Market Overview - Major U.S. stock indices remained stable, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rising for three consecutive days, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell slightly by 31.96 points, or 0.07%, closing at 47,850.94 points [2] - The labor market showed mixed signals, with initial jobless claims dropping to a three-year low of 191,000, significantly below economists' expectations of 220,000 [4] - The Chicago Fed's model estimates the unemployment rate to remain around 4.4%, indicating a resilient labor market despite some concerns [4] Company Performance - In the technology sector, Meta's stock rose by 3.43% following news of a potential 30% budget cut for its Metaverse projects, while Amazon's stock fell by 1.41% due to ongoing discussions with the U.S. Postal Service [2] - Snowflake's stock plummeted by 11.41% as its fourth-quarter product revenue guidance fell short of high growth expectations [6] - Hormel Foods saw a stock increase of 3.82% as the company projected better-than-expected annual profits, while Dollar General's stock surged by 10.5% after raising its annual guidance [7] Commodity Performance - International oil prices increased, with light crude oil for January delivery rising by $0.72 to $59.67 per barrel, a 1.22% increase, and Brent crude for February delivery up by $0.59 to $63.26, a 0.94% increase [7] - Spot gold prices slightly rose by 0.1% to $4,210.49, while COMEX gold futures increased by 0.2%, settling at $4,243.00 [7]

Core Insights - Hormel Foods Corporation's shares rose 3% intra-day following the release of fourth-quarter earnings that met expectations and a positive fiscal 2026 outlook, which mitigated concerns over significant impairment charges [1] Financial Performance - The company reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $0.32 per share, aligning with analyst forecasts, while revenue increased by 1.5% year over year to $3.2 billion, slightly below the consensus estimate of $3.24 billion [2] - On a GAAP basis, Hormel recorded a quarterly loss of $0.10 per share, primarily due to $234 million in non-cash impairment charges related to a minority investment in its International segment and certain intangible assets in the Retail segment [2] Future Outlook - Hormel projected fiscal 2026 earnings between $1.43 and $1.51 per share, with revenue expectations of $12.2 billion to $12.5 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $1.37 per share [3] Segment Performance - Organic net sales in the fourth quarter rose by 2%, with the Foodservice segment achieving notable organic growth of 6.5% [4] - However, adjusted segment profit declined across all divisions, with the Retail segment profit decreasing by 23% despite a 1% increase in sales, indicating ongoing margin pressures in that sector [4]

PresentationPaulo Castellari-PorchiaChief Executive Officer Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome. Very nice to be here. Thank you for investing the time with us today. We have today myself, Paulo Castellari, CEO of Eramet; and Abel Martins-Alexandre, the Chief Financial Officer for the company. I think I have met some of you, but I think it's still worth investing in a few words just to introduce myself. I have been with Eramet for the last 6 months, and I have been working in the industry for the last 30 ...

Core Insights - Hormel Foods Corporation reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.32, exceeding estimates of $0.30, but down from $0.42 in the same quarter last year, indicating a need for further analysis of year-over-year performance and analyst estimates [2][6] - The company's revenue for the quarter ending October 2025 was approximately $3.19 billion, slightly below the estimated $3.22 billion, but representing a 1.5% increase from the previous year, showing resilience in a competitive market [3][6] - Strategic cost-cutting measures, increased pricing, and steady demand for turkey products are expected to drive future profits, helping to offset high input costs associated with beef and pork [4][6] Financial Metrics - Hormel's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is approximately 27.47, indicating investors are willing to pay $27.47 for each dollar of earnings [5] - The price-to-sales ratio is about 1.08, and the enterprise value to sales ratio is around 1.03, reflecting the company's valuation relative to its sales [5] - The current ratio of 2.47 indicates a strong ability to cover short-term liabilities with short-term assets [5]

I think it’s fair to say that the majority of food sector companies haven’t given investors much reason to celebrate this year. The explanations aren’t hard to find—consumer choices and behaviors are shifting. Part ofI’ve managed my investments since 1999, gaining perspective across multiple market cycles. With a background in Economics and ongoing CFA certification, my focus is on uncovering mispriced assets that the market has overlooked. I conduct my analyses in a way that allows me to use them myself — ...

Core Insights - Hormel Foods Corporation reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results with a year-over-year increase in net sales but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 32 cents beat the consensus estimate of 30 cents, although it declined from 42 cents in the previous year [1][10]. Financial Performance - Net sales reached $3,185.7 million, a 1.5% increase from $3,138.1 million in the same quarter last year, but fell short of the consensus estimate of $3,203 million. Volumes decreased by 1.8% [2]. - Gross profit was $444.8 million, down from $521.2 million in the year-ago quarter. Adjusted selling, general and administrative expenses were $220.2 million, a decrease from $226.1 million [3]. - Adjusted operating income was $245.3 million, down from $307.9 million year-over-year, with an adjusted operating margin of 7.7%, down from 9.8% [3]. Segment Performance - Retail unit net sales increased by 0.8% year-over-year to $1,922.8 million, with volumes gaining 0.3%. However, this was below the consensus estimate of $1,945 million. Segment profit decreased by 69.7% due to non-cash impairment charges, with an adjusted profit decline of 23% [4][5]. - Foodservice segment net sales rose by 4% to $1,088.2 million, exceeding the consensus mark of $1,071 million. Organic net sales increased by 6%, but volumes declined by 5.4%. Segment profit declined by 12.9% due to a chicken-product recall and rising input costs [6][7]. - International unit net sales decreased by 5.6% to $174.7 million, with volumes down by 8.2%. This decline was attributed to lower fresh pork exports and competitive pressures in Brazil, partially offset by growth in SPAM and refrigerated products. The segment profit declined significantly due to a non-cash impairment related to a minority investment in Indonesia [8][9]. Future Outlook - Hormel Foods expects fiscal 2026 net sales to be between $12.2 billion and $12.5 billion, with anticipated organic net sales growth of 1% to 4%. Adjusted EPS is projected to be in the range of $1.43 to $1.51, reflecting growth of 4% to 10% [12]. - The company plans capital expenditures between $260 million and $290 million, with depreciation and amortization expenses expected to be around $280 million in fiscal 2026 [12]. Financial Health - As of the end of the quarter, Hormel Foods had cash and cash equivalents of $670.7 million and total long-term debt of $2,850.8 million. Cash flow from operations was $322.9 million, and the company returned nearly $633 million to shareholders via dividends in fiscal 2025 [11].

Core Insights - Hormel Foods reported revenue of $3.19 billion for the quarter ended October 2025, reflecting a 1.5% increase year-over-year, but a slight miss of 0.55% against the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.2 billion [1] - The company's EPS was $0.32, down from $0.42 in the same quarter last year, but exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.30 by 6.67% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Retail net sales were $1.92 billion, slightly below the estimated $1.95 billion, marking a year-over-year increase of 0.8% [4] - International net sales totaled $174.65 million, falling short of the $188.17 million estimate, representing a year-over-year decline of 5.6% [4] - Foodservice net sales reached $1.09 billion, surpassing the $1.07 billion estimate, with a year-over-year growth of 4% [4] Segment Performance - Foodservice segment profit was $134.4 million, exceeding the average estimate of $123.02 million [4] - International segment profit reported a loss of $138.61 million, significantly below the estimated profit of $21.78 million [4] - Retail segment profit was $46.4 million, which was also below the average estimate of $103.48 million [4] Stock Performance - Hormel's shares have returned +8% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.1% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For fiscal 2025, the company reported net sales exceeding $12 billion, reflecting a 2% organic growth compared to the previous year, despite falling short of earnings goals [7][13] - Operating income for fiscal 2025 was $719 million, with an adjusted operating income of just over $1 billion, resulting in an operating margin of 5.9% and an adjusted operating margin of 8.4% [17] - Diluted EPS for the full year was $0.87, with adjusted diluted EPS at $1.37; however, the fourth quarter saw a diluted loss per share of $0.10 and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.32 [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The retail segment maintained strong brand positions, with brands like Jennie-O and SPAM contributing to growth, although profitability was pressured due to input cost increases [8][9] - The foodservice segment outperformed the broader industry, leveraging direct sales and innovation, but faced challenges from traffic declines and higher input costs [9] - The international segment's performance varied by geography, with China being a strong contributor, while Brazil posed challenges [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced over 500 basis points of raw material cost inflation in the fourth quarter, with pork bellies increasing approximately 25% and beef remaining a significant inflationary pressure [14][15] - Turkey supply constraints due to avian illnesses impacted pricing and availability, with expectations of continued challenges into the first half of 2026 [15][16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to build on its protein-centric portfolio, focusing on consumer needs and expanding brand capabilities to drive growth [21][22] - Strategic priorities for 2026 include consumer obsession, breaking brand boundaries, and becoming future-ready through portfolio reshaping and technological advancements [23][30] - The Transform and Modernize initiative will continue to support margin expansion and operational efficiency [35][36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged a challenging consumer environment with elevated inflation and uncertainty, impacting consumer sentiment and spending behavior [76] - The company expects organic net sales growth of 1%-4% and adjusted operating income growth of 4%-10% for fiscal 2026, with a focus on leveraging pricing actions and marketing support [33][34] Other Important Information - The company returned a record $633 million to shareholders in dividends, marking 60 consecutive years of dividend increases [19] - A corporate restructuring resulted in a reduction of approximately 250 positions, aimed at streamlining operations and reallocating resources for growth [10][52] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you unpack guidance further and discuss key factors? - Management highlighted expectations for organic net sales growth of 1%-4% and emphasized the strength of the protein-centric portfolio and pricing actions to support growth [39][40] Question: What are the expected savings from restructuring? - The restructuring is anticipated to deliver gross savings in the range of two to three times the expected cost to implement, with a quick payback within the first 12 months [52][54] Question: What is the outlook for turkey pricing? - Management indicated that while whole bird prices are expected to remain elevated, the ground turkey business is performing well and is a focus area for growth [50][51] Question: How is the Planters brand recovering? - The Planters brand is back in growth mode, with a 12% increase in dollar consumption and a 13% increase in distribution, although profit recovery is still challenged by mix shifts [58][59] Question: What is the status of the Brazil venture? - The company continues to review its international portfolio, acknowledging that Brazil has been a drag on performance, but remains committed to strategic priorities in other regions [62][64]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For fiscal 2025, the company reported net sales exceeding $12 billion, reflecting a 2% organic growth compared to the previous year, despite falling short of earnings goals [7][13] - Operating income for fiscal 2025 was $719 million, with an adjusted operating income of just over $1 billion, resulting in an operating margin of 5.9% and an adjusted operating margin of 8.4% [17] - Diluted EPS for the full year was $0.87, with adjusted diluted EPS at $1.37; however, the fourth quarter saw a diluted loss per share of $0.10 and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.32 [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The retail segment maintained strong brand positions, with brands like Jennie-O and SPAM contributing to growth, although profitability was pressured due to input cost increases [8][9] - The foodservice segment outperformed the broader industry, leveraging direct sales and innovation, but faced challenges from traffic declines and higher input costs [9] - The international segment's performance varied by geography, with China being a strong contributor, while Brazil faced challenges impacting growth objectives [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced over 500 basis points of raw material cost inflation in the fourth quarter, with pork bellies increasing approximately 25% and beef remaining a significant inflationary pressure [14][15] - Turkey supply constraints due to avian illnesses impacted the market, with expectations of continued challenges into the first half of 2026 [15][16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to build on its protein-centric portfolio, focusing on consumer needs and expanding brand capabilities to drive growth [21][22] - Strategic priorities for 2026 include consumer obsession, breaking brand boundaries, and becoming future-ready through portfolio reshaping and technological advancements [23][30] - The Transform & Modernize initiative will continue to support margin expansion and operational efficiency, although specific savings will not be reported separately going forward [35][36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged a challenging consumer environment with elevated inflation impacting performance, but expressed confidence in returning to growth in fiscal 2026 [7][33] - The guidance for fiscal 2026 includes organic net sales growth of 1%-4% and adjusted operating income growth of 4%-10%, with expectations of improved turkey markets and continued pricing actions [33][34] Other Important Information - The company returned a record $633 million to shareholders in dividends, marking 60 consecutive years of dividend increases [19] - A corporate restructuring resulted in a reduction of approximately 250 positions, aimed at streamlining operations and reallocating resources for growth [10][52] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you unpack guidance further and discuss key factors? - Management highlighted expectations for organic net sales growth of 1%-4% and emphasized the strength of the protein-centric portfolio and pricing actions to support growth [39][40] Question: What are the expected savings from restructuring? - The restructuring is expected to deliver gross savings in the range of two to three times the cost to implement, with a quick payback within the first 12 months [52][53] Question: How is the Planters brand performing? - The Planters brand is back in growth mode, with recent data showing over 12% dollar consumption growth and a 13% increase in distribution [58][59] Question: What is the outlook for the Brazil venture? - Management indicated that the Brazil venture is under review, with a focus on strategic priorities and performance in other international markets like China [62][64] Question: How does the consumer environment factor into the outlook? - The consumer environment is expected to remain strained, with continued value-seeking behavior influencing demand throughout 2026 [75][76]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For fiscal 2025, net sales exceeded $12 billion, representing a 2% organic growth over the prior year, despite falling short of earnings goals [5][12] - Operating income for fiscal 2025 was $719 million, with an adjusted operating income of just over $1 billion, resulting in an operating margin of 5.9% and an adjusted operating margin of 8.4% [16] - Diluted EPS for the full year was $0.87, with adjusted diluted EPS at $1.37; for the fourth quarter, diluted loss per share was $0.10, while adjusted diluted EPS was $0.32 [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The retail segment faced profitability pressures due to heightened commodity costs, but leading brands like Jennie-O and SPAM maintained strong market positions [6][8] - The foodservice segment outperformed the broader industry, leveraging direct sales and innovation, although it faced challenges from traffic declines and higher input costs [6][8] - The international segment's performance varied, with strong contributions from China but challenges in Brazil impacting overall growth objectives [8][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The pork market saw a 25% increase in pork bellies and a 10% rise in pork cutouts, while beef remained a significant inflationary pressure throughout the year [12][13] - Turkey supply constraints are expected to continue into the first half of 2026 due to avian illnesses affecting the supply chain [13][14] - The Planters brand experienced a 12% increase in dollar consumption and a 6% increase in volume consumption, indicating recovery in the snack category [58] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to focus on a protein-centric portfolio, emphasizing consumer needs and expanding brand capabilities to drive growth [20][21] - Strategic priorities for 2026 include consumer obsession, breaking brand boundaries, and becoming future-ready through portfolio reshaping and technological advancements [20][28] - The Transform and Modernize initiative will continue to support margin expansion and operational efficiency [34][35] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged a challenging fiscal 2025 but expressed confidence in returning to growth in fiscal 2026, targeting organic net sales growth of 1%-4% and adjusted operating income growth of 4%-10% [32][33] - The consumer environment remains strained, with expectations of continued value-seeking behavior, impacting demand in both retail and foodservice channels [72] - Management highlighted the importance of agility in responding to market volatility and refining processes for better commodity risk management [70] Other Important Information - The company returned a record $633 million to shareholders in dividends, marking 60 consecutive years of dividend increases [18] - A corporate restructuring resulted in a reduction of approximately 250 positions, aimed at streamlining operations and supporting long-term growth [9][51] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you unpack guidance further and key factors to consider? - Management expects organic net sales growth of 1%-4% and adjusted operating income growth of 4%-10%, driven by pricing actions and enhanced marketing support [39][40] Question: What is the status of portfolio reshaping? - Portfolio reshaping is an ongoing strategic effort to simplify operations and focus on sustainable long-term growth, including exiting non-strategic businesses [42][43] Question: What are the expectations for turkey markets? - Turkey remains a critical business, with expectations for elevated whole bird prices throughout the year, but ground turkey continues to perform well [46][49] Question: What are the expected savings from restructuring? - The restructuring is expected to deliver gross savings in the range of two to three times the expected cost to implement, with a quick payback within the first 12 months [51][52] Question: How is the Planters brand performing? - Planters is back in growth mode, with a 12% increase in dollar consumption and a 13% increase in distribution, although profit recovery is impacted by mix shifts [57][58] Question: What is the outlook for the Brazil venture? - The Brazil venture is under review, with ongoing assessments of the international portfolio to determine strategic fit and performance [62][64] Question: How does the consumer environment factor into the outlook? - The consumer environment is expected to remain challenging, with continued value-seeking behavior influencing demand across channels [72][73]