Oracle Stock Drops 11% After Second Quarter Revenue Misses Estimateshttps://t.co/761JgQojl4 https://t.co/k9Mbgv69d3 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Remaining performance obligations (RPO) reached $523.3 billion, up 433% year over year, with a $68 billion increase since August [5] - Total cloud revenue was $8 billion, up 33%, with cloud infrastructure revenue at $4.1 billion, up 66% [6] - Total revenues for the quarter were $16.1 billion, up 13%, and operating income grew 8% to $6.7 billion [7] - Non-GAAP EPS was $2.26, up 51%, while GAAP EPS was $2.10, up 86% [7] - Operating cash flow was $2.1 billion, while free cash flow was negative $10 billion due to $12 billion in CapEx [8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cloud applications revenue was $3.9 billion, up 11%, with strategic back office applications revenue at $2.4 billion, up 16% [7] - Cloud database services revenue increased by 30%, with autonomous database revenue up 43% and multi-cloud consumption up 817% [6][15] - Fusion ERP grew by 17%, Fusion SCM by 18%, and Fusion HCM by 14% [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cloud infrastructure business grew at an accelerating 66% year over year, driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure [12] - Multi-cloud database consumption increased by 817% year over year, with 11 multi-cloud regions launched [15][16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining profitability while expanding its cloud services, with a commitment to an investment-grade debt rating [9][10] - The integration of AI capabilities into its database and applications is a key strategy, with the Oracle AI Data Platform enabling multi-step reasoning on private data [20][21] - The company aims to leverage its unique combination of infrastructure and applications to differentiate itself from competitors [12][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the operational and financial strength to execute successfully, with significant demand for cloud services [10] - The company expects total cloud revenue growth of 37%-41% in constant currency for Q3, with total revenues expected to grow from 16% to 18% [11] Other Important Information - The company recognized a pre-tax gain of $2.7 billion from the sale of its interest in Ampere [7] - The company is expanding its customer base and partnerships, with significant growth in marketplace consumption [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Funding for AI Growth Plans - The company has various options for funding its AI growth, including customer chip contributions and leasing arrangements, expecting to need less than $100 billion for buildouts [36][39] Question: OCI Margins for AI Workloads - The timeline for OCI margins to reach 30%-40% depends on the mix of data centers and the speed of capacity delivery [42][45] Question: Selling Additional Platform Services - The company has made its database available across multiple clouds and is enhancing its database capabilities to support AI models, which increases the value of its offerings [48][50] Question: Fungibility of Infrastructure - The company can quickly transfer capacity between customers, with a process that takes hours [56][58] Question: Cash Flow for Data Centers - The cash flow for data centers is structured to incur no expenses until they are operational, with various models affecting cash flow dynamics [60][63] Question: Confidence in Applications Business Growth - The company is optimistic about its applications business due to its unique position in offering complete application suites with integrated AI features [68][72]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Remaining performance obligations (RPO) ended at $523.3 billion, up 433% year over year, with a $68 billion increase since August [5] - Total cloud revenue was $8 billion, up 33%, with cloud revenue now accounting for half of Oracle's overall revenue [5] - Total revenues for the quarter were $16.1 billion, up 13%, higher than the 9% growth reported in Q2 last year [6] - Non-GAAP EPS was $2.26, up 51%, while GAAP EPS was $2.10, up 86% [6] - Operating cash flow was $2.1 billion, while free cash flow was negative $10 billion due to $12 billion in CapEx [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cloud infrastructure revenue was $4.1 billion, up 66%, with GPU-related revenue growing 177% [5] - Cloud applications revenue was $3.9 billion, up 11%, with strategic back office applications revenue at $2.4 billion, up 16% [6] - Multi-cloud consumption increased by 817% year over year [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Oracle's cloud infrastructure business continues to grow faster than competitors, with significant demand for AI infrastructure [11] - The company operates 147 live customer-facing regions with 64 more planned, indicating strong market expansion [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining investment-grade debt rating while exploring various funding options for growth [8] - Oracle aims to synchronize payments with receipts to minimize borrowing needs, emphasizing a strategic approach to capital expenditures [8] - The integration of AI into database and application services is a key strategy, with a focus on delivering enterprise-grade AI solutions [19][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the healthy customer backlog and operational strength to execute future growth [9] - The company expects $4 billion of additional revenue in FY27 due to added RPO from Q2 [9] - Guidance for Q3 includes total cloud revenue growth expected between 37%-41% in constant currency [10] Other Important Information - The company recognized a pre-tax gain of $2.7 billion from the sale of its interest in Ampere [6] - The launch of new AI models and partnerships is expected to enhance customer experience and drive OCI consumption [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: How much money does Oracle need to raise to fund its AI growth plans? - Management indicated that they expect to need less than the $100 billion anticipated by analysts, thanks to various funding models that minimize upfront capital expenditures [36][39] Question: How long will it take for AI margins across OCI data centers to ramp up? - Management stated that the time to ramp up margins is a couple of months, depending on the mix of data centers and the speed of capacity delivery [42][44] Question: How is Oracle thinking about selling additional platform services? - Management highlighted the importance of making the Oracle database available across multiple clouds and integrating AI capabilities to enhance data value [47][49] Question: What would be required to convert a data center from one customer to another? - Management explained that the process of reallocating capacity between customers is efficient, taking only hours due to the technology and demand in place [55][56] Question: Why is there confidence in the applications business despite industry trends? - Management attributed confidence to the unique position of Oracle in offering complete application suites with integrated AI, leading to significant growth in industry applications [66][70]

本文源自：金融界AI电报 甲骨文盘后跌幅扩大至10%，因云业务销售逊于预期。 ...

Market Trends & Dynamics - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up approximately 500 points, representing a 1% increase [2] - The NASDAQ Composite experienced a rise of three-tenths of a percent, recovering from earlier losses [2] - The S&P 500 is just slightly below its all-time high from October [2] - Optimism is prevalent in the market, with potential for the S&P 500 to reach 8,000 points if the Federal Reserve continues easing [11] - Interactive Brokers anticipates a Santa Claus rally, potentially pushing the S&P 500 past the 7,000 milestone [12] Interest Rates & Monetary Policy - The 10-year Treasury note is at 416%, up by approximately two basis points, and the 30-year Treasury note is at 488% [3] - The Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by a quarter point led to rhetoric suggesting a cautious approach [6][7] - The market has already priced in expectations of another rate cut [44] - Apollo internally believes there is no need for a rate cut based on current data [41] Company Performance & Earnings (Oracle & Adobe) - Oracle's Q2 adjusted EPS beat expectations at $226 versus a consensus of $164, but revenue was slightly below estimates at $1606 billion versus $1621 billion [13] - Oracle's Q2 cloud revenue was $8 billion, slightly below the street estimate of $804 billion, while cloud infrastructure revenue was $41 billion, exceeding the estimate of $409 billion [14] - Oracle's remaining performance obligations (RPOs) grew sequentially by $68 billion to $523 billion, indicating new commitments from Meta, Nvidia, and others [19] - Adobe's Q4 adjusted EPS was $550, surpassing the street estimate of $539, and revenue reached $619 billion, exceeding the estimate of $611 billion [36] AI & Data Centers - Oracle executives had previously convinced the street they were an AI winner, but concerns arose regarding customer concentration risk with OpenAI and debt risk related to data center buildout [16] - The demand for data centers is strong, but the return on equity is a function of renewal, with uncertainty surrounding energy usage and technology [56][57] - Concerns exist regarding the debt levels of some tech companies funding their AI ambitions, particularly for intermediaries who are large owners of data capacity [60][61] Private Markets & Credit - Much of the financial press focuses on levered lending when discussing private credit, but most private credit is investment grade [48] - Investors are using levered lending to reduce risk, moving money out of equity or high-yield bonds [51] - Defaults in well-underwritten credit usually have strong recoveries and are not necessarily a sign of something wrong in the economy [54]

Market Overview - The Dow ended the session up about 500 points or 1%, with the NASDAQ composite up 0.3% and the S&P 500 just below its all-time high from October [2][10] - The 10-year Treasury note eased to 4.16%, while the 30-year Treasury stood at 4.8% [3] - The US dollar index eased, and gold and silver futures edged higher [4] Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve delivered its third rate cut of the year, cutting by a quarter point [6] - Experts described the cut as cautious, with expectations for one more rate cut next year, although the range of projections is wide [7][8] - Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized a risk-friendly tone regarding productivity and growth, suggesting productivity may be running at about 2% [8] Company Earnings - Oracle - Oracle's Q2 adjusted EPS was $2.26, beating the consensus of $1.64, while revenue was $16.06 billion, slightly below the estimate of $16.21 billion [13] - The Q2 operating margin was reported at 42%, just below the expected 42.2% [14] - Cloud revenue was $8 billion, slightly below the estimate of $8.04 billion, while cloud infrastructure revenue was $4.1 billion, above the estimate of $4.09 billion [14][15] Market Sentiment and Predictions - There is optimism in the market, with predictions that the S&P 500 could exceed the 7,000 milestone soon [12] - Analysts noted that the last interest rate decision has set the stage for a potential Santa Claus rally [12] - JP Morgan's bullish outlook suggested the S&P 500 could reach as high as 8,000 points if the Fed continues to ease [11] Company Earnings - Adobe - Adobe reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $5.50, beating the street estimate of $5.39, with revenue of $6.19 billion, above the expected $6.11 billion [36] - The guidance for Q1 adjusted EPS is between $5.85 to $5.90, exceeding the street estimate of $5.66 [36] Private Markets Insights - Apollo Global's CEO discussed the importance of maintaining confidence in the financial system amidst high government borrowing [41][44] - The definition of private credit is often misunderstood, with most private credit being investment grade rather than levered lending [48] - Concerns were raised about the debt levels of tech companies funding AI ambitions, particularly among intermediaries without diversified business models [60]

每经AI快讯，12月11日，甲骨文盘后股价跌幅扩大至10%。 ...

来源：滚动播报 甲骨文股价跌幅扩大至10%，受资本支出预期影响。 ...

美国联邦储备委员会12月10日宣布，将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点到3.5%至3.75%之间。这是美联储继9月17日、10月29日降息后年内的第三次降 息，幅度均为25个基点。 12月10日，美联储主席鲍威尔就委员会降息决定发表讲话。鲍威尔表示，美联储的货币政策行动以促进美国民众充分就业和物价稳定的双重使命为指导。 在当日的会议上，委员会决定降息25个基点，短期内通胀风险偏向上行，就业风险偏向下行，形势充满挑战。通过当日的决定，委员会在过去三次会议上 已累计下调政策利率0.75个百分点。此举有助于稳定劳动力市场，并在关税影响消退后，使通胀恢复至2%的下降趋势。 鲍威尔称，自9月以来，委员会对政策立场的调整使其处于中性预期范围内，这使他们能够根据最新数据、不断变化的经济前景以及风险平衡，更好地确定 政策利率进一步调整的幅度和时机。 鲍威尔表示，在联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）的经济预测总结中，与会者分别就各自认为最有可能的经济情景下联邦基金利率的适当路径进行了评估。 2026年底联邦基金利率的预测中值为3.4%，2027年底为3.1%，与9月份的预测持平。然而，这些预测存在不确定性，并非委员会的计划或决定 ...

Core Viewpoint - Oracle's recent Q2 earnings report showed results that were largely in line with expectations, but raised questions about financing for future growth and AI-related investments [2][4]. Financial Performance - The reported numbers were slightly above expectations on the top line, with RPO (Remaining Performance Obligations) aligning with pre-announced figures [2]. - Shares of Oracle are currently under pressure, down approximately 4% following the earnings report [1]. Market Reactions - The stock's decline is attributed to uncertainty regarding how Oracle will finance its growth and meet RPO demands, with the upcoming earnings call expected to provide more clarity [3][5]. - There is a focus on potential financing alternatives, including the possibility of shareholder dilution or seeking funds from sovereign wealth funds [5][6]. Strategic Positioning - Oracle's strategy includes offloading Ampear to SoftBank, which is aimed at developing AI-specific chips, contrasting with other hyperscalers like Amazon and Microsoft that are designing their own chips [6][7]. - The company aims to maintain a strong partnership with Nvidia, which is crucial for its AI infrastructure strategy, as dependency on a single supplier is a concern for long-term margins [8][9].