I wrote my first article on Qifu Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: QFIN ) back in October 2024, since then, the stock has climbed around 13%, and I assume there is still a lot of room for growth.I am a financial writer with a degree in Finance. In my five-year career, I have worked with two financial companies. I keep a close eye on Energy, Banking, and Tech stocks. My main focus is fundamental analysis and looking at the long-term position of a stock instead of short-term analysis. The main reason I joined Seeking ...

First, Qihoo 360, a sister company of QFIN, is currently included on the US DoD Chinese Military Company list, or CMC. We do not believe this directly impactsAstrada Advisors delivers actionable recommendations that enhance portfolio performance and uncover alpha opportunities, supported by a strong track record in investment research at leading global investment banks. With expertise spanning technology, media, internet, and consumer sectors in North America and Asia, Astrada Advisors excels in identifying ...

Qifu Technology, Inc. (QFIN) stock has shown exceptional growth over the past six months. The stock has skyrocketed 104.4%, outperforming the 50.5% rally of the industry and 11.4% growth of the Zacks S&P 500 composite.QFIN’s performance is significantly higher than that of its competitors, SLM Corporation (SLM) and OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) . SLM and OMF have risen 36.3% and 15.4% in the same period, respectively.Six Months Price Performance Image Source: Zacks Investment Research As of the last trading ...

The first half of 2024 was favorable for emerging market investment. Investors increased their exposure in this market despite China’s property crisis and the poor consumption patterns of several emerging geographies. The extremely tightened monetary policy of the United States made investors think that the central banks of the emerging economies would tame their interest rates ahead of the Fed to control their financial instabilities.Accordingly, the first half of 2024 experienced a significant rally, with ...

Momentum investing revolves around the idea of following a stock's recent trend in either direction. In the 'long' context, investors will be essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." With this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving that way. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.While many investors like to look for moment ...

Now you can get access to the latest and highest-quality analysis of recent Wall Street buying and selling ideas with just one subscription to Beyond the Wall Investing ! There is a free trial and a special discount of 10% for you. Join us today! Qifu Technology (NASDAQ: QFIN ), headquartered in Shanghai, China, operates a credit-tech platform under the 360 Jietiao brand, providing credit-based services such as borrower-lender matching, credit verification, risk management, and post-loan facilitation servic ...

Qifu Technology, Inc. (QFIN) stock has shown remarkable growth over the past six months. The stock has skyrocketed 93.9%, outperforming the 42.1% rally of the industry and 14.6% growth of the Zacks S&P 500 composite.QFIN’s performance is significantly higher than its competitors, SLM Corporation (SLM) and Credit Acceptance Corporation (CACC) . SLM and CACC have gained 33.9% and 3.4% for the same period, respectively.Six Months Price Performance Image Source: Zacks Investment Research As of the last trading ...

I am a conservative yet opportunistic value investor who has been investing since 2005. I am fact-driven, preferring to let financial data inform me of a company's health, followed by qualitative analysis to fill in the gaps to paint a holistic picture of a company's growth prospects.My work is published on two platforms, Seeking Alpha and FAST Graphs (https://fastgraphs.com/blog/category/research-articles/).I appreciate everyone who reads my research and especially those who drop me questions and comments ...

交银国际研究 公司更新 收盘价 目标价 潜在涨幅 美元 32.37 美元 38.40↑ +18.6% 金融科技 2024 年 11 月 20 日 奇富科技 (QFIN US) 3 季度盈利超出指引，股票回购力度加大 盈利增长强劲，超出公司此前指引。2024 年 3 季度 Non-GAAP 净利润为 18.3 亿（人民币，下同），同/环比+54.5%/+29.1%，超出公司此前指引 （15.5-16.5 亿元）。3 季度净收入同/环比+2.1%/+5.1%，盈利显著增长主 要来自 take rate 上升和拨备回拨的贡献（9.1 亿元，对比 2 季度 4.8 亿 元）。公司指引 4 季度 Non-GAAP 净利润为 18-19 亿元人民币之间，对应 同比增速在 57-65%，意味着 2024 年 Non-GAAP 净利润将超过 62 亿元，增 速超过 40%。 促成贷款环比恢复正增长，轻资产模式占比进一步提升。3 季度促成贷款 环比增长 13%，贷款余额环比增长 3%。3 季度持续经营的促成贷款中，轻 资产模式占比 55.1%，同/环比+10.3/+1.1 个百分点；占贷款余额的比重为 58%，同/环比+7.5 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics - Non-GAAP net income reached a record high of RMB 1.83 billion in Q3, up 29.1% sequentially and 54.5% YoY [8] - Non-GAAP net income per diluted ADS increased 34.8% sequentially and 71.5% YoY to RMB 12.4 [8] - ROE in Q3 increased to 32.2%, significantly higher than most financial services and internet companies in China [9] - Total loan facilitation and origination volume (excluding RM SaaS) increased by 13.1% sequentially [7] - D1 delinquency rate decreased by 0.2 percentage points sequentially, and 30-day collection rate increased by 1.1 percentage points to the highest level since 2022 [11] - Funding costs decreased by 30 basis points sequentially, and ABS issuance costs fell by more than 50 basis points [12] - Total ABS issuance for the first three quarters of 2024 reached RMB 13.4 billion, up 23% YoY [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics - Capital-light segment contributed 55% of total loan facilitation and origination volume in Q3, up approximately 10 percentage points YoY [20] - Loan volume from embedded finance channels increased by 85% YoY, with new credit line users acquired through these channels increasing by roughly 5 percentage points [15] - The number of users with successful drawdown grew consistently each month, with the monthly average increasing by approximately 12% from the previous quarter [18] - Log-in conversion rate increased by 11.6% sequentially in Q3 [18] - Total Technology Solutions business partnered with an additional 9 financial institutions, bringing the total to 14, with solutions deployed in 10 of them [24] Market Data and Key Metrics - The company served more than 55 million users with approved credit lines cumulatively by the end of Q3 [7] - New credit line users increased by 23.8% sequentially, while average unit acquisition cost declined by 7.4% [14] - The proportion of new credit line users acquired through embedded finance channels increased by roughly 5 percentage points [15] - The company partnered with 5 financial institutions across various categories, including joint stock banks, municipal banks, private banks, and consumer finance companies [16] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - The company transitioned from a loan facilitation model to a platform model, focusing on long-term user engagement and diversified product offerings [21][22] - The platform model enables the company to address users' credit needs at different stages of their life cycle while balancing scale, risk, and profitability [22] - The company is leveraging AI and large language models to improve user experience and operational efficiency, with the AI copilot system achieving a recall rate of 96.3% and an accuracy rate of 98.8% [25][26] - The company is expanding its tech solutions beyond consumer credit services, developing a proprietary solution tailored for SME lending [25] - The company is confident in its competitive advantage, particularly in its target customer groups, and believes the platform model has made it more robust and resilient [68][69] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The company remains cautiously optimistic about the economic outlook but is confident in achieving long-term, high-quality growth [30] - The company expects risk performance to remain relatively stable in the coming quarters, assuming a muted macro environment [11][77] - The company anticipates total shareholder returns in 2024 to approach 100% of its 2023 net income, one of the highest payout ratios among Chinese ADRs [31] - The company expects non-GAAP net income for Q4 2024 to be between RMB 1.8 billion and RMB 1.9 billion, representing YoY growth of 57% to 65% [50] Other Important Information - The company completed the majority of its USD 350 million share repurchase plan and approved a new repurchase plan of USD 450 million starting January 1, 2025 [31][47] - The company generated approximately RMB 2.37 billion in cash from operations in Q3, with total cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments reaching RMB 9.77 billion [45] - The company's leverage ratio reached a historical low of 2.3x in Q3, and it expects the ratio to fluctuate around this level in the near future [44] Q&A Session Summary Question: Drivers of loan volume growth and outlook for 2025 [53] - Loan volume increased 4.4% sequentially, driven by a slight recovery in customer demand and the platform strategy [54] - The company remains prudent due to macroeconomic, geopolitical, and domestic policy uncertainties but is well-positioned to seize growth opportunities [56] Question: Drivers of write-backs and sustainability [59] - Write-backs increased significantly due to prudent provisioning policies and improved risk performance, with RMB 910 million in write-backs in Q3 [60][63] - Write-backs are expected to remain sizable in Q4 and beyond, though the shift to a capital-light model may reduce the need for large provisions [65][66] Question: Competitive landscape and strategy [59] - The company has a competitive advantage in its target customer groups and has transitioned to a platform model, improving customer retention and lifetime value [67][68] Question: Asset quality outlook [71] - The company expects stable risk performance in the near future, supported by its high-quality development strategy and advanced risk management technology [73][77] Question: Share buyback pace and price considerations [79] - The company plans to complete its current share repurchase plan by the end of 2024 and will execute the new USD 450 million plan starting January 1, 2025 [79][81] - The company believes its shares are undervalued and will prioritize share buybacks to maximize shareholder returns [80][83] Question: Take rate improvement and long-term outlook [86] - Take rate improvement in Q3 was driven by reduced credit costs, lower funding costs, and deferred impacts from mix changes [87] - The company expects take rate to remain stable in Q4 and improve slightly in 2025, with long-term sustainability dependent on macroeconomic recovery [89][91]