Core Viewpoint - QFIN's stock price increased by 2.49% to $43.57 per share, with a market capitalization of $5.859 billion as of May 23 [1] - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, QFIN reported total revenue of 17.166 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 5.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.264 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 46.18% [1] Group 1: Company Overview - QFIN is a leading credit technology platform in China, focused on providing innovative credit services to financial institutions, consumers, and small and micro enterprises [2][3] - The company aims to enhance the accessibility and personalization of credit services through technology solutions, helping financial institutions identify and assess potential borrowers [2][3] Group 2: Target Audience - The company targets consumers who are underserved by traditional financial institutions, particularly those with short credit histories and high growth potential [3] - QFIN also focuses on small and micro enterprises that lack sufficient credit history or collateral, offering tailored loan products to meet their needs [4] Group 3: Service Offerings - QFIN provides two main types of services: credit-driven services and platform services, both designed to improve the lending process and borrower experience [4][5] - Credit-driven services involve matching potential borrowers with financial institutions, where QFIN assumes some credit risk [4][6] - Platform services include a range of technology solutions for different stages of the loan lifecycle, such as borrower acquisition and credit assessment, without assuming credit risk [5][6] Group 4: Technology Solutions - The company utilizes its "Intelligent Credit Engine" (ICE) to provide smart marketing services and assist financial institutions in initial credit screening [6][7] - QFIN also offers risk management SaaS services to help financial institutions improve their credit assessment processes [7]

Core Viewpoint - Q1 2025 performance of Qifu Technology exceeded previous expectations, driven by higher loan volumes and improved funding costs [1][2] Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue increased by 13% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter to 4.69 billion yuan, while non-GAAP net profit rose by 60% year-on-year but decreased by 2% quarter-on-quarter to 1.93 billion yuan [1][2] - The net service fee rate was approximately 5.6%, slightly down from 5.96% in Q4 2024, attributed to a decrease in average funding costs and stable asset quality [2] Loan Volume and Structure - Q1 2025 loan volume increased by 16% year-on-year but decreased by 1% quarter-on-quarter to 88.9 billion yuan, with technology solution loans accounting for about 49% [1] - The company expects loan volume growth of 5%-10% year-on-year for 2025, maintaining previous forecasts [1] Shareholder Returns - The company maintains a semi-annual dividend policy, with cash dividends of $0.6 and $0.7 per ADS planned for 1H24 and 2H24 respectively [2] - As of May 19, 2025, the company has repurchased 9.1 million ADS for approximately $405 million, with total repurchase expected to be no less than $680 million for 2025 [2] Regulatory Environment - The introduction of the "Assisted Loan New Regulations" is expected to promote industry standardization and eliminate unreasonable pricing behaviors, benefiting compliant institutions like the company [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Earnings forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 2% and 4% to 7.17 billion yuan and 7.82 billion yuan respectively due to optimized funding and credit costs [3] - The company's current trading multiples are 7.1x and 6.5x for 2025 and 2026 P/E in the US market, and 6.6x and 6.0x in the Hong Kong market, with target prices maintained at $60.0 and HK$253.4 [3]

Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher, with the expectation that established trends will continue [1] Company Summary: Qifu Technology, Inc. (QFIN) - QFIN currently holds a Momentum Style Score of B, indicating a positive momentum outlook [2] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), suggesting strong potential for outperformance in the market [3] - Over the past week, QFIN shares increased by 4.02%, outperforming the Zacks Technology Services industry, which rose by 2.63% [5] - In a longer timeframe, QFIN's monthly price change is 14.66%, compared to the industry's 10.22% [5] - Over the last quarter, QFIN shares rose by 8.35%, and over the past year, they have surged by 112.04%, while the S&P 500 saw movements of -2.63% and 13.25%, respectively [6] - The average 20-day trading volume for QFIN is 1,527,784 shares, indicating a bullish sign with rising stock prices [7] Earnings Outlook - Recent earnings estimate revisions for QFIN show positive trends, with 2 estimates moving higher and none lower over the past two months [9] - The consensus earnings estimate for QFIN increased from $6.58 to $6.93 in the last 60 days, reflecting a positive outlook [9] - For the next fiscal year, 2 estimates have also moved upwards, with no downward revisions [9] Conclusion - Given the strong performance metrics and positive earnings outlook, QFIN is positioned as a promising momentum pick for investors [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" for both US and Hong Kong stocks [7]. Core Views - The company's 1Q25 performance met expectations with revenue of 46.9 billion RMB, reflecting a quarter-over-quarter increase of 4.7% and a year-over-year increase of 12.9%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 18.0 billion RMB, which was slightly below the previous quarter but showed a significant year-over-year increase of 54.6% [1][4]. - The company is expected to maintain a cautious lending strategy amid industry changes, with a projected moderate growth in loan volume for 2025 [2][3]. - The risk indicators have shown slight fluctuations but remain at healthy levels, with a C-M2 ratio of 0.60% and a provisioning coverage ratio of 666% [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - 1Q25 revenue was 46.9 billion RMB, with a net profit of 18.0 billion RMB, aligning with the company's guidance [1]. - Loan volume for 1Q25 was 889 billion RMB, showing a slight quarter-over-quarter decline of 1.1% but a year-over-year increase of 15.8% [2]. Risk Indicators - The C-M2 ratio increased to 0.60%, while the first-day overdue rate rose to 5.0%. However, these levels are still considered healthy compared to historical averages [3]. - The provisioning coverage ratio improved to 666%, indicating strong profit quality [3]. Profit Forecast - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to 71 billion RMB, 77 billion RMB, and 82 billion RMB respectively, with target prices set at 55.6 USD and 220.9 HKD [4][11]. Valuation Methods - The target prices are derived from both PE and DCF valuation methods, with a PE of 6.5x for 2025E [11][12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" for both US and Hong Kong stocks [7]. Core Views - The company's 1Q25 performance met expectations with revenue of 46.9 billion RMB, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.7% and a year-on-year increase of 12.9%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 18.0 billion RMB, which was slightly below the previous quarter but showed a significant year-on-year increase of 54.6% [1][4]. - The company is expected to maintain a cautious lending strategy, with a projected moderate growth in loan volume for 2025, supported by high-quality earnings and substantial shareholder returns [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - 1Q25 loan volume was 889 billion RMB, showing a slight quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.1% but a year-on-year increase of 15.8%. The loan balance reached 1,403 billion RMB, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.4% and a year-on-year increase of 5.5% [2]. - The net profit take rate for 1Q25 was 5.2%, down from 5.9% in the previous quarter, indicating a potential impact on short-term profitability [3]. Risk Indicators - The C-M2 ratio increased to 0.60% in 1Q25 from 0.57% in 4Q24, while the first-day overdue rate rose to 5.0%. However, these levels remain healthy compared to historical averages [3]. - The provision coverage ratio improved to 666% from 617% in the previous quarter, indicating strong earnings quality [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been slightly adjusted to 71 billion RMB, 77 billion RMB, and 82 billion RMB respectively, with target prices maintained at 55.6 USD for US stocks and 220.9 HKD for Hong Kong stocks [4][8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" for both US and Hong Kong stocks [7]. Core Views - The company's 1Q25 performance met expectations with revenue of 46.9 billion RMB, reflecting a quarter-over-quarter increase of 4.7% and a year-over-year increase of 12.9%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 18.0 billion RMB, which was slightly below the previous quarter but showed a year-over-year increase of 54.6% [1][4]. - The company is expected to maintain a cautious lending strategy, with a projected moderate growth in loan volume for 2025, supported by high-quality earnings and significant shareholder returns [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - 1Q25 loan volume was 889 billion RMB, showing a slight quarter-over-quarter decrease of 1.1% but a year-over-year increase of 15.8%. The loan balance reached 1,403 billion RMB, with a quarter-over-quarter increase of 2.4% and a year-over-year increase of 5.5% [2]. - The net profit take rate for 1Q25 was 5.2%, down from 5.9% in the previous quarter, indicating a potential impact on short-term profitability [3]. Risk Indicators - The C-M2 ratio increased to 0.60% in 1Q25 from 0.57% in 4Q24, while the first-day overdue rate rose to 5.0% from 4.8%. Despite these increases, the risk indicators remain at healthy levels, below the average of 0.62% from 1Q21 to 4Q24 [3]. - The provision coverage ratio improved to 666% from 617% in the previous quarter, indicating strong earnings quality [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been slightly adjusted to 71 billion RMB, 77 billion RMB, and 82 billion RMB respectively, with target prices maintained at 55.6 USD for US stocks and 220.9 HKD for Hong Kong stocks [4][8].

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Core Viewpoint - CICC has raised the profit forecast for Qifu Technology-S (03660) for 2025 and 2026 by 2% and 4% respectively, due to optimized funding/credit costs and higher-than-expected loan disbursement in Q1 2025 [1] Financial Performance - Qifu Technology's Q1 2025 revenue increased by 13% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter to 4.69 billion yuan, while non-GAAP net profit rose by 60% year-on-year but decreased by 2% quarter-on-quarter to 1.93 billion yuan, exceeding previous expectations [2] - The company’s net service fee rate was approximately 5.6%, slightly down from 5.96% in Q4 2024, attributed to a decrease in average funding costs and stable asset quality [4] Loan Disbursement and Customer Acquisition - In Q1 2025, the company optimized customer acquisition channels, adding 7 embedded finance partners, with loan disbursement increasing by 16% year-on-year to 88.9 billion yuan, although the quarter-on-quarter growth rate slightly declined due to seasonal factors [3] - The company expects loan disbursement to grow by 5%-10% year-on-year in 2025, maintaining previous forecasts [3] Shareholder Returns - The company maintains a semi-annual dividend policy, planning to distribute cash dividends of $0.6 and $0.7 per ADS for the first and second halves of 2024 respectively [5] - As of May 19, 2025, the company has repurchased 9.1 million ADS for approximately $404.5 million, with an expected total repurchase amount of no less than $680 million for 2025 [5] Industry Development - The introduction of the "Loan Assistance New Regulations" on April 1 aims to enhance the regulatory framework of the industry, potentially eliminating unreasonable pricing and charging behaviors, which may benefit compliant and well-operating institutions like Qifu Technology [6]

Group 1: Ctrip Group (携程集团) - The first quarter revenue met expectations, while profit exceeded market expectations by 9%. The second quarter revenue is expected to grow by 14%, with adjusted operating profit remaining flat year-on-year. The demand for leisure travel continues to grow rapidly. Due to the impact of tariff disturbances on business travel outbound demand in the second quarter, revenue and profit forecasts have been slightly adjusted, with the target price lowered from HKD 605 to HKD 591, maintaining a buy rating [1] Group 2: QFIN Technology (奇富科技) - The first quarter Non-GAAP net profit was CNY 1.926 billion, a year-on-year increase of 59.9%, slightly exceeding the upper limit of the company's previous guidance. The company expects a second quarter Non-GAAP net profit of CNY 1.75-1.85 billion. The significant year-on-year profit growth is mainly attributed to the increase in platform service revenue and a decrease in provisioning expenses [2][3] - The company anticipates a slight decrease in funding costs and expects the net take rate to increase year-on-year for the full year of 2025. The forecast for 2025 Non-GAAP net profit is expected to grow by 15%. As an industry-leading credit technology platform, the company balances risk and growth with diversified business models, providing attractive shareholder returns [3] Group 3: Global Indices and Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23,681, reflecting a 1.52% increase, with a year-to-date increase of 15.89%. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index also rose by 1.52%, with a year-to-date increase of 17.82% [4] - Major commodities showed varied performance, with Brent crude oil at USD 65.52, down 14.32% over three months, while gold futures rose by 9.83% [5] Group 4: Economic Data Releases - Upcoming economic data releases include the US Markit Manufacturing PMI expected at 50.2 and the US initial jobless claims expected at 229K. For China, the industrial value-added year-on-year growth is expected to be 7.7% [6]

Core Viewpoint - Qifu Technology (NASDAQ: QFIN; HKEX: 3660) reported a stable financial performance in Q1 2025, with total net revenue reaching RMB 4.69 billion (approximately USD 646 million), reflecting a 4.5% quarter-on-quarter growth, and a non-GAAP net profit of RMB 1.93 billion (approximately USD 265 million), despite a slight decline in net profit compared to the previous quarter, aligning with market expectations [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Qifu Technology achieved total revenue of RMB 46.9 billion and a non-GAAP net profit of RMB 19.3 billion [2] - The company successfully issued USD 690 million in convertible notes, providing ample financial support for strategic initiatives and enhancing shareholder returns [2] AI Strategy Implementation - Qifu Technology actively advanced its "AI + Finance" strategy, launching an AI-driven credit decision engine and asset distribution platform that connected with 163 financial institutions, serving over 58 million credit users [1] - The AI credit agent was officially implemented in Q1 2025, integrating various intelligent modules across the business chain, marking a significant step in AI application within the financial technology sector [2] AI Decision-Making Capabilities - The AI decision-making module utilizes classic analytical models to diagnose issues like profit stagnation, significantly improving decision-making efficiency by reducing analysis time from weeks to real-time responses [3] - The AI marketing module enhanced customer acquisition, achieving a 33% year-on-year increase in the conversion rate from new credit users to new loan users [3] Compliance and Risk Management - The AI compliance module improved efficiency by reducing the time required for regulatory document interpretation from 40 hours to 2 hours, with accuracy rising from 68% to 99.2% [4] - Qifu Technology's risk control innovations enhanced precision and efficiency, achieving over 95% accuracy in user characteristic consistency checks [5] Strategic Partnerships and Market Position - In Q1 2025, Qifu Technology's subsidiary signed contracts with three mid-to-large city commercial banks, with a 144% year-on-year increase in business scale driven by financial technology [6] - The company established strategic partnerships with multiple banks to implement AI-driven solutions in key areas such as marketing, risk control, and decision analysis, reinforcing its leading position in the financial technology sector [6]