Zions Bancorporation(ZION)
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天风·固收 | 美国信贷市场的“裂痕”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-20 23:57
Group 1 - The risk of a systemic crisis is still controllable, and the probability of a repeat of the "subprime mortgage crisis" is low. Large banks and the core financial system remain stable [1][3] - Recent financial "blow-up" events in the U.S. include the bankruptcy of Tricolor on September 10, FirstBrands on September 28, and significant credit fraud and bad debt issues at Zions Bancorp and Western Alliance Bancorp on October 16 [1][2] - The S&P regional bank index fell by 6.3% on October 16, indicating that risks are concentrated in regional banks, while large banks and other sectors were less affected [1] Group 2 - The current private credit risks in the U.S. differ fundamentally from those during the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, with the latter being driven by interest rate hikes leading to asset-liability mismatches and liquidity crises [2] - The current financial risk events are characterized by economic slowdown leading to deteriorating credit quality, which exposes issues such as financial fraud and high-leverage financing [2][3] - There is a concern that the "credit blow-up chain" may not be over, with potential for further risk escalation due to the underlying weaknesses in the financial market [3] Group 3 - If risks escalate, asset prices may be impacted, particularly in the banking and financial sectors, with expectations of initial declines followed by potential recoveries in the stock market [5] - U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar are expected to trend downward, especially if the Federal Reserve accelerates rate cuts in response to rising risks [5] - Gold prices are likely to rise due to increased demand for safe-haven assets amid heightened risk sentiment [5]
Zions (ZION) Q3 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 23:31
Core Insights - Zions (ZION) reported revenue of $872 million for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting an 8.5% increase year-over-year, with EPS at $1.54 compared to $1.37 in the previous year [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $845.49 million by 3.14%, and the EPS surpassed the consensus estimate of $1.19 by 29.41% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Net interest margin was reported at 3.3%, slightly above the estimated 3.2% [4] - Net charge-offs to average loans and leases were 0.4%, higher than the average estimate of 0.2% [4] - Efficiency Ratio stood at 59.6%, better than the estimated 62.6% [4] - Average balance of total interest-earning assets was $82.78 billion, below the estimated $83.67 billion [4] - Total nonperforming assets were $324 million, slightly above the average estimate of $319.28 million [4] - Tier 1 leverage ratio was 8.8%, exceeding the average estimate of 8.5% [4] - Total nonaccrual loans were $319 million, compared to the average estimate of $314.4 million [4] - Total risk-based capital ratio was 13.7%, above the estimated 13.4% [4] - Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio was 11.4%, higher than the average estimate of 11.1% [4] - Total noninterest income reached $189 million, surpassing the average estimate of $174.09 million [4] - Commercial account fees were $47 million, slightly above the average estimate of $46.36 million [4] - Other customer-related fees totaled $15 million, exceeding the average estimate of $13.81 million [4] Stock Performance - Zions shares have returned -15.4% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.1% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
齐昂银行(ZION.US)Q3利润超预期 分析师:美国地区银行信贷压力仍属个别现象
智通财经网· 2025-10-20 23:21
Core Viewpoint - Despite significant losses from two loans, Zion Bank reported a profit increase in Q3, driven by growth in interest income [1][2] Financial Performance - Zion Bank's Q3 revenue reached $872 million, a year-on-year increase of 8.5%, exceeding market expectations [1] - The bank's net interest income rose from $620 million in the same period last year to $672 million [2] - Net profit applicable to shareholders for the three months ended September 30 was approximately $221 million, translating to earnings per share of $1.48, compared to $204 million and $1.37 per share in the same period last year [2] Loan Losses and Market Reaction - The bank disclosed a $50 million loss from two commercial and industrial loans in its California branch for Q3 [1] - CEO Harris Simmons stated that excluding this loss, the remaining net write-offs were only $6 million, representing a mild annualized rate of 4 basis points of average loans [1] - Following the disclosure of these losses, bank stocks experienced a decline, but U.S. bank stocks rebounded the following Friday, alleviating some market tension [1] Analyst Insights - Analyst Terry McEvoy from Stephens noted that several U.S. regional banks did not report unusual or unexpected credit losses in their Q3 results, and management's outlook for Q4 was reassuring [1] - The trends suggest that the pressures faced by a few companies are more isolated incidents rather than emerging trends [1]
Strong Day for Market Indexes - AAPL at New All-Time High
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 23:01
Market Performance - All major indexes finished up more than +1%, with the Dow gaining +515 points (+1.12%), S&P 500 up +71 points (+1.07%), Nasdaq increasing by +310 points (+1.37%), and Russell 2000 rising +47 points (+1.93%) [1] Apple Inc. - Apple experienced strong adoption of its iPhone 17, driven by Chinese subsidies for the base-model iPhone, marking the healthiest up-cycle for new iPhones since the Covid pandemic. The stock rose +3.94% to $262 per share, achieving its highest close ever and a market cap of $3.85 trillion, making it the second-richest company behind NVIDIA [2] Boeing Co. - Boeing's shares rose +1.8% following the FAA's approval to increase the production of 737-MAX planes to 42 per month, with expected output increases and certifications for MAX-7 and MAX-10 models next year. Boeing is set to report Q3 earnings next week [3] Zions Bancorp - Zions Bancorp reported Q3 earnings of $1.48 per share, exceeding estimates by 8 cents and showing an increase from the previous year. Revenues reached $861 million, surpassing analyst expectations of $845.5 million. Despite a previous drop of -13% in shares due to $49 million in charge-offs, shares rose +3% in late trading following the earnings report [4][5] Upcoming Earnings Reports - Key earnings reports are expected from GE Aerospace, Lockheed Martin, General Motors, Coca-Cola, and 3M, with Netflix and Texas Instruments reporting in the afternoon. No economic reports are scheduled for release [6]
Zions (ZION) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 22:36
Core Viewpoint - Zions (ZION) reported quarterly earnings of $1.54 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.19 per share, and showing an increase from $1.37 per share a year ago, indicating a strong earnings surprise of +29.41% [1][2] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenues of $872 million for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.14% and up from $804 million year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Zions has consistently surpassed consensus EPS estimates and topped revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - Zions shares have declined approximately 8.4% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 13.3% [3] - The company's future stock performance will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the trends in earnings estimate revisions [3][4] Earnings Estimates - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.47, with projected revenues of $858.26 million, and for the current fiscal year, the estimate is $5.68 on $3.35 billion in revenues [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Zions was mixed prior to the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The Zacks Industry Rank for Banks - West is currently in the bottom 35% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting that the industry outlook may significantly impact Zions' stock performance [8]
Zions Bancorporation(ZION) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-20 22:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The net interest margin expanded by 11 basis points to 3.28% [5][10] - Customer fees, excluding net credit valuation adjustment, grew by $10 million [5] - Adjusted expenses declined by $1 million, leading to an improved efficiency ratio of 59.6% [5] - Diluted earnings per share was $1.48, down from $1.63 in the prior period [7] - The provision for credit loss was recorded at $49 million, with net charge-offs of $56 million, or 37 basis points of loans on an annualized basis [6][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net interest income increased by $52 million, or 8%, compared to the third quarter of 2024 [9] - Customer-related non-interest income was $163 million, slightly down from $164 million in the prior period [11] - Adjusted customer-related non-interest income, excluding net CVA, was $174 million, representing a 6% increase versus the second quarter [11] - Average loans increased by 2.1% annualized over the previous quarter [13] - Average deposit balances were relatively flat, with a notable 11.5% reduction in average brokered deposits [13][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average non-interest-bearing deposits grew by approximately $192 million, or 0.8% compared to the prior quarter [14] - Total borrowings declined by $1.8 billion during the quarter [15] - Non-performing assets remained low at 0.54% of loans and other real estate owned [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to continue producing positive operating leverage as revenue growth outpaces non-interest expense growth [19] - There is a focus on enhancing capital markets offerings, including real estate capital markets and investment banking advisory fees [11] - The company is open to M&A opportunities but prioritizes smaller deals that enhance market density [58] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence that the credit issues faced are isolated incidents and emphasized a strong credit history [24][96] - The outlook for net interest income is moderately increasing, supported by continued growth in loans and deposits [9][10] - Management expects to maintain a stable risk appetite despite recent credit challenges [96] Other Important Information - The common equity tier one ratio was reported at 11.3%, indicating a strong capital position [18] - The company has seen a 17% growth in tangible book value per share compared to the prior year [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the isolated incident related to the charge-offs? - Management confirmed that the incident is isolated and has conducted a thorough review of the portfolio, finding no similar issues [22][23] Question: What is the outlook for net interest income? - The guidance includes expectations for fixed-rate asset repricing and loan growth, with a potential yield pickup of 2-3 basis points [31][32] Question: How has loan demand changed recently? - Loan spreads have improved slightly, and while there was some runoff in CNI, production has been up in most months this year [78][81] Question: What is the company's approach to M&A? - The company is open to smaller deals that enhance market presence but is not under pressure to pursue acquisitions [58][59] Question: How does the company view the NDFI portfolio? - Management believes that concerns regarding the NDFI portfolio are somewhat overblown, highlighting the safety of certain categories like capital call lines [106]
Zions Bancorporation(ZION) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-20 22:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The third quarter reflected continued momentum in core earnings with net interest margin expanding by 11 basis points to 3.28% [5] - Customer fees, excluding net credit valuation adjustment, grew by $10 million, and adjusted expenses declined by $1 million, improving the efficiency ratio to 59.6% [5] - Diluted earnings per share was $1.48 compared to $1.63 in the prior period and $1.37 in the year-ago period [7] - Net interest income increased by $52 million, or 8%, relative to the third quarter of 2024 [9] - Adjusted non-interest income was $174 million for the quarter, representing a 6% increase versus the second quarter and an 8% increase versus the year-ago quarter [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average loans increased by 2.1% annualized over the previous quarter and 3.6% over the year-ago period [13] - Customer-related non-interest income was $163 million for the quarter, with capital market fees, excluding net CVA, increasing by 25% compared to the prior year period [11] - Adjusted expenses of $520 million decreased by $1 million versus the prior quarter and increased by 4% versus the year-ago period [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average non-interest-bearing deposits grew approximately $192 million, or 0.8% compared to the prior quarter [14] - Total borrowings declined by $1.8 billion during the quarter, with short-term FHLB advances decreasing by $2.3 billion [15] - Non-performing assets remained relatively low at 0.54% of loans and other real estate owned compared to 0.51% in the prior quarter [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company expects to continue producing positive operating leverage as revenue growth outpaces non-interest expense growth [19] - The outlook for customer-related fee income in the third quarter of 2026 is moderately increasing relative to the third quarter of 2025, driven by increased customer activity and new client acquisitions [12] - The company is open to M&A opportunities but is not feeling compelled to pursue any deals at this time [58] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence that the recent credit issues are isolated incidents and emphasized a strong credit history [24][25] - The company anticipates continued growth in loans and deposits, supported by fixed asset repricing and favorable shifts in the composition of average interest-earning assets [9] - Management noted that the current economic environment requires a thoughtful approach to lending, particularly in commercial real estate [66] Other Important Information - The company recorded a $49 million provision for credit loss, with net charge-offs in the quarter being $56 million, or 37 basis points of loans on an annualized basis [6][16] - The common equity tier one ratio this quarter was 11.3%, indicating a strong capital position [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the isolated incident related to the charge this quarter? - Management confirmed that the incident is isolated and that a thorough internal review has not revealed similar issues [23][24] Question: How much fixed-rate asset repricing is factored into the NII guide outlook? - The CFO indicated that there is potential for two to three basis points on earning asset yields to play through, which is embedded in the guidance [32] Question: What is the current risk appetite and how might it evolve? - Management stated that underwriting practices will remain consistent and that the recent credit issues will not impact loan growth [95] Question: How has loan demand changed over the last 90 days? - Loan spreads have improved slightly, and while there has been some muted growth, the company is prepared for increased loan growth in the future [77] Question: What does deregulation mean for the company? - Management welcomed a return to solid regulation and emphasized that it would not materially change how the company operates [87]
Zions Bancorporation(ZION) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-20 22:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The third quarter reflected continued momentum in core earnings with net interest margin expanding by 11 basis points to 3.28% [4] - Customer fees, excluding net credit valuation adjustment, grew by $10 million, while adjusted expenses declined by $1 million, leading to an improved efficiency ratio of 59.6% [4] - Average loans and customer deposits increased by annualized rates of 2.1% and 3.1% respectively compared to the prior quarter [4] - Diluted earnings per share was $1.48 compared to $1.63 in the prior period and $1.37 in the year-ago period [5][6] - Adjusted non-interest income was $174 million for the quarter, representing a 6% increase versus the second quarter and an 8% increase versus the year-ago quarter [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net interest income increased by $52 million, or 8%, relative to the third quarter of 2024, benefiting from fixed asset repricing and favorable shifts in the composition of average interest-earning assets [7][8] - Customer-related non-interest income was $163 million for the quarter, slightly down from $164 million in the prior period but up from $158 million one year ago [10] - Capital market fees, excluding net CVA, increased by 25% compared to the prior year period, driven by higher loan syndications and customer swap fee revenue [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average loans increased by 2.1% annualized over the previous quarter and 3.6% over the year-ago period [12] - Average non-interest-bearing deposits grew approximately $192 million, or 0.8% compared to the prior quarter [13] - Total borrowings declined by $1.8 billion during the quarter, with short-term FHLB advances decreasing by $2.3 billion [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company expects to continue producing positive operating leverage as revenue growth outpaces non-interest expense growth [19] - The outlook for customer-related fee income in the third quarter of 2026 is moderately increasing relative to the third quarter of 2025, driven by increased customer activity and new client acquisitions [11] - The company is focused on maintaining a strong capital position and is open to M&A opportunities, particularly smaller deals that enhance market density [50][51] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence that the recent credit issues are isolated incidents and emphasized the strength of their credit history [22][24] - The company anticipates continued loan growth driven by commercial loans, despite some recent paydowns and payoffs [56][59] - Management noted that the current regulatory environment is shifting towards a focus on solid regulation, which they view positively [72][74] Other Important Information - The company recorded a $49 million provision for credit loss, with net charge-offs in the quarter at $56 million, or 37 basis points of loans on an annualized basis [4][16] - The allowance for credit losses as a percentage of loans remains stable at 1.2% [17] - The common equity tier one ratio this quarter was 11.3%, indicating a strong capital position [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the isolated incident regarding the charge this quarter? - Management reviewed the portfolio and believes it is an isolated incident, with no similar loans found [22][23] Question: How much fixed-rate asset repricing is factored into the NII guide outlook? - The guidance includes expectations for fixed-rate loans and securities, with potential yield increases embedded [27][28] Question: What is the outlook for operating leverage? - Management expects positive operating leverage but did not provide a specific range at this time [34][35] Question: How has loan demand changed over the last 90 days? - Loan spreads have improved slightly, and production has been up in most months this year compared to 2024 [65][66] Question: What is the company's current risk appetite? - The company will continue its historical underwriting practices, and the recent credit issues will not impact loan growth [80][81]
Zions Bancorporation(ZION) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-20 22:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The third quarter reflected continued momentum in core earnings with net interest margin expanding by 11 basis points to 3.28% compared to the prior quarter [5] - Customer fees, excluding net credit valuation adjustment, grew by $10 million, while adjusted expenses declined by $1 million, leading to an improved efficiency ratio of 59.6% [5] - Diluted earnings per share was $1.48, down from $1.63 in the prior period, impacted by a $0.06 per share negative effect from net credit valuation adjustment [7] - The provision for credit loss was recorded at $49 million, with net charge-offs of $56 million or 37 basis points of loans on an annualized basis [6][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net interest income increased by $52 million or 8% compared to Q3 2024, benefiting from fixed asset repricing and favorable shifts in the composition of average interest-earning assets [9] - Customer-related non-interest income was $163 million for the quarter, slightly down from $164 million in the prior period, but adjusted customer-related non-interest income increased by 6% compared to the second quarter [12][13] - Average loans decreased by 2.1% annualized over the previous quarter, while average non-interest-bearing deposits grew by approximately $192 million or 0.8% compared to the prior quarter [15][16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total borrowings declined by $1.8 billion during the quarter, with short-term FHLB advances decreasing by $2.3 billion [19] - The cost of total deposits declined sequentially by one basis point to 1.67% [18] - Non-performing assets remained low at 0.54% of loans and other real estate owned, compared to 0.51% in the prior quarter [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company expects to continue producing positive operating leverage as revenue growth outpaces non-interest expense growth [24] - The outlook for net interest income for 2026 is moderately increasing relative to 2025, supported by continued earnings asset remix and growth in loans and deposits [11] - The company is focused on maintaining a strong credit quality and has established a full reserve against certain loans, viewing recent charge-offs as isolated incidents [6][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the credit quality and indicated that the recent charge-offs were isolated incidents, with no further exposure related to the borrowers involved [30][31] - The company anticipates moderate loan growth driven by commercial loans, despite some recent reductions in C&I classified levels [15][76] - Management noted that the current economic environment presents both challenges and opportunities, with a focus on strategic investments in revenue-generating businesses [14][93] Other Important Information - The common equity Tier one ratio was reported at 11.3%, indicating a strong capital position [23] - The company has been actively pursuing new products and marketing strategies to enhance loan growth and customer acquisition [73][93] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the isolated incident related to the charge-offs? - Management confirmed that the charge-offs were an isolated incident and that a thorough review of the portfolio did not reveal similar issues [29][30] Question: What is the outlook for net interest income? - The company expects a slight to moderate increase in net interest income, factoring in fixed asset repricing and loan growth [11][39] Question: How is loan demand changing? - Loan spreads have improved slightly, and while there has been some runoff in C&I, production remains strong [88][90] Question: What is the company's risk appetite following recent events? - Management stated that the risk appetite remains unchanged and that they will continue to underwrite loans as they have historically [107] Question: How does the company view the NDFI portfolio? - Management believes that concerns regarding the NDFI portfolio are somewhat overblown, emphasizing the safety of certain categories within it [120]
Zions Bancorporation(ZION) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-20 21:30
Financial Review ZIONS THIRD QUARTER 2025 O c t o b e r 2 0 , 2 0 2 5 FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS; USE OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES Forward-Looking Information This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" as that term is defined under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements reflect management's current expectations and assumptions regarding future events and outcomes. However, they are inherently subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors ...