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英伟达:业绩再次全面超预期
交银国际证券· 2024-05-28 07:31
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [6] Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance in Q1 FY25 with revenue of $26 billion, exceeding previous guidance and consensus estimates [1] - Data center revenue was a major driver, reaching $22.6 billion, reflecting significant year-over-year growth [1] - The company provided optimistic guidance for Q2 FY25, projecting revenue of $28 billion, which is above previous expectations [1] - The report anticipates continued high growth in data center revenue over the next two years due to strong demand from cloud service providers [1] - Earnings forecasts have been raised, with Q2 FY25 non-GAAP EPS expected to be $6.6, higher than consensus estimates [1] Financial Overview - Revenue projections for FY25 have been increased to $120.2 billion, surpassing consensus estimates [1] - Non-GAAP EPS for FY25 is now forecasted at $27.06, also above consensus [1] - The company’s gross margin for Q1 FY25 was reported at 78.9%, exceeding guidance and expectations [1] - The financial data indicates a significant increase in revenue and net profit over the next few years, with a projected revenue of $150.8 billion in FY26 and $160.5 billion in FY27 [5][14]
英伟达:需求端不断拓展,供给端超预期
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2024-05-28 07:02
英伟达(NVDA.O) 需求端:模型加速迭代,垂直行业不断拓展。英伟达数据中心业绩的可持 续性,来自于 AI 算力需求的可持续性。训练端,CSP 云计算厂商均持续 加大投入,各类模型快速迭代、如 OpenAI 推出 GPT-4o、谷歌推出 AI 助 手 Project Astra 和视频生成模型 Veo 等。推理端,据英伟达 FY2025Q1 业绩会,过去 4 个季度推理业务贡献了数据中心约 40%的收入。 投资建议:上调盈利预测,重申"买入"评级。考虑到英伟达业绩指引超 预期、且需求端和供给端趋势持续向好,我们上调公司盈利预测。我们预 计 2025-2027 财年公司收入将达 1201/1563/1903 亿美元,同比增长 97%/30%/22%。Non-GAAP 净利润 671/869/1055 亿美元,同比增长 108%/29%/21%。我们认为英伟达合理市值为 3 万亿美元、对应股价为 1221 美金,对应 35x FY2026e P/E,重申"买入"评级。 作者 2024 年 05 月 27 日 FY 2025Q2,公司业绩指引为营收预计为 280 亿美元(±2%),超过一 致预期的 268 亿美元 ...
英伟达CY1Q24点评:Blackwell出货进展超预期
Huaan Securities· 2024-05-23 03:32
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短期调整不改长期向好格局,继续看好全球AI芯片龙头
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2024-04-24 08:02
2024年04月21日 英伟达(NVDA.NASDAQ) 买入(维持评级) 电子组 市价(美元): 762.00 元 1.《英伟达公司点评:业绩再创新高,需求尚未见顶》, 2024.2.22 美元(元) 成交金额(百万元) 1,000 00 877.00 754.00 631.00 508.00 385.00 262. 00 成交金额 英伟达 120, 000 100, 000 80, 000 60, 000 40, 000 20, 000 来源:公司年报、国金证券研究所 事件简评 硬件到通信一体化的系统性工程,我们认为公司始终维持相较竞 争对手全方面的领先优势。在软件端,CUDA 支持公司全系列 GPU. 在软件库覆盖率以及 AI 框架支持度都相对领先。硬件端, 公司训练芯片在算力以及其他指标上相对领先竞争对手。通信端, 公司自研卡间互联用 NVLink 系统以及集群网络用 IB 网络架构, 保证训练和推理效率最大化。 2)需求端: 我们认为海外云厂商 CAPEX 在 24 年有望重回上行 周期,并且在结构上向 AI 及相应基础设施作倾斜,有望持续拉动 AI 芯片需求。根据中际旭创 23 年报转引 Fact ...
英伟达GTC大会点评:GB200持续创新,引领加速计算系统演进
股 票 研 究 海 外 公 司 ( 美 国 ) [Table_MainInfo] [Table_Title] 英伟达(NVDA.US) GB200 持续创新,引领加速计算系统演进 本报告导读: | --- | --- | |----------------------------|---------------------| | [Table_Invest 评级: ] | 海外信息科技 \n增持 | | 当前价格(美元): | 893.98 | | | 2024.03.22 | 52周股价走势图 示生成式 AI 相关应用。 摘要: [Table_Summary] 盈利预测及投资建议:我们维持之前的盈利预测,预计 FY2025EFY2027E 的营业收入为 1224.94/ 1525.61/ 1478.89 亿美元(下同),净 利润 739.63 亿/929.05 亿/862.67 亿美元,同增 128.9%/25.6%/-7.1%。 考虑其在 AI 领域的稀缺性,同时我们认为这一轮的需求周期远未结 束,给予英伟达 FY2025E PE 40X,提升目标市值至 2.79 万亿美元, 目标价 1116 美元,维持 ...
VR、机器人、自动驾驶–Blackwell之外业务不断发展
交银国际证券· 2024-03-20 16:00
交银国际研究 消息快报 英伟达 GTC 于当地时间 3 月 18 日如期举行。此次活动万众期待,18000 人 的场地座无虚席。虽然外界对本次活动发布的内容早有预期,我们通过总 结新硬件产品架构、软件服务模式和不同应用的前景,对生成式人工智能 后续的技术发展和应用的铺开保持积极态度。 AR/VR/MR、人形机器人、自动驾驶等各类应用纷至沓来:英伟达深化与 苹果的合作,NVDA Omniverse Cloud 将可以连接到苹果 Vision Pro。该服务 允许企业将 3D 应用中的交互式通用场景描述串流传输到 Apple Vision Pro 头显中,为数字孪生等应用服务。公司公布了 GR00T 项目,旨在为人形机 器人提供及一个基础模型。GR00T 硬件基于英伟达 Thor SoC 芯片,搭载 Blackwell 架构下 8 比特 800TFLOPS 算力。我们认为,人形机器人或是生成 式人工智能算法在人机互动模式方面一个新的平台。英伟达同时发布了下 一代车载计算芯片系统 DRIVE Thor,预计明年投产。公司宣布了与多家中 国车企的合作扩展,包括比亚迪、小鹏以及广汽埃安旗下的 Hyper 品牌。 童钰枫 ...
算力增长助力终端应用快速高质发展
国元国际控股· 2024-03-20 16:00
即时点评 算力增长助力终端应用快速高质发展 英伟达(NVDA.O) 2024-03-20 星期三 事件: 重要数据 2024.03.20 英伟达 2024 GTC AI 大会于美东时间 3 月 18 日周一拉开帷幕,这是英 伟达时隔五年首次年度线下 GTC。当地时间周一下午,英伟达创始人 兼 CEO 黄仁勋在美国加州圣何塞 SAP 中心进行主题为"面向开发者 SOX -0.94% 收盘价($) 893.98 总市值($亿) 22,350 PE(TTM) 75.1 新的工业化将创造更广阔的市场: 指标 数据 道琼斯指数 +0.83% 标普 500 指数 +0.56% 纳斯达克指数 +0.39% 的 1#AI 峰会"演讲,黄仁勋发布了运行 AI 模型的新一代芯片和软件, 并正式推出 Blackwell 新一代 AI 图形处理器(GPU),算力更强、耗 能更低,预计将在今年晚些时候发货。 PE(2025E) 39.3 换手(%) 2.69 黄仁勋表示我们正在经历一次新的工业化,所有的数据中心都要进行 数据来源:Wind、国元证券经纪(香港)整理 更新,在未来几年能创造 1 万亿美元的市场规模。所有的人工智能市 场的 ...
下游需求尚存分歧–英伟达报告客户反馈
交银国际证券· 2024-03-20 16:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting total returns over the next 12 months to exceed the relevant industry [4]. Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the positive sentiment towards artificial intelligence (AI) is likely to continue, with the company's valuation still at historical lows. It predicts strong growth in the data center business for 2024, with quarter-on-quarter increases expected [1]. - There are mixed opinions among clients regarding the demand for AI acceleration chips in 2024, with some expressing skepticism about sustainability, while others agree on strong demand but lack visibility for 2025. Optimistic forecasts suggest a potential 20% upside in Non-GAAP EPS for the year [2]. - The report anticipates that the data center business will continue to grow by over 20% year-on-year, driven by a recovery in chip demand in mainland China and advancements in product technology [8]. Summary by Sections Market Sentiment and Demand - The report highlights that the market's enthusiasm for AI will not diminish, with a focus on the entire hardware supply chain, not just the company itself. Recent market reactions indicate that the demand for AI-related hardware may be underestimated [9]. Product Development and Future Outlook - The company is expected to launch new products, such as H200 and B200, in the second and fourth quarters of this year, which may further enhance demand for computing power. The report notes that the demand for AI capabilities is becoming increasingly diverse and persistent [8]. Client Feedback and Perspectives - Client feedback is categorized into three main views regarding 2024 and 2025 chip demand, ranging from skepticism to strong agreement on growth, with a notable focus on the supply chain's readiness for new products [2].
GTC大会发布最新计算平台Blackwell,持续引领AI行业变革
Great Wall Securities· 2024-03-20 16:00
证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2024 年 03 月 19 日 英伟达(NASDAQ:NVDA) GTC 大会发布最新计算平台 Blackwell,持续引领 AI 行业变革 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |------------------------|-----------|-----------|------------|------------|------------|----------------------|--------------| | | | | | | | | | | 财务指标 | FY2023A | FY2024A | FY2025E | FY2026E | FY2027E | 买入(维持评级) | | | 营业收入(百万美元) | 26,974.00 | 60,922.00 | 122,952.78 | 167,191.19 | 215,241.94 | | | | 增长率 yoy ( % ) | 0.22 | 125.85 | 101.82 | 35.98 | 28.74 | 股票信息 | | | 归母净利 ...
FY2024Q4点评:Q4及全年业绩超预期,数据中心和游戏业务强劲增长,净利润大幅提升
Tianfeng Securities· 2024-03-12 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for NVIDIA with an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [15][17]. Core Insights - NVIDIA's FY24Q4 revenue reached $22.1 billion, a year-over-year increase of 265% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 22%, exceeding the previous guidance of $20 billion [1]. - The company's GAAP net profit for FY24 was $29.76 billion, with a non-GAAP net profit of $12.839 billion [1]. - The data center business saw significant growth, with FY24Q4 revenue of $18.4 billion, a year-over-year increase of 409% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 27% [12]. - The gaming segment generated $2.9 billion in FY24Q4 revenue, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 56% [3]. - The professional visualization business achieved FY24Q4 revenue of $463 million, a year-over-year increase of 105% [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY24 revenue totaled $60.9 billion, a year-over-year increase of 126% [1]. - The next quarter's revenue guidance is set at $24 billion, with GAAP and non-GAAP gross margin guidance of 76.3% and 77%, respectively [4]. Business Segments - **Data Center**: Revenue for FY24Q4 reached $18.4 billion, driven by generative AI and large language models [12]. - **Gaming**: FY24Q4 revenue was $2.9 billion, supported by the new GeForce RTX™ 40 SUPER series GPUs [3]. - **Professional Visualization**: FY24Q4 revenue was $463 million, benefiting from the RTX Ada architecture [2]. - **Automotive**: FY24Q4 revenue was $281 million, with a year-over-year decrease of 4% but an annual increase of 21% [13]. Market Trends - Strong demand for AI is noted, with over 40% of data center revenue coming from AI inference [2]. - The transition from CPU to GPU dominance in recommendation systems is highlighted [2]. - Anticipation for the GTC conference and the B100 product launch, which is expected to significantly enhance AI computing performance [2]. Future Projections - The report forecasts NVIDIA's revenue for CY2023-2025 to be $59.3 billion, $117 billion, and $138.7 billion, respectively, with non-GAAP net profits of $27.8 billion, $52.6 billion, and $82.3 billion [14].