Quantum Computing Sector - Quantum computing stocks, including IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum, have seen significant premarket gains following reports of the Trump administration negotiating equity stakes in these firms [3][4] - IonQ shares rose by 14.3%, Rigetti Computing by 13.8%, and D-Wave Quantum by 13.6% in premarket trading [5] Oil Industry - Crude oil prices have increased after the U.S. imposed sanctions on Russia's two largest oil producers, Rosneft and Lukoil, marking a direct economic response to the war in Ukraine [9][10] - The sanctions could restrict foreign entities from engaging in business with these Russian companies, potentially isolating them from the international financial system [10] - Rosneft and Lukoil account for nearly half of Russia's crude oil exports, approximately 2.2 million barrels per day in the first half of the year [10]

特朗普政府正就入股多家关键企业展开谈判，受此消息影响，量子计算板块个股在周四盘前交易中大幅 上涨。包括IonQ(IONQ.US)、Rigetti Computing(RGTI.US)和D-Wave Quantum(QBTS.US)在内的公司，正 与美国政府协商让其成为股东，这是获取专项资金协议的一部分，此类资金专门用于扶持具有发展前景 的科技公司。此举表明，特朗普政府正扩大对其视为经济关键领域的干预。 量子计算公司Quantum Computing(QUBT.US)、Atom Computing等其他企业，也在考虑类似的合作安 排。 截至发稿，盘前数据显示，IonQ股价上涨11.7%，Rigetti Computing上涨9.8%，D-Wave Quantum上涨 11.8%，Arqit Quantum(ARQQ)上涨7.75%，Quantum Corp(QMCO)上涨9.7%。 ...

IonQ, Rigetti Computing and D-Wave Quantum are all in talks about granting shares to the Commerce Department, according to The Wall Street Journal. ...

Core Insights - Quantum computing is at a pivotal point transitioning from "scientific fantasy" to industrial application, driven by breakthroughs in quantum error correction (QEC) technology [3][5][9] - The industry is focusing on two main paths: commercializing specialized quantum machines and developing hybrid quantum-classical algorithms [3][5] - Major players have outlined clear roadmaps for developing logical qubits, with Quantinuum aiming for 100 logical qubits by 2027 and IBM planning to deliver a system with 200 logical qubits by 2029 [7][9] Quantum Computing Development Stages - The current stage of quantum computing is Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ), where quantum computers contain dozens to thousands of physical qubits but are limited by environmental noise [3] - The mid-term goal (around 2030) is to achieve practical quantum computing with error correction, significantly enhancing reliability [5][9] Key Technologies and Players - The six mainstream technology paths in quantum computing include superconducting, trapped ions, photonic, neutral atoms, topological, and spin qubits, each with its own advantages and challenges [34] - Superconducting and trapped ion technologies are currently leading in maturity and commercial viability, with IBM and IonQ being notable players [36][38] Quantum Error Correction - Quantum decoherence is a fundamental physical barrier to practical quantum computing, where qubits lose their quantum state due to environmental interactions [40][41] - Quantum error correction (QEC) aims to mitigate information loss due to decoherence by backing up quantum information across multiple physical qubits [43][44] - Recent advancements in QEC include Microsoft's 4D topological error correction code, which significantly reduces the number of physical qubits needed for error correction [45][46] Major Companies in Quantum Computing - The quantum computing landscape includes pure quantum companies like D-Wave, Rigetti, IonQ, and Quantum Computing, as well as tech giants like IBM, Google, Microsoft, and NVIDIA [48][50] - Notable private companies making strides in quantum computing include PsiQuantum, Quantinuum, and Xanadu, each pursuing different technological paths and commercialization strategies [51]

格隆汇10月23日｜量子计算公司D-Wave Quantum在夜盘交易中涨超17%，Rigetti Computing涨18%。消 息面上，美国总统特朗普政府正商谈入股量子计算公司，这表明特朗普政府正在扩大对其认为至关重要 的经济领域的干预。量子计算公司正讨论向美国政府提供股权以换取芯片研发资金，参与美国政府入股 谈判的量子公司包括IonQ，Rigetti Computing，D-Wave Quantum等。 | RGTI Rigetti Computing | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 36.060 4 -3.940 -9.85% | | 收盘价 10/22 16:00 美东 | | 42.580 + 6.520 +18.08% | | 夜盘 10/22 21:43 美东 | | ■ 72 24 4 ～ ～ 日 ◎ 品 ◎ 品 ◎ 品 ◎ 品 ◎ 品 ◎ 品 ◎ 品 ◎ 品 ◎ 品 。 | | ● 快捷交易 | | 最高价 39.720 | 开盘价 38.520 | 成交量 1.15亿 | | 最低价 34.140 | 昨收价 40.000 | 成交额 42.01亿 | | 平均价 ...

Core Viewpoint - Former hedge fund manager Jim Cramer warns investors to sell into the "snapback" momentum in speculative markets, particularly in quantum computing, data centers, nuclear energy, and precious metals [2][3]. Speculative Market Trends - Cramer highlights that speculators in quantum computing, data centers, and nuclear energy will resist declines, indicating a potential for a recovery or "snapback" in these sectors [2]. - Investors are advised to be cautious of rallies that may not be supported by fundamentals and to consider selling during these moments [2]. Performance of Specific Stocks - Significant declines were noted in speculative stocks, with quantum computing stocks like Rigetti Computing Inc. down 7.64%, Quantum Computing Inc. down 7.41%, and D-Wave Quantum Inc. down 6.42% [4]. - Nuclear energy company Oklo Inc. experienced a drop of 12.33%, while data center stocks IREN Ltd. and CoreWeave Inc. fell by 6.80% and 1.57%, respectively [4]. Precious Metals Decline - Gold and silver saw their largest single-day drops in years, with gold decreasing by 5.2% and silver by 6.7% [3]. Market Indices Overview - Despite the declines in speculative stocks, major indices remained relatively flat, with the S&P 500 up 0.003%, Nasdaq Composite down 0.16%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.47% [5].

Core Insights - The quantum computing industry is transitioning from research to commercialization in 2025, with significant backing from U.S. agencies and leading companies generating measurable revenues [1][3][5] Government Support and Funding - The U.S. Department of Energy allocated approximately $1,153 million to its Advanced Scientific Computing Research program, emphasizing Quantum Information Science (QIS) as a core focus area for FY 2025 [3] - The National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) reported a 2.6% increase in funding for QIS, highlighting its importance in AI research and technology readiness [4] - The Quantum Economic Development Consortium (QED-C) noted accelerating global demand for quantum computing services, particularly in materials science, cybersecurity, and logistics optimization [4] Market Dynamics and Challenges - The U.S. Trade Representative imposed new tariffs on semiconductor and photonics components from China, temporarily increasing costs for U.S. hardware developers [5] - Despite these challenges, commercial progress in quantum companies remains strong [5] Company Highlights IBM - IBM launched its 1,121-qubit Condor quantum processor for enterprise clients and introduced the Quantum Utility initiative to apply quantum performance to real-world problems [8] - The company reported a revenue increase in its quantum services and cloud computing divisions, with a projected earnings growth of 7.7% and revenue growth of 6.4% in 2025 [9] IonQ - IonQ achieved significant performance milestones and technological advancements, including converting trapped-ion photon emissions into telecom-band photons [10] - The company is projected to report earnings growth of 37.8% and revenue growth of 115.1% in 2025, with a year-to-date stock increase of 42.4% [11] Rigetti - Rigetti is expected to see modest revenue growth, reporting $1.8 million in revenues and a $39.7 million net loss in the second quarter, while raising $350 million to strengthen its balance sheet [12] - The company is projected to report earnings growth of 75% and has experienced a year-to-date stock surge of 162.1% [13]

Core Insights - A significant portion of traders (74%) believe quantum computing stocks are in a bubble, prompting attention to this market trend [1] - Senior Market Strategist John Rowland identifies quantum computing stocks as experiencing a speculative bubble, with other sectors showing similar signs [1][4] Quantum Computing Sector - Quantum computing stocks have seen explosive growth in 2024-2025, with companies like IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and Quantum Computing leading the surge, reporting gains of 1,000% to over 3,000% in a year [2] - Despite the impressive stock performance, these companies are facing substantial cash burn, with IonQ generating $50 million in revenue but incurring a loss of $170 million, Rigetti with $11 million in revenue and a loss of over $200 million, and D-Wave Quantum earning $22 million while losing $167 million [3][6] - The volatility in quantum stocks is highlighted by IonQ's 16% spike followed by a 27% drop in subsequent sessions, indicating a pattern of rapid price fluctuations [3] Broader Market Trends - The speculative behavior observed in quantum computing is not isolated; it is also present in other sectors such as rare earth metals, drone stocks, and battery technology, with similar patterns of sharp price increases followed by quick reversals [4][5] - Lithium Americas, for example, experienced gains of 12% and 19% before losing most of those gains within three trading sessions, exemplifying the volatility across these sectors [4] - This phenomenon of "micro-bubbles" has been seen previously in markets like electric vehicles in 2021 and artificial intelligence in 2023, suggesting a recurring cycle of rapid inflation in speculative pockets when liquidity is high and narratives are strong [7]

Core Insights - The article discusses the potential upside for quantum computing stocks, highlighting the significant price targets set by Wall Street analysts, which suggest further growth opportunities in this sector [4][17]. - Despite the excitement surrounding quantum computing, historical trends indicate that such high valuations may not be sustainable, as the technology is still in its infancy and profitability remains elusive for key players [9][14]. Quantum Computing Stocks Performance - As of October 17, trailing-12-month gains for quantum computing pure-play stocks have been substantial, with some analysts believing that these stocks are just beginning their upward trajectory [2][4]. - The four main quantum computing stocks discussed are IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing Inc., each with significant price targets indicating potential upside: IonQ (412%), Rigetti Computing (4,940%), D-Wave Quantum (3,590%), and Quantum Computing Inc. (2,310%) [4][12]. Analyst Price Targets - IonQ's price target was raised from $75 to $100, indicating a potential upside of 59% [5]. - Rigetti Computing's price target increased from $20 to $50, suggesting an 8% upside from its closing price on October 17 [5]. - D-Wave Quantum's target was raised from $20 to $50, indicating a 30% upside [12]. - Quantum Computing Inc.'s price target was increased from $22 to $40, suggesting a potential rally of 118% [12]. Market Dynamics and Historical Context - The article notes that while quantum computing has transformative potential across various industries, its commercialization and practical applications are still years away [10]. - Historical patterns indicate that new technologies often experience a bubble, with investors overestimating their utility and adoption, leading to eventual corrections [9][14]. - Current price-to-sales ratios for these quantum computing stocks are significantly higher than historical norms for game-changing technologies, raising concerns about sustainability [16]. Profitability and Future Outlook - None of the discussed quantum computing companies are currently profitable, with estimates suggesting that D-Wave Quantum may achieve profitability by 2029, while IonQ and Rigetti Computing may continue to incur losses until at least the end of the decade [14]. - The global addressable market for quantum computing is promising, but there is little evidence of widespread commercialization or ongoing success at present [13].

Group 1 - Rigetti Computing, Inc. (NASDAQ:RGTI) has experienced significant losses, falling for three consecutive days as investors shift their focus from quantum computing stocks to larger earners during the third quarter earnings season [1][2] - The decline in Rigetti's stock is part of a broader trend affecting other quantum computing companies such as Quantum Computing Inc., IonQ Inc., and D-Wave Quantum Inc., indicating a decrease in investor appetite for the quantum computing sector [2] - Despite receiving $5.7 million in new orders for its 9-qubit Novera computing system, Rigetti remains in a pre-profit stage, relying heavily on fundraising to support business expansion [3][2] Group 2 - The quantum computing industry is characterized by rising valuations and government support, yet it continues to struggle with profitability, which may deter investors in favor of more established sectors [2] - There is a belief that certain AI stocks present better investment opportunities compared to Rigetti, suggesting a potential shift in investment strategies among market participants [4]