Group 1 - Oil prices in Asia have declined due to OPEC+ agreeing to significantly increase production, raising concerns about global oversupply [1] - Brent crude oil prices have dropped to around $69 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude is close to $67 per barrel [1] - OPEC+ has approved an increase of 547,000 barrels per day starting in September, aligning with market expectations [1] Group 2 - The potential cancellation of approximately 1.66 million barrels per day in production cuts remains uncertain at this time [1] - Recent declines in oil prices follow three months of increases, influenced by weak U.S. employment data and concerns over economic slowdown due to trade tensions [1] - National Securities has indicated that lower oil prices are beneficial for airline profitability, as fuel costs remain the largest expense for airlines [1] Group 3 - Cathay Pacific Securities suggests that short-term demand fluctuations do not alter the long-term growth logic of the aviation industry, recommending a contrarian approach to airline investments [2] - The Chinese aviation sector is expected to experience steady growth, with market-driven ticket pricing and a recovery in supply-demand dynamics anticipated over the next two years [2] - The airline supply has entered a low growth phase, but the medium-term outlook remains positive with oil price declines aiding profit recovery [2] Group 4 - Relevant Hong Kong-listed airline stocks include China National Aviation (601111) (00753), Southern Airlines (600029) (01055), and Eastern Airlines (00670) [3] - Private jet manufacturer mentioned is Cirrus (02507) [3]

Group 1 - Oil prices in Asia fell due to OPEC+ agreeing to significantly increase production, raising concerns about global oversupply [1] - Brent crude oil prices dropped to around $69 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude approached $67 per barrel [1] - OPEC+ approved an increase of 547,000 barrels per day starting in September, aligning with market expectations [1] Group 2 - Short-term demand fluctuations do not alter the long-term logic of the aviation industry, suggesting a contrarian investment approach in aviation [2] - The Chinese aviation industry has a long-term growth logic, with expectations for ticket price marketization and a recovery in supply-demand dynamics [2] - The aviation supply has entered a low growth phase, but the medium-term growth trend remains stable, with oil price declines benefiting profitability recovery [2] Group 3 - Relevant Hong Kong stocks in the aviation sector include China National Aviation (00753), Southern Airlines (01055), and Eastern Airlines (00670) [3] - Private jet manufacturer mentioned is Cirrus (02507) [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the transportation industry, suggesting a focus on the potential for price increases in the express delivery sector and the valuation recovery in the logistics sector [3]. Core Insights - The express delivery industry is expected to see a price increase in South China, which may lead to a recovery in industry valuations due to reduced price competition driven by "anti-involution" policies [7][23]. - The shipping sector is currently experiencing weak overall market conditions, with a focus on OPEC+ production plans and the potential for price recovery in the second half of the year [16]. - Infrastructure assets in Hong Kong are seen as having room for valuation improvement, particularly in the context of a declining interest rate environment [19]. - The aviation sector is witnessing a recovery in passenger traffic, but domestic ticket prices are experiencing a significant year-on-year decline [25]. Summary by Sections Shipping - The shipping market is currently weak, with freight rates for major routes declining. The SCFI index for the East America route dropped by 7.5% to $3,126 per FEU [11]. - OPEC+ is expected to approve an increase in production by 548,000 barrels per day in September, which may influence shipping rates positively in the latter half of the year [14][16]. - The demand for dry bulk shipping is fluctuating, with iron ore and grain transport demand decreasing, while coal imports remain strong [16]. Infrastructure - As of June 2025, the national port cargo throughput reached 1.56 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, while container throughput grew by 4.7% [50]. - The report highlights the stable performance of leading highway assets, suggesting a dividend yield returning to around 4% [19]. - The CR450 high-speed train is expected to enhance operational capacity significantly once it enters commercial service [18]. Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is projected to maintain a growth rate of over 20% in 2024, with a 19.3% increase in business volume in the first half of 2025 [20][23]. - The industry is experiencing a shift towards price stabilization due to "anti-involution" measures, with potential price increases expected in August [23]. - Major players like ZTO Express and YTO Express are recommended for investment due to their market positioning and growth potential [23]. Aviation - Passenger traffic in the civil aviation sector has shown a week-on-week increase of 3.1%, but domestic ticket prices have seen a year-on-year decline of 9.5% [24][25]. - The report emphasizes the importance of "anti-involution" policies in stabilizing the aviation market and improving valuations [25]. - Key airline stocks recommended include Air China and Southern Airlines, with a focus on their recovery potential [25]. Logistics - The logistics sector is seeing a slight decrease in air freight prices, with the TAC Shanghai outbound air freight price index down by 3.8% year-on-year [26]. - China National Freight is highlighted for its potential non-operating income from asset sales, making it a recommended stock [26].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the express delivery sector, driven by anti-involution policies leading to price increases during peak seasons, with expectations of sustained price increases exceeding initial forecasts [2][21]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the Chinese new ship orders rebounded to 75% in July, signaling a recovery in the shipbuilding sector, with Chinese shipyards outperforming their Japanese and Korean counterparts [2][21]. - The report emphasizes the potential for regional collaboration in the express delivery sector, particularly in major grain-producing areas like Guangdong, as the government aims to eliminate price disparities [2]. - The report suggests that the shipping market is experiencing increased volatility due to geopolitical factors, including U.S. tariffs and sanctions on Iran and Russia, which may alter shipping trade routes [2][21]. Summary by Sections Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is expected to see price increases as the peak season approaches, with a focus on companies like Jitu Express, Zhongtong Express, and Yunda [2]. - The report notes that the transition from the off-peak to peak season in August and September will likely lead to price increases that are difficult to reverse [2]. Shipping and Shipbuilding - In July, new ship orders in China returned to 75%, indicating a recovery in the shipbuilding industry, with Chinese shipyards expected to outperform their Japanese and Korean counterparts [2][21]. - The report recommends companies such as China Shipbuilding, China Heavy Industry, and Sumida, while also highlighting the potential impact of geopolitical events on shipping routes [2][21]. Oil and Freight Rates - The report discusses fluctuations in oil prices and their impact on freight rates, noting that VLCC rates have shown signs of stabilization after a decline [2]. - The report indicates that the average MR freight rate increased by 2% to $19,515 per day, reflecting a relatively stable market [2]. Air Transport - The report suggests that the aviation sector is poised for recovery, with the potential for improved profitability as supply constraints and increased passenger volumes are expected to support airline revenues [2]. - Companies such as China Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and Cathay Pacific are highlighted as key players in the aviation sector [2]. Rail and Road Transport - The report notes that rail freight volumes and highway truck traffic remain resilient, with steady growth expected in these sectors [2]. - The report identifies two main investment themes in the highway sector: high dividend yields and potential value management catalysts [2].

Core Insights - The summer travel season has reached a historical high in passenger volume, with July's domestic air travel expected to hit 71.2 million, a 3% increase year-on-year [1] - Despite the increase in passenger numbers, average ticket prices for domestic economy class have decreased, with some popular routes seeing price drops exceeding 20% [1][3] Passenger Volume and Price Trends - The Civil Aviation Administration of China projected a total of 150 million passengers during the summer travel season, with a daily average of approximately 2.44 million, reflecting a 6.6% increase from the previous year [2] - As of July 31, domestic passenger volume exceeded 60.34 million, a 3% year-on-year increase, while international passenger volume surpassed 7.76 million, marking a 10% increase [2] - Beijing Daxing Airport reported a 7.12% year-on-year increase in passenger volume since the start of the summer travel season [2] Route-Specific Insights - Popular tourist destinations such as Xinjiang and Yunnan have seen significant increases in ticket bookings, with some areas experiencing over 10% growth [3] - The average ticket price for domestic economy class in July was 840 yuan, a 7.5% decrease compared to last year and a 5% decrease compared to 2019 [3] - Among the top 20 domestic routes, only the Hangzhou Xiaoshan to Shenzhen Baoan route saw a price increase, while the remaining routes experienced varying degrees of price declines [3] International Travel Recovery - International flight recovery remains below pre-pandemic levels, with July's international passenger flights only reaching 89.1% of 2019 levels [4] - Recovery rates vary significantly by region, with flights to Japan exceeding 100% recovery, while flights to Thailand are at only 54.6% [4][5] - The structure of international routes has shifted, with a growing proportion of flights to Central Asia, Africa, and Middle Eastern countries, reflecting changes in trade relations and travel preferences [5] Emerging Travel Trends - The top ten outbound destinations for July included Seoul, Hong Kong, and Osaka, with a notable preference for visa-free and emerging destinations [5] - As of mid-July, outbound ticket bookings exceeded 7.19 million, an 8% increase from the previous year [5]

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年7月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國國際航空股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年8月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00753 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 4,955,610,672 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 4,955,610,672 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 4,955,610,672 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 4,955,610,672 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600897 | 厦门空港 | 14.80 | 1.51% | 3.08万 | | 4523.08万 | | 002928 | 华夏航空 | 8.44 | 1.32% | 15.07万 | | 1.26亿 | | 000089 | 深圳机场 | 7.09 | 0.57% | 11.32万 | | 8012.92万 | | 603885 | 吉祥航空 | 12.29 | 0.41% | 15.72万 | | 1.93亿 | | 600004 | 白云机场 | 9.36 | 0.32% | 10.68万 | | 1.00亿 | | 600029 | 南方航空 | 5.67 | 0.00% | 43.15万 | | 2.44亿 | | 600115 | 中国东航 | 3.79 | 0.00% | 53.12万 | | 2.01亿 | | 600221 | 海航控股 | 1.48 | 0.00% | 230.61万 | | 3.42亿 | ...

Industry Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Insights - The aviation industry has incurred significant losses, totaling 329.5 billion yuan from 2020 to 2023, while the cumulative profit from 2010 to 2019 was only 278.2 billion yuan [2][8] - The root cause of the losses is identified as excess capacity, with a 15% increase in the number of aircraft from 2019 to 2024, while passenger traffic only grew by 11% [3] - Average ticket prices for the three major airlines have decreased by approximately 7% compared to 2019, leading to continued losses in 2024 and the first half of 2025 [11] Summary by Sections 1. Aviation Industry Losses - The aviation industry urgently needs to address its losses, with major airlines continuing to report significant deficits [6] - The average ticket price for the three major airlines in 2024 is lower than in 2019, contributing to declining profit margins [11] 2. Capacity and Demand Imbalance - The growth in the number of aircraft has outpaced the growth in passenger traffic, leading to an ongoing imbalance in supply and demand [15] - Aircraft utilization rates have not fully recovered to pre-2019 levels, although passenger load factors have exceeded those levels in 2025 [20] 3. Opportunities for Improvement - There is potential for the early retirement of older aircraft, which could help clear excess capacity and improve profitability [24][27] - The prices of second-hand aircraft have risen, providing an opportunity for airlines to sell or lease older planes for good returns [28] - The profitability of foreign airlines is higher than that of domestic airlines, suggesting a need for domestic airlines to consider external aircraft adjustments [36] 4. Domestic Aircraft Market - The delivery volume of domestic large aircraft is expected to increase significantly, with domestic aircraft projected to become the main source of growth in aircraft numbers [39]

Core Insights - The aviation industry showed a significant reduction in losses in Q2 2025, with domestic supply maintaining low growth and demand recovering steadily [5][31][32] - The REIT sector experienced a market correction, influenced by a shift in investor risk appetite and macroeconomic asset rotation, with fundamental pricing power being less impactful [3][4] Aviation Industry Summary - Q2 2025 saw the introduction of 107 new aircraft, with a net increase of only 52, leading to an estimated ASK growth of 6.7% year-on-year [31] - Domestic demand remained stable, with a 3.9% increase in passenger flow and a 4% decrease in domestic oil-inclusive ticket prices [31][32] - The industry achieved a record high passenger load factor, increasing by 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, with Q2 2025 expected to show a significant reduction in losses for major airlines [31][32] - The summer travel season faced unexpected weakness in business travel demand, while leisure travel remained strong, indicating a potential recovery in business travel in the future [32][33] REIT Sector Summary - The REIT sector's performance in Q2 2025 continued to align with expected trends, although the overall market experienced a downturn following the release of quarterly reports [3][4] - The differentiation among REIT sectors was less pronounced in Q2 compared to Q1, with stable sectors like affordable housing and municipal projects leading the decline [3] - The current REIT market correction coincides with a shift in investor risk preferences, with the fundamental performance of underlying assets having a diminished impact on pricing [3][4] Industry Trends and Recommendations - The aviation sector is expected to benefit from a long-term recovery in demand, with a recommendation to adopt a contrarian investment approach in the sector [33] - The REIT market is anticipated to remain influenced by its debt-like characteristics, with a focus on macroeconomic asset rotation and the impact of new policies on investor sentiment [4]

正值暑运高峰，为精准满足旅客出行需求、提升旅客出行效率，杭州机场联合相关航空公司，推出 值机优化举措，所有快线航班（国航杭州至北京首都、杭州至成都双流，南航杭州至广州）及长龙航空 国内航班的值机截载时间由原来的40分钟缩短至35分钟。 目前，杭州机场正以此次调整为试点，持续收集运行数据，计划将成熟经验逐步推广至更多航线， 不断打造"更便捷、更舒适、更人文"的航空出行体验，让服务更精准地贴合旅客的多样化需求。 据了解，为确保35分钟的截载时间既"提速"又"稳行"，杭州机场与国航、长龙、南航等航空公司深 度协作，对机位安排、行李分拣、航班配载、航班关舱等关键保障环节的时间节点进行精细梳理，通过 将"挤"出来的5分钟科学分配至各流程衔接中，使得在缩短值机时间的同时航班运行标准不降，确保安 全、服务与效率的兼顾。 节省的"5分钟"，将为搭乘上述快线及长龙航空航班的旅客带来切实便利。尤其是商务旅客等对时 间敏感的群体，获得了额外的5分钟弹性时间，同时有效减少了旅客赶在最后截止时间前抵达柜台的紧 迫感，值机体验更为舒适。 ...