Group 1: Financial Results - Constellation Brands, Inc. reported its third quarter fiscal 2026 financial results on January 7, 2026 [1] - A conference call to discuss the financial results and outlook will be hosted by the CEO and CFO on January 8, 2026 [1] Group 2: Company Overview - Constellation Brands is a leading international producer and marketer of beer, wine, and spirits with operations in the U.S., Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy [2] - The company's mission is to build brands that people love, focusing on elevating human connections and anticipating market trends [2] Group 3: Product Portfolio - The company offers a high-end, imported beer portfolio including Corona Extra, Modelo Especial, and other brands like Pacifico and Victoria [3] - Its wine brands include The Prisoner Wine Company, Robert Mondavi Winery, Kim Crawford, and others [3] - The craft spirits brands feature Casa Noble Tequila and High West Whiskey [3] Group 4: Sustainability and ESG Strategy - As an agriculture-based company, Constellation Brands emphasizes sustainable and responsible operations [4] - The company's ESG strategy focuses on environmental stewardship, community investment, and promoting responsible beverage alcohol consumption [4]

Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands, Inc. is a significant player in the beverage industry, focusing on beer, wine, and spirits, with a diverse portfolio of well-known brands and a presence in multiple countries [1] Stock Performance - The average target price for Constellation Brands has increased slightly from $156.57 to $158, indicating a modest positive sentiment among analysts in the short term [2] - The current target price is lower than last year's $188.11, reflecting a more cautious outlook over the past year [2] Future Outlook - Despite challenges anticipated in 2025, Constellation Brands is focusing on cost-cutting and expects a resurgence in beer demand among Hispanic consumers [3] - Analyst Lauren Lieberman from Barclays has set a price target of $281, indicating optimism about the company's future performance [3] Earnings Report - The upcoming third-quarter earnings report is expected to show strong performance with a double-beat in revenue and earnings per share, which could positively influence analyst target prices and investor sentiment [4] Strategic Initiatives - Market trends and strategic initiatives, such as new product launches or partnerships, are crucial factors that could impact Constellation Brands' stock outlook as the company navigates its challenges [5]

Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands is focusing on cost reductions and anticipating a rebound in Hispanic beer demand to enhance its earnings after a challenging 2025 and several forecast downgrades [1] Group 1 - The company experienced a difficult year in 2025, leading to multiple cuts in earnings forecasts [1] - Constellation Brands is implementing cost-cutting measures as part of its strategy to improve financial performance [1] - There is an expectation for a recovery in demand for beer among Hispanic consumers, which the company is betting on to boost earnings [1]

Group 1 - U.S. stock futures are trading mixed, with several companies expected to report earnings today [1] - Albertsons Companies Inc. is anticipated to post quarterly earnings of 68 cents per share on revenue of $19.17 billion, with shares gaining 1.1% to $17.30 in after-hours trading [1] - Penguin Solutions Inc. reported quarterly earnings of 49 cents per share, exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of 44 cents, and quarterly sales of $343.071 million, beating the estimate of $338.758 million, leading to a 6.7% increase in shares to $22.99 [1] - UniFirst Corp. is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.06 per share on revenue of $615.25 million, with shares rising 2.3% to $207.80 in after-hours trading [1] - AAR Corp. posted better-than-expected second-quarter results and forecasts third-quarter sales between $813.840 million and $827.404 million, surpassing market estimates of $793.438 million, resulting in a 5.6% increase in shares to $94.50 [1] - Constellation Brands Inc. is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.64 per share on revenue of $2.16 billion, with shares rising 0.5% to $144.37 in after-hours trading [1]

Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands Inc is expected to report a decline in earnings and revenue for its fiscal third quarter, reflecting ongoing challenges in the wine and spirits industry [1] Financial Performance - Analysts predict earnings of $2.66 per share and revenue of $2.18 billion, marking a year-over-year decrease of 18.2% in earnings and 11.6% in revenue [1] - The company's previous results exceeded estimates despite a decline compared to the same quarter last year, leading to a fourth consecutive post-earnings gain for the stock [2] Stock Performance - The stock has rebounded slightly from a five-year low of $126.45, currently trading at $143.06, but remains down 35.8% year over year [3] - The stock has experienced an average earnings swing of 4.4% over the last two years, with options pricing in an 8.3% move for the upcoming earnings report [2] Market Sentiment - A positive reaction to the earnings report could trigger short covering, as short interest represents 7% of the stock's available float, although it has begun to unwind [5]

Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands is expected to report a double-beat in revenue and earnings per share for the third quarter, indicating manageable tariff concerns [1] Earnings Estimates - Analysts predict third-quarter revenue of $2.16 billion, down from $2.46 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - Expected earnings per share for the third quarter is $2.64, a decrease from $3.25 in the previous year [2] - The company has beaten analyst estimates in seven of the last ten quarters for revenue and nine of the last ten quarters for earnings per share [2] Analyst Commentary - Needham analyst Gerald Pascarelli describes expectations for the third quarter as "pretty muted" [3] - Pascarelli maintains a Buy rating with a price target of $180, noting a projected 5% decline in depletions and a 3.5% year-over-year decline in beer shipments [4] - Overall revenue is estimated to decline by 12.2% year over year, with organic revenue expected to decrease by 3.3% [5] Management Guidance - Analysts do not anticipate significant changes in management's tone or guidance, with expectations that the company will reiterate its current outlook [6] - The Hispanic consumer market remains challenging, and there are no indications of a significant change in sentiment [6] Future Outlook - The company may provide positive commentary, with favorable forward comparables and the 2026 World Cup seen as a potential revenue catalyst [7] - Analysts believe that much of the current negative sentiment is already reflected in the stock price [7] Key Items to Watch - Wells Fargo maintains an Overweight rating and raises the price target from $155 to $160 [8] - Jefferies downgrades from Buy to Hold and lowers the price target from $170 to $154 [8] Business Performance - The beer business reported a high-single-digit decline in net sales despite beating estimates in the second quarter [9] - Constellation holds the U.S. license for importing popular brands like Modelo and Corona, which are among the top five imported beers in America [9] Tariff Impact - The company has been affected by tariffs, and analysts are looking for quantification of tariff impacts on costs for the third and fourth quarters [10] World Cup Potential - Analysts see potential benefits from the 2026 World Cup, with expectations for commentary on how the event could influence revenue and marketing strategies [11] Berkshire Hathaway Stake - Berkshire Hathaway has increased its stake in Constellation Brands, owning 13,400,000 shares by the end of the third quarter [12] - The new CEO of Berkshire, Greg Abel, is expected to closely monitor Constellation's financial results [13] Stock Performance - Constellation Brands stock is currently up 0.3% to $142.90, with a 52-week trading range of $126.45 to $226.22, and shares have declined by 35.9% over the past year [13]

Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands is facing challenges with a projected decline in earnings and revenue, but is focusing on long-term growth through strategic investments in beer capacity and premium brands [1][4][6] Financial Performance - Anticipated earnings per share (EPS) for Constellation Brands is $2.65, reflecting an 18.2% decrease from the same quarter last year [2][6] - Revenue projections are estimated between $2.16 billion to $2.2 billion, representing an 11.6% drop year-over-year due to weak wine and spirits shipments [3][6] Strategic Initiatives - The company is investing in expanding its beer capacity in Mexico and emphasizing premium brands to strengthen market position and drive future revenue growth [4][6] Financial Metrics - Constellation Brands has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.49 and a price-to-sales ratio of 2.59, indicating market valuation [5] - The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.34, reflecting its financial leverage, while a current ratio of 1.08 suggests its ability to cover short-term liabilities [5]

Group 1: Fund Performance - Artisan Mid Cap Value Fund's Investor Class fund ARTQX returned 0.97%, Advisor Class fund APDQX posted a return of 0.98%, and Institutional Class fund APHQX returned 0.97% in Q3 2025, compared to a 6.18% return for the Russell Midcap Value Index [1] - The equity markets continued to rally in Q3 2025, driven by strong corporate earnings, rising AI capital expenditures, and expectations for economic support from US fiscal policy and lower interest rates [1] Group 2: Constellation Brands, Inc. Overview - Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE:STZ) produces and distributes beer, wine, and spirits, with a market capitalization of $24.573 billion as of January 2, 2026 [2] - The stock's one-month return was -0.58%, and it lost 36.68% of its value over the last 52 weeks [2] Group 3: Constellation Brands, Inc. Performance Analysis - Constellation Brands was the weakest performer outside of health care, with growth slowing significantly over the past year [3] - The company is USMCA compliant, but faces demand headwinds in its core Hispanic consumer market due to elevated inflation and recent immigration raids affecting social activity [3] - The US beer market is stagnating, with younger demographics shifting away from alcohol, yet Constellation Brands has maintained a loyal customer base and gained market share over the past 20 years, particularly with its Modelo Especial brand [3] - The company is focusing on growing its smaller brands, Pacifico and Victoria, while enhancing product offerings for its established brands [3] - Constellation Brands' valuation is compelling at 12X next year's forecast earnings compared to its five-year average of 18X, indicating potential for recovery as company-specific headwinds dissipate [3]

Geopolitical Developments - The U.S. launched a military strike on Venezuela, extracting President Nicolás Maduro to face criminal charges in the U.S. [2] - President Trump stated that the U.S. would "run" Venezuela until an orderly transition is possible and that U.S. oil companies would rebuild Venezuela's oil infrastructure [2][3] Market Reactions - Investors are expected to closely monitor developments in Venezuela and seek more details from the Trump administration, particularly regarding the oil market, which may experience volatility [3] Employment and Economic Data - The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the December jobs report, which could influence interest rates [6] - Federal Reserve officials indicated that a weakening labor market might lead to more interest rate cuts, with upcoming reports on job openings, private sector hiring, and jobless claims providing insights into the labor market [7] Corporate Earnings Reports - Applied Digital, a data center operator, will report on the AI industry, with investors looking for signals of strong AI spending [9] - Constellation Brands, Tilray Brands, Albertsons Companies, CalMaine Foods, and Simply Good Foods are among the companies reporting earnings this week, providing insights into consumer spending levels [10][11]

Economic Data Release - The week will begin with ISM Manufacturing PMI and ISM Manufacturing Prices data for December on Monday [2] - S&P Global Services PMI and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for December will be released on Tuesday [2] - JOLTS Job Openings for November and ADP Nonfarm Employment numbers for December are scheduled for Wednesday [2] - Initial Jobless Claims data will be released on Thursday [2] - Nonfarm Payrolls and unemployment numbers for December are due on Friday [2] Earnings Reports - Constellation Brands, Marks & Spencer, Albertsons, and Applied Digital will report their earnings on Wednesday [3][4] - Tesco PLC is set to report earnings on Thursday [4] Market Events - The CES conference in Las Vegas will focus on AI, robotics, digital health, and mobility, featuring keynote speeches from Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang [5] - IREN Limited and GameStop are expected to experience volatility based on options volume [4] - The analyst quiet period will expire for Lumexa, Wealthfront, JM Group, and Cardinal Infrastructure, allowing analysts to post ratings [4]