计算机 2026 年 3 月研究观点：中国模型领 跑全球调用量，软件吞噬情绪缓和 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 杨林(分析师) | 021-23183969 | yanglin2@gtht.com | S0880525040027 | | 吕浦源(分析师) | 021-23183822 | lvpuyuan@gtht.com | S0880525050002 | | 钟明翰(研究助理) | 021-38031383 | zhongminghan@gtht.com | S0880124070047 | 本报告导读： 2 月，中国模型调用量首超美国站至第一；模型应用层面，Grok 与谷歌多模态模型 加速迭代，Claude Cowork 插件体系扩容，企业级 Agent 向职能场景纵深落地，软 件吞噬情绪缓和。 投资要点： 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 风险提示：技术发展不及预期，公司业务拓展不及预期。 [Table_Report] 相关报告 计算机《计算机周观点第 ...

计算机 2026 年 3 月研究观点：中国模型领 跑全球调用量，软件吞噬情绪缓和 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 杨林(分析师) | 021-23183969 | yanglin2@gtht.com | S0880525040027 | | 吕浦源(分析师) | 021-23183822 | lvpuyuan@gtht.com | S0880525050002 | | 钟明翰(研究助理) | 021-38031383 | zhongminghan@gtht.com | S0880124070047 | 本报告导读： 2 月，中国模型调用量首超美国站至第一；模型应用层面，Grok 与谷歌多模态模型 加速迭代，Claude Cowork 插件体系扩容，企业级 Agent 向职能场景纵深落地，软 件吞噬情绪缓和。 投资要点： 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 风险提示：技术发展不及预期，公司业务拓展不及预期。 [Table_Report] 相关报告 计算机《计算机周观点第 ...

Thomson Reuters Announces New US$600 Million Share Repurchase Program and US$605 Million Return of Capital and Share Consolidation Transactions [Accessibility Statement] Skip NavigationUp to US$600 million of shares to be repurchased pursuant to amended normal course issuer bidUS$605 million return of capital and share consolidation expected to be completed in MayTORONTO, Feb. 25, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Thomson Reuters (TSX/Nasdaq: TRI) today announced that it plans to repurchase up to US$600 million of its c ...

Skip to main content Exclusive news, data and analytics for financial market professionalsLearn more aboutRefinitiv Axon Enterprise beats fourth-quarter profit estimates, shares rise February 24, 202610:00 PM UTCUpdated ago By Reuters Feb 24 (Reuters) - Taser-maker Axon Enterprise (AXON.O), opens new tab beat Wall Street estimates for fourth-quarter profit on Tuesday, driven by strong demand for its security devices and software products. Shares of the Arizona-based company were up 15% in extended trading. ...

Core Insights - Thomson Reuters shares surged over 11% following the announcement that its AI tool, CoCounsel, has attracted one million users, alleviating concerns about competition from other AI technologies [1] - This stock increase marked the largest percentage gain for Thomson Reuters since 2009, despite the company still being down more than 30% for the year [1] - The legal AI market is evolving, with Thomson Reuters emphasizing the importance of substance over hype in its AI strategy, which is supported by proprietary intellectual property and extensive legal archives [1] Company Developments - CoCounsel was launched after Thomson Reuters acquired AI legal startup Casetext for $650 million in 2023, positioning it as a core AI engine for automating legal tasks [1] - The Legal Professionals division is the largest revenue contributor for Thomson Reuters, accounting for approximately one-third of total sales [1] - The company’s executives highlighted that its legal offerings are differentiated from general-purpose AI startups due to its unique intellectual property, which includes extensive legal documents that are largely undigitized and unpublished [1] Market Context - The announcement of CoCounsel's user base followed a significant selloff in the software and services sector, triggered by concerns over AI technologies potentially reducing revenue streams [1] - The market reaction to the launch of Anthropic's AI tool, which integrates its Claude AI model into legal workflows, had previously caused an $830 billion global selloff over six trading days [1]

Market Analysis by covering: Home Depot Inc. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com ...

FiscalNote Update Summary Company Overview - **Company**: FiscalNote (NYSE: NOTE) - **Industry**: Political prediction markets and data analytics Key Points and Arguments Market Opportunity - The way information is consumed and acted upon is rapidly changing, presenting new market opportunities for FiscalNote [3][4] - FiscalNote has a strong foundation with thousands of policy professionals relying on its data and analysis, which is difficult to replicate [3] - The expansion into political prediction markets is seen as a natural evolution of FiscalNote's existing capabilities [4] Growth in Prediction Markets - Global trading volume in prediction markets surged, with U.S. volumes hitting over $44 billion in 2025, representing a 400% year-over-year growth [8] - Political markets accounted for approximately $7.2 billion in 2025, with expectations for continued growth [8] - The market is still early and underdeveloped, making it an attractive entry point for FiscalNote [5] Regulatory Environment - The CFTC's withdrawal of the ban on political and sports event contracts has enabled significant market growth [10][22] - Regulatory clarity is expected to improve, which will support the development of prediction markets [22] Competitive Advantage - FiscalNote's deep knowledge and experience in political prediction markets position it uniquely to capitalize on this growth [17] - The combination of FiscalNote's domain expertise and 365 Prediction's iGaming experience is expected to create a differentiated product [18] Product Development and Innovation - FiscalNote plans to launch products that address existing market concerns, such as credibility and ethical considerations [23][24] - The company aims to create a subscription service for tips on political outcomes, leveraging its AI capabilities [32] - Plans to explore fantasy leagues around political outcomes as a way to engage users without waiting for regulatory changes [33] Ethical Considerations - There are concerns about the perception of betting on political outcomes; FiscalNote aims to position prediction markets as tools for advocacy and awareness [25][26] - Existing relationships with advocacy organizations will be leveraged to create a more constructive market environment [26][27] Strategic Partnerships - Partnerships, particularly with 365 Prediction, are crucial for leveraging existing market infrastructure and capabilities [6][17] - The collaboration is expected to enhance market design and integrity, which are essential for successful market making [20][21] Future Outlook - FiscalNote is not pivoting away from its core business but is extending its capabilities into new markets [35] - The company is focused on leveraging its existing strengths to explore new opportunities in prediction markets and beyond [35] Additional Important Content - The discussion highlighted the historical context of prediction markets, originating from academic experiments to improve outcome predictions [12][14] - The integration of prediction market data into professional workflows is growing, indicating a shift towards institutional relevance [5] - The potential for prediction markets to hedge policy and regulatory risks was noted as a significant opportunity [5]

Core Insights - The recent release of Anthropic's Claude Cowork and Claude Opus 4.6 has triggered a "repricing mode" across various sectors, leading to significant market volatility [1][4] - Companies that were previously valued highly are now facing skepticism regarding their future cash flows and competitive advantages, resulting in a reassessment of their valuations [5][10] - The market is questioning the sustainability of high margins and economic moats for many firms, particularly in the software and data sectors, as they transition towards more commoditized offerings [5][18] Market Dynamics - The market's reaction to new information often leads to either over-optimism or excessive pessimism, complicating investment decisions [2][3] - Companies like ZoomInfo, Fastly, and Teledoc have seen their valuations decline significantly compared to their peaks in 2020, raising concerns about their long-term viability [3][4] - The shift in market dynamics suggests that previously high-growth companies may need to adapt their business models to remain competitive [5][12] Valuation Considerations - High valuations based on future cash flows are now under scrutiny, as the market reassesses the ability of these companies to maintain their operating margins [5][10] - The transition from high-margin, asset-light models to more asset-heavy structures could negatively impact key financial metrics such as ROIC, ROA, and ROE [10][22] - Historical data indicates that companies undergoing significant asset growth often experience stock price declines, suggesting a need for caution in investment strategies [10][24] Sector Performance - A list of software and data companies has shown significant year-to-date declines, with some experiencing drawdowns of over 30% [21][22] - The performance of these companies contrasts sharply with their perceived economic moats just a few years ago, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [21][22] - The current market environment may favor asset-heavy companies that are less affected by the recent volatility and uncertainty [22][23] Long-term Trends - The article highlights the importance of recognizing that market trends can last longer or shorter than anticipated, emphasizing the need for adaptive investment strategies [24] - Valuation remains a critical factor in long-term investment success, with fewer companies demonstrating consistent quality over time [24][25] - The evolving landscape suggests that investors may need to reassess their portfolios to account for changing market dynamics and emerging opportunities [18][19]

Core Viewpoint - The release of Anthropic's Claude Cowork tools has negatively impacted the stock market, particularly affecting software companies and AI competitors, but some investors see this as a buying opportunity for Alphabet shares [1][2]. Group 1: Market Impact - Anthropic's Claude Cowork, featuring industry-specific plugins, caused a significant market reaction, leading to declines in stocks of software companies like Salesforce, Intuit, and Atlassian, which are down 27.9%, 33%, and 41.6% year-to-date, respectively [4]. - Alphabet's shares dropped over 6% following the announcement of Claude Cowork, reflecting investor anxiety despite Alphabet not being directly impacted by the specific software offerings [5]. Group 2: Alphabet's Position - Alphabet, with a market cap of $3.7 trillion, has a strong presence in the AI sector, recently launching its own LLM, Gemini 3, which has shown improvements over competitors like OpenAI's ChatGPT [7]. - The rollout of Gemini 3 has resulted in a significant increase in paid subscribers, indicating potential customer shifts from ChatGPT to Gemini, raising concerns that Claude Cowork could attract these subscribers away from Alphabet [7]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Notable investors, including Warren Buffett, have taken positions in Alphabet, suggesting confidence in the company's long-term prospects despite recent stock price declines [10]. - Cathie Wood's Ark Invest purchased $21.6 million in Alphabet shares, indicating a strategic move to capitalize on the current dip in stock price [11].

Market Overview - Wall Street is experiencing significant disruption concerns due to AI, leading to a sell-off in various sectors, particularly software companies, which has resulted in sharp losses in U.S. stocks this week [1][2]. Software Sector - The S&P 500 Software & Services index has lost approximately $2 trillion in value since its peak in October, with half of this loss occurring in the past two weeks due to fears that AI could disrupt traditional subscription and enterprise tools [2]. - Notable declines in the Nasdaq 100 include Atlassian down 47%, Intuit down 40%, and Workday down 33% [4]. - The U.S. software sector is facing its worst drawdown in over three years, impacting alternative asset managers with exposure to software-related loans, with firms like Ares, Blackstone, and KKR seeing declines between 13% and 24% this year [5]. Financial Brokerage, Data Analytics & Legal Services - The financial industry, especially brokerages and data analytics firms, has been negatively affected after Altruist introduced AI-enabled tax planning features, raising fears about the viability of their business models [6]. - Shares of brokers such as LPL Financial and Charles Schwab fell over 7%, while S&P Global's shares dropped more than 25% in February, marking its worst month since 2009 [7]. Real Estate Services - Commercial real estate and investment managers have suffered as investors shift away from high-fee, labor-intensive business models perceived as vulnerable to AI disruption, with CBRE Group and Jones Lang LaSalle each dropping about 12% [8]. Insurance Sector - Insurance stocks have experienced a significant decline, with the S&P 500 insurance index falling 3.9% on a single day, its largest drop since mid-October, following the release of an AI-powered comparison tool by Insurify [10]. - Shares of Willis Towers Watson have decreased by 15% this week, while Aon and Arthur J. Gallagher fell by 9% and 15%, respectively [11]. Trucking & Logistics - The trucking and logistics sector saw unexpected declines, with stocks like Landstar System and C.H. Robinson dropping sharply after Algorhythm Holdings reported a significant increase in freight volumes without a corresponding rise in operational headcount [13].