弱于大市·维持 证券分析师：王学恒 证券分析师：张熙，CFA 010-88005382 0755-81982090 wangxueh@guosen.com.cn zhangxi4@guosen.com.cn S0980514030002 S0980522040001 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 2025年10月12日 证券研究报告 | 美股市场速览 贸易冲突再起，全风格恐慌下跌 行业研究·海外市场专题 美股 数据速览 价格走势：贸易冲突再起，全风格恐慌下跌 本周，贸易冲突导致市场恐慌下跌。标普500跌2.4%，纳斯达克跌2.5%。 风格方面：大盘成长（罗素1000成长-2.2%）>小盘成长（罗素2000成长-2.6%）>大盘价值（罗素1000价值-2.7%）>小盘价值（罗素2000价值-4.1%）。 3个行业上涨，21个行业下跌。上涨的行业有：食品饮料与烟草（+1.7%）、公用事业（+1.5%）、食品与主要用品零售（+0.3%）；下跌幅度较大的行业有：耐用 消费品与服装（-8.4%）、电信业务（-5.1%）、汽车与汽车零部件（-4.3%）、银行（-4.0%）、能源（-4.0%）。 资金流向： ...

Market Performance Overview - The domestic equity market indices showed mixed performance during the week of September 15-19, 2025, with the ChiNext Index rising by 2.34% [4] - In terms of sectors, coal, power equipment, and electronics industries had the highest gains, while banking, non-ferrous metals, and non-bank financial sectors experienced the largest declines [4] Fund Product Issuance - The domestic new fund market saw increased activity, with 63 new funds established, totaling 748.28 billion units issued. This included 27 bond funds, 27 equity funds, 7 mixed funds, 1 international (QDII) fund, and 1 REIT [5] - A total of 31 new funds were issued across the market, with 21 being equity funds, 4 FOF funds, 4 mixed funds, 1 bond fund, and 1 international (QDII) fund [5] Fund Product Performance Tracking - Various industry-themed funds exhibited volatile and divergent performance, with TMT theme funds continuing to show a net value increase of 2.56%, while financial and real estate theme funds saw a notable decline [6] - As of September 19, 2025, the performance of different themed funds was as follows: New Energy (2.07%), National Defense and Military Industry (1.50%), Balanced Industry (0.92%), Rotation Industry (0.49%), Consumption (-0.53%), Cyclical (-1.63%), Pharmaceutical (-2.41%), and Financial Real Estate (-2.68%) [6] ETF Market Tracking - Domestic stock ETFs experienced a net inflow of funds, while Hong Kong stock ETFs maintained significant inflows. Specifically, stock ETFs had a median return of 0.03% with a net inflow of 77.93 billion yuan [7] - Hong Kong stock ETFs recorded a median return of 0.84% with a net inflow of 166.52 billion yuan, and cross-border ETFs had a median return of 1.56% with a net inflow of 1.227 billion yuan [8] Fund Positioning Monitoring - The estimated equity positioning of actively managed funds decreased by 0.27 percentage points compared to the previous week. Increased allocations were observed in the automotive, electronics, and basic chemicals sectors, while banking, pharmaceutical, and agriculture sectors saw reduced allocations [9] ESG Financial Products Tracking - A total of 34 new green bonds were issued this week, with a cumulative issuance scale of 379.48 billion yuan. The domestic green bond market has steadily developed, with a total issuance scale of 4.82 trillion yuan and 4,153 bonds issued as of September 19, 2025 [10] - The median net value changes for ESG funds were as follows: active equity funds (1.42%), passive equity index funds (0.21%), and bond ESG funds (0.04%). Funds focused on climate change, low-carbon economy, and carbon neutrality showed significant performance advantages [10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the unique position of Xinda Real Estate in the real estate industry, highlighting its transition from a high-priced land acquisition strategy to a focus on light asset operations and project rescue services amid industry downturns [1][3][10]. Historical Context - Ten years ago, Xinda Real Estate, backed by China Xinda, established a "financial real estate" strategy to rapidly expand its market presence, achieving a scale of over 100 billion [2][4]. - The company gained notoriety by acquiring several high-priced land parcels, including a record-breaking purchase in Hangzhou for 12.318 billion yuan, leading to a total expenditure of 43.956 billion yuan on eight land parcels [4][5]. - However, since 2017, the real estate sector has faced stringent regulations, leading to challenges in selling high-priced properties and ongoing performance pressure from these acquisitions [5][6]. Financial Performance - Xinda Real Estate has seen a significant increase in asset impairment losses, with a reported 4.67 billion yuan in 2019, a 1955.92% increase year-on-year, and 11.98 billion yuan in 2020, a 156.53% increase [6][8]. - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.778 billion yuan, a 29.78% decrease year-on-year, and a net loss of 3.69 billion yuan compared to a profit of 106 million yuan in the same period of 2024 [9]. Shift in Business Model - In response to the challenges posed by high-priced land, Xinda Real Estate has shifted its focus away from acquiring expensive land and has increasingly engaged in providing construction and management services for distressed projects [10][12]. - The company has reported a growing contribution from its construction services, with 11.89 billion yuan in sales from this segment in the first half of 2025, accounting for 22.32% of total sales [12][14]. - Despite the increase in construction services, the profit margins have been declining, with the gross margin for real estate operations dropping to 4.19% in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 7.36 percentage points [14]. Future Outlook - Xinda Real Estate is restructuring its construction business model to integrate investment, construction, and operation, aiming for sustainable performance [16][17]. - The company has established a 20 billion yuan fund to assist troubled enterprises and projects, indicating a strategic shift towards a more integrated approach in its operations [17].

- The report does not include any quantitative models or factor construction details related to quantitative finance[1][2][3] - The content primarily focuses on fund performance, market trends, and ESG product tracking without discussing quantitative models or factors[4][5][6] - No specific formulas, construction processes, or backtesting results for quantitative models or factors are provided in the report[7][34][45]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Weaker than Market" investment rating for the U.S. stock market [1] Core Insights - The U.S. stock market experienced narrow fluctuations with most sectors declining, as the S&P 500 fell by 0.3% and the Nasdaq by 0.1% [3] - There were 8 sectors that increased while 16 sectors decreased, with notable gains in Energy (+2.6%), Semiconductor Products and Equipment (+2.4%), and Transportation (+1.2%) [3] - Conversely, sectors that saw significant declines included Telecommunications (-4.8%), Insurance (-2.6%), and Banks (-2.5%) [3] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The S&P 500's estimated fund flow was -$5.7 billion this week, a decrease from the previous week's +$23.4 billion, with a total of +$216.4 billion over the last 13 weeks [4] - Fund inflows were observed in 11 sectors, with Semiconductor Products and Equipment leading at +$17.2 billion, followed by Transportation (+$6.0 billion) and Energy (+$4.1 billion) [4] - Sectors experiencing fund outflows included Software and Services (-$15.9 billion) and Automotive and Parts (-$8.2 billion) [4] Earnings Forecast - The dynamic F12M EPS forecast for S&P 500 constituents was adjusted upward by 0.3%, following a 0.2% increase the previous week [5] - Earnings expectations were raised for 21 sectors, with the highest adjustments in Integrated Finance (+0.8%), Automotive and Parts (+0.8%), and Semiconductor Products and Equipment (+0.8%) [5] - Three sectors saw downward revisions, notably Healthcare Equipment and Services (-1.0%) and Telecommunications (-0.2%) [5] Price Performance - The Energy sector recorded a price return of +2.6% this week, while the Telecommunications sector saw a decline of -4.8% [15] - Over the past 52 weeks, the Energy sector has increased by 5.1%, while the Telecommunications sector has decreased by 4.0% [15] - The Semiconductor Products and Equipment sector has shown a remarkable increase of +48.0% over the past 13 weeks [15] Fund Flow Analysis - The Industrial sector led with a net fund inflow of $781 million this week, followed by Energy with $409 million [19] - The Semiconductor Products and Equipment sector also saw significant inflows of $1.716 billion, indicating strong investor interest [19] - In contrast, the Software and Services sector experienced the largest outflow of -$1.594 billion [19]

截至04月14日09:33，香港医药ETF（513700.SH）上涨3.63%，；主要成分股中，翰森制药上涨3.98%，科伦博泰生物-B上涨7.02%，药明合联上涨7.13%，三 生制药上涨3.87%，和黄医药上涨3.02%。 | 0 | 多股同列 | 分时K线同列 | 选股 ▼ | 公式 | 換肤 ▼ | 恢复配置▼ | 副屏 | 微软雅黑▼ | - 小一 ▼ | + | 热键 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | ム 分时 1分 5分 15分 30分 60分 目 周 月 季 年 多周期 设置 画线 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 分时走势 香港医药ETF 最新: 0.484 均价: 0.484 IOPV: 0.4830 | | | | | | | | | 目 | 0.487 | | | | | | | | | | | | 选 | 0.486 | | | | | | | | | | | | 股 | 0.484 | | | | | | | | | | | | ...