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Constellation Brands: Huge Drawdown, But Significant Short And Long-Term Risks
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-10 14:07
Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ ) has one of Mexico's most valuable beer brands, although its marketing agreements only allow it to sell outside of the country. While the stock has fallen sharply recently, I think this is justified because the riskMy name is María Fernanda and I'm currently studying an MBA. My inspiration investors are Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch and Terry Smith, so I look for quality companies at a reasonable valuation. I believe that, in the long term, fundamentals are what drive the shar ...
Constellation Brands tops Q4 estimates but trims long-term growth outlook
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-04-10 14:06
About this content About Emily Jarvie Emily began her career as a political journalist for Australian Community Media in Hobart, Tasmania. After she relocated to Toronto, Canada, she reported on business, legal, and scientific developments in the emerging psychedelics sector before joining Proactive in 2022. She brings a strong journalism background with her work featured in newspapers, magazines, and digital publications across Australia, Europe, and North America, including The Examiner, The Advocate, ...
The Gross Law Firm Reminds Constellation Brands, Inc. Investors of the Pending Class Action Lawsuit with a Lead Plaintiff Deadline of April 21, 2025 - STZ
Prnewswire· 2025-04-10 09:45
Group 1 - The Gross Law Firm has issued a notice to shareholders of Constellation Brands, Inc. regarding a class action lawsuit related to the company's fiscal results and financial outlook [1] - The class period for the lawsuit is from April 11, 2024, to January 8, 2025, during which shareholders are encouraged to contact the firm for possible lead plaintiff appointment [1][2] - Allegations include that Constellation Brands provided misleading information about its financial performance, particularly a significant miss in sales for the Beer segment and an even larger miss for the Wine & Spirits segment, leading to a sharp decline in stock price from $219.28 to $181.81 [1] Group 2 - Shareholders have a deadline of April 21, 2025, to register for the class action and can enroll in a portfolio monitoring software for updates on the case [2] - The Gross Law Firm aims to protect investors' rights and seeks recovery for losses incurred due to misleading statements or omissions by companies [3]
Modelo owner Constellation Brands outlook disappoints as tariffs weigh on forecast
CNBC· 2025-04-09 21:08
Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands has provided a weaker-than-expected outlook for fiscal 2026, primarily due to the impact of higher U.S. tariffs on imported beer from Mexico, which is a significant part of its business [1][3][6]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For fiscal 2025 fourth-quarter earnings, Constellation exceeded Wall Street's estimates, reporting adjusted earnings per share of $2.63 compared to the expected $2.28, and revenue of $2.16 billion versus the anticipated $2.13 billion [2][8]. - The company anticipates comparable earnings per share for fiscal 2026 to be in the range of $12.60 to $12.90, significantly below Wall Street's estimate of $13.97 per share [6]. Group 2: Tariff Impact - The Trump administration has imposed a 25% tariff on all imported canned beer and empty aluminum cans, effective April 4, which directly affects Constellation as it imports all its beer from Mexico [3][4]. - Despite a temporary reduction in reciprocal tariffs to 10% for 90 days, this does not apply to sector-specific duties like those on aluminum, which will continue to impact costs [3]. Group 3: Strategic Changes - Constellation plans to reposition its portfolio by divesting from "mainstream" wines and focusing on higher-priced brands, with a recent sale of its Svedka vodka brand to Sazerac [5]. - The company has lowered its medium-term outlook for fiscal 2027 and 2028, projecting enterprise sales growth to be between 2% and 4%, down from a previous estimate of 6% to 8% [7]. Group 4: Capital Expenditures - Constellation plans to reduce its capital expenditures for fiscal 2027 and 2028, projecting a 40% year-over-year decrease in fiscal 2027 and a 35% decrease in fiscal 2028, compared to an earlier outlook of $5 billion in spending from fiscal 2024 to fiscal 2028 [7].
Constellation Brands(STZ) - 2025 Q4 - Annual Results
2025-04-09 20:55
Financial Performance - Reported net sales for FY25 were $10.2 billion, reflecting a 2% increase compared to FY24, while organic net sales also grew by 3%[22]. - The beer segment achieved a net sales growth of 9% in FY25, with operating income increasing by 10% to $3.4 billion[18][25]. - Wine and spirits segment reported a decline in net sales of 7% to $1.67 billion, with operating income decreasing by 18% to $325 million[18][21]. - Consolidated net sales for the year ended February 28, 2025, increased by 2% to $10,208.7 million, up from $9,961.8 million in the previous year[102]. - Organic net sales for the year ended February 28, 2025, rose by 3% to $10,208.7 million, compared to $9,939.2 million for the year ended February 29, 2024[102]. - Beer net sales for the year ended February 28, 2025, increased by 5% to $8,539.8 million, while Wine and Spirits net sales decreased by 7% to $1,668.9 million[102]. - Net income for the year ended February 28, 2025, was a loss of $31.1 million, compared to a net income of $1,765.2 million for the year ended February 29, 2024[97]. - The company reported a net loss attributable to Constellation Brands, Inc. of $375.3 million for the three months ended February 28, 2025, compared to a net income of $392.4 million for the same period in 2024[95]. Cash Flow and Capital Expenditures - Expected operating cash flow of approximately $9 billion from FY26 to FY28, with free cash flow projected between $6 billion to $7 billion[14]. - Operating cash flow for FY25 was $3.2 billion, representing a 28% increase compared to FY24[21]. - Capital expenditures for FY25 were $992 million, with expectations of approximately $1 billion in cumulative CAPEX for FY26 to FY28[33]. - Total capital expenditures from FY26 to FY28 are expected to be around $2.4 billion, with approximately $2 billion allocated to the Beer Business[66]. Strategic Initiatives and Cost Savings - Enterprise-wide restructuring actions are expected to yield over $200 million in net annualized cost savings by FY28[14]. - The company anticipates over $100 million in net annualized cost savings across COGS, Marketing, and SG&A by FY28, including approximately $55 million in FY26[58]. - The company delivered approximately $220 million in cost savings through supply chain efficiencies, resulting in a 180 basis point increase in beer business operating margin to 39.7%[21]. - Significant cash generation and returns to shareholders expected, with a compelling growth outlook beyond FY26[13]. Market Growth and Segment Performance - Beer segment anticipated to achieve 2% to 4% net sales growth and operating margins of 39% to 40% in FY27 and FY28, driven by distribution gains and marketing investments[14]. - Wine and Spirits segment expected to deliver up to 3% net sales growth and operating margins of 22% to 24% in FY27 and FY28, following the 2025 Wine Divestitures Transaction projected to generate around $900 million in proceeds[14]. - The company is the only large-scale entity to be a Top 10 growth leader for 12 consecutive years, holding the 1 position for 6 of the last 8 years[14]. - Modelo Especial contributed over 40% of Core Beer Brands POD growth from FY23 to FY25 and is expected to contribute over 30% from FY25 to FY28[40]. - Pacifico was the second largest POD growth driver among Core Beer Brands from FY23 to FY25, contributing over 20% of uplift and is expected to contribute over 30% from FY25 to FY28[40]. Shareholder Returns and Dividends - Committed to a disciplined capital allocation strategy, including share repurchases against a $4 billion authorization approved in April 2025[14]. - A new total 3-year $4 billion share repurchase authorization has been established to enhance returns[65]. - The company reported a cash dividend declared per common share of $1.01 for the three months ended February 28, 2025, compared to $0.89 in the prior year[95]. - The company plans to maintain a net leverage ratio of around 3.0x and a dividend payout ratio of approximately 30% from FY26 to FY28[31]. Future Projections - The company expects low single-digit CAGR for consolidated net sales from FY26 to FY28, with an operating margin target of approximately 34-35%[30]. - The company expects to maintain best-in-class operating margins of approximately 39% to 40% in FY26-FY28[52]. - The forecasted EPS (GAAP) for the year ending February 28, 2026, is projected to be between $12.33 and $12.63, with a comparable EPS (Non-GAAP) forecasted between $12.60 and $12.90[138]. - Free cash flow (Non-GAAP) guidance for the year ending February 28, 2026, is estimated to be between $1,500 million and $1,600 million[141].
Constellation Brands Reports Fiscal Year and Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Fiscal Year 2026 to Fiscal Year 2028 Outlook
GlobeNewswire· 2025-04-09 20:35
Core Insights - Constellation Brands, Inc. reported its fiscal year and fourth quarter 2025 financial results, along with an outlook for fiscal years 2026 to 2028 [1] Company Overview - Constellation Brands is a leading international producer and marketer of beer, wine, and spirits, with operations in the U.S., Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy [2] - The company's mission focuses on building beloved brands and enhancing human connections, which drives its growth as one of the fastest-growing large consumer packaged goods companies in the U.S. [2] Product Portfolio - The company offers a range of high-end, iconic imported beer brands, including Corona Extra, Modelo Especial, and various Modelo Cheladas, as well as fine wines and craft spirits like The Prisoner Wine Company and Robert Mondavi Winery [3] Sustainability and ESG Strategy - As an agriculture-based company, Constellation Brands emphasizes sustainable and responsible operations, integrating its ESG strategy into its business practices [4] - The company aims to be a good steward of the environment, invest in communities, and promote responsible beverage alcohol consumption [4]
Constellation Brands Repositions Wine and Spirits Business to a Portfolio of Exclusively Higher-Growth, Higher-Margin Brands Aligned to Consumer-Led Premiumization Trends
Newsfilter· 2025-04-09 20:30
Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands, Inc. has signed an agreement to divest primarily mainstream wine brands and related vineyards and facilities to The Wine Group, aiming to focus on higher-end wine and craft spirits that align with evolving consumer preferences [1][3][7]. Group 1: Transaction Details - The divestiture includes brands such as Woodbridge, Meiomi, Robert Mondavi Private Selection, Cook's, SIMI, and J. Rogét sparkling wine, along with associated inventory, facilities, and vineyards [3][6]. - The transaction is subject to regulatory approval and is expected to close immediately after the end of Constellation's first quarter of fiscal year 2026 [1][3]. Group 2: Retained Portfolio - Constellation's retained wine portfolio will consist of premium wines priced at $15 and above, including brands like Robert Mondavi Winery, Schrader, and Kim Crawford, as well as a selection of award-winning craft spirits [2][7][8]. - The retained brands are positioned in higher-growth segments, complementing Constellation's higher-end beer portfolio [3][7]. Group 3: Strategic Goals - The transaction reflects a multi-year strategy to reconfigure the business towards a portfolio of higher-end brands, enhancing competitive positioning and aligning with consumer trends [3][4]. - The company anticipates net annualized cost savings exceeding $200 million by fiscal year 2028, with most restructuring efforts expected to be completed within fiscal year 2026 [4].
Constellation Brands Gears Up For Q4 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts
Benzinga· 2025-04-09 16:06
Core Insights - Constellation Brands, Inc. is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings results on April 9, with analysts expecting earnings of $2.28 per share, an increase from $2.26 per share in the previous year [1] - The company is projected to report quarterly revenue of $2.13 billion, slightly down from $2.14 billion a year earlier [1] Management Changes - On February 18, Constellation Brands announced the departure of E. Yuri Hermida, the Executive Vice President, Chief Growth & Strategy Officer [2] - Following this announcement, Constellation shares fell by 0.9%, closing at $170.96 [2] Analyst Ratings - Wells Fargo analyst Chris Carey maintained an Overweight rating but reduced the price target from $230 to $210 [4] - Barclays analyst Lauren Lieberman also maintained an Overweight rating, cutting the price target from $205 to $203 [4] - Morgan Stanley analyst Dara Mohsenian downgraded the stock from Overweight to Equal-Weight, lowering the price target from $220 to $202 [4] - Piper Sandler analyst Michael Lavery downgraded the stock from Overweight to Neutral, reducing the price target from $245 to $200 [4] - TD Cowen analyst Robert Moskow maintained a Hold rating and decreased the price target from $270 to $260 [4]
How To Earn $500 A Month From Constellation Brands Stock Ahead Of Q4 Earnings
Benzinga· 2025-04-09 12:37
Constellation Brands, Inc. STZ will release its fourth-quarter earnings results after the closing bell on Wednesday, April 9. STZ Price Action: Shares of Constellation Brands fell 0.9% to close at $170.96 on Tuesday. So, how can investors exploit its dividend yield to pocket a regular $500 monthly? To earn $500 per month or $6,000 annually from dividends alone, you would need an investment of approximately $253,876 or around 1,485 shares. For a more modest $100 per month or $1,200 per year, you would need $ ...
Constellation Brands, Inc. Sued for Securities Law Violations - Investors Should Contact Levi & Korsinsky Before April 21, 2025 to Discuss Your Rights - STZ
Prnewswire· 2025-04-08 09:45
Core Viewpoint - A class action securities lawsuit has been filed against Constellation Brands, Inc. due to alleged securities fraud affecting investors between April 11, 2024, and January 8, 2025 [1][2] Group 1: Lawsuit Details - The lawsuit aims to recover losses for investors impacted by the alleged fraud during the specified period [1] - The complaint highlights that the defendants provided misleading information regarding Constellation's fiscal year 2024 results and 2025 financial outlook, particularly in the Wine and Spirits business [2] - A significant sales performance miss was reported in the Beer segment and an even larger miss in the Wine & Spirits segment, leading to a stock price drop from $219.28 on January 8, 2025, to $181.81 on January 10, 2025 [2] Group 2: Next Steps for Investors - Investors who suffered losses during the relevant timeframe have until April 21, 2025, to request appointment as lead plaintiff, although participation in any recovery does not require this [3] - Class members may be entitled to compensation without any out-of-pocket costs or fees [3] Group 3: Firm Background - Levi & Korsinsky has a history of securing hundreds of millions of dollars for shareholders and is recognized as one of the top securities litigation firms in the United States [4]