Core Viewpoint - Macy's is planning to raise prices on select products due to global tariffs, while also taking measures to reduce exposure to China and renegotiate supplier orders [1][3][5]. Group 1: Company Strategy - CEO Tony Spring indicated that the company is minimizing the impact of tariffs by renegotiating orders and canceling or delaying those that do not meet value expectations [1]. - The company is adopting a "surgical" approach to tariffs, implementing selective price increases in categories where customer value remains strong [2]. - Macy's is closely monitoring sourcing options in Southeast Asia and Europe, while maintaining limited exposure to Canada and Mexico [5]. Group 2: Financial Impact - The company estimates that tariffs will affect its annual gross margin by approximately 20 to 40 basis points, influenced by inventory purchased under a previous 145% levy on China [6]. - Macy's has cut its full-year profit guidance due to the impact of tariffs, a slowdown in consumer discretionary spending, and increased competition [7]. - The adjusted earnings per share forecast for fiscal 2025 has been lowered to a range of $1.60 to $2, down from a previous estimate of $2.05 to $2.25 [8]. Group 3: Industry Context - Macy's is among several retailers facing challenges from the ongoing trade war, with competitors like Target also reporting revenue declines and adjusting guidance due to tariff uncertainties [10]. - Walmart has also warned of potential price hikes due to the significant impact of tariffs on retail margins [11][13].

Core Insights - Macy's, Inc. reported first-quarter fiscal 2025 results with both top and bottom lines exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates, although both metrics declined compared to the previous year [1][3] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were 16 cents per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 14 cents, but down 40.7% from 27 cents in the prior year [3] - Net sales reached $4,599 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $4,458 million, but decreased by 5.1% year over year [3] - Comparable sales fell by 2% on an owned basis and 1.2% on an owned-plus-licensed-plus-marketplace basis compared to the previous year [3] Brand Performance - Macy's brand comps declined by 2.9% on an owned basis and 2.1% on an owned-plus-licensed-plus-marketplace basis [6] - Bloomingdale's brand saw a 3% increase in comps on an owned basis and 3.8% on an owned-plus-licensed-plus-marketplace basis [6] - Bluemercury brand experienced a 1.5% increase in comps on an owned basis, marking the 17th consecutive quarter of growth [6] Margins and Expenses - Gross margin remained flat at 39.2%, with improved merchandise margins offset by increased delivery expenses [7] - Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses were $1.91 billion, up 0.1% year over year, with SG&A as a percentage of total revenues rising 170 basis points to 39.9% [8][9] - Adjusted EBITDA was $324 million, down 11% from $364 million in the prior year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 6.8%, down 50 basis points year over year [9] Cash and Equity Overview - The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $932 million and long-term debt of $2.77 billion [10] - Merchandise inventories declined by 0.5% year over year [10] - The company repurchased 8.7 million shares for $101 million, with $1.3 billion remaining under its $2 billion share repurchase authorization [11] Guidance for Fiscal 2025 - Macy's updated its annual guidance, expecting net sales between $21 billion and $21.4 billion for fiscal 2025 [14] - Comparable owned-plus-licensed-plus-marketplace sales are projected to decline by 0.5-2% year over year [15] - Adjusted earnings per share are expected to be between $1.60 and $2.00, down from the previous estimate of $2.05-$2.25 [16]

Company Overview - Proactive is a financial news publisher that provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The company has a team of experienced news journalists who produce independent content across various financial markets [2] Market Focus - Proactive specializes in medium and small-cap markets while also covering blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - The content delivered by the team includes insights into sectors such as biotech and pharma, mining and natural resources, battery metals, oil and gas, crypto, and emerging digital and EV technologies [3] Technology Adoption - Proactive is recognized for its forward-looking approach and enthusiastic adoption of technology to enhance workflows [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring that all published content is edited and authored by humans [5]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Numerous companies are lowering their profit forecasts for 2025 due to the impact of tariffs and economic uncertainty, indicating a broader trend of caution across various industries. Group 1: Retail Sector - Abercrombie & Fitch lowered its full-year profit forecast for 2025, citing a $50 million hit from tariffs, including a 30% tariff on imports from China and a 10% tariff on other imports [1][2] - Macy's also reduced its earnings per share outlook for the year, attributing it to tariffs, moderation in consumer spending, and increased competition [3] - Target expects sales to decline throughout 2025, previously projecting a 1% growth, due to weaker spending linked to tariff uncertainties [3] Group 2: Consumer Goods and Food & Beverage - Diageo warned of a $150 million hit to annual profits in 2025 but plans to offset half of this impact through unspecified actions [4] - PepsiCo lowered its earnings forecast for 2025, facing higher supply chain costs due to tariffs and a volatile consumer environment [15] - Kraft Heinz also lowered its outlook, citing a volatile operating environment influenced by tariffs and inflation [13] Group 3: Automotive Industry - Ford expects tariffs to reduce its earnings before interest and taxes by about $1.5 billion in 2025 and has suspended its full-year guidance [8] - General Motors lowered its earnings forecast to between $10 billion and $12.5 billion, down from $13.7 billion to $15.7 billion, due to the impact of tariffs [12] - Toyota estimated a $1.25 billion profit loss in April and March due to U.S. tariffs, forecasting a nearly 21% dip in operating income through 2025 [5] Group 4: Technology and Electronics - AMD anticipates a $1.5 billion revenue loss in 2025 due to restrictions on chip shipments to China [7] - Apple expects a $900 million hit to its bottom line in the second quarter due to tariffs, complicating future predictions [10] - Logitech withdrew its outlook for the 2026 fiscal year due to ongoing tariff uncertainties [17] Group 5: Airlines and Transportation - JetBlue and Alaska Airlines both pulled their full-year guidance for 2025 due to macroeconomic uncertainty [13][17] - Delta Airlines withdrew its full-year guidance, citing broad macro uncertainty [18] - United Airlines issued a second guidance featuring significantly lower earnings for 2025, reflecting the unpredictable economic environment [17] Group 6: Miscellaneous - Steve Madden withdrew its financial guidance for 2025, facing heightened uncertainty from new tariffs [6] - Rivian lowered its targets for vehicle deliveries and capital spending for 2025 due to significant uncertainty in the global economic landscape [6] - Snap declined to issue guidance for its second quarter, citing uncertainty in macroeconomic conditions affecting advertising demand [14]

Core Viewpoint - Macy's has reduced its annual profit forecast due to the impact of tariffs and a slowdown in consumer spending, indicating a cautious outlook for the retail sector [1][3][4] Financial Performance - The company now expects adjusted earnings per share of $1.60 to $2 for 2025, down from a previous forecast of $2.05 to $2.25, with 15 to 40 cents of the drop attributed to tariffs [1][3] - Macy's reaffirmed its annual sales forecast of $21 billion to $21.4 billion, a decline from last year's $22.29 billion [4] - For the three months ended May 3, adjusted earnings per share were reported at 16 cents, beating projections of 14 cents, while revenue was $4.6 billion, above expectations of $4.5 billion [4] Market Challenges - The company faces challenges from a slowdown in consumer spending and increased competition in promotions and discounts across the retail industry [3][8] - Comparable sales at Macy's locations fell 0.8% compared to the same period last year, while same-store sales at Bloomingdale's and Bluemercury increased by 3.8% and 1.5%, respectively [7][9] Strategic Initiatives - Macy's is undergoing a three-year turnaround plan, which includes closing 150 locations by early 2027 and enhancing its Bluemercury and Bloomingdale's businesses [5][6] - The company has invested in staffing, improved displays, and a new merchandise mix at 125 locations, which is about one-third of the stores it plans to keep open [6][11] Stock Performance - Macy's shares have decreased by approximately 27% so far this year [10][13]

Group 1 - Macy's, Inc. (NYSE: M) has experienced a significant decline in share price, losing 41% over the past year [1] - Investors are dissatisfied with the slow pace of the company's turnaround efforts, particularly after it rejected a buyout offer [1] - The company has a history of making contrarian bets based on macro views and stock-specific turnaround stories to achieve outsized returns [1]

Company Impact - Macy's lowered its full-year profit forecast for 2025 due to higher tariffs affecting its business [1] - Target expects sales to decline throughout 2025, previously projecting a 1% growth, citing weaker spending amid tariff uncertainty [2] - Diageo anticipates a $150 million hit to annual profits in 2025 but plans to offset half of this impact through unspecified actions [3] - Walmart warned that higher tariffs will lead to increased prices, unable to absorb all the pressure due to narrow retail margins [4] - Ford expects tariffs to reduce its earnings before interest and taxes by about $1.5 billion in 2025 and has suspended its full-year guidance [7] - General Motors lowered its earnings forecast for 2025 to between $10 billion and $12.5 billion, down from $13.7 billion to $15.7 billion, adjusting to the new trade policy environment [10] - Kraft Heinz lowered its full-year outlook due to a volatile operating environment influenced by tariffs and inflation [11] - PepsiCo lowered its earnings forecast for 2025, facing higher supply chain costs due to tariffs and a subdued consumer backdrop [13] Industry Trends - Companies across various sectors are withdrawing or adjusting their financial guidance for 2025 due to macroeconomic uncertainty driven by tariffs [5][8][12] - The automotive industry, including Toyota and Ford, is particularly affected, with significant expected declines in operating income and earnings [4][10] - The retail sector is experiencing heightened competition and promotional landscapes, leading to cautious outlooks from companies like Macy's and Target [2][1] - Airlines are also pulling their full-year guidance, citing economic uncertainty and volatility, with JetBlue and Alaska Airlines among those affected [11][15] - The overall sentiment in the market reflects a cautious approach as companies navigate the unpredictable tariff environment and its implications on profitability [9][16]

Core Viewpoint - Macy's Inc. has revised its annual outlook due to initial and current tariffs, moderation in consumer discretionary spending, and increased competition, leading to a decrease in expected adjusted earnings per share for fiscal 2025 [1] Financial Performance - The company reported net sales of $4.6 billion for Q1 2025, a decline of 5.1% year over year, but exceeded the consensus estimate of $4.50 billion [3] - Comparable sales decreased by 2.0% on an owned basis and 1.2% on an owned-plus-licensed-plus-marketplace basis [3] - Adjusted earnings were reported at 16 cents per share, surpassing the consensus of 14 cents [4] - Core adjusted EBITDA was $308 million, down from $363 million a year ago [4] Future Guidance - For fiscal 2025, Macy's has lowered its adjusted earnings per share guidance from $2.05-$2.25 to $1.60-$2.00, compared to the consensus of $1.93 [1] - The company maintained its sales guidance for 2025 at $21 billion-$21.4 billion, slightly below the consensus of $21.31 billion [1] - For Q2 2025, Macy's forecasts sales between $4.65 billion and $4.75 billion and adjusted earnings of 15 to 20 cents per share, compared to the consensus of $4.76 billion and 34 cents, respectively [5] Margin and Sales Trends - The gross margin remained flat at 39.2%, with improved merchandise margin offset by higher delivery expenses as a percentage of net sales [4] - Comparable sales for the go-forward business were down 1.8% on an owned basis and 0.9% on an owned-plus-licensed-plus-marketplace basis [4] - Bloomingdale's and Bluemercury reported positive sales growth, with Bloomingdale's net sales up 2.6% and Bluemercury's up 0.8% [6]

Core Insights - Retailers are experiencing mixed earnings reports, reflecting the impact of tariffs, consumer demand, and operational resilience [1] Group 1: Macy's Inc - Macy's reported adjusted first-quarter earnings of 16 cents per share on revenue of $4.60 billion, exceeding Wall Street expectations [2] - The company has cut its full-year profit forecast due to tariff hikes and increased promotions [2] - Macy's is undergoing a significant turnaround, closing approximately 150 stores and focusing on stronger brands like Bloomingdale's and Bluemercury [2] - Despite a 4% increase before the market opened, Macy's stock is down over 28% year to date [2] Group 2: Abercrombie & Fitch Co - Abercrombie & Fitch's stock surged over 28% in premarket trading following a strong first quarter [3] - The retailer posted earnings of $1.59 per share on $1.1 billion in revenue, significantly surpassing estimates [3] - Although Abercrombie issued positive guidance for the current quarter, it reduced its full-year profit forecast due to an anticipated $50 million impact from tariffs [3] - Prior to this report, Abercrombie's stock was down 48.4% in 2025 [3] Group 3: Dick's Sporting Goods Inc - Dick's Sporting Goods saw its stock rise 5% in electronic trading after reporting earnings of $3.37 per share on $3.17 billion in net sales, both exceeding analyst forecasts [4] - The company reaffirmed its full-year outlook and is managing tariff challenges effectively [4] - Dick's announced plans to acquire rival Foot Locker, indicating confidence in its long-term strategy [4] - Dick's Sporting Goods has a year-to-date deficit of 23.9% [4]

Core Viewpoint - Macy's reported quarterly earnings of $0.16 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.14 per share, but down from $0.27 per share a year ago, indicating a 40.74% year-over-year decline in earnings [1] - The company achieved a revenue of $4.6 billion for the quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.16%, but down from $4.85 billion year-over-year, reflecting a 5.12% decrease [2] Financial Performance - The earnings surprise for the latest quarter was 14.29%, and the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times over the last four quarters [1][2] - Macy's shares have declined approximately 28.9% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 0.7% [3] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.32 on revenues of $4.72 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.03 on revenues of $21.18 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Macy's is currently unfavorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Retail - Regional Department Stores industry is currently in the bottom 25% of the Zacks industry rankings, suggesting that stocks in this sector may struggle compared to those in the top 50% [8] - Another competitor in the same industry, Kohl's, is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.22 per share, with revenues projected at $3.2 billion, down 5.2% from the previous year [9][10]