Core Viewpoint - CICC has raised its profit forecasts for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) for 2025 and 2026 by 7.3% and 4.0% to HKD 165 billion and HKD 173 billion respectively, maintaining an outperform rating and increasing the target price by 8% to HKD 500, indicating a potential upside of 15.3% [1] Group 1 - HKEX's Q2 2025 main fee income met expectations, while profits exceeded both CICC's and market forecasts [2] - Q2 2025 total revenue increased by 33% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 72.2 billion, with main fee income rising by 31% year-on-year and 1% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 55.4 billion, and profits up by 41% year-on-year and 9% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 44.4 billion [2] - For the first half of the year, total revenue rose by 33% year-on-year to HKD 140.8 billion, and profits increased by 39% year-on-year to HKD 85.2 billion [2] Group 2 - Q2 trading and settlement income grew by 40% year-on-year but decreased by 5% quarter-on-quarter, with active spot trading and weakening marginal performance in derivatives [2] - Spot trading and settlement income increased by 65% year-on-year but decreased by 4% quarter-on-quarter, with an average daily turnover (ADT) of HKD 2,377 billion, up 95% year-on-year [2] - The number of IPOs completed in Q2 was 27, raising HKD 907.5 billion, a significant increase of 960% year-on-year and 386% quarter-on-quarter [2] Group 3 - Total investment income in Q2 increased by 31% year-on-year and 16% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 16.8 billion, with a 17% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter increase when excluding non-recurring foreign exchange gains [3] - Margin and clearing house fund income rose by 25% year-on-year and 24% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 10.1 billion, driven by increased margin requirements and higher open interest in derivatives [3] - Proprietary fund income, excluding foreign exchange impacts, grew by 6% year-on-year but fell by 19% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 3.9 billion, attributed to an increase in fund scale [3]

智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，港股市场持续高活跃下，上调香港交易所(00388)25e/26e盈利预 测7.3%/4.0%至165/173亿港元。公司当前交易于33x/32x 25e/26e P/E，维持跑赢行业评级，上调目标价 8%至500港币(对应38x/37x 25e/26e P/E及15.3%上行空间)。 中金主要观点如下： 港交所2Q25主营费类收入符合预期、盈利超出该行及市场预期 港交所2Q25总收入同比+33%/环比+5%至72.2亿港币，剔除投资收益后、主营费类收入同比+31%/环比 +1%至55.4亿港币，盈利同比+41%/环比+9%至44.4亿港币，主营费类收入符合该行预期，盈利超预期、 主因汇兑收益(同比多增1.4亿港币)及杂项收益(包括因购置地产后租赁修订产生的一次性收益等)超预 期。累计来看，上半年总收入同比+33%至140.8亿港币，盈利同比+39%至85.2亿港币。 2Q交易及结算收入同比+40%/环比-5%，现货交易保持活跃、衍生品高位边际走弱 1)现货：交易及结算收入(包括交收指示费)同比+65%/环比-4%，对应2Q ADT同比+95%/环比-2%至2,377 亿港币 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 showed significant growth, with revenue reaching HKD 14.076 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.5%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at HKD 8.519 billion, up 39.1% [1][9] - The increase in trading volume, particularly from southbound funds, has been a key driver of the company's performance, with the average daily trading (ADT) for H1 2025 reaching HKD 222.8 billion, a 122.1% increase year-on-year [2][13] - The company has maintained a high EBITDA margin of 77.7% in H1 2025, reflecting its efficient business model and strong profitability [1][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved an EBITDA margin of 77.7%, with operating expenses of HKD 2.973 billion, of which staff costs accounted for 65.6% [3][24] - The annualized return on equity (ROE) increased to 30.76%, nearing the peak levels seen in 2015 [1][9] Market Dynamics - The southbound trading activity has significantly contributed to the trading volume, with southbound funds showing strong buying power, while international intermediaries have reduced net selling since early July [2][18] - The IPO market in Hong Kong has rebounded, with H1 2025 IPO amounts reaching HKD 109 billion, reclaiming the top position globally [2][13] Investment Recommendations - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards by 3.99%, 5.37%, and 5.53% respectively, based on the strong performance in H1 2025 [4][26] - The ongoing dual opening of capital markets and the company's strategic initiatives are expected to enhance its revenue and profit growth potential [4][24]

Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Exchange Developments - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) CEO Charles Li stated that HKEX will research a 24-hour trading mechanism, taking into account international experiences and local market conditions [1] - HKEX plans to enhance its competitiveness through strategic investments in data platform optimization and trading settlement system upgrades [1] - The exchange is also exploring shortening the settlement cycle for the cash market, with a potential T+1 settlement system supported by its technology by the end of this year [1] Group 2: Market Overview - The S&P 500 index fell for four consecutive days, with the index closing down 0.24% at 6395.78 points [2] - Major technology stocks mostly declined, with Intel dropping approximately 7% [2] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose by 0.33%, with notable gains from Tiger Brokers and JinkoSolar [2] Group 3: Financial Regulatory Updates - The National Financial Regulatory Administration is seeking public opinion on the draft of the "Commercial Bank M&A Loan Management Measures," which includes provisions for equity acquisition loans [3] Group 4: Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve's July meeting minutes indicated a moderate GDP growth in the first half of the year, with a focus on inflation risks over labor market concerns [4] - There was a notable dissent among Fed officials regarding interest rate decisions, marking a significant moment since 1993 [4] Group 5: Corporate Earnings Reports - Alibaba Group announced plans to spin off its subsidiary, Zhaima, for an independent listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [5] - Baidu Group reported a total revenue of RMB 327.13 billion for Q2 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4%, while net profit increased by 33% to RMB 73.22 billion [8] - Huazhu Group's total revenue for Q2 2025 was RMB 64.26 billion, with a net profit of RMB 15.44 billion, reflecting a 44.7% year-on-year increase [9] - China Oriental Group expects a net profit increase of no less than 70% for the first half of 2025, projecting at least RMB 2.20 billion [10] - Lijun Pharmaceutical reported a net profit of RMB 12.81 billion for the first half of 2025, a 9.4% increase year-on-year [11] - BOSS Zhipin reported a net profit of RMB 7.16 billion for Q2 2025, a 69.87% increase year-on-year [12] - New World Development reported a significant increase in net profit to HKD 887 million, a 1076% rise year-on-year [13] - Yimuyou Group expects a net profit of no less than RMB 2.6 billion for the first half of 2025, representing a growth of over 90% [14] - Yongsheng Medical reported a net profit of HKD 51.63 million, a 55.1% increase year-on-year [15] - Lepu Biopharma achieved a revenue increase of 249.59% for the first half of 2025, marking its first profit [16] - Huya Technology expects a net profit of USD 30 million to 38 million for the first half of 2025, a significant increase from the previous year [17] - Kingsoft reported a net profit of RMB 816 million for the first half of 2025, a 20.41% increase year-on-year [18] - Zhong An Online reported a net profit of RMB 668 million, a 1103.54% increase year-on-year [19] - Yaoshi Bang reported a net profit of RMB 78.12 million, a 258% increase year-on-year [20] - Crystal International reported a net profit of USD 98.27 million, a 17% increase year-on-year [21] - Ocean Group expects a turnaround with a projected net profit of RMB 9.5 billion to 11 billion for the first half of 2025 [22] - Kingsoft Cloud reported an adjusted EBITDA of approximately RMB 725 million, a 672.62% increase year-on-year [23] Group 6: Pharmaceutical Developments - Heyou Pharmaceutical's IND application for a combination therapy for NSCLC has been approved by the CDE [24] - Shengbela reported a net profit of RMB 327 million, marking a turnaround from a previous loss, with significant growth in various business segments [25]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388.HK) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that Hong Kong Exchanges achieved record high quarterly profits supported by trading volume, with a 33% year-on-year increase in revenue to HKD 14.076 billion and a 39% increase in net profit to HKD 8.519 billion for the first half of 2025 [1][2] - The trading fee income from the stock market saw a significant increase of 112% to HKD 2.556 billion, driven by a 122% year-on-year growth in average daily trading volume [2] - The report anticipates continued growth in net profit for 2025-2027, projecting HKD 17 billion, HKD 18 billion, and HKD 19.6 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of HKD 13.48, HKD 14.22, and HKD 15.43 [3] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In 1H25, the revenue breakdown by business lines showed significant growth rates: cash market at 62%, derivatives at 15%, commodities at 8%, data and connectivity at 5%, and company projects at 28% [1] - The trading and transaction system usage fees increased by 49%, while listing fees rose by 30% due to a recovery in the IPO market [2] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The report forecasts revenue growth rates of 26% for 2025, followed by 6% and 7% in subsequent years, with net profit growth rates of 31%, 6%, and 9% respectively [3][7] - The projected P/E ratios for the next three years are 33, 31, and 29 times [3]

Summary of Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the performance and strategic developments of the Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) in the financial market, particularly in the context of the cash and derivatives markets, IPO activities, and community investments. Key Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, HKEX reported a total revenue and other income growth of 33%, reaching HKD 14.1 billion, with a net profit of USD 8.5 billion and earnings per share of USD 6.74, both reflecting a 39% year-on-year increase [3][9][10]. - The board declared an interim dividend of USD 6 per share, a 38% increase from the previous year, representing 90% of the group's profit [3][9]. - Daily average trading volume in the cash market reached USD 240 billion, more than double that of the same period last year [2][3]. IPO and Fundraising Achievements - HKEX became the world's largest IPO market in the first half of 2025, with 44 companies going public and raising over HKD 109 billion, marking the best half-year performance since 2021 [2][6][7]. - Follow-on fundraising totaled over HKD 240 billion, also the highest since 2021 [7]. Market Performance Highlights - The cash market showed strong performance with historical trading volume records; ETP market daily average trading volume increased by 163% [5]. - Derivatives market recorded a daily average trading volume of 1.7 million contracts, an 11% year-on-year increase, with USD/CNY futures seeing a 44% increase in daily average trading volume [2][11]. Strategic Developments - HKEX signed a memorandum of understanding with the Central Clearing Company to support the development of Hong Kong's fintech ecosystem [4]. - Initiatives included launching a technology enterprise channel, approval for Hong Kong as a new ENE storage location, and the initiation of a 30-year swap trading under the Northbound Swap Connect [4]. Community Investment Initiatives - To celebrate its 25th anniversary, HKEX committed to investing at least HKD 25 million in a flagship charity program focused on supporting caregivers in Hong Kong [8]. Future Outlook - Despite potential impacts from macroeconomic and geopolitical factors, HKEX maintains a cautiously optimistic outlook for the coming year, driven by positive prospects for the Chinese economy and advancements in AI and innovation [9]. Southbound Trading Activity - Southbound average daily trading volume reached HKD 111 billion, tripling from the previous year and accounting for nearly 23% of cash market trading volume [10][14]. Derivatives and Commodity Market Performance - The derivatives market saw robust growth, with significant increases in trading volumes, particularly in USD/CNY futures [11]. Digital Asset Ecosystem Development - HKEX is focusing on the development of the digital asset ecosystem, allowing ETFs linked to cryptocurrencies to be listed and exploring the potential use cases for stablecoins [25][26]. Conclusion - HKEX's strategic initiatives and strong financial performance position it well as a leading international financial center, with ongoing efforts to enhance market liquidity and community engagement while navigating the evolving regulatory landscape for digital assets.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) with a target price of HKD 515.00, indicating a potential upside of 17% from the current price of HKD 441.2 [2][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights that HKEX achieved record half-year results in H1 2025, with total revenue of HKD 14.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 33%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 8.5 billion, up 39% year-on-year [1][5]. - The report emphasizes strong trading activity in both the cash and derivatives markets, contributing to the revenue and profit growth [5][8]. - The report projects continued growth in net profit for HKEX, estimating HKD 16.6 billion, HKD 18.1 billion, and HKD 19.5 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 27%, 9%, and 7% respectively [8]. Financial Performance Summary - H1 2025 financial highlights include: - Total revenue: HKD 14.1 billion, +33% YoY - Net profit: HKD 8.5 billion, +39% YoY - EBITDA: HKD 10.9 billion, +43% YoY, with an EBITDA margin of 79%, up 6 percentage points YoY [1][5][8]. - Revenue breakdown by business segment for H1 2025: - Cash market: HKD 6.7 billion, +62% YoY - Equity securities and financial derivatives: HKD 3.55 billion, +15% YoY - Other segments also showed positive growth [5][8]. Market Activity - The report notes that the cash market saw record trading volumes, with average daily turnover (ADT) reaching HKD 222.8 billion, a 122% increase YoY [5][6]. - The primary market experienced a strong momentum with 44 new listings in H1 2025, raising HKD 109.4 billion, which is more than eight times the amount raised in H1 2024 [8][34]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides projected financial metrics for HKEX: - Revenue growth forecast for 2025: HKD 27.8 billion, +24% YoY - Projected PE ratio for 2025: 22.23 [7][33]. - The report indicates a strong return on equity (ROE) of 25.1% and a book value per share of HKD 41.0 [2][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388.HK) [1] Core Views - The company achieved record high semi-annual performance with total revenue and other income reaching HKD 141 billion, a year-on-year increase of 33%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at HKD 85 billion, up 39% year-on-year [7] - The significant growth in performance is attributed to improved investment sentiment supported by mainland policies, leading to increased participation from mainland investors in offshore markets, which boosted trading volumes in the Hong Kong stock market [7] - The report forecasts continued strong growth for the company, with expected shareholder profits of HKD 174.19 billion, HKD 192.62 billion, and HKD 207.88 billion for 2025-2027, corresponding to growth rates of 33%, 11%, and 8% respectively [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue (in million HKD) for 2023A, 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E is projected at 20,516, 22,374, 27,785, 30,524, and 32,970 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.16%, 9.06%, 24.18%, 9.86%, and 8.01% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders (in million HKD) for the same years is expected to be 11,862, 13,050, 17,419, 19,262, and 20,788, with growth rates of 17.70%, 10.02%, 33.48%, 10.58%, and 7.92% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 9.36, 10.29, 13.74, 15.19, and 16.40 for the years 2023A to 2027E [1] Market Data - The closing price of the stock is HKD 441.20, with a market capitalization of approximately HKD 559.37 billion [5] - The stock has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 47.16 for 2023, decreasing to 26.91 by 2027 [1][5] - The company has a book value per share of HKD 44.89 and a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 9.83 [6][5]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is actively discussing the shortening of the settlement cycle for the cash market, with plans to support a T+1 settlement cycle by the end of this year [1] - HKEX CEO Charles Li noted the ongoing discussions regarding extending trading hours, referencing Nasdaq's plan to implement a 24-hour trading mechanism five days a week by the second half of 2026 [1] - The company will adopt a cautious and gradual approach, taking into account international experiences while considering local market conditions, with system upgrades and risk management frameworks being prerequisites for this process [1] Group 2 - Since the launch of the "Tech Company" special line, HKEX has received applications for IPOs from 50 companies under Chapter 18A and Chapter 18C listing rules [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][17] Core Views - The company reported strong performance in 1H25, with total revenue reaching HKD 14.08 billion, a year-on-year increase of 33%. Main revenue was HKD 12.95 billion, up 34% year-on-year, and net profit was HKD 8.52 billion, up 39% year-on-year [5][7] - The report highlights that the company achieved record high revenue and net profit for the same period, driven by strong trading volumes and a resurgence in IPO activities, positioning it back at the top of the global IPO rankings [5][7] - The report projects an increase in net profit for 2025-2027, with estimates of HKD 16.93 billion, HKD 17.94 billion, and HKD 18.78 billion respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 30%, 6%, and 5% [6][7] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - The company’s revenue is forecasted to grow from HKD 20.52 billion in 2023 to HKD 29.86 billion in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8% [6][8] - The net profit is expected to increase from HKD 11.86 billion in 2023 to HKD 18.78 billion in 2027, with a CAGR of around 9% [6][8] - The report indicates a significant improvement in EBITDA margin, projected to reach 79% in 1H25, up 6 percentage points year-on-year [5][7] Revenue Breakdown - The revenue breakdown for 1H25 shows that trading fees contributed HKD 4.91 billion (38%), settlement and clearing fees contributed HKD 3.16 billion (24%), and investment income contributed HKD 2.88 billion (22%) [7] - The report notes that all business segments, except for market data fees, achieved double-digit year-on-year growth, with trading fees and settlement fees increasing by over 40% [7] Market Performance - The average daily trading (ADT) for cash stocks in 2Q25 was HKD 220.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 97%, while the average daily volume (ADV) for derivatives decreased [7] - The report emphasizes the strong performance of the IPO market, with 44 new listings in 1H25 raising HKD 109.4 billion, an eightfold increase compared to the same period last year [7]