow in the low double digits, while service revenue is anticipated to grow in the mid double digits [8]