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什么情况?一份假想报告,带崩多家PE巨头股价?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-25 12:51
近日,独立研究机构Citrini Research发布了一份报告,阐释人工智能对全球经济的潜在风险,美股因此 引发广泛讨论,甚至出现恐慌性抛售。配送、支付、软件类股票周一大幅下挫,黑石、KKR等被报告 点名的全球PE巨头也未能幸免。 不仅如此,就在几天前,美国资产管理公司蓝鸮资本(Blue Owl)宣布不得不出售资产,以满足投资者 集中赎回某只基金的需求,引发市场紧张。这一事件也导致包括阿波罗、KKR和黑石在内的多家PE巨 头股价应声下跌。 2月19日至23日,黑石三个交易日股价累计下跌超15%,KKR累计跌幅也超11%,跌幅远超市场预期。 报告还假设,2027年全球知名CRM服务商Zendesk的50亿美元私募信贷违约,将成为史上最大规模的同 类事件。直接原因在于AI客服替代人工后,企业不再续订相关软件,而这一事件会引发连锁反应: SaaS定价崩溃导致LBO模型破产,进而造成私募信贷违约、资产估值暴跌的恶性循环。 该警示精准命中部分PE机构的私募信贷业务,它们是这个市场的重要参与者,且大量布局科技、SaaS 领域的杠杆投资。 报告还指出,金融传染会从私募信贷向保险、资管行业扩散。资产管理公司、寿险公司、再保 ...
2028 年全球情报危机 --- THE 2028 GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISIS
2026-02-24 14:17
2028 年全球情报危机 --- THE 2028 GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISIS substack.com/home/post/p-188821754 Substack Preface 序言 What if our AI bullishness continues to be right...and what if that's actually bearish? 倘若我们对人工智能的乐观情绪持续正确 …… 而这种 " 正确 " 本身反而预示着悲观前景,又当如 何? What follows is a scenario, not a prediction. This isn't bear porn or AI doomer fan-fiction. The sole intent of this piece is modeling a scenario that's been relatively underexplored. Our friend Alap Shah posed the question, and together we brainstormed the answer ...
RBC Capital Sets a Price Target of $137 for KKR & Co. (NYSE: KKR)
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-02-24 06:05
RBC Capital suggests a potential upside of about 48.61% for KKR & Co. (NYSE:KKR) from its current stock price.KKR's strategic acquisition of a majority stake in XCL Education Holdings for approximately $1.3 billion aims to strengthen its position in the education sector.The company's stock price has experienced significant volatility, with a yearly high of $153.87 and a low of $86.15.On February 23, 2026, RBC Capital set a price target of $137 for KKR & Co. (NYSE:KKR), suggesting a potential upside of about ...
RBC Capital Initiates Coverage on KKR & Co. with "Outperform" Rating
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-02-24 05:02
On February 23, 2026, RBC Capital initiated coverage on KKR & Co. (NYSE: KKR) with a bullish "Outperform" rating. At that time, KKR's stock price was $92.19. KKR is a global investment firm that manages multiple alternative asset classes, including private equity, energy, infrastructure, real estate, and credit. It competes with firms like Blackstone and Warburg Pincus.KKR is set to acquire a majority stake in XCL Education Holdings for about $1.3 billion. This acquisition will give KKR control over a portf ...
Apollo Global Management (NYSE:APO) Overview and Market Performance
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-02-24 03:06
Apollo Global Management (NYSE:APO) is a leading figure in the alternative asset management sector, focusing on private equity, credit, and real estate investments. It stands in competition with giants such as Blackstone and KKR. RBC Capital has recently initiated coverage on Apollo, giving it a "Sector Perform" rating, which suggests a neutral stance towards the company's stock.The recent downturn in the software sector is impacting firms like Apollo, with concerns over private-credit exposure and potentia ...
AI恐慌!一份假想报告引发美股多个板块遭血洗
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 02:35
格隆汇2月24日|在研究公司Citrini Research发布报告、阐述人工智能(AI)可能对全球经济不同领域构成 潜在风险之后,美股多个板块包括配送、支付以及软件类股份周一大幅下挫,其中,KKR收跌8.89%, 黑石(Blackstone)收跌6.23%,美国运通收跌7.2%,DoorDash收跌6.6%。报告中提及的其他公司,包括 Uber、万事达卡(Mastercard)、Visa,股价跌幅介乎4.3%至5.8%。 在这场"思想实验"中,Citrini描绘多种可能结果,其中包括DoorDash和Uber Eats等外卖送餐应用程式的 主导地位,被所谓的"vibe-coded"(氛围编程)方案所取代。DoorDash共同创办人Andy Fang在社交媒体回 应表示,确实相信AI代理型商业将为行业带来颠覆性改变,行业的地平线正在发生变化,业界必须适 应。报告还描述另一个未来情景,即AI代理商透过消除Mastercard和Visa等支付公司收取的交易费用, 帮助用户节省金钱。Citrini Research的报引发市场剧烈反应,但有部分市场人士认为,当前的市场反应 或已高估AI风险。 Citrini Res ...
Keurig Dr Pepper secures additional $1.5 billion funding for JDE Peet's buyout
Reuters· 2026-02-23 22:59
Skip to main content Exclusive news, data and analytics for financial market professionalsLearn more aboutRefinitiv Keurig Dr Pepper secures additional $1.5 billion funding for JDE Peet's buyout February 23, 202610:59 PM UTCUpdated 9 mins ago By Reuters Feb 23 (Reuters) - Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP.O), opens new tab said on Monday it had raised an additional $1.5 billion of equity funding from long-term investors as part of its financing plan for the roughly $18 billion acquisition of Dutch coffee giant JDE Peet ...
KKR Reportedly Seals $1.3 Billion Deal For Majority Stake In XCL Education - KKR (NYSE:KKR), TPG (NASDAQ:TPG)
Benzinga· 2026-02-23 18:16
KKR & Co. (NYSE:KKR) is poised to acquire a controlling stake in XCL Education Holdings under a transaction that assigns the Singapore-headquartered firm an enterprise value of approximately $1.3 billion, Bloomberg reported.The stake is being sold by TPG Inc. (NASDAQ:TPG) , with KKR prevailing over other bidders in a competitive process, according to the Bloomberg report, which cited people familiar with the deal it didn’t identify. Financial terms beyond the overall valuation — including the exact size of ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2026-02-21 16:03
KKR’s acquisition of Accel Group was a pandemic bet on a bike boom. It didn’t pay off, and now the private equity firm is handing the business over to its lenders. Read more in The Brink. https://t.co/Xlp43fi2fa ...
SaaS Markets Have Crashed in 2026. But Is Private Credit the Even Bigger Risk?
SaaStr· 2026-02-20 15:10
SaaS Markets Have Crashed in 2026. But Is Private Credit the Even Bigger Risk? We all know software stocks have entered a bear market in 2026. But the debt side of software might end up being a much bigger deal.IGV is down 23%+ year-to-date. $285 billion in market cap wiped out in a single day. Software P/S ratios compressed from 9x to 6x — levels we haven’t seen since the mid-2010s. But it’s more than just stocks going down.It puts huge stress on private credit’s $600-750 billion exposure to software comp ...