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Only 6 Broad ETFs Are Down This Year — Here's Their Cardinal Sin
Investors· 2025-09-11 12:00
Core Insights - The article discusses the performance of U.S. diversified ETFs in 2025, highlighting that nearly all actively traded ETFs are up, with a few exceptions that are underperforming [1][2][3] Performance Overview - As of September 10, 2025, 276 out of 282 U.S. diversified funds with an average daily volume of at least 50,000 shares have positive returns, while only six ETFs are down [2][3] - The S&P 500 has returned over 11.5% this year, including dividends, indicating a strong market performance [3] Underperforming ETFs - The ETFs that have lost value include Simplify Volatility Premium ETF (SVOL) at -3.08%, Pacer Trendpilot US Mid Cap ETF (PTMC) at -2.95%, and Direxion HCM Tactical Enhance U.S. Equity Strategy ETF (HCMT) at -1.83% [10] - Pacer Trendpilot US Mid Cap ETF's strategy involves shifting between equities and cash based on market signals, which has resulted in a negative return of nearly 3% this year [4][6] Market Timing Issues - Todd Rosenbluth from TMX Vetta Fi notes that some ETFs struggled due to incorrect market timing strategies, which led to missed opportunities in a rising market [3][6] - Staying invested in equities has proven to be more beneficial than attempting to time the market, as evidenced by the S&P MidCap 400's increase of over 4.6% this year [6] Sector Exposure Risks - The Invesco S&P SmallCap High Dividend Low Volatility ETF (XSHD) has a significant exposure to real estate, comprising over 50% of its holdings, which has negatively impacted its performance [7][8] - In contrast, the Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 ETF (VIOO) and iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) have lower real estate exposure and have performed better, returning over 3% and nearly 8% respectively [8]
Leveraged ETFs: Single-Stock Surge
Etftrends· 2025-09-11 11:35
Core Insights - The leveraged ETF market has seen significant growth in 2025, with approximately 25% of the funds launched being leveraged ETFs, primarily focused on single-stock strategies [1][11] Market Trends - There has been a shift from index-based leveraged ETFs to single-stock ETFs due to a crowded index landscape and increased trader interest in specific stocks that exhibit volatility and media attention [2][11] - The technology sector has been the leader in leveraged single-stock ETF launches, accounting for 40% of new products in 2025, with notable names like Strategy (MSTR), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), and Palantir (PLTR) [4][11] Product Launches - Several new ETFs targeting the Nasdaq-100 have been launched, including ProShares Ultra Top QQQ (QQUP) and ProShares Ultrashort Top QQQ (QQDN), which aim for 2x and -2x daily returns, respectively [5][11] - The 2x Daily Software Platform ETF (SOFL) was introduced, focusing on software companies benefiting from AI and innovation, highlighting the asset-light nature of these firms [6][11] IPO Trends - Leveraged ETFs are quickly following popular IPOs, with multiple funds filed shortly after the Circle Internet Group (CRCL) and Bullish Inc (BLSH) IPOs, indicating a trend towards immediate product offerings in response to market events [7][8][11] Crypto ETFs - Leveraged crypto ETFs have emerged, allowing investors to trade a leveraged version of tokens' daily movements without holding the actual coins, utilizing futures and swaps for targeting 2x daily performance [9][11] Market Dynamics - The leveraged ETF landscape is dynamic, with some funds being closed due to insufficient demand, as seen with Direxion's recent closures of certain ETFs [10][11]
These 2 ETFs Could Provide a Happy Home for Bullish Traders
ETF Trends· 2025-09-04 18:01
Core Insights - High mortgage rates and slow demand have hindered a homebuilder rebound, but early signs of a rally are emerging, potentially aided by a more accommodative Federal Reserve [1] - The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reported a plateau in builder confidence in August, following 16 months of negative trends, prompting calls for lower interest rates [2] - NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz emphasized that housing affordability is crucial for economic growth and inflation, advocating for a reduction in the federal funds rate to lower financing costs for housing construction [3] Industry Trends - Homebuilders experienced a post-pandemic rally that began to decline ahead of the 2024 presidential election, with the S&P Homebuilders Select Industry Index and key companies like DR Horton and Lennar Corp. showing a downward trend for much of the year, although they have rallied since April [4] - Mortgage rates are beginning to decrease, and single-family housing statistics are improving, indicating potential recovery in the housing market [3] Trading Opportunities - Traders optimistic about the homebuilder sector can consider the Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NAIL), which provides 3x exposure to the Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index, encompassing various companies in home construction and related sectors [6] - Another option is the Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X Shares (DRN), offering 3x exposure to the Real Estate Select Sector Index, which includes firms involved in real estate management, development, and investment trusts, excluding mortgage REITs [7]
Nvidia Earnings in the Books, But This ETF Still Relevant
ETF Trends· 2025-09-03 12:42
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's fiscal Q2 earnings have generated significant interest among investors, with the company's market capitalization expected to remain a focal point in the semiconductor sector [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings and Market Performance - Nvidia's stock is a major component of various widely followed indexes, which can create investment opportunities through leveraged ETFs like Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares (NVDU) [2][3]. - The company's guidance of $54 billion in revenue for the current quarter indicates over 50% year-over-year growth, alongside a $60 billion share repurchase authorization [5]. - Following Nvidia's earnings report, analysts raised their price targets, with the average target now nearly $202, representing a 12% increase from the stock's closing price on August 28 [6]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Future Prospects - Initial reactions to Nvidia's earnings were negative, but the stock's modest loss suggests that investors are reassured by the company's strong fundamentals [4]. - Nvidia's potential to reach a market value of $5 trillion is supported by analysts, with some predicting the stock could hit $200 [3]. - Clarity on geopolitical issues, particularly regarding U.S.-China relations, could further benefit Nvidia and NVDU, as the company navigates restrictions on chip sales [7][8].
Micron's Upcoming Earnings Disclosure Pushes Direxion's MU-Focused Bull, Bear Funds To The Forefront
Benzinga· 2025-09-03 09:59
Core Insights - Micron Technology Inc plays a crucial role in the semiconductor industry, particularly in artificial intelligence, specializing in memory and storage chips like DRAM and NAND flash [1][2] - The company's high-bandwidth memory (HBM) products are essential for AI functionalities, enabling efficient data processing [2][4] Company Performance - Micron has shown strong stock performance, gaining over 41% since the beginning of the year, indicating positive market sentiment [4][13] - The company has consistently beaten earnings and revenue expectations, with a notable surprise of 5.08% in revenue and 18.63% in earnings in the last fiscal quarter [5] Market Dynamics - The memory semiconductor market is characterized by volatility, with potential shifts in supply and demand impacting performance [6][7] - Geopolitical tensions can disrupt the semiconductor industry, posing risks to Micron's operations and stock performance [6][7] Investment Products - Direxion offers specialized ETFs for traders, including the MUU ETF for bullish positions and the MUD ETF for bearish positions, reflecting varying market sentiments [9][10] - The MUU ETF has gained over 41% since January, while the MUD ETF has declined by 44% due to sustained demand for AI-related products [13][15] Technical Analysis - The MUU ETF is currently trading just under its 50-day moving average but remains above the 200-day moving average, indicating a positive overall posture [16] - The MUD ETF is below its 200-day moving average, suggesting significant technical damage, yet it may be forming a support baseline ahead of earnings [17]
Leverage Shares发行“加速”产品——海外创新产品周报20250818
申万宏源金工· 2025-08-20 08:01
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent developments in the U.S. ETF market, highlighting the launch of innovative leveraged products and the flow of funds into various ETFs, particularly in the digital currency sector. Group 1: New ETF Products - A total of 13 new ETFs were launched in the U.S. last week, with a notable number of leveraged inverse products [1] - Leverage Shares introduced a new series of "accelerated" products that provide 2x returns on stock increases and 1x on decreases, with a monthly cap on returns, linked to companies like Tesla, Nvidia, MicroStrategy, Coinbase, and Palantir [2] - ProShares launched a 2x leveraged product linked to the top 30 stocks in the Nasdaq 100 index [2] - Harbor and Invesco collaborated to issue a stock enhancement product that combines 75% passive index investment with 75% trend-following futures strategies [2] Group 2: ETF Fund Flows - The inflow of funds into digital currency ETFs has increased significantly, with the Nasdaq 100 ETF seeing the highest inflow of $50.89 billion [3][5] - The top inflows included the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF with $23.17 billion and ARK Innovation ETF with $12.66 billion, while several leveraged ETFs experienced outflows [6] - Over the past two weeks, the overall fund flow in major U.S. ETFs showed a net inflow of $189.35 billion, despite some fluctuations in individual products [7] Group 3: ETF Performance - The ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) outperformed other technology ETFs with a year-to-date return of over 35%, while the VanEck Semiconductor ETF gained over 20% [8] - The overall technology sector has shown a growth of more than 10% this year, with various ETFs reflecting this trend [8][9]
Nvidia's Upcoming Earnings Report Puts Direxion's NVDA-Focused Bull And Bear Funds In The Limelight
Benzinga· 2025-08-19 12:33
While semiconductor giant Nvidia Corp. NVDA has easily ranked among the elite players in artificial intelligence, the company's upcoming second- quarter earnings report — scheduled for release on Aug. 27 after the closing bell — may arguably be its most consequential so far. As usual, expectations are sky-high thanks to Nvidia's blistering success in feeding the generative AI machinery. At the same time, consistent victories can ironically become a headwind due to the bar being raised unrealistically high. ...
TZA: Small Caps Are Set For Growth If The Fed Cuts Key Rate
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-18 15:56
Core Viewpoint - The Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares ETF (TZA) is designed to provide traders with -3x the daily performance of the Russell 2000 Index, indicating a leveraged inverse strategy aimed at capitalizing on declines in small-cap stocks [1]. Group 1 - TZA is a leveraged strategy that targets the daily performance of the Russell 2000 Index, specifically aiming for -3x returns [1]. - The ETF is intended for traders looking to profit from downward movements in small-cap stocks, reflecting a bearish outlook on the market segment [1]. - The article highlights the importance of understanding the investment ecosystem as a whole rather than evaluating companies in isolation, emphasizing a comprehensive approach to investment recommendations [1].
贝莱德发行国际版本因子轮动ETF ——海外创新产品周报20250811
申万宏源金工· 2025-08-13 08:01
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent developments in the U.S. ETF market, highlighting new product launches, fund flows, and performance trends, particularly focusing on innovative strategies and the impact of market conditions on various ETFs [1][4][10]. Group 1: New ETF Products - A total of 15 new ETFs were launched in the U.S. last week, showcasing a diverse range of strategies [1]. - Tortoise launched an AI Infrastructure ETF, actively managed and targeting companies in energy, data centers, and technology, with a total management scale of approximately $9 billion [2]. - Virtus and AlphaSimplex collaborated to issue a global macro hedge ETF aimed at outperforming traditional long equity products [2]. - Direxion expanded its offerings with four leveraged inverse products linked to Shopify and Lockheed Martin, along with other innovative ETFs focusing on volatility and quantum computing [2][3]. Group 2: ETF Fund Flows - There was a notable increase in inflows for both equity and bond ETFs, with gold ETFs also seeing renewed inflows [4][9]. - Vanguard's S&P 500 ETF (VOO) and iShares' S&P 500 ETF (IVV) experienced significant inflows of $3.269 billion and $3.019 billion, respectively, while the Russell 2000 ETF saw a return of inflows after previous outflows [6][9]. - The article lists the top inflow and outflow ETFs, indicating a trend of significant outflows from leveraged ETFs and specific sector funds [6]. Group 3: ETF Performance - The article notes that momentum strategies continue to outperform in the Smart Beta category, with the iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) showing a year-to-date return of 19.27% [10]. - BlackRock's factor rotation ETF has also performed well, with a year-to-date increase of 11.29%, surpassing the S&P 500's return of 8.6% [10].
Advanced Micro's Mixed Earnings Results Add Fuel To Direxion's AMD-Focused Bull And Bear Funds
Benzinga· 2025-08-11 11:42
Core Viewpoint - Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) reported mixed financial results for the second quarter, leading to initial stock volatility but a subsequent recovery in share price [1][5]. Financial Performance - AMD's revenue for the second quarter reached $7.69 billion, surpassing Wall Street's consensus estimate of $7.41 billion, and reflecting a 32% increase year-over-year [2]. - The non-GAAP gross margin was reported at 43%, impacted by approximately $800 million in inventory and related charges due to federal export controls, which would have increased the gross margin to 54% without these charges [3]. - Adjusted earnings per share were 48 cents, slightly below the consensus estimate of 49 cents, marking the first earnings miss since November 2022 [4]. Segment Performance - Revenue breakdown by segment showed positive trends: - Data Center revenue was $3.2 billion, up 14% year-over-year - Client and Gaming revenue was $3.6 billion, up 69% year-over-year - Embedded revenue was $824 million, down 4% year-over-year [11]. Market Reaction - Following the earnings disclosure, AMD stock initially dropped but rebounded by approximately 6% in the subsequent session, indicating a mixed sentiment among investors [5][6]. - The stock had gained nearly 43% since the beginning of the year, leading to elevated expectations that may have contributed to the initial volatility [5]. ETF Insights - The Direxion Daily AMD Bull 2X Shares (AMUU) ETF aims for 200% of AMD's daily performance, while the Direxion Daily AMD Bear 1X Shares (AMDD) tracks the inverse performance [7]. - The AMUU ETF has gained over 91% since the start of the year, reflecting the strong performance of AMD stock [10]. - The AMDD ETF has seen a decline of 45% year-to-date, although it has shown some support in recent sessions despite being below its moving averages [14][17].