Market Overview - The stock market opened higher on Friday, with Wall Street remaining unfazed by the ongoing U.S. government shutdown [2] - The Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 reached new intraday record highs despite the shutdown entering its second day [2] - The prediction market Kalshi indicates a 69% chance that the shutdown will last more than 10 days [2] Economic Reports - Investors are closely monitoring upcoming economic reports, although the reliability of government data is in question due to the shutdown [3] - Key reports expected next week include the CB Employment Trends Index, Exports, Imports, Trade Balance, Atlanta Fed GDP, and Consumer Credit [3] - Additional reports on FOMC Minutes, MBA Mortgage Applications, Construction Spending, Gasoline Production, Jobless Claims, and Wholesale Inventories are also anticipated [3] Earnings Reports - Several companies are scheduled to report earnings next week, including Constellation Brands, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, Levi Strauss, Tilray, and Unity Bancorp [4] - Specific earnings spotlight dates include Constellation Brands and Aehr Test Systems on October 6, and McCormick & Co on October 7 [5]

Group 1: Albemarle Corporation - Albemarle is one of the world's largest lithium producers, operating refining plants in the U.S., Chile, and China, with demand primarily driven by batteries and electric vehicles [3][4] - The company possesses top-tier lithium assets and is among the lowest-cost producers globally, with additional resources in the U.S. and Argentina that are in early development [4] - Currently trading at a significant discount, with a fair value estimated at $200, representing a 58% discount, despite a modest 2% dividend yield [6] Group 2: Constellation Brands - Constellation Brands is the largest provider of alcoholic beverages in the U.S., generating over 80% of its revenue from Mexican beer imports, including brands like Modelo and Corona [7][8] - The company has a strong economic moat due to its brand image and exclusive distribution rights for its Mexican beer portfolio, making it a leader in the premium import beer segment [8] - Facing challenges with softer beer demand and a reduced fiscal 2026 outlook, the company still offers a solid 3% dividend yield and trades at a 41% discount to a fair value estimate of $225 per share [9][10]

Core Insights - Constellation Brands, Inc. is expected to report a decline in both revenue and earnings for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, with earnings estimated at $3.37 per share, reflecting a 21.9% decrease year-over-year, and revenues projected at $2.5 billion, down 15.8% from the previous year [1][2][10] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings has decreased by 16.4% over the past 30 days, indicating a negative trend in expectations [2] - In the last reported quarter, Constellation Brands experienced a negative earnings surprise of 3.6%, although it has beaten estimates by an average of 3.6% over the trailing four quarters [3] Earnings Prediction Model - The current Earnings ESP for Constellation Brands is 0.0%, and it holds a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), suggesting low odds for an earnings beat this quarter [4] Key Growth Drivers - The beer portfolio, particularly brands like Modelo, Corona, and Pacifico, is identified as the main growth driver, supported by strong brand health and consumer loyalty, especially among Hispanic buyers [5] - The wine and spirits segment is expected to contribute modestly due to improved shipment volumes and international expansion, particularly in Canada [6] Operational Factors - Cost-saving initiatives and capacity expansions in Mexico are critical for operational efficiency, although upcoming tariffs on aluminum are anticipated to create a $20 million headwind this fiscal year [7] - Elevated marketing expenditures are aimed at maintaining market share and brand loyalty in a competitive environment [7] External Pressures - Consumer caution due to inflation and reduced discretionary spending is impacting beer consumption, particularly among Hispanic households [8] - Macroeconomic uncertainties and regional factors, such as California's recovery from wildfires, may influence performance in the upcoming quarter [8] Valuation Perspective - Constellation Brands is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 11.55X, which is below its five-year high of 23.57X and the industry average of 13.84X, indicating potential value for investors [11] - The stock has declined by 42.8% over the past year, compared to a 21.6% decline in the industry [12]

Core Insights - Constellation Brands Inc. is expected to announce earnings on October 6, 2025, with a historical trend of negative one-day returns following earnings reports, where 60% of the past five years resulted in negative returns averaging -3.3% [3][4][10] - The consensus estimate for the upcoming report anticipates earnings of $3.42 per share and $2.48 billion in sales, a decline from the previous year's earnings of $4.32 per share and $2.92 billion in sales [4] - The company currently has a market capitalization of $24 billion, with $10 billion in revenue over the past twelve months and operational profits of $3.2 billion, but a net income loss of $442 million [5] Historical Performance - In the last five years, Constellation Brands recorded 20 earnings data points, with 8 positive and 12 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 40% of the time [10] - The median of the positive returns was 1.8%, while the median of the negative returns was -3.3% [10] Trading Strategies - Traders can utilize historical trends to establish positions before and after earnings releases, focusing on the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns [7][9] - A strategy could involve taking a long position for the next five days if the one-day post-earnings return is favorable, based on the correlation data [7]

Core Insights - Cannabis stocks experienced significant movement following President Trump's endorsement of cannabidiol (CBD) for seniors, highlighting potential health benefits [1] - Major marijuana stocks saw substantial gains, with Tilray Brands increasing by 42% and Aurora Cannabis by 25%, although some of these gains were later reversed [2] Company Overview - Constellation Brands is a significant shareholder in Canopy Growth, holding approximately 26 million shares through its shell company, which could represent about 14% of Canopy's stock if converted [3] - Constellation Brands is the third-largest beer company in the U.S., also producing high-end wine and spirits, with notable brands like Corona and Kim Crawford [4] Financial Performance - Constellation Brands has a market capitalization of $24.5 billion and has seen a year-to-date decline of 37% in 2025, underperforming competitors like Boston Beer and Molson Coors [5] - The stock is currently considered overvalued with a price-to-earnings ratio of 46.4, significantly higher than its 10-year median of 25.8 [5] Dividend Information - Constellation Brands offers a dividend yield of 3%, which is above the sector average of 1.9%, with the next payment scheduled for November 13, 2025 [6]

Core Insights - Constellation Brands, Inc. announced the retirement of Jim Bourdeau as Chief Legal Officer effective February 28, 2026, after over 10 years with the company [1][2] - Jeff LaBarge will succeed Bourdeau as Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer starting March 1, 2026 [3][4] Leadership Transition - Jim Bourdeau has been a key figure in Constellation's senior leadership, contributing to the company's growth and transformation through his legal expertise and governance [2] - Bourdeau joined Constellation in September 2014 and has overseen significant M&A activities and corporate legal matters [2][5] - Jeff LaBarge, who joined Constellation in August 2016, has held various legal leadership roles and will now lead the legal and public affairs functions [4][5] Company Overview - Constellation Brands is a leading international producer and marketer of beer, wine, and spirits, with operations in the U.S., Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy [6] - The company focuses on building beloved brands and aims to be one of the fastest-growing large consumer packaged goods companies in the U.S. [6][8] - Constellation's product portfolio includes well-known brands such as Corona Extra, Modelo Especial, and various premium wines and spirits [7]

Core Insights - Constellation Brands is expected to report quarterly earnings of $3.37 per share, a decline of 22% year-over-year, with revenues forecasted at $2.46 billion, reflecting a 15.8% decrease compared to the previous year [1] - Analysts have revised their consensus EPS estimate down by 6.5% over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment of the company's financial outlook [2] - The relationship between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements is well-documented, highlighting the importance of these revisions for investor sentiment [3] Financial Metrics - Analysts project 'Net Sales- Wine and Spirits' to be $138.99 million, indicating a significant year-over-year decline of 64.2% [4] - 'Net Sales- Beer' is estimated at $2.33 billion, suggesting an 8% decrease year-over-year [5] - 'Operating Income- Wine and Spirits' is forecasted to be -$9.36 million, a stark contrast to the $70.50 million reported in the same quarter last year [5] - 'Operating Income- Beer' is expected to reach $911.22 million, down from $1.08 billion in the previous year [5] Market Performance - Over the past month, Constellation Brands' shares have declined by 11%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has increased by 3.5% [6] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the overall market in the near future [6]

Core Insights - Constellation Brands, Inc. is set to release its second-quarter earnings results on October 6, with analysts expecting earnings of $3.41 per share, a decrease from $4.32 per share in the same period last year [1] - The company projects quarterly revenue of $2.48 billion, down from $2.92 billion a year earlier [1] Earnings Expectations - Analysts predict a decline in earnings per share from $4.32 to $3.41 year-over-year [1] - Revenue expectations for the quarter are projected at $2.48 billion, compared to $2.92 billion in the previous year [1] Analyst Ratings - Wells Fargo analyst Chris Carey has maintained an Overweight rating on Constellation Brands but has reduced the price target from $170 to $155 [2] - The company currently offers an annual dividend yield of 3.03%, translating to a semi-annual dividend of $1.02 per share, or $4.08 annually [2] Dividend Strategy - To achieve a monthly income of $500 from dividends, an investment of approximately $198,100 or around 1,471 shares is required [3] - For a more modest monthly income of $100, an investment of $39,593 or about 294 shares is necessary [3] Dividend Yield Calculation - The dividend yield is calculated by dividing the annual dividend payment by the stock's current price [4] - Changes in stock price directly affect the dividend yield; for instance, if the stock price increases, the yield decreases, and vice versa [4] Stock Performance - Constellation Brands' shares fell by 1.3%, closing at $134.67 [5]

Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE:STZ) will release earnings results for the second quarter, after the closing bell on Monday, Oct. 6.Analysts expect the company to report quarterly earnings at $3.41 per share, down from $4.32 per share in the year-ago period. Constellation projects quarterly revenue of $2.48 billion, compared to $2.92 billion a year earlier, according to data from Benzinga Pro.On Sept. 2, Constellation Brands cut its fiscal year 2026 outlook, citing macroeconomic headwinds affecting consume ...

Core Insights - Constellation Brands, Inc. is facing significant challenges, including a 37% stock decline this year, contrasting with the S&P 500's 12% rise [1] - The company is set to release its quarterly earnings on October 6, 2025, with analysts predicting an EPS of $3.37 and revenue of approximately $2.48 billion, but a decline in earnings is expected for the quarter ending August 2025 [2][6] - Changing consumer habits, particularly among younger demographics, are impacting beer consumption, contributing to the company's financial challenges [4][6] Financial Metrics - Constellation Brands has a price-to-sales ratio of about 2.39, indicating investors are willing to pay $2.39 for every dollar of sales [5] - The enterprise value to sales ratio is approximately 3.53, and the enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio is around 11.47 [5] - The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at about 1.59, suggesting a higher level of debt compared to equity [5][6] Market Impact - The upcoming earnings report could significantly impact STZ's stock price, with potential for a rise if expectations are exceeded, or a decline if they are not met [3]