Canada Goose (GOOS) is looking like an interesting pick from a technical perspective, as the company reached a key level of support. Recently, GOOS crossed above the 20-day moving average, suggesting a short-term bullish trend.The 20-day simple moving average is a well-liked trading tool because it provides a look back at a stock's price over a 20-day period. Additionally, short-term traders find this SMA very beneficial, as it smooths out short-term price trends and shows more trend reversal signals than l ...

Company Performance - Canada Goose (GOOS) shares decreased by 3.84% to $11.02, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 1.13% [1] - Over the last month, Canada Goose's shares increased by 26.21%, outperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 1.63% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.55% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Analysts expect Canada Goose to report earnings of -$0.61 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 5.17% [2] - The consensus estimate for quarterly revenue is $66.96 million, which represents a 3.99% increase from the previous year [2] Annual Forecast - Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $0.88 per share and revenue of $1 billion for the year, indicating changes of +10% and +2.89% respectively compared to the previous year [3] - Recent analyst estimate revisions suggest optimism regarding Canada Goose's business and profitability [3] Analyst Ratings - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimated changes, currently ranks Canada Goose at 2 (Buy) [5] - Over the past month, there has been a 1.74% increase in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate [5] Valuation Metrics - Canada Goose has a Forward P/E ratio of 13.1, which is lower than the industry average Forward P/E of 17.13 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.73, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 1.92 [6] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, which includes Canada Goose, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 168, placing it in the bottom 32% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Group 1 - Advance Auto Parts (AAP) is a notable stock within the Retail-Wholesale group, which consists of 209 companies, currently ranked 10 in the Zacks Sector Rank [2][4] - AAP has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a favorable outlook based on earnings estimate revisions and improving earnings outlooks [3][4] - Year-to-date, AAP has returned 11%, significantly outperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector's average return of 3.4% [4] Group 2 - AAP is part of the Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry, which includes 7 companies and is currently ranked 90 in the Zacks Industry Rank [6] - The Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry has gained an average of 11.8% year-to-date, indicating that AAP is slightly underperforming its industry [6] - In contrast, Canada Goose (GOOS), another outperforming stock in the Retail-Wholesale sector, has returned 13.5% year-to-date and is part of the Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, which has declined by 13.1% this year [5][7]

Core Viewpoint - The comparison between Canada Goose (GOOS) and Industria de Diseno Textil SA (IDEXY) indicates that GOOS presents a better value opportunity for investors at this time [1]. Valuation Metrics - Canada Goose has a forward P/E ratio of 13.25, while Industria de Diseno Textil SA has a forward P/E of 24.35 [5]. - The PEG ratio for Canada Goose is 0.74, indicating a more favorable valuation compared to IDEXY's PEG ratio of 2.79 [5]. - Canada Goose's P/B ratio stands at 2.80, significantly lower than IDEXY's P/B ratio of 7.88, suggesting that GOOS is undervalued relative to its book value [6]. Zacks Rank and Style Scores - Canada Goose holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), while Industria de Diseno Textil SA has a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), indicating a stronger earnings outlook for GOOS [3]. - The Value grade for Canada Goose is A, whereas Industria de Diseno Textil SA has a Value grade of D, further supporting the conclusion that GOOS is the more attractive investment option [6].

作者 | 源Sight 王言 在销售旺季的刺激下，加拿大鹅业绩有所回暖。 不过，加拿大鹅的批发业务收入下降23.2%至3180万加元，按固定汇率计算下降24.9%，主要是由于欧洲、中东和非洲地区的计划订单量减少以及发货时 间安排所致。 截图来源于企业财报 整体看，在该季度，加拿大鹅的总毛利润增长17.8%，达到2.74亿加元。本季度的毛利率从去年同期的65.1%提升至71.3%，主要原因是存货拨备减少以及 直销业务收入比例增加。 整个2025财年，加拿大鹅总收入增长1.1%至13.48亿加元。这期间，加拿大鹅直销入增长5.1%至9.99亿加元，按固定汇率计算增长2.6%，而直销可比销售 额下降3.6%；批发业务收入下降16.5%或18.0%（按固定汇率计算）。 2025财年全年，加拿大鹅归属于股东的净利润为9480万加元，而上年同期为5840万加元；毛利润增长2.8%至9.43亿加元，毛利率从2024财年的68.8%增长 至69.9%。 对于这一业绩，加拿大管理层表现得非常满意，公司董事长兼首席执行官丹尼·赖斯（Dani Reiss）表示，"我们看到了直接面向消费者（DTC）的可比销 售额实现了稳健增长，这得 ...

Core Insights - Canada Goose reported a robust financial performance for Q4 of fiscal year 2025, demonstrating resilience and strategic foresight in a complex market environment [1] - The company achieved a 7.4% year-over-year revenue growth, driven by direct-to-consumer (DTC) channels and strong performance in the Asia-Pacific region [2][4] - The brand's innovative product strategies and effective retail execution have solidified its competitive edge in the high-end functional apparel market [5][11] Revenue Growth and Market Performance - In Q4 of fiscal year 2025, Canada Goose's global revenue reached CAD 1.3484 billion, reflecting a 1.1% increase year-over-year [2] - The DTC channel saw a comparable sales growth of 6.8%, contributing significantly to overall revenue growth [2] - The Asia-Pacific region experienced a revenue increase of 15.2%, with Greater China showing a 7.9% growth, validating the effectiveness of localized strategies [4] Product Innovation and Brand Strategy - Canada Goose has focused on product innovation, launching new collections such as the Sea Mantra series and eyewear, which led to a 19% increase in global brand search volume [5] - The introduction of the Snow Goose capsule collection by creative director Haider Ackermann has enhanced brand storytelling and market presence [5] - The brand's diverse product offerings, including lightweight down jackets and accessories, have attracted a broader customer base while reinforcing its position in the functional apparel sector [5] Retail Operations and Supply Chain Efficiency - The company has optimized retail operations through enhanced customer experience and supply chain improvements, resulting in a significant increase in comparable store conversion rates [7] - Canada Goose's inventory management has shown a positive trend, with inventory decreasing by 13.75% year-over-year to CAD 384 million, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of decline [7] - The brand's high proportion of locally manufactured products has ensured supply chain stability and reduced trade risks, enhancing the high-end market experience [7] Strategic Focus for Future Growth - For fiscal year 2026, Canada Goose plans to concentrate on marketing investment, category expansion, retail business development, and operational efficiency as core strategic areas [8][9] - The brand aims to increase marketing spending as a percentage of overall revenue to enhance brand visibility and cultural relevance [8] - Canada Goose will continue to refine its product structure, focusing on core items while innovating within existing categories to meet diverse consumer needs [9] Integrated Strategic Framework - Canada Goose's four strategic pillars are interconnected, creating a dynamic cycle of demand insight, product innovation, experiential delivery, and efficiency support [11] - The brand's approach transforms high-end brand attributes into tangible consumer experiences and measurable operational efficiency, solidifying its position in the high-end market [11] - The company's financial report serves as a model for navigating market cycles, emphasizing direct consumer engagement, localized marketing, and product innovation to build resilience against external risks [11][12]

Core Insights - Canada Goose Holdings Inc. reported higher earnings and revenues for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, driven by strong direct-to-consumer (DTC) growth and successful retail execution [1][3]. Financial Performance - Adjusted quarterly earnings per share reached C$1.12, an increase from C$0.99 in the same quarter last year [3]. - Total revenues increased by 7.4% year-over-year to C$384.6 million, with DTC revenues rising 15.7% to C$314.1 million [3][4]. - Gross profit rose 17.8% to C$274.4 million, resulting in a gross margin of 71.3%, up 620 basis points [5]. Revenue Breakdown - DTC comparable sales increased by 6.8%, while wholesale revenues fell 23.2% to C$31.8 million due to reduced order books in EMEA [4]. - Other revenues decreased by 14.2% to C$38.7 million, primarily due to lower employee sales and Friends & Family events [4]. Expenses and Profitability - Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses increased by 4.5% to C$219.3 million, attributed to strategic investments and higher marketing spend [6]. - Operating profit was C$55.1 million, significantly higher than C$23.1 million from the previous year [6]. Financial Position - As of March 30, 2025, Canada Goose had C$334.4 million in cash, C$408.8 million in net debt, and C$541.2 million in equity [7]. - Inventory decreased by 14% year-over-year to C$384 million, reflecting optimized production levels [7]. Future Outlook - The company did not provide financial guidance for fiscal 2026 due to macroeconomic volatility but remains optimistic about brand strength and financial position [8]. - Canada Goose plans to enhance brand visibility through marketing investments and expand its business through strategic channel development [8].

Core Viewpoint - Topsports, China's largest sports footwear and apparel retailer, reported a revenue of 27 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.28 billion yuan for the fiscal year ending February 28, 2025, while expanding its brand partnerships to over 20 [2][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Topsports achieved a revenue of 27 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.28 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2024/25 [2]. - Amer Sports, the parent company of Arc'teryx, reported a 23% year-on-year revenue increase to 1.473 billion USD for Q1 of fiscal year 2025, with a net profit rising from 50 million USD to 135 million USD [10][13]. - Canada Goose reported a revenue increase of 1.1% to 1.3484 billion USD for the fiscal year, with a net profit of 94.8 million USD [14][16]. - Birkenstock's revenue grew by 19% to 574 million euros in Q2 of fiscal year 2025, with a net profit increase of 47% to 105 million euros [19][21]. Group 2: Market Strategy and Expansion - Topsports is focusing on high-end outdoor brands, having established exclusive partnerships with Norrøna and Soar to enhance its premium segment [2][7]. - The company is reducing its store count from 6,144 to 5,020, concentrating on flagship stores and specialized brand upgrades to improve customer experience [4]. - Topsports operates approximately 2,300 mini-program stores and over 500 live-streaming accounts, with direct online sales accounting for 30%-40% of total direct sales [5]. - Amer Sports is leveraging its strong operational platform in the Greater China region to drive growth, with a 43% revenue increase in this market [13]. Group 3: Consumer Engagement and Trends - Topsports is innovating in-store experiences with immersive retail spaces, including various concept stores that blend urban culture and sports lifestyle [4]. - The company released a white paper analyzing the sports consumption trends among young consumers, providing valuable insights for the industry [9]. - Canada Goose's marketing strategies, including immersive brand exhibitions, have effectively enhanced brand visibility and retail vitality in the Chinese market [14][16].

Canada Goose TodayGOOSCanada Goose$11.17 +2.25 (+25.22%) 52-Week Range$6.73▼$14.75P/E Ratio21.68Price Target$9.50Add to WatchlistCanada Goose's NYSE: GOOS stock price surged by 30% following its FQ4 report, highlighting both its brand loyalty and high short interest. The short interest is a primary factor in the stock's sudden price spike. Although down from the peaks set in 2022, it was still remarkably high at the start of May, running above 20%. The short interest likely fell following the Q4 release.Ge ...

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