ROMAINE: A BOUNCEBACK AND U.S. MANUFACTURING LEADS TO REBOUND IN U.S. EQUITIES. HERE AT BLOOMBERG HEADQUARTERS IN NEW YORK, I'M ROMAINE BOSTICK. KATIE: WE'RE KICKING YOU OFF TO THE CLOSING BELL HERE IN THE U.S., THE S&P 500 HEADING FOR RECORD HIGH.HIGHER BY ABOUT .5% RIGHT NOW. WE HAD U.S. ISM MANUFACTURING COME IN STRONG AS MORNING, YOU SEE THAT IN THE NASDAQ 100, GIVING A LIFT TO YIELDS. FOR KNOCKING ON THE DOOR OF 4.30%, THEN YOU LOOK AT THE DOLLAR, CONTINUING TO RALLY.BLOOMBERG DOLLAR SPOT INDEX HIGHER ...

Economic Overview - U.S. manufacturing activity unexpectedly expanded in January, marking the biggest jump since 2022, which is a positive indicator for the economy [2][20] - The S&P 500 is heading for record highs, currently up by about 0.5% [1][20] - The U.S. dollar continues to rally, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index higher by about 0.3% [2] Federal Reserve Insights - There is speculation about a potential reshaping of the Federal Reserve under Kevin Warsh, who is critical of quantitative easing (QE) and aims to create a separation from the administration [4][7][15] - The Fed's balance sheet has decreased from $9 trillion to approximately $6.6 trillion, raising questions about future monetary policy and the implications for government funding [14][15][18] - The Fed is currently believed to be pausing on balance sheet shrinkage, which may lead to discussions about the appropriate size of the balance sheet during abnormal economic times [16][18] Market Reactions - Traders are adjusting their expectations regarding Federal interest rate cuts, with discussions of a "Goldilocks" scenario of solid growth that contains inflation [3][19] - Concerns about the sustainability of elevated prices in precious metals like gold and silver are emerging, as the dollar strengthens [42][46] - Companies in the AI sector, including Oracle, are facing scrutiny over their debt levels as they raise funds to support growth ambitions [60][66] Corporate Developments - Coeur Mining is actively pursuing acquisitions to create a North American mining powerhouse, focusing on low-risk exposure in Canada, the U.S., and Mexico [56][58] - The company anticipates more consolidation in the mining sector as investors seek sustainable price levels [58] - Disney's recent earnings report reflects a strong performance driven by its parks and cruise business, despite some concerns about future growth [30][33][39]

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The Supreme Court of British Columbia in Canada has granted final approval for the acquisition of New Gold by US-based Coeur Mining through a court-sanctioned plan of arrangement. The decision allows a subsidiary of Coeur to acquire all outstanding shares of New Gold, as outlined in the plan under the Business Corporations Act of British Columbia. The transaction, which still requires approval under the Investment Canada Act and other typical conditions, is expected to be finalised in the first half of ...

Market Overview - Gold prices dropped as much as 6% and silver fell 10% due to increased margin requirements by CME Group following a significant decline on Friday, leading to a selloff across markets as leveraged investors unwound positions to meet margin calls [1][8] - U.S.-listed gold and silver mining companies experienced declines in premarket trading, with Newmont down 2.2%, Barrick Mining down 2.8%, and Kinross Gold down 3.2% [1][8] Economic and Policy Impact - The selloff in precious metals intensified after U.S. President Donald Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair, a decision perceived as hawkish by investors [2][8] - Shares of energy companies fell as oil prices decreased by 5% after Trump indicated that Iran was engaging in discussions with Washington, which eased concerns over supply disruptions [4][8] Technology Sector Performance - The volatility VIX index rose to 19.11, nearing a two-week high, influenced by mixed earnings from major tech companies and increased policy uncertainty following Trump's nomination of Warsh [5][9] - Major tech stocks, including Nvidia and Tesla, saw declines of nearly 2% each, while Meta and Alphabet lost 1.4% and 0.9%, respectively [5][9] - Microsoft shares recorded their worst week since March 2020 due to disappointing cloud revenue, raising concerns about the returns on significant investments in artificial intelligence [6][9] - Oracle's shares dropped 3.7% after announcing plans to raise $45 billion to $50 billion in debt and equity this year [6][9] Upcoming Economic Indicators - The U.S. is expected to experience a brief government shutdown after Congress failed to approve funding, with key economic data releases scheduled for the week, including January manufacturing PMI and labor market indicators such as JOLTS and nonfarm payrolls [7][9]

Core Insights - New Gold Inc. (NYSE:NGD) is recognized as one of the 11 Best Performing Stocks in the Last 12 Months [1] Group 1: Acquisition Details - On January 27, 2026, New Gold Inc. received shareholder approval for a plan where a wholly owned subsidiary of Coeur Mining will purchase all outstanding NGD shares [2] - The acquisition is expected to close in the first half of 2026, pending court and regulatory approvals, with New Gold shareholders entitled to receive 0.4959 Coeur shares per New Gold share, resulting in approximately 38% ownership of the combined company [3] Group 2: Analyst Updates - On January 26, 2026, Scotiabank raised its price target on New Gold Inc. from $10.50 to $12.75, maintaining an 'Outperform' rating, reflecting higher gold and silver price forecasts amid economic and geopolitical uncertainty [4]

Group 1 - New Gold Inc. (NYSE:NGD) has received shareholder approval for a plan of arrangement where a wholly owned subsidiary of Coeur Mining will purchase all outstanding NGD shares [2] - The acquisition is expected to close in the first half of 2026, pending court and regulatory approvals, with New Gold shareholders entitled to receive 0.4959 Coeur shares per New Gold share, resulting in approximately 38% ownership of the combined company [3] - Scotiabank raised its price target on New Gold from $10.50 to $12.75, maintaining an 'Outperform' rating, reflecting higher gold and silver price forecasts amid economic and geopolitical uncertainty [4] Group 2 - New Gold Inc. operates and develops assets including Rainy River and New Afton, positioning itself within the North American precious metals sector [5]

Core Insights - The iShares Silver Trust (SLV) and the Global X - Silver Miners ETF (SIL) provide different investment approaches to the silver market, with SLV tracking physical silver prices and SIL investing in silver mining companies [1][8]. Cost & Size - SLV has a lower expense ratio of 0.50% compared to SIL's 0.65%, making it more cost-effective for investors [3]. - As of January 26, 2026, SLV has a one-year return of 268.4% while SIL has a return of 247.4% [3]. - SLV has assets under management (AUM) of $38 billion, significantly larger than SIL's $5 billion [3]. - SIL offers a dividend yield of 1.18%, while SLV does not pay dividends [4]. Performance & Risk Comparison - Over five years, SLV has a maximum drawdown of -39.33%, while SIL has a higher drawdown of -55.79% [5]. - An investment of $1,000 in SLV would grow to $4,384 over five years, compared to $2,810 for SIL [5]. Portfolio Composition - SIL invests in 39 global silver mining stocks, focusing entirely on the Basic Materials sector, with major holdings in Wheaton Precious Metals, Pan American Silver, and Coeur Mining [6]. - SLV provides pure exposure to silver prices, with all assets linked to Real Estate as a proxy for physical silver holdings [7]. Investment Implications - SIL's focus on mining companies allows for potential higher returns when these companies perform well, but it also introduces greater risk if they underperform [9]. - SLV offers a straightforward investment in silver prices without the complexities associated with mining operations and equity market fluctuations [9]. - The choice between SLV and SIL depends on investor objectives, with SLV suitable for those seeking direct silver price exposure and SIL for those interested in the broader silver market including mining companies [10].

周五，国际贵金属市场遭遇罕见重挫。随着美国总统特朗普正式提名凯文·沃什出任下一任美联储主席，市场对美联储的一些担忧明显缓解，美元随之大 幅走强，直接引发黄金与白银价格的断崖式下跌。 | W | | | 伦敦金现 SPTAUUSDOZ.IDC | | | | | O | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 4880.034 "F | | | | 5377.160 | | 总量 | | 0 | | -497.126 | -9.25% 开盘 | | | 5390.563 | | 现手 | | 0 | | 最高价 | 5451.010 | 搏 せ | | | 0 | 外 물 | | 0 | | 最低价 | 4682.552 干燥 | 仓 | | | 0 | 内 盘 | | 0 | | 分时 | 王日 | 日K | | 周K | | 月K | 更多 | (0) | | 叠加 设均线 | | | MA5:5172.222↓ 10:5004.843↑ 20:4772.899 ↑ | | | | | | | 5745.728 | | | | | ...

Core Insights - Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) and Hecla Mining Company (HL) are positioned favorably as gold and silver markets show strong momentum, attracting investor interest into early 2026 [1][2] Coeur Mining (CDE) - CDE has demonstrated strong operational performance with record quarterly production and financial results, reporting $555 million in revenue and producing 111,364 ounces of gold and 4.8 million ounces of silver in Q3 2025 [3][10] - The acquisition of the Las Chispas mine has been a key growth driver, contributing 1.6 million ounces of silver and approximately 16.5 thousand ounces of gold in Q3 2025 [4] - CDE's flagship assets, including Rochester and Palmarejo, are expected to deliver a total production of 392,500–438,000 ounces of gold and 17.1–19.2 million ounces of silver for 2025 [5] - As of September 2025, CDE's cash and cash equivalents were approximately $266 million, with a debt to capital ratio of 10.5% and free cash flow of about $189 million in Q3 [6][10] Hecla Mining (HL) - HL reported record revenues of $409.5 million in Q3 2025, a 67% increase year-over-year, alongside strong production metrics [7][10] - The company produced about 4.6 million ounces of silver, with silver contributing nearly 48% of mine-site revenues and gold about 37% [8] - HL achieved a realized silver price of approximately $42.58 per ounce and a realized gold price of about $3,509 per ounce in Q3 2025, benefiting from strong pricing [9] - By the end of September 2025, HL's cash and cash equivalents were around $134 million, with a debt to capital ratio of 9.9% and free cash flow of about $91 million [13][10] Comparative Performance - CDE's stock has increased by 308.8% over the past year, while HL's stock has risen by 398.9% [14] - CDE is trading at a forward 12-month sales multiple of 6.14X, compared to HL's 12.58X [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CDE's fiscal 2025 sales implies a year-over-year growth of 96%, while HL's estimates suggest a 42.1% rise [19][21] Investment Outlook - CDE is viewed as a more compelling investment due to its strong Q3 performance, higher cash reserves, and lower valuation compared to HL [24][25] - CDE's combination of production scale and margin efficiency positions it as the preferred stock, while HL remains an attractive buy for diversified precious-metal exposure [25]