Group 1 - Investors in Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) should monitor stock movements due to high implied volatility in the options market, particularly the June 20, 2025 $47.5 Call option [1] - Implied volatility indicates market expectations for significant price movement, suggesting potential upcoming events that could lead to a rally or sell-off [2] - Wynn Resorts currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) in the Gaming industry, which is in the bottom 44% of the Zacks Industry Rank, with recent earnings estimates showing a decrease from $1.33 to $1.24 per share [3] Group 2 - The high implied volatility for Wynn Resorts may indicate a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on such options to capture decay [4]

Group 1 - Wynn Resorts, Limited reported weaker-than-expected Q1 earnings primarily due to underperformance in Macau operations [1] - The company's U.S. operations also experienced declining earnings during the same quarter [1] - The report was released on May 6th after market close [1] Group 2 - The investment philosophy highlighted focuses on identifying mispriced securities by understanding the drivers behind a company's financials [1] - A DCF model valuation is emphasized as a key methodology for assessing investment opportunities [1] - This approach allows for a comprehensive evaluation of a stock's prospects, considering various investment styles [1]

Core Viewpoint - Wynn Resorts, Limited reported first-quarter 2025 results with earnings and revenues missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate, showing a year-over-year decline in both metrics [1][3][20]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter were $1.07, missing the consensus estimate of $1.22 by 12.3%, down from $1.59 in the prior-year quarter [3]. - Quarterly operating revenues totaled $1.7 billion, missing the consensus mark of $1.73 billion by 1.5%, and fell 8.7% year-over-year [3]. - Adjusted property EBITDAR was $532.9 million, compared to $646.5 million in the prior-year quarter [15]. Segment Performance - Wynn Palace's operating revenues were $535.9 million, down from $586.9 million in the prior-year quarter, with casino revenues declining 6.2% to $444.5 million [4]. - Wynn Macau's operating revenues amounted to $329.9 million, down from $411.7 million, with casino revenues decreasing 20.4% to $275.6 million [7]. - Las Vegas operations generated $625.3 million in revenues, slightly down from $636.5 million, with casino revenues increasing 19.1% to $161 million [11]. - Encore Boston Harbor's operating revenues were $209.2 million, compared to $217.8 million in the prior-year quarter, with casino revenues falling 4.1% to $159.4 million [13]. Operational Metrics - Revenue per available room (RevPAR) declined 34.5% year-over-year to $218, with an occupancy rate of 98.3% [6]. - In the VIP segment, table games turnover was $4 billion, up 2.1% year-over-year, but the win rate decreased to 2.61% from 3.3% [5]. - Table drop in the mass market segment was $1.7 billion, down from $1.78 billion in the prior-year quarter [5]. Cash Position - As of March 31, 2025, cash and cash equivalents totaled $2.07 billion, down from $2.43 billion in the previous quarter, with total outstanding debt at $10.55 billion [17].

Financial Performance & Growth - Wynn Resorts reported a total Adjusted Property EBITDAR of $23 billion for the Last Twelve Months (LTM) ending in 1Q25[28] - The company's Las Vegas operations showed strong performance, with LTM 1Q25 Adjusted Property EBITDAR reaching $924 million, although this was a decrease of 39% compared to $961 million in LTM 1Q24[43] - Macau operations generated $1088 million in Adjusted Property EBITDAR for LTM 1Q25, a decrease of 44% from $1138 million in LTM 1Q24[54] - Encore Boston Harbor's LTM 1Q25 Adjusted Property EBITDAR was $241 million, a decrease of 61% compared to $257 million in LTM 1Q24[48] - Wynn Al Marjan Island is projected to contribute between $265 million (Low Case) and $460 million (High Case) in steady-state EBITDAR, with a base case of $345 million[25] Capital Investments & Returns - Wynn Resorts has returned over $11 billion to shareholders since 2022, including approximately $950 million in share repurchases and $220 million in dividends[28, 75] - The company anticipates spending between $750 million and $800 million on domestic project capital expenditures in 2025, including investments in Wynn Al Marjan Island, Las Vegas, and Boston[69] - Macau concession capex projects are underway, with projected spending between $250 million and $300 million in 2025[68, 71] Strategic Developments - Wynn Al Marjan Island is under construction and is expected to open in 1Q2027[10, 24] - The company completed a $24 billion construction facility for Wynn Al Marjan Island, with an initial debt draw of $250 million during 1Q25[62] - Wynn Resorts is in the process of acquiring Crown London Aspinalls, which is expected to enhance database building efforts for VIP customers[9, 62]

Market Performance - Market indexes experienced a decline, with the Dow dropping 389 points (-0.95%), S&P 500 down 43 points (-0.77%), Nasdaq falling 154 points (-0.87%), and Russell 2000 losing 21 points (-1.05%) [1] Company Earnings Reports - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported earnings of 96 cents per share, beating estimates by 3 cents, with revenues of $7.44 billion surpassing the projected $7.12 billion. Forward revenue guidance was raised to $7.4 billion [3] - Wynn Resorts (WYNN) reported earnings of $1.07 per share, missing the estimate of $1.22, and revenues of $1.7 billion, slightly below the $1.73 billion estimate. The company announced a share buyback program, but faces challenges due to tariff concerns affecting its domestic locations [4] - Rivian Automotive (RIVN) posted a narrower loss of 41 cents per share compared to the expected 80 cents, with revenues of $1.24 billion exceeding the $1.02 billion estimate. The gross profit of $206 million positions the company favorably with Volkswagen, which has invested in Rivian [5] Upcoming Earnings Expectations - The Walt Disney Co. (DIS) is expected to report fiscal Q2 earnings with a projected decline of 2.48% in earnings growth, while top-line growth is anticipated at 4.77%. The Parks division and the film "Thunderbolts" are expected to attract significant interest [6] Federal Reserve Meeting - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is concluding, with no expected change in interest rates. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will address questions regarding the timeline for potential rate reductions and his position before the end of his term in 2026 [7]

Earnings Performance - Wynn Resorts reported quarterly earnings of $1.07 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.22 per share, and down from $1.59 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -12.30% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.7 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.52%, and down from $1.86 billion year-over-year [2] Market Performance - Wynn shares have lost about 3.7% since the beginning of the year, compared to the S&P 500's decline of -3.9% [3] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $1.28 on revenues of $1.75 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $4.96 on revenues of $7.03 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Wynn is mixed, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Gaming industry, to which Wynn belongs, is currently in the bottom 45% of the Zacks industry rankings, suggesting potential challenges ahead [8] - Another company in the same industry, International Game Technology (IGT), is expected to report a significant decline in earnings, with a projected EPS of $0.14, down 69.6% year-over-year, and revenues expected to be $632.03 million, down 40.8% from the previous year [9][10]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted property EBITDA of $223.4 million for Wynn Las Vegas on operating revenue of $625.3 million, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 35.7% [17] - Total casino revenues increased by 4% year-over-year, despite the absence of the Super Bowl in 2025 [12] - Adjusted property EBITDA for Macau operations was $252.1 million on operating revenue of $865.9 million, yielding an EBITDA margin of 29.1% [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Las Vegas, adjusted EBITDA was down approximately $11 million when adjusted for hold, with slot business showing strong performance [12][18] - Encore Boston Harbor generated $57.5 million of adjusted property EBITDA on revenue of $209.2 million, with an EBITDA margin of 27.5% [19] - Macau's mass drop was up year-over-year, while VIP turnover increased significantly, although lower VIP hold impacted EBITDA by over $38 million [14][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Las Vegas, RevPAR for April was slightly up from 2024, with slot handle also increasing [10] - Macau's mass drop during Golden Week was up from the previous year, with full hotel occupancy reported [11] - The company noted a healthy demand outlook for group and convention business in Las Vegas, with visibility into forward demand appearing stable [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maximizing EBITDA and maintaining a healthy margin profile amidst competitive pressures in Macau [14] - Significant CapEx projects have been delayed due to tariff impacts, with $375 million in projects, including the Encore Tower remodel, currently on hold [9][23] - The company is committed to returning capital to shareholders, having repurchased $200 million in stock during Q1 and an additional $100 million in Q2 [22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged uncertainty in the operating environment due to tariffs but noted that the business in Las Vegas and Macau is holding up well [11] - The company expressed confidence in its ability to navigate competitive dynamics in Macau and highlighted the importance of service quality and product offerings [42][46] - Management remains optimistic about future growth opportunities, particularly with the upcoming opening of Wynn on Marjan Islands [15][16] Other Important Information - The company has a strong liquidity position with $3.2 billion in global cash and revolver availability as of March 31 [21] - The board has recommended an increase in the final dividend for 2024 to $125 million, subject to shareholder approval [22] - The Gourmet Pavilion Food Hall at Wynn Palace has already driven significant incremental visitation since its opening [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in promotions and discounts in Las Vegas - Management confirmed that the decrease in promotions correlates with ADR, particularly influenced by the Super Bowl comparison [26] Question: CapEx deployment cadence - Management indicated that CapEx will follow the usual construction curve, deploying funds over the remainder of the year and into next year [27] Question: International visitation impact - Management noted that international visitation is currently about 9% of Las Vegas room nights, with minimal impact from decreases in visitation from Canada and Mexico [32] Question: Competitive environment in Macau - Management described the competitive landscape as stable but noted the importance of service quality and product offerings to remain competitive [42][46] Question: CapEx impact from tariffs - The majority of delayed CapEx is related to the Encore Tower remodel, with management emphasizing that the timing of rescheduling is uncertain [58][74] Question: Group business outlook - Management stated that they are not experiencing softening in group demand, with strong pacing for 2026 driven by large events [61] Question: Development opportunities in Japan - Management expressed interest in Japan but emphasized the need for favorable conditions before pursuing opportunities there [66] Question: OpEx management with new openings - Management indicated that OpEx per day remained flat year-over-year, with careful management of costs to offset new expenses [80]

Financial Performance - Operating revenues for Q1 2025 were $1,700,397, a decrease of $162,512 or 8.7% compared to Q1 2024[101]. - Net income attributable to Wynn Resorts, Limited for Q1 2025 was $72,747, down $71,469 or 49.6% from $144,216 in Q1 2024[102]. - Average daily rate (ADR) and revenue per available room (REVPAR) decreased across properties, contributing to lower overall revenues[102]. - Macau Operations reported total revenues of $865,889 for Q1 2025, a decline of $132,756 or 13.3% from $998,645 in Q1 2024[104]. - Casino revenues for Q1 2025 were $1,040,430, down $81,036 or 7.2% from $1,121,466 in Q1 2024, representing 61.2% of total operating revenues[105]. - Non-casino revenues decreased to $659,967 in Q1 2025, a drop of $81,476 or 11.0% compared to $741,443 in Q1 2024[105]. Casino Operations - Total casino revenues for Wynn Palace decreased by $29.3 million, or 6.2%, from $473.8 million in 2024 to $444.5 million in 2025[107]. - Total casino revenues for Wynn Macau decreased by $70.8 million, or 20.4%, from $346.4 million in 2024 to $275.6 million in 2025[107]. - Total casino revenues for Las Vegas Operations increased by $25.8 million, or 19.1%, from $135.2 million in 2024 to $161.0 million in 2025[108]. - The decrease in operating revenues was largely driven by lower VIP win as a percentage of turnover and mass market table games win in Macau[101]. - VIP win percentage in Macau is expected to range between 3.1% to 3.4%, while table games win percentage in Las Vegas is projected at 22% to 26%[98][99]. Expenses and Financial Metrics - Total operating expenses decreased by $68.2 million, or 4.5%, from $1.5 billion in 2024 to $1.4 billion in 2025[112]. - Casino expenses decreased by $40.6 million, or 6.0%, primarily due to lower gaming tax expenses[112]. - Interest expense decreased by $24.8 million due to a reduction in the weighted average debt balance from $11.92 billion in 2024 to $10.94 billion in 2025[117]. - Cash flows from operating activities decreased to $133.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, from $315.1 million in 2024[132]. - Income tax expense decreased to $11.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, from $20.0 million in 2024[121]. Shareholder Returns and Capital Management - The company repurchased 2,504,560 shares of common stock for an aggregate cost of $212.0 million during the three months ended March 31, 2025[138]. - A cash dividend of $0.25 per share was declared, with a total of $26.8 million recorded against accumulated deficit[150]. - The company authorized a $1.00 billion share repurchase program, with $613 million remaining as of March 31, 2025[152]. - The company plans to pay a final dividend of HK$0.185 per share on June 11, 2025, subject to shareholder approval[143]. Investments and Future Plans - Wynn Resorts has a 40% equity interest in Island 3, which is constructing an integrated resort in Ras Al Khaimah, UAE[92]. - The company is reassessing $375 million in planned enhancements at Wynn Las Vegas due to uncertainties regarding tariffs[146]. - Wynn Al Marjan Island FZ-LLC entered a $2.4 billion delayed draw secured term loan facility for development financing[156]. - The company contributed $51.2 million to Wynn Al Marjan Island, with remaining equity requirements estimated between $650 million and $725 million[149]. Currency and Debt Management - As of March 31, 2025, approximately 76% of long-term debt was fixed rate, with a potential $19 million change in annual interest expense from a 100 basis point rate change[162]. - The company entered into foreign currency swaps totaling $2.9 billion to manage exchange rate risks associated with U.S. dollar denominated senior notes[164]. - An assumed 1% change in the U.S. dollar/Hong Kong dollar exchange rate could result in a gain/loss of $12.5 million to income before taxes[165]. - The company incurred a foreign currency remeasurement loss of $8.4 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to a loss of $4.7 million for the same period in 2024[119]. - The company recorded a loss of $29.5 million from changes in derivatives fair value for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to a loss of $17.9 million in 2024[120].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted property EBITDA of $223.4 million for Wynn Las Vegas on operating revenue of $625.3 million, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 35.7% [16] - Total casino revenues increased by 4% year-over-year, excluding the Super Bowl impact [11] - Adjusted property EBITDA for Macau operations was $252.1 million on operating revenue of $865.9 million, with an EBITDA margin of 29.1% [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Las Vegas, slot volumes increased by approximately 3%, contributing to overall revenue growth [12] - Encore Boston Harbor generated $57.5 million in adjusted property EBITDA on revenue of $209.2 million, with an EBITDA margin of 27.5% [17] - Macau's mass drop was up year-over-year, while VIP turnover increased significantly, although lower VIP hold impacted EBITDA by about $38 million [13][18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Las Vegas, RevPAR for April was slightly up from 2024, with healthy group activity and slot handle [9] - Macau's mass drop during Golden Week showed improvement compared to the previous year, with full hotel occupancy [10] - The company noted that international visitation to Las Vegas is currently at 9% of room nights, which can be backfilled easily [32] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maximizing EBITDA and maintaining a healthy margin profile despite competitive pressures in Macau [13] - The opening of the Gourmet Pavilion Food Hall at Wynn Palace has driven increased visitation, with 2,400 additional daily restaurant covers [14] - The company is committed to returning capital to shareholders, having repurchased $200 million in stock during Q1 and an additional $100 million in Q2 [21][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged uncertainty in the operating environment due to tariffs but noted that the business in Vegas and Macau is holding up well [10] - The company remains optimistic about future demand, particularly in group and convention business, despite short booking windows [9][34] - Management expressed confidence in the upcoming Wynn on Marjan Islands project, viewing it as a compelling development opportunity [15] Other Important Information - The company expects total CapEx spend in 2025 to range between $250 million to $300 million, with a significant portion related to concession commitments [20] - The company has a strong liquidity position with $3.2 billion in global cash and revolver availability as of March 31 [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in promotions and discounts in Las Vegas - Management indicated that the observed changes correlate strongly with ADR, particularly influenced by the Super Bowl comparison [25] Question: Thoughts on international inbound and VIP exposure - Management noted that high-end visitation remains stable, while international visitation has decreased but does not significantly impact the business [32] Question: Competitive environment in Macau - Management described the competitive landscape as stable but emphasized the importance of service quality and product offerings to remain competitive [44][108] Question: CapEx projects on hold due to tariffs - The majority of the delayed CapEx is related to the Encore Tower remodel, with a total of $375 million impacted [59] Question: Group business outlook for 2026 - Management reported strong demand for group bookings in 2026, attributing it to large events scheduled for that year [62]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted property EBITDA of $223.4 million at Wynn Las Vegas on operating revenue of $625.3 million, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 35.7% [17] - Total casino revenues increased by 4% year-over-year, despite the absence of the Super Bowl in 2025 [12] - Adjusted property EBITDA for Macau operations was $252.1 million on operating revenue of $865.9 million, yielding an EBITDA margin of 29.1% [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Las Vegas, adjusted EBITDA was down approximately $11 million when adjusting for hold, with slot business showing strong performance [12][18] - Encore Boston Harbor generated $57.5 million of adjusted property EBITDA on revenue of $209.2 million, with an EBITDA margin of 27.5% [19] - Macau's mass drop was up year-over-year, while VIP turnover increased significantly, although lower VIP hold impacted EBITDA by over $38 million [14][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Las Vegas, RevPAR was slightly up from 2024, with slot handle also increasing [10] - Macau's mass drop during Golden Week was up from the previous year, with full hotel occupancy reported [11] - The company noted that international visitation to Las Vegas is currently at 9% of room nights, which can be backfilled easily [32] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maximizing EBITDA and maintaining a healthy margin profile amidst competitive pressures in Macau [14] - The opening of the Gourmet Pavilion Food Hall at Wynn Palace has driven incremental visitation and revenue [15] - The company is committed to stock buybacks, having repurchased $200 million in Q1 and an additional $100 million in Q2 [16][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged uncertainty in the operating environment due to tariffs but noted that the business in Vegas and Macau is holding up well [11] - The company is prepared for various scenarios and has a playbook ready to address potential impacts on demand [11] - Management expressed confidence in the future, highlighting the upcoming property opening and the strength of the business [16] Other Important Information - The company plans to spend between $250 million to $300 million on CapEx in 2025, including concession-related commitments [21] - The liquidity position remains strong with $3.2 billion in global cash and revolver availability as of March 31 [21] - The company is focused on returning capital to shareholders, with a proposed increase in dividends and ongoing share repurchases [22][23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in promotions and discounts in Las Vegas - Management confirmed that promotions correlate strongly with ADR, and the Super Bowl comparison influenced the observed changes [26] Question: CapEx deployment cadence - Management indicated that CapEx will follow the usual construction curve, deploying funds over the remainder of the year and into next year [27] Question: International visitation impact on Las Vegas - Management noted that high-end visitation remains stable, while international visitation is currently at 9% of room nights, which can be easily backfilled [32] Question: Competitive environment in Macau - Management described the competitive landscape as stable but noted the importance of service quality and product offerings to remain competitive [42][46] Question: Development opportunities in New York and Japan - Management is prepared to submit proposals for New York and is open to opportunities in Japan, provided the conditions are favorable [53][67] Question: CapEx projects on hold - The majority of the delayed CapEx is related to the Encore Tower remodel, with management emphasizing that the project is not canceled but rescheduled [58][75] Question: OpEx management with new openings - Management stated that OpEx per day remained flat year-over-year, attributing this to careful management and economies in other areas [20][82]