国泰海通晨报 2025 年 12 月 01 日 国泰海通证券股份有限公司 研究所 [Table_Summary] 1、【宏观研究】：外需修复带动供给边际改善，对制造业 PMI 形成支撑。但是原材料、产成品价 格差走阔，反映内需仍需提振。接下来，基建投资修复值得关注。 2、【机械研究】机器人：优必选等企业加码产业布局、斩获大额订单，产业链协同推进，人形机 器人加速产业化。 3、【军工研究】军工：国家航天局发布关于印发《国家航天局推进商业航天高质量安全发展行动 计划（2025—2027 年）》的通知，指出商业航天是推动航天产业发展、建设航天强国的重要力量。 我们认为，近期我国商业航天产业及政策端利好频发，我国商业航天事业有望驶入快车道。 [汤蔚翔 Table_Authors] (分析师) 电话：021-38676172 邮箱：tangweixiang@gtht.com 登记编号：S0880511010007 [Table_ImportantInfo] 今日重点推荐 侯欢(分析师) 021-23185643 houhuan@gtht.com S0880525040074 梁中华(分析师) 021-23219820 ...

Group 1 - The consumer electronics sector is experiencing a resurgence, with the Consumer Electronics 50 ETF (159779) rising by 1.46%, marking two consecutive days of gains [1] - Notable stocks within the sector include Beijing Junzheng and Transsion Holdings, both rising over 10%, while companies like Lingyi iTech, Lens Technology, and Zhaoyi Innovation saw increases of nearly 5% [1] - The launch of the Doubao APP mobile assistant, an AI tool that integrates with smartphone operating systems, is expected to enhance user interaction through voice commands and is being developed in collaboration with multiple smartphone manufacturers [1] Group 2 - Dongwu Securities highlights that the development of AI on mobile devices is driving hardware upgrades, potentially leading to a new wave of smartphone replacements [2] - The evolution of on-device large models is shifting AI from a mere interactive tool to an "embodied intelligent agent," expanding its application from voice assistance to multimodal understanding and personalized productivity tasks [2] - The Consumer Electronics 50 ETF (159779) tracks the CSI Consumer Electronics Theme Index, which includes leading companies in AI smartphones and AIPC, with top holdings such as Luxshare Precision, SMIC, and Cambrian [2]

Core Viewpoint - Lingyi Technology has shown significant stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 78.14%, despite recent fluctuations in the short term [2] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Lingyi Technology achieved a revenue of 37.59 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.39%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.94 billion yuan, up 38.17% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 3.22 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.51 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3] Stock Market Activity - As of December 1, Lingyi Technology's stock price rose by 2.01% to 14.18 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 1.09 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.08%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 103.6 billion yuan [1] - The stock has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" eight times this year, with the most recent appearance on September 29, where it recorded a net purchase of 821 million yuan [2] Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Lingyi Technology reached 539,100, an increase of 82.54% from the previous period, with an average of 13,300 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 43.07% [2][3] - Major institutional shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 174 million shares, and various ETFs such as Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF and E Fund CSI 300 ETF, with notable changes in their holdings [3]

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth permanent magnet sector is experiencing a significant upward trend, driven by macroeconomic factors and policy support, indicating a potential new growth cycle for the industry in 2025 [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of December 1, 2025, the China Securities Rare Earth Industry Index rose by 2.31%, with key stocks such as Northern Rare Earth increasing by 4.80%, and others like Jinchao Wanfang and China Aluminum also showing strong gains [1]. - The overall market sentiment is optimistic due to anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2024 and domestic policies aimed at stabilizing growth, which are expected to boost the non-ferrous metals industry [1]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - Analysts predict that the rare earth sector will benefit from a recovery in macroeconomic expectations post-Geneva Agreement in 2025, alongside supply chain disruptions and liquidity easing, leading to improved metal prices and corporate profitability [1]. - The demand for rare earths is expected to remain stable due to traditional applications, while new demands from humanoid robots and low-altitude economies are anticipated to emerge [1]. Group 3: Policy and Supply Dynamics - Domestic supply control measures are being strengthened, which is likely to enhance industry concentration and solidify China's global monopoly in the rare earth supply chain [1]. - The strategic value of rare earths is increasing, which is expected to elevate industry valuations and improve the profitability of rare earth magnetic material companies [1]. Group 4: Investment Tools - The Jiashi Rare Earth ETF (516150) closely tracks the China Securities Rare Earth Industry Index, providing a convenient investment tool for exposure to the domestic rare earth industry [2]. - Investors can also access rare earth investment opportunities through the Jiashi Rare Earth ETF Connect Fund (011036) [2].

机器人板块情绪回暖，底部布局静待花开 20251130 摘要 工信部成立人形机器人标准化技术委员会，宇树科技和智元科技高管任 副主任，加速行业标准制定。发改委指出国内人形机器人企业超 150 家， 面临同质化和竞争加剧风险。 近期市场催化剂包括海外 T 公司审厂活动，头部公司如宇树、智元等明 年一季度上市计划，工信部补贴政策出台，以及马斯克第三代 AI 智能机 器人发布和企业量产规划。 市场回调至低位，预计 12 月有冲刺，明年一季度或迎较大行情。关注 港股公司如敏实集团、吉时佳等，以及蓝思科技、领益制造等头部公司， 风调科技、奥比中光等大脑算法公司，大洋电机等电机领域标的。 斯菱股份与北美客户 T 合作紧密，谐波减速器已进入小批量交货阶段， 年底产能预计达 30 万台，并计划覆盖更多机械传动零部件，北美客户 进展显著。 长安汽车成立天枢智能机器人科技有限公司，进军人形机器人赛道，利 用汽车产业积累的技术、产业化和供应链优势，整合硬件、软件和服务， 并依托汽车销量实现快速应用。 Q&A 本周机器人板块的市场行情和重点事件有哪些？ 本周机器人板块情绪回暖，同花顺人形机器人指数上涨了 4.8 个点，沪深 300 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the humanoid robot industry, indicating a strong investment opportunity in the sector [3][32]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is experiencing accelerated demand, with companies like UBTECH securing significant orders, leading the global market with over 1.3 billion yuan in orders for 2025 [1][21]. - The launch of the LinkSoul platform by ZhiYuan Robotics marks a significant step towards personalized intelligent agents, allowing users to customize robots across multiple dimensions [1][19]. - The industry is witnessing a shift from demonstration applications to large-scale deployment, driven by policy support and increasing commercial interest [8][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Humanoid Robots - The industry is entering a phase of order release and mass production, with UBTECH winning a 1.43 billion yuan contract, pushing its total humanoid robot orders to over 1.3 billion yuan for 2025 [1][21]. - ZhiYuan Robotics has introduced the LinkSoul platform, enabling comprehensive customization of robots, which signifies a transition from execution tools to personalized intelligent agents [1][19]. 2. Core Components - Key players like Qide New Materials are achieving breakthroughs in carbon fiber components for humanoid robots, securing small batch orders [25][29]. - Companies such as Sanxie Electric are entering mass supply phases for core electric motor products, indicating a robust supply chain development [25][31]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes that embodied intelligence represents the strongest application of AI, with humanoid robots being a crucial direction [3][32]. - It highlights the importance of monitoring technological iterations and component supply chain dynamics in the second half of 2025 [32][33].

【宏观】 外需修复，推升供给——2025年11月PMI数据点评 新出口订单指数反弹，带动供给边际改善。 2025 年 11 月份，新出口订单指数为 47.6% ，边际回升 1.7 个百分点，创下半年以来的最大涨幅。在外需的支 撑下，生产指数升至临界点，但是表现不及近年同期平均水平，且涨幅弱于季节性。企业生产的积极性进一步提升还要内需的推动。从行业看，农副食品加 工、有色金属冶炼及压延加工等行业产需较为活跃，而石油煤炭及其他燃料加工、化学纤维及橡胶塑料制品等行业产需景气水平偏低。同时，原材料采购价格 总体水平加快上涨，反映"反内卷"治理效果持续释放。出厂价格指数虽然边际回升，但是仍处于收缩区间。在内需的疲软之下，制造业企业对原材料的扩大采 购较为谨慎。 建筑业景气指数边际回升，但是仍需提振。 在非制造业，服务业景气度边际回落，降幅强于季节性。究其原因，除了假期效应消退的影响，还与房地产供需 加快调整后，相关行业市场活跃度偏弱有关。建筑业景气指数边际回升，涨幅强于季节性。究其原因，或与四季度新型政策性金融工具落地、部分地方债结存 限额的投放有关。值得一提的是，财政部将提前下达 2026 年新增地方政府债务限额，支 ...

Group 1 - The 2025 (10th) Starting Point Lithium Battery Industry Annual Conference and Lithium Battery Golden Ding Award Ceremony will be held on December 18-19, 2025, in Shenzhen, with an expected offline attendance of over 1200 and online viewership of 30,000 [2] - EVE Energy signed a 10-year supply framework agreement with Chengdu Bamo, expecting to supply approximately 127,800 tons of ultra-high nickel ternary cathode materials from 2026 to 2035 [4][5] - EVE Energy and SK On will conduct a share swap to adjust the structure of their joint battery companies in China, with the transaction expected to complete by February 28, 2026 [6] Group 2 - CATL's joint battery factory with Stellantis in Spain has officially commenced construction, with a total investment of €4.038 billion (approximately RMB 33.156 billion) and an annual capacity of 50GWh [7] - CATL signed two memorandums of understanding for energy storage projects in Japan, totaling 2.4GWh, and a supply agreement for a 1GWh energy storage system [8] - Guoxuan High-Tech established a new company with a registered capital of RMB 1 billion, focusing on battery manufacturing and sales [9] Group 3 - Chengdu Shanjun Battery Co., Ltd. was established by Geely with a registered capital of RMB 50 million, focusing on battery manufacturing and sales [10] - Chuangming New Energy's 32140 cylindrical battery production line is operating at full capacity, with an expected annual capacity of 20GWh [11][12] - LG Chem announced a breakthrough in solid-state battery technology, significantly improving performance through uniform control of solid electrolyte particle size [13] Group 4 - Longpan Technology signed a supplementary agreement to sell 1.3 million tons of lithium iron phosphate cathode materials from 2025 to 2030, with a total sales amount exceeding RMB 45 billion [15] - Fangda Carbon plans to participate in the restructuring of the Shanshan Group, leveraging its advantages in the negative electrode industry [16] - Lianyi Intelligent Manufacturing submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with a revenue of approximately RMB 37.6 billion in the first three quarters of 2025 [17][18] Group 5 - Ganfeng Lithium's 80,000 tons lithium iron phosphate project is expected to be operational by 2026 [19] - Better Ray has completed a 7,500-ton silicon-based anode production line, with plans for further development in the silicon anode field [20] - Longpan Technology's 110,000 tons high-performance cathode material project is under construction in Shandong [21] Group 6 - Tianci Materials has broken ground on its first electrolyte factory in North America, with an investment of approximately $200 million and an annual production capacity of 200,000 tons [22] - Huazi Technology reported significant growth in lithium battery equipment orders this year [25] - Mannester noted a positive trend in the lithium battery supply chain, with a noticeable increase in new orders compared to last year [26] Group 7 - Huaguan Technology delivered a complete assembly line for large-capacity square aluminum shell cells to a national key project [27] - Delong Laser confirmed its status as a qualified supplier for CATL, providing various laser solutions for battery manufacturing [28] - A lithium battery recycling project in Jinan signed a contract for a project with an annual processing capacity of 10,000 tons [30][31] Group 8 - Xiaomi clarified rumors regarding a fire incident in its battery production line, stating it was a minor issue during equipment debugging [33] - Li Auto reported a revenue of RMB 27.4 billion for Q3 2025, with a gross margin decline to 16.3% [34] - NIO's CEO stated the company's goal for 2026 is to achieve profitability for the entire year [35]

Core Insights - The article highlights the rise of female entrepreneurs in China, particularly focusing on Zeng Fangqin, the CEO of Lingyi iTech, who is referred to as the "Invisible Queen" in the precision manufacturing sector. The company is preparing for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with a market value of 95 billion yuan [1][8]. Company Overview - Lingyi iTech, founded by Zeng Fangqin in 2006, has grown from a small factory with 80 employees to a publicly listed company with a market capitalization of 95 billion yuan [4][5]. - The company has established itself as a key player in the Apple supply chain, with over 60% of its revenue coming from Apple-related businesses, including a 70% share of the iPhone 17 Pro stainless steel frame orders [3][5]. Financial Performance - Lingyi iTech's revenue for 2022-2024 is projected to be 34.5 billion yuan, 34.2 billion yuan, and 44.26 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 1.57 billion yuan, 2.02 billion yuan, and 1.76 billion yuan during the same period [5][6]. - In the first nine months of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 37.59 billion yuan, with a record quarterly revenue of 139.65 billion yuan in Q3, marking a year-on-year growth of 12.91% [6]. Strategic Expansion - The company has diversified its client base beyond Apple to include major players like Huawei and Tesla, aided by strategic acquisitions since its reverse merger in 2018 [6][7]. - Notable acquisitions include the purchase of 100% of Saierkang Group for approximately 2.15 billion yuan in 2019, which expanded its customer resources in the consumer electronics charging equipment sector [6][7]. Future Growth Initiatives - Zeng Fangqin announced a strategic focus on bipedal robots, planning to invest at least 200 million yuan annually over the next three years to become a top three manufacturer in the field [7]. - The company aims to provide a comprehensive solution for humanoid robot components, collaborating with AI robotics firms to enhance its technological capabilities [7]. Industry Context - The article emphasizes the broader trend of female entrepreneurs in China, with Zeng Fangqin's achievements paralleling those of other notable figures like Zhong Huijuan of Hansoh Pharmaceutical and Zhou Qunfei of Lens Technology, showcasing the growing influence of women in the business landscape [8][9].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the remarkable journey of Zeng Fangqin, the CEO of Lingyi iTech, who built a "hundred billion precision manufacturing" empire over nearly 20 years, emphasizing her significant contributions to the precision components industry and her recent IPO plans [3][4][8]. Company Overview - Lingyi iTech, with a market value of 95 billion, is preparing for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, showcasing its growth and Zeng Fangqin's status as a leading female entrepreneur in China [3][4]. - The company has established itself as a key player in the precision components sector, particularly in the consumer electronics supply chain, with over 60% of its revenue coming from Apple-related businesses [7][10]. Financial Performance - Lingyi iTech's revenue for 2022-2024 is projected to be 34.5 billion, 34.2 billion, and 44.3 billion respectively, with net profits of 1.57 billion, 2.02 billion, and 1.76 billion during the same period [10]. - In the first nine months of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 37.59 billion, with a notable increase in quarterly earnings, indicating a strong growth trajectory [10]. Strategic Acquisitions - The company has made strategic acquisitions to enhance its market position, including the 21.5 billion acquisition of Saierkang Group and the 11.2 billion acquisition of two automotive parts factories from Flex, which expanded its customer base and production capabilities [11]. - Following these acquisitions, Lingyi iTech's global service points increased from 12 to 28, and its overseas revenue share rose from 35% to 60% by 2024 [11]. Future Growth Initiatives - Zeng Fangqin is focusing on the robotics sector, particularly bipedal robots, with plans to invest at least 200 million annually over the next three years to become a top player in the field [11][12]. - The company has formed strategic partnerships to enhance its capabilities in robotics, indicating a commitment to diversifying its product offerings and exploring new growth avenues [12]. Industry Context - The article also discusses the rise of female entrepreneurs in China, with Zeng Fangqin being part of a broader trend of women leading successful companies in various sectors, including technology and manufacturing [14][16]. - The success stories of female leaders like Zeng Fangqin, Zhou Qunfei, and Wang Laichun illustrate the potential for women to break through barriers in traditionally male-dominated industries [15][16].