Core Viewpoint - Palantir's stock has seen a significant decline of over 11% this week despite a better-than-expected earnings report, leading CEO Alex Karp to criticize short sellers for market manipulation [1][2]. Company Performance - Palantir's stock is up 135% in 2025 and has increased 25-fold over the past three years, raising the company's market cap to over $420 billion [4]. - The stock currently trades at approximately 220 times forward earnings, a valuation that is significantly higher than competitors like Nvidia and Meta, which have forward price-to-earnings ratios of about 33 and 22, respectively [4]. Market Sentiment - Karp has publicly targeted short sellers, particularly after investor Michael Burry's bets against Palantir and Nvidia, accusing them of harming the economy and misrepresenting the company's financial health [2][3]. - Citron Research's Andrew Left has described Palantir as "detached from fundamentals," suggesting a target price of $40, while the stock closed at $177.93 [5].

Core Insights - The tech sector experienced its largest weekly decline since April, with the S&P 500 Information Technology Sector Index down 4.2% in the first week of November [2][3][4] - Despite the recent pullback, tech remains the best-performing sector in the S&P 500 for the year, following a significant rally over the past six months [5][6] Market Performance - The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund lost approximately 4.2% for the week, mirroring the decline in the broader tech sector [2] - The Nasdaq-100 has seen a nearly 60% increase from its April low to its recent high, indicating strong performance prior to the current selloff [6] Individual Stock Movements - Major tech stocks like Microsoft and Meta both saw declines of about 4% this week, despite reporting earnings that exceeded expectations [7] - High-growth stocks faced even steeper losses, with Palantir Technologies dropping over 11% for the week, and Nvidia down 7% ahead of its earnings call [8]

Group 1 - Retail investors turned into net sellers of single stocks and reduced ETF purchases as the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell over 2% [1] - Cash equity purchases totaled $8.1 billion, significantly above the 2025 weekly average of $6.2 billion, indicating a major buying spree in mega-cap tech stocks [1] - The "most hyped" stocks among retail investors included Beyond Meat, Nokia, POET Technologies, UiPath, Palantir, Nvidia, and Chipotle, reflecting a shift in interest away from gold and bitcoin [6] Group 2 - Institutional investors are divided on market outlook, with JPMorgan recommending buying dips, while billionaire Ray Dalio anticipates a short-term rally followed by a sell-off driven by the Federal Reserve [3] - The stock market's favorite tech stocks experienced valuation-driven sell-offs, leading to increased volatility and investor caution [4] - Labor market data showed the deepest October job cuts in 22 years, contributing to investor anxiety over high valuations [5]

Macro Economic Overview - The government shutdown has led to a significant impact on the economy, with fears of a sobering surprise once jobs data resumes [3][6] - Challenger Grey and Christmas reported over 150,000 job cuts in October, marking an increase of more than 180% from September and about 175% from October 2024 [3][4] - Year-to-date job cuts have reached 1.1 million, already 44% higher than the total for all of 2024 [4] Job Market Trends - The job cuts are attributed to a correction from the pandemic hiring boom, structural changes due to AI adoption, and cyclical softening in consumer and corporate spending [5] - The ongoing government shutdown is exacerbating economic concerns, affecting consumer spending, particularly in programs like SNAP [7][8] AI Sector Earnings and Market Sentiment - Recent earnings reports from AI companies show signs of investor sentiment weakening, with Palantir's stock dropping 8% despite beating expectations [11][12] - Concerns about valuation are prevalent, as stocks like AMD and Nvidia also experienced declines after reporting better-than-expected earnings [13][15] - Investors are increasingly cautious, seeking strong execution from AI companies to justify high valuations [14][18] Valuation Concerns in Tech Stocks - The market is witnessing a "show me" situation where investors demand tangible results from AI spending amid a murky economic outlook [20] - Companies like Uber and DoorDash have faced stock price declines due to cautious guidance and significant spending plans for the future [19][20] Bitcoin's Volatility and Speculative Investments - Bitcoin has dropped below $100,000 for the first time since May, down about 20% from its high, reflecting a shift in speculative sentiment [21][22] - Bitcoin's performance is seen as a proxy for speculative investment trends, often the first asset to be trimmed when investors seek safety [22] Upcoming Earnings and Economic Indicators - Upcoming earnings to watch include CoreWeave, Disney, Alibaba, and Tyson Foods, which may provide insights into consumer behavior and economic conditions [23][24][25]

Market Overview - U.S. equity markets faced a broad retreat on November 7, 2025, primarily due to a sell-off in technology stocks, driven by concerns over inflated valuations in the AI sector and a prolonged government shutdown [1][10] - All three major indexes are on track for their steepest weekly losses in months, with the Nasdaq Composite poised for its worst weekly performance since March [1][2] Major Index Performance - The Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) declined approximately 1.5% to 2% in afternoon trading, following a 1.9% drop on Thursday [2] - The S&P 500 (SPX) fell between 0.9% and 1.2% by mid-afternoon, after a 1.1% decline on Thursday [2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) was down around 0.5% to 0.8% in afternoon trading, closing 0.8% lower on Thursday [2] Volatility and Investor Sentiment - The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) surged by 8.3%, reaching its highest level in over two weeks, indicating increased investor nervousness [3] - The current market unease is exacerbated by the ongoing government shutdown, which has led to a "data blackout" affecting crucial economic releases [6] Sector Performance - There is a notable rotation out of high-growth technology stocks, with the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) slipping 2% and 2.3% respectively [4] - The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) advanced by 1%, indicating a defensive shift in investor portfolios towards traditional and value-oriented sectors [5] Corporate Developments - Tesla (TSLA) shares fell 3.3% to 4% despite shareholder approval of CEO Elon Musk's $1 trillion compensation package [13] - Chipmakers like Nvidia (NVDA) and Broadcom (AVGO) faced significant pressure, with declines of 3.8% and 4.6% respectively, reflecting caution regarding high valuations in AI-related stocks [13] - Payments company Block (SQ) slumped 9.8% to 10.5% after disappointing third-quarter earnings [13] - Conversely, Peloton (PTON) and Expedia Group (EXPE) saw significant gains of 3.4% to 6.1% and 16.6% to 17.3% respectively, following better-than-expected earnings [13]

Market Overview - The market has experienced a shaky week, with stocks needing to pull back and consolidate to build bases for future growth [2][3][4] - Technical analysis is emphasized as crucial for understanding price action and market trends [4] Micron Technology - Micron is highlighted as a strong pick, trading near all-time highs and up 170% year-to-date [5][6] - The company has significant exposure to DRAM, which is essential for AI and computing hardware [6] - Micron's stock has shown less volatility compared to other tech stocks, indicating resilience [7][8] - Key technical levels include a support level around 214 and a resistance level at 246.41 [10][11] Palantir Technologies - Palantir has seen a significant pullback despite strong earnings, with a current trading range between 170 and 187 [15][21] - The stock is still up over 200% in the last 12 months, indicating long-term strength [26] - Technical indicators show a bearish shift, with resistance levels at 21-day and 63-day moving averages [23][24] Motorsport Games - Motorsport Games has surged over 70% recently, attracting speculative interest [26][27] - The company is noted for being one of the few small caps that is currently profitable, which is rare in the sector [28] - Key trading levels to watch include 380 to 390 for potential support [32] - The stock's recent performance is characterized by significant volatility, with an overbought RSI indicating strength [35][36]

Core Insights - Leading artificial intelligence stocks, including Nvidia, Palantir, and AMD, experienced significant declines this week amid concerns about an "AI bubble" and profit-taking by investors [1][6] - Palantir's stock fell nearly 15% this week, marking its worst performance since February, as enthusiasm for its AI platform waned [2] - Nvidia's stock dropped over 10%, resulting in a loss of $500 million in market capitalization, as investors questioned its valuation [4] - AMD faced a nearly 12% decline, its weakest week since March, as investors doubted its ability to compete with Nvidia and justify its valuation [5] - The combined market cap losses for AMD, Palantir, and Nvidia reached hundreds of billions, reigniting discussions about the potential AI stock bubble [6]

Market Overview - The Nasdaq composite fell sharply by 1.9%, hitting its 50-day moving average, while the S&P 500 lost 1.1% and the Dow Jones slipped 0.7% [17][14] - The Innovator IBD 50 ETF, which tracks leading growth names, plunged 3% after breaking below its own 50-day average [17][13] - Market breadth weakened, with Nasdaq decliners outpacing advancers 2-to-1, indicating a significant pullback from tech stocks [15][17] Consumer Sentiment and Economic Indicators - The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index dropped to 50.3, missing expectations of 53.2, signaling a decline in economic confidence [12][17] - Inflation expectations increased to 4.7% from 4.6%, indicating renewed concerns about household spending and price pressures [12][17] Company Earnings and Stock Performance - Take-Two Interactive's stock crashed 9% after delaying the release of Grand Theft Auto 6 until November 2026, despite profits doubling to $1.46 per share on $1.77 billion revenue, up 31% [10][17] - Expedia surged 17% on record bookings and strong earnings, while Akamai jumped 11% after positive results [11][17] - Century Aluminum gained 14% after reporting 17% quarterly revenue growth to $632 million [11][17] AI Sector and Market Sentiment - Major AI stocks like Nvidia and Palantir have seen substantial declines, contributing to a broader market correction, with Nvidia dropping over 4% after the U.S. blocked sales of its AI chips to China [9][17] - The AI bubble shows signs of bursting, with the Bloomberg AI Index correcting about 4% after a previous surge of 30-40% [3][17] - Analysts warn that the market may have outrun fundamentals, leading to rapid deleveraging and valuation resets in AI-heavy sectors [6][17] Regulatory and Legal Risks - Regulatory pressures and legal risks are expected to increase, potentially accelerating the deflation of premium AI stock valuations [7][17] - Analysts caution that continued weakness in leading growth names could lead to a broader market correction of 10-20% or more if earnings disappoint or economic conditions worsen [7][17]

Take a look at shares of Palunteer down about 15% this week after earnings. A short seller and bigger questions about the AI trade overall. Joining us here in Pebble Beach at the Croup Tech Conference is Palanteer CEO Alex Karp.Great to see you. >> Very nice to see you. >> So, I mentioned the stock down 15% this week.Broader sort of AI questions. Have has anything changed about the fundamentals that that you can tell people to reassure them when they're wondering whether all of the AI hype is going to be wo ...

Core Viewpoint - Palantir's stock has seen a decline of approximately 15% this week, raising concerns about the overall AI market and the company's fundamentals [1][2]. Company Performance - Palantir reported a remarkable growth rate of 121% in the U.S. market and an aggregate growth of 77% [3]. - The company claims to have achieved a "rule of 114" score, which is considered exceptional in enterprise software, indicating strong performance [2][3]. Investment Perspective - Palantir has delivered significant returns for investors, with a reported increase of 1000% for those who invested in the company over the past few years [4]. - The CEO emphasized that even average investors have outperformed prestigious endowments, highlighting the company's strong financial results [4]. Market Sentiment - There are concerns regarding Palantir's high price-to-sales ratio, which is the highest in the S&P 500, leading some to question if it is too late to invest [4]. - The CEO expressed confidence in the company's growth trajectory, suggesting that the current numbers indicate positive underlying trends [5]. Government and Defense Sector - A significant portion of Palantir's revenue, over half, comes from government contracts, particularly in defense [11]. - The company remains committed to supporting military operations globally, regardless of potential government shutdowns [12]. Role of AI in Defense - The integration of AI and software in military operations has become crucial, with successful operations relying heavily on these technologies [13]. - Palantir's advancements in AI and machine learning have reportedly led to better outcomes in military engagements, minimizing civilian casualties [15].