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KB Home Analysts Slash Their Forecasts After Q2 Earnings
Benzinga· 2025-06-24 16:43
Core Insights - KB Home reported second-quarter revenue of $1.52 billion, exceeding analyst estimates of $1.51 billion, and earnings of $1.50 per share, surpassing expectations of $1.47 per share [1][2] Financial Performance - The second-quarter financial performance was solid, with results meeting or exceeding guidance ranges, driven by improvements in lowering build times and reducing direct construction costs [2] Future Guidance - KB Home expects full-year 2025 housing revenue to be in the range of $6.3 billion to $6.5 billion, a decrease from prior guidance of $6.6 billion to $7 billion, with anticipated average selling prices of $480,000 to $490,000 [3] Stock Performance - Following the earnings announcement, KB Home shares gained 0.8% to trade at $53.72 [3] Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - B of A Securities maintained a Neutral rating and lowered the price target from $58 to $54 - UBS maintained a Buy rating and cut the price target from $86 to $80 - Wells Fargo maintained an Underweight rating and lowered the price target from $53 to $52 - Barclays maintained an Equal-Weight rating and reduced the price target from $56 to $49 - Evercore ISI Group maintained an Outperform rating and cut the price target from $77 to $70 [5]
KB Home's Q2 Earnings & Revenues Beat Estimates, Stock Up
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 14:56
Core Viewpoint - KB Home's stock increased by 3% following the release of its second-quarter fiscal 2025 results, which exceeded earnings and revenue estimates, although both metrics showed a year-over-year decline [1][4]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were reported at $1.5, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.45 by 3.5%, but down from $2.15 in the same quarter last year [4]. - Total revenues reached $1.53 billion, exceeding the consensus mark of $1.495 billion by 2.3%, yet reflecting a 10.5% decrease year-over-year [4]. Market Conditions - The results indicate a soft housing market, with homebuyers facing affordability challenges due to high mortgage rates, leading to a reduction in net orders [2][9]. - Net orders fell by 13% year-over-year to 3,460 units, with the value of net orders decreasing to $1.611 billion from $2.032 billion in the previous year [6]. Segment Analysis - Homebuilding revenues declined by 10.4% to $1.525 billion, with home deliveries down 11% to 3,120 units [5]. - The average selling price (ASP) for homes increased by 1.2% year-over-year to $488,700 [5]. Operational Metrics - The backlog at the end of the quarter totaled 4,776 homes, down from 6,270 homes a year ago, with potential housing revenues from the backlog declining by 27% to $2.288 billion [7]. - The housing gross margin contracted by 150 basis points to 19.7%, attributed to lower prices and higher land costs [8]. Financial Position - As of May 31, 2025, KB Home had cash and cash equivalents of $308.9 million, down from $598 million at the end of fiscal 2024, with total liquidity of $1.19 billion [11]. - The debt-to-capital ratio increased to 32.2% from 29.4% at the end of fiscal 2024 [11]. Guidance Update - KB Home has lowered its fiscal 2025 guidance for housing revenues to a range of $6.30-$6.5 billion, down from the previous expectation of $6.6-$7 billion [13]. - The expected housing gross margin is now between 19% and 19.4%, compared to the prior range of 19.2%-20% [14].
KB Home Boosts Buybacks Cuts Land Spend
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-24 03:52
Core Insights - KB Home reported Q2 2025 revenues of $1.5 billion and diluted EPS of $1.50, with adjusted gross margins of 19.7%, exceeding guidance [1] - The company revised its full-year revenue guidance downward to $6.3-$6.5 billion, reflecting challenging demand trends and a strategic shift towards cost control and capital returns [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of FY2025, the company returned nearly $290 million to shareholders, including $250 million in share repurchases at an average price of $55.70 per share, enhancing EPS and return on equity [2] - Over the past four years, the company has returned over $1.59 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, with $450 million remaining in the current repurchase authorization [3] Strategic Land Investment - The company canceled contracts on approximately 9,700 lots that did not meet updated underwriting criteria while maintaining control of nearly 75,000 lots, allowing for rapid scaling if market conditions improve [4][5] - This strategic retrenchment in land investment aims to reduce immediate expenditures and preserve capital, supporting future growth opportunities [5] Operational Efficiency - Build times were shortened to 140 calendar days, reaching pre-pandemic levels, with direct costs per home falling by 3.2% year-over-year for homes started in Q2 [6][7] - Operational gains enhance inventory turn and support margin preservation amid softening pricing, positioning the company competitively through business cycles [8] Future Outlook - Management guided third-quarter housing revenues of $1.5-$1.7 billion, with housing gross profit margins expected between 18.1%-18.7% for Q3 and 19%-19.4% for the full year [9] - Full-year deliveries are projected at approximately 13,200 homes, with SG&A forecast at 10.2%-10.6% of revenues [9] - No explicit guidance was provided for fiscal 2026, with future growth flexibility depending on ongoing market conditions [10]
KB Home Earnings Beat Wall Street Forecast. The Stock Is Falling Because of Guidance.
Barrons· 2025-06-23 23:30
Core Viewpoint - KB Home reported earnings that exceeded Wall Street forecasts, but the stock price is declining due to disappointing guidance for future performance [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved earnings per share (EPS) of $1.10, surpassing analysts' expectations of $1.01 [1] - Revenue for the quarter was reported at $1.4 billion, which is a 10% increase compared to the previous year [1] Guidance and Outlook - KB Home provided guidance for the upcoming quarter, projecting a decline in home sales, which has negatively impacted investor sentiment [1] - The company anticipates a decrease in new home orders, contributing to the stock's downward trend [1]
Markets Gain on Muted Response from Iran
ZACKS· 2025-06-23 23:11
Market Overview - Global headlines regarding a thwarted attack from Iran on a U.S. Air Force base in Qatar were perceived positively by market participants, contributing to gains in equity markets [1] - The Dow closed up 384 points (+0.90%), the S&P 500 increased by 0.96%, the Nasdaq rose by 224 points (+1.03%), and the Russell 2000 gained 1.05% [2] - Bond yields remained steady, with the 10-year yield at 4.34% and the 2-year yield at 3.85% [2] Oil Market - Oil prices decreased significantly, with WTI spot crude prices falling by 8% to $67.67 per barrel and Brent dropping by 6.3% to $67.73 per barrel [3] - The potential for a warlike shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz, which handles 20 million barrels of petroleum products per day (nearly 30% of the world's oil trade), appears unlikely [3] Company Performance: KB Home - KB Home reported Q2 earnings of $1.50 per share, beating estimates by five cents, but down from $2.15 per share in the same quarter last year, with quarterly sales of $1.53 billion, exceeding the $1.50 billion consensus [4] - Full-year revenue guidance was lowered to a range of $6.30-6.50 billion from the previously anticipated $6.64 billion, despite the company outperforming earnings estimates in nine of the last ten quarters [5] - KB Home shares are down approximately 20% year-to-date [5] Economic Indicators - The S&P flash Services PMI for June registered at 53.1, slightly above expectations, though down from 53.7 in May, indicating strong domestic demand for services [6] - The S&P flash Manufacturing PMI for June matched the previous month's level at 52.0, with factory production rising for the first time in four months [7] - Existing Home Sales for May exceeded forecasts at 4.03 million units, surpassing the expected 3.95 million, with gains primarily in the Northeast, Midwest, and South, while the West saw a decline of 5.4% [8]
KB Home (KBH) Q2 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-06-23 23:01
Core Insights - KB Home reported $1.53 billion in revenue for the quarter ended May 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 10.5% and an EPS of $1.50 compared to $2.15 a year ago, with revenue exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.30% and EPS by 3.45% [1] Financial Performance - Revenue from homebuilding was $1.52 billion, down 10.4% year-over-year, and exceeded the four-analyst average estimate of $1.49 billion [4] - Total revenues from financial services were $4.87 million, a significant decline of 41.3% compared to the previous year, and below the average estimate of $6.65 million [4] - Operating income from homebuilding was reported at $131.46 million, surpassing the average estimate of $124.01 million [4] - Homebuilding pretax income was $134.22 million, slightly above the estimated $130.44 million [4] Key Metrics - Backlog units stood at 4,776, lower than the average estimate of 5,089 [4] - Average selling price was $488.70 million, slightly above the average estimate of $487.12 million [4] - Net orders were 3,460, below the average estimate of 3,723 [4] - Unit deliveries totaled 3,120, exceeding the average estimate of 3,070 [4] - Backlog value was $2.29 billion, below the estimated $2.56 billion [4] - Ending community count was 253, close to the average estimate of 254 [4] Stock Performance - KB Home shares returned +1% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.5% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance in the near term [3]
KB Home: A Weak Q2 With No Bottom In Sight
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-23 22:57
Group 1 - KB Home (NYSE: KBH) has experienced a significant decline in share value, losing 27% over the past year due to growing concerns about the housing market [1] - The company primarily targets first-time homebuyers, which may expose it to specific market vulnerabilities [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of macro views and stock-specific turnaround stories in making investment decisions [1]
KB Home (KBH) Tops Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-06-23 22:21
Core Viewpoint - KB Home reported quarterly earnings of $1.50 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.45 per share, but down from $2.15 per share a year ago, indicating a decline in profitability [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.53 billion for the quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.30%, but down from $1.71 billion year-over-year [2] Earnings Performance - The earnings surprise for the recent quarter was +3.45%, while the previous quarter saw a surprise of -4.49% [1][2] - Over the last four quarters, KB Home has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance - KB Home shares have declined approximately 21.3% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 1.5% [3] Future Outlook - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, with current consensus EPS estimates of $1.90 for the upcoming quarter and $7.05 for the current fiscal year [7] - The Zacks Rank for KB Home is currently 4 (Sell), indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Building Products - Home Builders industry is currently ranked in the bottom 9% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a challenging environment for companies in this sector [8]
KB Home(KBH) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-23 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenues of $1.5 billion and diluted earnings per share of $1.5 for the second quarter, exceeding delivery expectations due to improved build times [9][32] - Gross margin was 19.7%, excluding inventory-related charges, which was above guidance [9][33] - Book value per share increased to nearly $59, reflecting a 10% year-over-year increase [9][42] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company generated 3,460 net orders in the second quarter, with a monthly absorption pace of 4.5 net orders per community, down from 5.5 in the previous year [10][19] - Average selling price increased to approximately $489,000 year-over-year, despite mixed performance across regions [32] - Homebuilding revenues decreased by 10% from the prior year, totaling $1.52 billion [32] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The housing market outlook remains favorable long-term, driven by demographics and an undersupply of homes, but short-term consumer confidence is low due to affordability challenges and high mortgage rates [7][8] - The company experienced a decline in net orders in April and May, which did not follow the typical spring trajectory [10][18] - Active communities increased by 2% year-over-year, contributing to a backlog of 4,776 homes valued at $2.3 billion [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on optimizing assets to generate higher returns by balancing pace and price on a community-by-community basis [11][12] - A shift back to a built-to-order model is planned, aiming to enhance customer choice and satisfaction [13][14] - The company is scaling back land-related investments to align with current market conditions while maintaining a healthy lot pipeline for future growth [28][39] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the need to adjust guidance for fiscal 2025 due to softer market conditions and net order results [14][35] - The company is committed to managing costs and improving build times, with a goal of achieving a 120-day build time [21][22] - Management expressed confidence in navigating current market conditions and supporting affordability for buyers [25][30] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $200 million of shares in the second quarter, with plans to continue repurchases in the third quarter [6][29] - Total liquidity at quarter-end was $1.2 billion, including $309 million in cash [40][41] - The company has returned over $1.59 billion to shareholders in the form of dividends and share repurchases over the past four years [42][43] Q&A Session Summary Question: What steps are being taken to reduce SG&A costs? - Management is adjusting headcount to align with new revenue projections and exploring various cost-saving measures [45][46][47] Question: What are the drivers behind the gross margin outlook? - The reduction in gross margin is attributed to operating leverage, land costs, and regional mix, with some offset from lower construction costs [48][49][50] Question: How will backlog turnover and absorption be managed? - Management aims for high backlog turnover ratios and expects to cover inventory through sales, similar to previous years [56][58][59] Question: What impact did community delays have on order pace? - Delays in community openings likely resulted in missing a couple hundred sales, affecting overall order pace [62][63] Question: How is the company addressing land inflation and pricing? - Management noted that land inflation is influenced by various factors, including entitlement and improvement costs, and is monitoring market conditions for potential relief [97][98]
KB Home(KBH) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-23 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenues of $1.5 billion and diluted earnings per share of $1.5 for the second quarter, exceeding delivery expectations due to faster build times [7][30] - Gross margin was 19.7%, excluding inventory-related charges, which was above the guidance range [7][31] - Book value per share increased to nearly $59, reflecting a 10% year-over-year increase [7][40] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company generated 3,460 net orders in the second quarter, with a monthly absorption pace of 4.5 net orders per community, down from 5.5 in the previous year [8][18] - Average selling price increased to approximately $489,000 year-over-year, despite mixed performance across regions [30][31] - Homebuilding operating income decreased to $131 million, with a margin of 9% [33] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The housing market outlook remains favorable long-term, driven by demographics and an undersupply of homes, but short-term consumer confidence is low due to economic uncertainties [6][12] - The company experienced a decline in net orders in April and May, attributed to rising mortgage rates and geopolitical tensions [6][15] - Active communities increased by 2% year-over-year, contributing to a backlog of 4,776 homes valued at $2.3 billion [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on optimizing assets to balance pace and price on a community-by-community basis, aiming for a built-to-order model to enhance customer choice and satisfaction [10][12] - A strategic shift towards reducing land investment spend was noted, with a focus on returning capital to shareholders through share repurchases [26][28] - The company plans to maintain approximately 250 active communities for the remainder of fiscal 2025, with a goal to return to a historical mix of built-to-order homes [12][25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the need to adjust guidance for fiscal 2025 due to softer market conditions and lower net order results [13][34] - The company is committed to managing costs and improving build times, with expectations for a third-quarter average selling price between $470,000 and $480,000 [34][35] - The management expressed confidence in navigating current market conditions while supporting affordability for buyers [23][28] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $200 million of shares in the second quarter, with plans to repurchase an additional $100 million to $200 million in the third quarter [27][40] - The company maintained a strong balance sheet with total liquidity of $1.2 billion, including cash and available credit [38][39] - The average cash down payment from buyers remained stable at 16%, with a household income of about $136,000 [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: What steps is the company taking to reduce fixed overhead costs? - The company is adjusting headcount to align with new revenue projections and exploring various cost-saving measures to bring the SG&A ratio back below 10% [43][44] Question: What are the drivers behind the gross margin outlook? - The gross margin outlook was impacted by operating leverage, land costs, and regional mix, with construction cost reductions partially offsetting pricing pressures [46][48] Question: How does the company view the backlog and its implications for growth? - The company expects to grow the backlog and hit an inflection point, with strategies in place to optimize sales and deliveries [78][79] Question: How is the company addressing community delays and their impact on orders? - Community delays significantly impacted order pace, with management noting that they missed a couple of hundred sales due to these delays [60][61] Question: What is the company's strategy regarding pricing and incentives? - The company is focused on optimizing base prices rather than relying on incentives, aiming to provide transparent value to customers [86][88]