RT Token Terminal 📊 (@tokenterminal)The quarterly transfer volume for @PayPal's PYUSD on @ethereum is at an all-time high, up ~260% YoY.Ethereum 🤝 Publicly listed fintech companies https://t.co/dljzPPh0Lf ...

Core Insights - PayPal Holdings, Inc. is valued at $71.3 billion and has been a leader in the fintech industry for over two decades, with its mobile payment service Venmo particularly popular among younger generations [1] Financial Performance - PayPal is set to announce its third-quarter results on October 28, with analysts expecting an adjusted EPS of $1.20, remaining flat year-over-year [2] - For the full fiscal year 2025, PayPal's adjusted EPS is projected to be $5.24, reflecting a 12.7% increase from $4.65 in fiscal 2024, and a further increase to $5.79 per share in fiscal 2026, representing a 10.5% year-over-year growth [3] Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, PayPal's stock has declined by 6.2%, underperforming the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund's 18% increase and the S&P 500 Index's 17.4% gains [4] - Following the release of its Q2 results on July 29, PayPal's stock price dropped by 8.7%, despite reporting a 5% year-over-year revenue increase to $8.3 billion and a non-GAAP EPS rise of 18% to $1.40, which exceeded expectations [5] Analyst Sentiment - The consensus rating for PayPal is "Moderate Buy," with 41 analysts providing a mix of recommendations: 12 "Strong Buys," 2 "Moderate Buys," 24 "Holds," and 3 "Strong Sells." The mean price target is $80.66, indicating a modest 6% upside potential from current levels [6]

Core Insights - PayPal Holdings (PYPL) stock increased by 4.7% following the announcement of the PayPal Ads Manager, a platform aimed at small businesses to monetize website traffic and create new revenue streams, set to launch in early 2026 [1][8] Group 1: PayPal Ads Manager - The Ads Manager is designed to support small to medium businesses in advertising, leveraging PayPal's extensive merchant base across over 200 markets [2] - The launch of Ads Manager positions PayPal to tap into the growing retail media sector, which has become a multi-billion-dollar industry [2][8] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - PayPal has introduced several initiatives, including a 5% cash back offer on Buy Now, Pay Later purchases for U.S. customers until the end of the year [3] - The company has launched PayPal World for global wallet interoperability and formed a partnership with Google to enhance payment experiences [3][4] Group 3: AI Investments - PayPal is investing heavily in AI for personalized commerce, fraud detection, and expanding cryptocurrency integration within its app [4] - The focus on emerging markets indicates PayPal's ambition to evolve into a comprehensive commerce platform beyond just payments [4] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Amazon Ads generated $15.69 billion in sales in Q2 2025, reflecting a 23% year-over-year increase, highlighting the competitive environment in the advertising space [5] - Walmart's advertising arm, Walmart Connect, saw revenues increase by 31% year-over-year in Q1 of fiscal 2026, showcasing the growth potential in retail media [6] Group 5: Financial Performance - PayPal shares have declined by 11.4% year-to-date, underperforming the broader industry and the S&P 500 Index [7] - The stock is trading at a forward 12-month P/E of 13.17X, significantly lower than the industry average of 22.01X, indicating a potentially undervalued position [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PayPal's full-year 2025 EPS suggests a 12.5% growth year-over-year, reflecting positive revisions in estimates [10]

Core Thesis - PayPal Holdings, Inc. is experiencing a bullish sentiment driven by share buybacks and a reduction in share count, enhancing shareholder value and ownership per share [1][6]. Share Count and Market Capitalization - PayPal's share count has decreased by approximately 13% from 1.098 billion shares in 2023 to 955 million shares in 2025, coinciding with a share price increase from $60 to $67.66, resulting in a market capitalization of $64.61 billion compared to $65.88 billion in 2023 [2]. Shareholder Value Enhancement - The reduction in shares means each dollar invested now represents a larger ownership stake, creating more value per share. PayPal repurchased 41 million shares at an average cost of $72.42, yielding 3.7% relative to the total company [3][4]. Efficiency of Buyback Program - The same number of shares repurchased in 2025 at a similar price generated a 4.3% yield due to the smaller share base, indicating a compounding benefit from the buyback strategy. Lower stock-based compensation (SBC) has also contributed, decreasing from $768 million in 2022 to $573 million in 2025 [4][5]. Long-term Strategy and Monitoring - If the current strategy of buybacks and reduced dilution continues, it could lead to improved returns for investors without increasing overall buyback spending. Monitoring the execution of this strategy will be crucial for long-term shareholder value creation [5]. Hedge Fund Interest - PayPal is not among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds, with 89 hedge fund portfolios holding PYPL at the end of Q2, down from 92 in the previous quarter [7].

Industry Overview - The mobile payments market is experiencing rapid growth due to the shift from cash to digital transactions, driven by convenience and security [1][2] - Increased internet penetration and smartphone usage are contributing to the adoption of digital payments, transforming everyday transactions [2] - Industry players are diversifying contactless payment options, including mobile wallets, biometrics, and QR codes, to solidify their market presence and diversify income streams [3] Company Insights Mastercard Inc. (MA) - Mastercard's acquisitions are expanding its addressable markets and driving new revenue streams, with expected net revenue growth of 16% year-over-year in 2025 [7] - The company is leveraging AI technologies across various operations, enhancing security and customer experiences [8] - Mastercard has an expected revenue growth rate of 15.1% and earnings growth rate of 11.8% for the current year [10] Visa Inc. (V) - Visa's strong market position is supported by consistent volume-driven growth, acquisitions, and technological leadership in digital payments [11] - The company has invested $3.5 billion in rebuilding its data platform, which helps prevent $40 billion in fraud attempts annually [14] - Visa has an expected revenue growth rate of 10.8% and earnings growth rate of 12.3% for the current year [14] PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) - PayPal is experiencing robust growth in total payment volume, with strengthening customer engagement and improving monetization efforts on its platform [15][16] - The company is leveraging AI to enhance fraud detection and operational efficiency [17] - PayPal has an expected revenue growth rate of 4% and earnings growth rate of 12.5% for the current year [17] Capital One Financial Corp. (COF) - Capital One's growth is driven by opportunistic acquisitions, including Discover Financial, reshaping its credit card business [18] - The company expects net interest income to rise 31.5% in 2025, supported by solid credit card and online banking operations [19] - Capital One has an expected revenue growth rate of 34.4% and earnings growth rate of 21.9% for the current year [20] Green Dot Corp. (GDOT) - Green Dot operates as a pro-consumer bank holding company, offering products and services through a national distribution platform [21] - The company has three reportable segments: Consumer Services, B2B Services, and Money Movement Services, with revenues derived from various transaction-based services [22] - Green Dot has an expected revenue growth rate of 20.3% and earnings growth rate of -1.5% for the current year [23]

I’m a long-term, value-focused investor and the founder of Pilea Invest, a private family investments partnership. Over the past five years, I’ve built a concentrated, research-driven portfolio rooted in fundamentals, with a strong focus on free cash flow, capital allocation, and downside protection. My approach is inspired by the thinking of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, looking for businesses I can understand, with durable economics, disciplined leadership, and a fair or undervalued price. My investm ...

Core Insights - PayPal has launched PayPal Ads Manager to assist small businesses in creating retail media networks, aiming to generate billions of new advertising impressions for brands of all sizes [2][3] - Retail media networks are identified as a multi-billion-dollar industry, allowing businesses to monetize advertising on their websites and apps, a space traditionally dominated by large enterprises [2][3] Company Positioning - PayPal claims it is "uniquely positioned" to support small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) in advertising due to its existing relationships with tens of millions of merchants globally [3] - The company emphasizes that small businesses have been excluded from the retail media revolution, which is reshaping revenue generation for major retailers [3] Advertising Model - PayPal Ads Manager aims to enable small businesses to engage in high-margin advertising models similar to those used by larger companies, creating thousands of new advertising placements for brands [4] - The introduction of this service is expected to transform the advertising landscape for small businesses, providing them with access to profitable advertising opportunities [4] Benefits of Retail Media Networks - Retail media networks offer merchants valuable insights and analytics, enhancing their ability to measure and attribute advertising effectiveness in real-time [5] - This capability allows retailers to better understand customer behavior and optimize their eCommerce strategies based on data-driven insights [5] Additional Offerings - PayPal has also announced a 5% cash back incentive for American customers using its Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) program, aimed at providing financial flexibility during the holiday shopping season [6]

Core Insights - PayPal Holdings (PYPL) is launching a 5% cash back incentive for U.S. customers using its Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) service for online purchases from October 6, 2025, through the end of the year, aiming to enhance holiday spending and support merchant growth [1][9] - The company is also introducing a "Pay Monthly" option for in-store purchases, which will provide the same 5% cash back and flexibility at checkout, with a rollout planned over the coming weeks [2][9] - Over 80% of consumers who have used or considered BNPL are open to using it for holiday shopping this year, indicating a strong opportunity for merchants to increase sales and customer loyalty through flexible payment options [3] Company Performance - PayPal is a leading provider of BNPL services globally, with its BNPL solution available in major markets, allowing shoppers to split purchases into manageable payments while earning cash back [4] - In Q2 2025, BNPL volume for PayPal grew over 20% year over year, and monthly active accounts increased by 18%, demonstrating strong consumer engagement [5] - PayPal shares have declined 16.4% year to date, underperforming the broader industry and the S&P 500 Index [8] Valuation and Estimates - PayPal shares are currently trading at a discount, with a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 12.59X compared to the Zacks Financial Transaction Services industry's 20.21X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for full-year 2025 EPS has been revised upward, suggesting a 12.5% growth year over year [13] - PayPal holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook for the stock [17]

Group 1: Market Overview - The market is currently experiencing a government shutdown, which has implications for economic data and decision-making [2][4] - There are signs of a cooling labor market, which may lead to expectations for rate cuts [3][4] Group 2: IBM - IBM is highlighted as a strong investment due to its focus on AI and enterprise architecture, particularly following its partnership with Anthropic [6][7] - The company has multiple revenue streams, including AI and tokenization, positioning it well for an "efficiency rally" [8][9] - IBM's stock has seen significant upward movement, with a more than 30% increase over the past year [17] Group 3: PayPal - PayPal is recognized for its diverse revenue streams and its recent entry into the buy now pay later market, offering 5% back to customers [18][28] - The company is also focusing on stable coins, which could benefit from a favorable regulatory environment [19][20] - PayPal's stock is currently viewed as neutral in the short term but bullish in the long term, with technical indicators suggesting potential upward movement [21][27] Group 4: Netflix - Netflix is identified as a growth opportunity, particularly with its expansion into ad-supported content and live events [30][31] - The stock has shown a 70% increase over the past year, indicating strong performance [40] - Technical analysis suggests a potential breakout above key resistance levels, although the RSI has not yet confirmed a bullish trend [35][39]

PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ:PYPL) stock gained 4.1% in late Tuesday morning trading after the fintech unveiled an ad network that's intended to generate revenue for tens of millions of small businesses that use PayPal. That announcement comes just a day after ...