Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC) just sparked panic—and then flashed a rare insider buy signal. INTC is down roughly 12% over the past week after management flagged weak guidance and warned of a supply shortage. In chip land, supply uncertainty kills the narrative fast. Investors hate uncertainty in fabs, inventory, and production timelines.But as Wall Street was selling, Intel's CFO David Zinsner was buying.Zinsner purchased 5,882 INTC stock for about $250,000 at an average price near $42, marking Intel's first in ...

Core Insights - Intel Corporation reported a revenue of $13.7 billion for Q4 2025 and an EPS of $0.15, with full-year revenue at $52.85 billion, a slight decrease from $53.1 billion the previous year [1] Company Strategy - The company focuses on identifying leadership economics linked to its business model while aiming to sell at a reasonable price [1] - The articles will primarily discuss Intel's strategy for driving growth, competitive advantages that yield superior returns on capital, capital structure, capital allocation, and management incentives [1] Investment Philosophy - The investment approach is characterized as value investing, seeking permanent ownership of strong companies with trustworthy management [1]

Core Insights - The article highlights the expertise of James Foord, an economist with a decade of experience in analyzing global markets, and his leadership role in The Pragmatic Investor, which focuses on building diversified investment portfolios [1] Group 1: Company Overview - The Pragmatic Investor aims to preserve and increase wealth through robust portfolio construction [1] - The investment group covers various sectors including global macro, international equities, commodities, technology, and cryptocurrencies [1] Group 2: Services Offered - The Pragmatic Investor provides features such as a dedicated portfolio, weekly market updates, actionable trades, technical analysis, and a chat room for investor engagement [1]

Core Insights - CFO David Zinsner recently purchased $250,000 worth of Intel stock, indicating a strong belief in the company's future and a commitment to enhancing shareholder value [1] Company Summary - The stock purchase by CFO David Zinsner reflects confidence in Intel's strategic direction and potential for growth [1]

Core Insights - Intel is struggling to regain its position in the chipmaking industry, while AMD is emerging as a stronger competitor, particularly in the AI market [1][2] Intel Overview - Intel's stock performance showed an 84% increase in 2025, but shares dropped over 20% recently [4] - The company reported a 4% year-over-year decline in revenue for Q4 2025 and anticipates further revenue erosion in Q1 2026 [6] - Intel's market share in the server CPU market has decreased from 85%-95% to around 55% [6][7] - The new CEO, Lip-Bu Tan, aims for a significant turnaround, but current results do not support this vision [7] AMD Overview - AMD is gaining market share in both the server and desktop CPU markets at Intel's expense [7] - The company is expected to lead the server CPU market with its EPYC processors, particularly the next-generation EPYC Venice CPUs [8] - AMD is also a major competitor to Nvidia in the GPU market, with its Instinct MI350 Series being the fastest ramping product in its history [9] - AMD targets a revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 80% in the next 3-5 years and an overall revenue CAGR of more than 35% [10] Market Dynamics - The contrast between Intel and AMD highlights a shift in the chip industry, with Intel's revenue declining while AMD's is increasing [13] - Agility in responding to market demands, particularly in AI, is crucial for success in the current landscape [14] - Both companies may achieve market-beating gains, but AMD is viewed as having a greater likelihood of success [14]

Core Viewpoint - Intel is enhancing its employee benefits by matching the U.S. government's $1,000 payout for children of eligible employees, reflecting a strong partnership with the Trump administration following the government's investment in the company [1][2]. Group 1: Company Initiatives - Intel will match the $1,000 contribution for children of eligible U.S. employees as part of the 530A program, also known as "Trump Accounts," which aims to provide financial foundations for future technologists [1][3]. - The company is joining other firms like SoFi, Charter Communications, and BlackRock in offering this matching contribution, indicating a broader trend among corporations to support the initiative [2][4]. Group 2: Program Details - The 530A program allows parents to open tax-advantaged investment accounts for children under 18, with government seed funding of $1,000 for children born between 2025 and 2028 [3][5]. - Employer contributions up to $2,500 are not considered taxable income, providing additional financial benefits to families [5].

My last article on Intel Corporation ( INTC ) was an upgrade from my long-term Short rating on the stock. The reasons for that upgrade were mainly that CEO Lip-Bu Tan’s messaging being more realisticI'm a full-time analyst and portfolio manager of a technology fund with 5 years of experience. I graduated in Mechanical Engineering from the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (Brazil) and École Centrale de Lyon (France). I'm currently licensed by the Brazilian Securities Commission (CVM) as both a portfolio ...

Core Viewpoint - The memory stock sector, particularly companies like Seagate, Western Digital, and Micron, has seen significant gains, with some stocks rising over 30% in January 2026 and Sanders up more than 100% in the last three weeks [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings Expectations - Seagate's upcoming earnings report is highly anticipated, with expectations of stability in earnings due to long-term agreements that include price escalators [4][5]. - The current market sentiment is that while demand is strong, there are concerns about the ability to meet that demand, as indicated by tight supply conditions [5][7]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The memory trade is now heavily influenced by AI, with data centers driving demand for memory products [4][9]. - Companies like Samsung and SKH Hynix are expected to report on their capacity and pricing strategies, which will impact the overall market dynamics [8][12]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The memory market consists of various players, including DRAM and NAND manufacturers, with Micron, Samsung, and SKH Hynix being key players in DRAM, while Western Digital and Seagate dominate the hard disk drive segment [12][14]. - The barriers to entry are higher in DRAM and hard disk drives compared to NAND, where competition is more intense, including from Chinese manufacturers [16][17]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The sustainability of high prices in the memory sector is uncertain, with potential declines in data center spending anticipated around 2028 to 2029 if AI advancements do not progress as expected [9][10]. - The overall growth of the memory sector is expected to continue, driven by the need for all three subsegments: DRAM, NAND, and hard disk drives [15].

Group 1 - Intel's stock has declined by 21.8% in less than a month, from $54.32 on January 22, 2026, to $42.49, due to a weaker than expected outlook for Q1 FY'26 and concerns about its foundry operations [1] - The ongoing correction suggests potential for further downside, with a price target of $30 being plausible, as the stock has reached this level in the past five years [3] - Historical data indicates that the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips (defined as a decline of 30% or more within 30 days) is -0.2%, despite a median peak return of 37% [4][10] Group 2 - Intel has experienced three instances since January 1, 2010, where the dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was activated [6] - To assess the risk of a dip indicating a worsening business situation, metrics such as revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength must be evaluated [7] - A multi-asset portfolio approach is suggested to mitigate risks and take advantage of potential upside, as individual selections can be volatile [8]

First Principles Partners is an equity research analyst specializing in technology, innovation, and sustainability investment. My unique approach, "First Principles," involves breaking down complex problems to their most basic elements in terms of financial and technology, enabling me to uncover overlooked investment opportunities.With a strong background in investment, private equity and venture capital, I have a proven track record of delivering strong returns for readers. Articles on Seeking Alpha focus ...