Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation's shares have surged 35.6% in the past three months, driven by rising gold prices and strong earnings performance, supported by operational efficiency and a robust Tier 1 portfolio [1][7]. Group 1: Stock Performance - NEM stock has outperformed the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's 29% rise and the S&P 500's increase of 11.4% [2]. - Among peers, Barrick Mining Corporation, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, and Kinross Gold Corporation have seen stock increases of 36%, 24.1%, and 49%, respectively [2]. Group 2: Technical Indicators - Technical indicators show bullish momentum for NEM, with the stock trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA), indicating a long-term uptrend [5]. Group 3: Growth Projects and Strategic Focus - Newmont is investing in growth projects like the Ahafo North expansion in Ghana and the Cadia Panel Caves in Australia, aimed at expanding production capacity and extending mine life [10]. - The acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited has created a leading portfolio with a multi-decade production profile, expected to deliver significant shareholder value and synergies of $500 million annually [11]. - Newmont has divested non-core businesses, completing a divestiture program that is expected to generate $3 billion in after-tax cash proceeds in 2025 [12]. Group 4: Financial Health - Newmont has a strong liquidity position with $10.2 billion in liquidity, including $6.2 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and a free cash flow of $1.7 billion, up 42% from the prior quarter [13]. - The company has returned approximately $2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases and reduced debt by $1.4 billion since the beginning of 2025 [13]. Group 5: Gold Price Dynamics - Gold prices have surged 40% this year, driven by geopolitical tensions and central bank purchases, with prices exceeding $3,600 per ton for the first time [16]. - Newmont stands to benefit from the strength in gold prices, which is expected to enhance profitability and cash flow generation [14]. Group 6: Cost Challenges - Newmont faces challenges from rising production costs, with costs applicable to sales and all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) increasing by around 6% and 2% year over year, respectively [18]. - The company anticipates AISC for its total portfolio to rise to $1,630 per ounce in 2025, up from $1,516 per ounce in 2024 [19]. Group 7: Earnings Estimates - Newmont's earnings estimates for 2025 have been revised upward, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings at $5.30, indicating a year-over-year growth of 52.3% [20]. Group 8: Valuation - Newmont is currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 14.88X, which is a discount compared to the industry's average of 15.59X [21]. Group 9: Investment Outlook - Newmont presents an attractive investment case with a robust portfolio of growth projects and solid financial health, although higher production costs may impact margins [24].

Core Viewpoint - Fuerte Metals has agreed to acquire Newmont Corporation's Coffee Gold Project in Yukon, Canada, for up to $150 million, which includes an initial cash payment and equity shares, along with a royalty agreement [1][2][3]. Transaction Details - The total acquisition cost is up to $150 million (C$206.47 million), consisting of an initial cash payment of $10 million and $40 million in equity [1]. - Newmont will receive a 3% net smelter return royalty on the Coffee Gold Project, which Fuerte can repurchase for up to $100 million [1]. - The transaction is expected to close by October 19, 2025, pending specific conditions [2]. Strategic Rationale - Newmont's CEO stated that the sale is part of a strategy to streamline its portfolio and focus on core operations [3]. - The divestment aligns with Newmont's previous announcements regarding the sale of non-core assets across various regions [2]. Project Overview - The Coffee Gold Project is located approximately 130 km south of Dawson in Yukon Territory and is part of a region known for significant gold deposits [4][5]. - The project is reported to host 3 million ounces (moz) of open-pit heap-leach measured and indicated resources, along with an inferred resource of 800,000 ounces [5]. Advisory Roles - BMO Capital Markets acted as the financial advisor for Newmont, while Goodmans served as legal advisor [5]. - Trinity Advisors Corporation was the financial advisor for Fuerte Metals, with Borden Ladner Gervais acting as legal counsel [6]. Community Engagement - Fuerte Metals emphasizes the importance of protecting the water and lands around the Coffee Creek area and pledges to build relationships with local First Nations [7].

Company Overview - Agnico Eagle is the largest mining company in Canada and ranks among the top three gold miners globally by production output, with a market cap of $77 billion [2] - The company has been operational since 1957 and has mining operations in Canada, Mexico, Australia, and Finland, supported by a strong exploration pipeline [2] Production and Financial Performance - In 2024, Agnico recorded total gold production of 3,485,336 ounces at a cash cost of $903 per ounce, with 85% of production coming from Canada [1][6] - For the second quarter of 2025, Agnico's total mining revenues reached $2.82 billion, a year-over-year increase of nearly 36%, exceeding forecasts by $120 million [7] - The company's non-GAAP EPS for the same quarter was $1.94, up from $1.07 in the previous year, with a record free cash flow of $1.3 billion [7] Future Outlook - Agnico anticipates gold production in 2025 to be between 3.3 million and 3.5 million ounces, with cash costs projected between $915 and $965 per ounce [6] - The company aims to maintain gold reserves at a level ten times its annual production, with 54.3 million proven and probable ounces of gold [6] Market Trends and Analyst Insights - The price of gold has increased by 41% over the past year, driven by expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [5] - Analysts are bullish on Agnico, with a consensus rating of Strong Buy and a price target of $209, suggesting a potential upside of 36% from the current trading price of $153.25 [10] - Agnico's shares have outperformed the market, gaining 98% year-to-date [8]

Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corp. has significantly outperformed the market in 2025, with a year-to-date increase of 106% as of September 15, driven by rising gold prices amid inflation and geopolitical tensions [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Newmont's stock has reached a 52-week high of $80.07, compared to a low of $36.86, showcasing substantial growth [6]. - The NEM/SPY ratio has nearly doubled from 0.0636 in late 2024 to 0.1205 by mid-September 2025, indicating Newmont's strong performance relative to the S&P 500 [5]. - Over the past six months, Newmont's stock has increased by 66.77%, significantly outpacing the S&P 500's 15.91% and the SPDR Gold Trust's 21.21% [7]. Group 2: Market Context - The surge in Newmont's stock is attributed to soaring gold prices, which are currently around $3,600 per ounce, driven by persistent inflation concerns and geopolitical instability [2][8]. - The SPDR Gold Trust has seen a year-to-date increase of 36.67%, but Newmont's operational leverage has enhanced its equity returns [6]. Group 3: Investment Appeal - Newmont offers a dividend yield of 1.26%, appealing to investors seeking returns in a volatile market [7]. - The company is positioned as a contrarian investment during market volatility, contrasting with the tech sector's focus on AI hype [7].

Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corp. has significantly outperformed the market in 2025, with a year-to-date increase of 106% as of September 15, driven by rising gold prices amid inflation and geopolitical tensions [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Newmont's stock has reached a 52-week high of $80.07, compared to a low of $36.86, showcasing substantial growth [6]. - The NEM/SPY ratio has nearly doubled from 0.0636 in late 2024 to 0.1205 by mid-September 2025, indicating Newmont's strong performance relative to the S&P 500 [5]. - Over the past six months, Newmont's stock has increased by 66.77%, significantly outpacing the S&P 500's 15.91% and the SPDR Gold Trust's 21.21% [7]. Group 2: Market Context - The surge in Newmont's stock is attributed to soaring gold prices, which are currently around $3,600 per ounce, driven by persistent inflation concerns and geopolitical instability [2][8]. - The SPDR Gold Trust has seen a year-to-date increase of 36.67%, but Newmont's operational leverage has enhanced its equity returns [6]. Group 3: Investment Insights - Newmont offers a dividend yield of 1.26%, appealing to investors seeking returns in a volatile market [7]. - A breakout above the NEM/SPY ratio of 0.12 could target 0.15 if gold prices continue to rise, indicating potential for further gains [8].

Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation has agreed to sell its Coffee Project in Yukon, Canada to Fuerte Metals Corporation for up to $150 million, with the transaction expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, pending certain conditions [1]. Group 1 - The total consideration for the sale of the Coffee Project is up to $150 million [1]. - The transaction is anticipated to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, subject to the satisfaction of specific conditions [1]. - Newmont expects to receive gross proceeds of up to $150 million from this agreement [1].

Industry Overview - The Zacks Mining - Gold industry has experienced a 38.5% growth in gold prices this year, driven by geopolitical tensions and central bank buying [1][4] - The industry involves complex processes of gold extraction from both underground and open-pit mines, requiring significant financial resources and time [3] Major Trends - Gold prices are expected to continue rising due to a demand-supply imbalance, with central banks accumulating gold reserves [2][6] - The industry faces challenges such as high production costs and a shortage of skilled labor, prompting companies to focus on cost-reduction strategies and digital innovation [5] Demand & Supply Dynamics - Depleting resources and declining supply from old mines are significant threats, while demand from sectors like energy and technology is increasing [6] - India and China account for approximately 50% of global consumer gold demand, with strong demand expected to persist in India [6] Industry Performance - The Mining-Gold Industry has outperformed the S&P 500 Index and the Basic Material sector, with a collective gain of 67.3% compared to the sector's 6.6% and the S&P 500's 19.1% [9] - The industry currently trades at an EV/EBITDA of 9.04X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 18.23X and the Basic Material sector's 14.11X [11] Company Highlights - **Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM)**: Focused on extending mine life and optimizing costs, with a projected 64% year-over-year earnings growth for 2025 [18][17] - **Barrick Mining (B)**: Positioned to benefit from key growth projects, with a projected 56.4% year-over-year earnings growth for 2025 [23][22] - **Newmont (NEM)**: Created an industry-leading portfolio through the acquisition of Newcrest Mining, with a projected 52% year-over-year earnings growth for 2025 [26][25] - **Franco-Nevada (FNV)**: Expected to see a 51.4% year-over-year earnings growth for 2025, focusing on cost management and a healthy portfolio of agreements [30][29] - **Kinross Gold (KGC)**: Anticipates a remarkable 103% year-over-year earnings growth for 2025, supported by strong liquidity and development projects [32][34]

Core Insights - The Canadian government has launched the Major Projects Office (MPO) to streamline regulatory approvals and attract large-scale investments in resource and infrastructure projects [1][7] - The first five projects under review by the MPO represent a total investment of over $43 billion, with a focus on enhancing Canada's economic strength and job creation [2][6] Project Summaries - **LNG Canada Phase 2**: This project in Kitimat, British Columbia, aims to double liquefied natural gas output, making it the second-largest facility globally. It will supply Asian and European markets and has a projected carbon intensity 60% lower than the global average [2] - **Darlington New Nuclear Project**: This initiative could position Canada as the first G7 country with an operational small modular reactor (SMR), powering 300,000 homes and creating thousands of jobs [3] - **Contrecœur Terminal Expansion**: This expansion will increase the Port of Montreal's handling capacity by 60%, generating $140 million annually in economic benefits and creating thousands of jobs across Quebec and Canada [4] - **McIlvenna Bay Copper-Zinc Project**: Developed in partnership with the Peter Ballantyne Cree Nation, this project will be Canada's first net-zero copper mine, generating 400 jobs and supporting clean energy transitions [5] - **Newmont's Red Chris Copper Mine Expansion**: This expansion will increase Canada's annual copper production by 15%, create 1,500 new jobs, and reduce greenhouse gas emissions by over 70% [6] Government Objectives - The MPO aims to recommend efficient pathways for project approvals, facilitating timely investment decisions and enhancing Canada's economic sovereignty [7]

Market Overview - The current investment landscape appears stable but is experiencing underlying chaos due to geopolitical tensions, deglobalization, rising debt levels, and supply chain disruptions [2] - Nominal growth is faster but also more volatile and unpredictable, with companies needing to find internal resilience as external support from low interest rates and inflation diminishes [2] Structural Innovations - Innovations such as AI, blockchain, GLP-1 therapies, and decarbonization are fundamentally reshaping business growth [3] - Traditional business models, particularly in software, are threatened by AI's ability to produce similar outputs at low costs [3] Economic Shifts - The year 2025 is seen as a pivotal point marking the end of the initial phase of significant economic regime shifts, with multiple macroeconomic pillars unwinding simultaneously [5] - The U.S. Treasury is now offering meaningful yields on new debt, leading to an annual interest expense approaching $1 trillion, which presents immediate fiscal challenges [10] Supply Chain and Inflation - Governments are localizing supply chains and building strategic stockpiles, leading to inefficiencies and increased costs in infrastructure and manufacturing [11][12] - A new regime of persistent inflation is anticipated, driven by constrained supply and inelastic demand, affecting affordability for consumers and corporations [13] Corporate Performance - The ClearBridge Value Strategy outperformed its benchmark, with strong contributions from sectors like utilities and communication services, particularly benefiting from AI-related developments [19][20] - The health care sector faced challenges due to regulatory concerns and rising medical costs, impacting major companies like UnitedHealth Group [21] Portfolio Positioning - A shift towards value-oriented investments is noted, with sectors tied to industrial activity and energy production expected to benefit from infrastructure rebuilding [23] - The strategy emphasizes the importance of companies with pricing power and real assets, as traditional safe havens face valuation pressures [23] Outlook - The U.S. economy is currently supported by fiscal expansion, but concerns about sustainability are rising, with tariffs and immigration policies likely to increase inflation and reduce growth [26][27] - Opportunities are identified in real assets like gold and copper, which serve as hedges against inflation and geopolitical risks [27]

Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation has applied for a voluntary delisting of its common shares from the Toronto Stock Exchange, expected to be effective around September 24, 2025, while maintaining its primary listing on the New York Stock Exchange and supporting its listing on the Australian Securities Exchange [1]. Group 1 - Newmont Corporation's common shares will be delisted from the Toronto Stock Exchange [1]. - The delisting is anticipated to take effect on or about the close of trading on September 24, 2025 [1]. - The company continues to support its listings on the Australian Securities Exchange in addition to its primary listing on the New York Stock Exchange [1].