Workflow
SoFi Technologies(SOFI)
icon
Search documents
Looking for Fintech Growth? Here's How Affirm and SoFi Stack Up
ZACKS· 2025-06-27 15:00
Core Insights - Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) and SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) are prominent players in the fintech sector, targeting Gen Z, millennials, and older consumers with technology-driven financial solutions [1][2] - Affirm focuses on point-of-sale financing through a buy now, pay later (BNPL) model, while SoFi offers a broader platform that includes lending, investing, banking, and tech infrastructure [1][2] Affirm's Performance - Affirm reported $783.1 million in revenues for Q3 fiscal 2025, a 36% year-over-year increase, and achieved an adjusted EPS of $0.01, surpassing estimates [3][9] - The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to $3.163-$3.193 billion, up from the previous range of $3.13-$3.19 billion [3] - Affirm's growth is supported by expanding merchant partnerships and a growing international presence, with an expected adjusted operating margin of 23-23.6% for fiscal 2025 [4][5] - The company is leveraging AI to enhance productivity and customer interactions, and it has completed 24 asset-backed securitizations totaling $12.25 billion [6][7] SoFi's Performance - SoFi achieved record revenue of $770.7 million in Q1 2025, a 33% increase from the previous year, with net income rising over 200% to $71.5 million [8][10] - The platform added over 800,000 new users, bringing total membership to 10.9 million, and its adjusted EBITDA reached $210.3 million with a 27% margin [8][10] - However, SoFi's reliance on unsecured personal loans, which constitute nearly 70% of its lending portfolio, raises concerns about credit risk, especially with a borrower-level delinquency rate of 3.49% [11][12] Liquidity and Financial Health - Affirm's current ratio stands at 11.5, indicating strong liquidity, while SoFi's current ratio is below average at 0.8, suggesting limited flexibility to meet near-term obligations [9][12] - SoFi's current liabilities amount to $27.9 billion, with only $2.7 billion in cash as of March 31, 2025 [12] Growth Estimates - Zacks estimates indicate Affirm's fiscal 2025 sales and EPS are expected to grow by 37% and 101.8%, respectively, while SoFi's sales and EPS are projected to rise by 26.2% and 80% [13] - Affirm's earnings momentum is stronger compared to SoFi, with EPS estimates trending upward for both companies [13] Price Performance - Year-to-date, AFRM shares have increased by 9.8%, while SOFI shares have grown by 8.9%, outperforming the S&P 500 Index's 2.9% growth [16] - Affirm has shown stronger short-term momentum with a 1-month gain of 32% compared to SoFi's 25.9% [16] Valuation Comparison - Affirm is trading at 5.49X forward 12-month P/S, slightly higher than SoFi's 5.15X, reflecting investor confidence in Affirm's rapid scaling and profitability [19] - SoFi's broader but more complex business model is valued more conservatively, potentially due to operational diversification and execution risks [19] Conclusion - Both Affirm and SoFi are innovative fintech companies with strong growth narratives, but Affirm currently exhibits more growth potential due to its profitability, revenue growth, and disciplined execution [22][23] - Affirm's integration of AI, risk-managed lending, and robust capital partner network support its scalability, while SoFi faces challenges related to credit concentration risk and liquidity pressures [22][23]
SoFi vs. OppFi: Which Fintech Stock Offers Better Momentum Now?
ZACKS· 2025-06-26 16:21
Core Insights - SoFi and OppFi are both growth-oriented fintech companies that are reshaping the traditional finance landscape, with SoFi focusing on prime borrowers and OppFi targeting subprime borrowers [1] Group 1: SoFi Overview - SoFi's growth strategy is significantly supported by its acquisition of Galileo, a B2B financial service platform, which enhances its position in the embedded finance market projected to grow at a CAGR of 16.8% through 2029 [2] - The company reported a 20% year-over-year growth in revenue for Q1 2025, with net income increasing by 217%, showcasing strong operational efficiency [4] - SoFi's member base grew by 34%, adding 800,000 members in the quarter, which improved cross-selling capabilities and reduced customer acquisition costs [5] - The Financial Services segment saw a remarkable 101% growth, while Lending and Technology Platforms grew by 25% and 10% respectively, indicating strong product potential [6] Group 2: OppFi Overview - OppFi targets underbanked customers, creating a niche in the alternative lending market expected to grow at a CAGR of 25.4% from 2025 to 2030 [7] - The company achieved a 10.1% year-over-year growth in revenue for Q1 2025, with adjusted net income soaring by 285.1%, reflecting strong operational leverage [8] - OppFi successfully reduced its net charge-off rate by 700 basis points from the previous quarter and 1300 basis points year-over-year, demonstrating effective risk management [9] - The company reported a 16% increase in net originations and a rise in auto-approval rates to 79%, up from 73% in the previous year [11] Group 3: Financial Estimates and Valuation - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SoFi's 2025 sales is $3.3 billion, indicating a 26.2% year-over-year growth, with earnings expected to surge by 80% [12] - OppFi's 2025 sales estimate is $578.4 million, implying a 10% year-over-year growth, but earnings are projected to decline by 29.5% [15] - SoFi trades at a forward P/E ratio of 41.76X, while OppFi trades at 10.99X, suggesting that OppFi offers a more attractive valuation for investors [10][16] Group 4: Investment Outlook - OppFi is recommended as a strong buy due to its focus on underbanked customers and impressive quarterly results, while SoFi is rated as a hold due to its higher valuation [18][19]
SoFi's Valuation Looks Overstretched: Time to Hit Pause?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 17:40
Core Insights - SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) has shown a strong recovery, indicating renewed investor confidence in its digital-first model and increasing fee-based income streams [1] - The stock is currently trading at over 41X forward earnings, raising concerns about its valuation among some investors [1][8] - Despite a compelling long-term narrative, external factors such as geopolitical tensions and potential economic slowdowns could pose challenges to SoFi's momentum [2] Financial Performance - SoFi's stock has increased by 21% over the past three months, outperforming the industry average growth of 10% [6][8] - Earnings estimates for SoFi have improved over the last 60 days, reflecting positive sentiment among analysts [8][10] Valuation Considerations - The recent stock rally has incorporated significant optimism, suggesting that waiting for a more favorable entry point may be prudent [3] - The fundamentals of SoFi remain strong, but there is a need for the valuation to align with the company's growth story for better risk-reward dynamics [3] Comparisons with Other Fintechs - For investors seeking alternatives, Block (XYZ) and Upstart (UPST) may present better value propositions, with Block trading at a forward P/E of 2X and offering a diversified ecosystem [4][5] - Upstart, with a forward P/E of 33X, focuses on its AI-driven lending platform and could be a strong option if credit conditions stabilize [5]
SoFi Just Flipped The Script
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-25 15:30
Core Insights - SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) stock has increased by 27%, nearing the target price of $20/share, driven by strong underlying factors rather than just price momentum [1] Group 1: Leadership & Management Analysis - The company has a proven track record in scaling businesses, demonstrating smart capital allocation and insider ownership [1] - Consistent revenue growth and credible guidance are key attributes of the company's management [1] Group 2: Market Disruption & Competitive Positioning - SoFi possesses a strong technology moat and first-mover advantage, which contribute to its competitive positioning [1] - The company benefits from network effects that drive exponential growth and has achieved market penetration in high-growth industries [1] Group 3: Financial Health & Risk Management - The company shows sustainable revenue growth with efficient cash flow and maintains a strong balance sheet, ensuring long-term survival [1] - It avoids excessive dilution and financial weakness, which is crucial for its financial health [1] Group 4: Valuation & Asymmetric Risk/Reward - Valuation is assessed through revenue multiples compared to peers and DCF modeling, ensuring a favorable risk/reward profile [1] - Institutional backing and market sentiment analysis are part of the valuation strategy, focusing on downside protection with significant upside potential [1] Group 5: Portfolio Construction & Risk Control - The investment strategy includes core positions (50-70%) in high-confidence, stable plays, growth bets (20-40%) in high-risk, high-reward opportunities, and speculative investments (5-10%) in moonshot disruptors [1]
Chime versus SoFi: Which Is the Better Fintech Stock Right Now?
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-22 08:45
Core Insights - Chime and SoFi are emerging players in the fintech sector, with both companies recently completing successful IPOs that have generated significant investor interest [1][2]. Company Overview - SoFi offers a diversified portfolio of financial services, including lending, insurance, and investment management, operating entirely online without physical branches [4][12]. - Chime is also a digital banking platform but is currently less profitable compared to SoFi [12][13]. Performance Metrics - SoFi's trailing 12-month revenue stands at $2.8 billion, while Chime's is $1.8 billion [11]. - SoFi has 10.9 million members compared to Chime's 8.6 million [11]. - The three-year membership compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for SoFi is 41.3%, significantly higher than Chime's 22.3% [11]. - SoFi reported a net income of $482 million, whereas Chime incurred a net loss of $28.3 million [11]. Growth and Profitability - SoFi's business model is yielding strong revenue growth and a transition to consistent profitability, attributed to its effective member acquisition strategy [8][12]. - Chime's growth is notable, but it is suggested that it may not surpass SoFi's scale in the long term [13]. Market Position - SoFi's market capitalization as of June 18 is $17 billion, while Chime's is $10.6 billion [11]. - Despite SoFi being perceived as more expensive based on its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, its technology-driven platform justifies a premium valuation [14]. Investment Recommendation - Between the two digital banking stocks, SoFi is favored due to its superior growth metrics and profitability profile [16].
SoFi and Benzinga Announce New Partnership to Power Next-Generation Investment Research
Prnewswire· 2025-06-20 11:00
Core Insights - Benzinga has partnered with SoFi to enhance market insights and research tools for SoFi Invest members, aiming to improve access to financial data for retail investors [1][2] - The integration includes Benzinga's premium datasets such as Analyst Ratings, Price Targets, and Earnings, which will simplify research and support informed investment decisions [1][2] Company Overview - SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) provides a comprehensive digital financial services platform, serving over 10 million members with services including borrowing, saving, spending, investing, and financial planning [3] - Benzinga is recognized as a leading financial news outlet, offering timely news and analysis that assists users in navigating volatile financial markets [5] Partnership Goals - The collaboration is designed to make investing more transparent and personalized, empowering SoFi members with high-quality market data and insights [2] - The partnership reflects a commitment to leveling the playing field for retail investors by providing accessible financial data [2]
Is SOFI Stock A Buy After Its 15% Rally?
Forbes· 2025-06-20 10:30
Core Insights - SoFi Technologies, Inc. has experienced a stock price increase of over 15% in the past month, influenced by the successful IPO of Chime, which has positively impacted the fintech sector [2] - Despite the recent rise, SoFi's stock, trading around $15, is considered unattractive due to concerns over its high valuation relative to its performance [2][10] Financial Performance - SoFi Technologies has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 5.9, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 3.1, and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32.9 compared to the benchmark's 26.9 [6] - The company has achieved an average revenue growth rate of 36.2% over the last three years, with a recent revenue increase of 25.9% from $2.2 billion to $2.8 billion in the last 12 months [6] - Quarterly revenues grew by 31.7% to $772 million from $586 million year-over-year [6] Profitability and Financial Stability - SoFi's profit margins are reported to be weaker than most companies in the Trefis coverage universe [7] - The company's balance sheet is described as strong, with a cash-to-assets ratio of 11.2% and a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 19.8% [8][13] Downturn Resilience - SoFi stock has shown poor resilience during market downturns, performing worse than the S&P 500 in recent declines [9][14] - The stock has not yet recovered to its pre-crisis high, with a significant drop of 83.3% from its peak of $25.78 in February 2021 to $4.30 in December 2022 [14] Overall Assessment - The overall performance of SoFi Technologies across analyzed parameters is deemed neutral, with high valuation concerns compared to historical averages [10] - The company’s current valuation appears excessive given its moderate operating performance and financial condition [3][11]
SoFi Technologies (SOFI) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why
ZACKS· 2025-06-19 17:01
Core Viewpoint - SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook driven by an upward trend in earnings estimates, which significantly impacts stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the correlation between changes in earnings estimates and stock price movements, suggesting that revisions in earnings estimates are a powerful indicator of near-term stock performance [4][6]. - Rising earnings estimates for SoFi Technologies imply an improvement in the company's underlying business, which could lead to increased stock prices as investors respond positively [5][8]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks based on earnings estimate revisions, with a proven track record of performance, where Zacks Rank 1 stocks have generated an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7][9]. - SoFi Technologies' upgrade to Zacks Rank 2 places it in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10]. Recent Earnings Estimate Revisions - For the fiscal year ending December 2025, SoFi Technologies is expected to earn $0.27 per share, which remains unchanged from the previous year, but the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased by 5.2% over the past three months [8].
2 Bank Stocks to Buy With $100 and Hold Forever
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-18 08:00
Core Viewpoint - Bank stocks are generally reliable investments that provide essential services to the economy, but not all bank stocks are equally safe, with some presenting higher risks while others can offer significant value [1][2]. Group 1: Bank of America - Bank of America is the second-largest U.S. bank by assets, accounting for 10% of Warren Buffett's portfolio, indicating strong investor confidence [4]. - The bank has shown consistent growth, with deposits increasing by 2% year-over-year in Q1 2025, adding 250,000 consumer checking accounts and 1 million credit cards, marking its 25th consecutive quarter of growth [5]. - Revenue increased by 6% year-over-year in Q1, with earnings per share rising by 18%, and it maintains a common equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 11.8%, well above regulatory minimums [9]. - The bank offers an attractive dividend yield of 2.3%, which has increased by 420% over the past 10 years, and is currently trading at 13 times trailing 12-month earnings, suggesting it is undervalued [10]. Group 2: SoFi Technologies - SoFi is a digital bank with $27 billion in deposits, reflecting a 40% year-over-year increase, contrasting with Bank of America's 2% growth [11]. - The company has seen rapid growth, with membership increasing by 800,000 in Q1, a 34% year-over-year rise, and adjusted net revenue up by 33% [12]. - SoFi's financial services segment is driving growth, with segment revenue increasing by 101% in Q1 and contribution profit up by 299%, showcasing its expansion beyond lending [13]. - The loan business remains strong, with revenue up by 25% and contribution profit up by 15%, indicating resilience despite previous pressures [14].
Is SoFi Stock Worth the Hype? Here's What the Experts Say.
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-17 23:00
Explore the exciting world of SoFi (SOFI -3.25%) with our expert analysts in this Motley Fool Scoreboard episode. Check out the video below to gain valuable insights into market trends and potential investment opportunities!*Stock prices used were the prices of May 7, 2025. The video was published on Jun. 17, 2025. ...