当前时点为何看好生猪板块？20250612 摘要 2025 年生猪存栏量与 2023 年相近或更少，预计全年行业均价有望达 到 15 元/公斤，头部企业将受益于此轮猪价上涨，盈利空间巨大。 当前生猪产能调控政策趋严，针对头部企业减母猪、调控育肥猪和降体 重，旨在稳定猪价至 15-16 元/公斤以上，并最终促进 CPI 平稳回升， 同时，养殖成本同比下降，政策调控有助于提升上市公司养殖利润。 2025 年猪价周期与 2023 年高度相似，饲料和兽药疫苗数据波动趋势 也与 2023 年相似，预计全年均价可达 15 元/公斤左右，当前 14 元/公 斤的价格接近底部，未来几个月整体趋势预计上涨。 头部企业养殖成本已降至 12 元/公斤左右，若未来几个月平均价格达到 15-16 元/公斤，将获得丰厚利润，当前政策环境和成本下降对上市公司 提升盈利能力构成利好。 预计 2025 年 7 月猪价开始上涨，6 月处于摸底震荡阶段，因降体重出 栏导致供给下降，需求较差。下半年均价乐观，未来一两个月内猪价可 能趋势性上涨，8-9 月份达到 15.5 元/公斤以上，甚至接近 16 元/公斤。 2025 年养殖企业生产效率和经营管 ...

巨星农牧在2024年年度报告中表示，公司将持续聚焦生猪养殖主航道，2025年公司规划商品猪出栏量目 标设定在400万头以上，同时将商品猪完全成本控制在6.5元/斤以内。凭借不断创新升级的养殖技术优 势和智能化管理水平，公司养殖效率将稳步提升，养殖成本有望持续优化。未来，巨星农牧有望以管理 迭代和技术创新实现高质量发展和可持续成长，坚持紧密型"公司+农户"模式联农带农促进农民就业增 收，通过提效节粮助力实现国家粮食安全战略，力争为推进乡村全面振兴创造更多价值。 2024年，巨星农牧实现营业收入60.78亿元，同比增长50.43%；实现归母净利润5.19亿元，盈利能力显 著改善。在行业向标准化、规模化、智能化发展的大趋势中，公司多措并举提升经营管理质量和技术研 发水平，科学规划养殖产能布局，创新提质促进增效降本，强化动物疫病防治工作，联农带农深入推进 乡村全面振兴。巨星农牧积极响应设施农业现代化提升行动，以生猪养殖产能新建项目、养殖技术研究 基地建设项目等项目推动建设标准规范、装备先进、产出高效的现代化养殖设施。同时，公司积极探索 实施智慧农业建设工程，以数字智能化建设项目加速赋能生猪养殖设施向数字化、智能化转型 ...

| | | 乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司 2025 年 5 月份担保情况的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者 重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 被担保人名称及是否为上市公司关联人：被担保人包括乐山巨星农牧 股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"或"上市公司"）合并报表范围内的子公 司（20 家）、部分优质养殖户、客户、合作伙伴（381 户），不存在关联担保。 本次担保金额及已实际为其提供的担保余额：公司 2025 年 5 月（以 下简称"本期间"）新增担保金额合计 26,985.40 万元，其中，对子公司新 增的担保金额为 26,485.40 万元，对优质养殖户、客户、合作伙伴等新增的 担保金额为 500.00 万元。截至 2025 年 5 月 31 日，公司及控股子公司对外 担保余额为 205,841.10 万元，其中，对子公司的担保余额为 199,243.28 万 元，对优质养殖户、客户、合作伙伴等的担保余额为 6,597.82 万元。 | 外 担 | 保 | 授 | 权 | | 户、客户、合作 | 养猪场等 | 元 | | 对 | ...

股票简称：巨星农牧 股票代码：603477 转债简称：巨星转债 转债代码：113648 华西证券股份有限公司 关于乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司 2024 年度权益分派实施暨"巨星转债" 转股价格调整的临时受托管理事务报告 债券受托管理人 二〇二五年六月 重要声明 本报告依据《公司债券发行与交易管理办法》《公司债券受托管理人执业行 为准则》《乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司与华西证券股份有限公司关于公开发行可 转换公司债券之受托管理协议》（以下简称"《受托管理协议》"）、《乐山巨 星农牧股份有限公司公开发行可转换公司债券募集说明书》（以下简称"《募集 说明书》"）等规定和约定，以及乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司（以下简称"巨星 农牧""公司"或"发行人"）公开信息披露文件与提供的相关资料等，由本次 向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券受托管理人华西证券股份有限公司（以下简称 "华西证券"）编制。 本报告不构成对投资者进行或不进行某项行为的推荐意见，投资者应对相关 事宜做出独立判断，而不应将本报告中的任何内容据以作为华西证券所作的承诺 或声明。在任何情况下，投资者依据本报告所进行的任何作为或不作为，华西证 券不承担任何责任。 1 一、本 ...

Market Overview - A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3402.66 points, up 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.11% to 10234.33 points, and the ChiNext Index rose 0.26% to 2067.15 points [1][2]. Sector Performance - The computing power industry chain strengthened, with CPO direction leading the gains. The gold and jewelry, innovative pharmaceuticals, rare earth permanent magnets, quantum technology, and IP economy concept stocks were active, while sectors like outbound tax refunds, anti-tariff, semiconductors, liquor, and consumer electronics weakened [5]. - The film and television sector saw significant gains, with Happiness Blue Ocean rising over 13%, and Light Media up over 5% [6]. - The breeding industry faced declines, with Xianfeng Holdings down over 4% and Juxing Agriculture down over 3% [7]. Capital Flow - Main funds saw net inflows into sectors such as telecommunications, computers, and media, while there were net outflows from food and beverage, public utilities, and transportation sectors [8]. - Specific stocks with net inflows included Rongfa Nuclear Power, Zijin Mining, and Dongfang Fortune, attracting 0.881 billion, 0.786 billion, and 0.607 billion respectively [9]. - Stocks experiencing net outflows included BYD, Kweichow Moutai, and Yaoji Technology, with sell-offs of 0.665 billion, 0.494 billion, and 0.471 billion respectively [10]. Institutional Insights - Guojin Securities noted that new consumption faces valuation pressure, recommending low absorption rather than chasing high prices [11]. - China Galaxy Securities highlighted the positive impact of the "H+A" stocks on the brokerage sector. Guodu Securities mentioned that the Shanghai Index recently crossed the 3400-point mark, but new capital signs remain unclear, with trading volume around 1.3 trillion, making it difficult to stabilize this level. They suggested focusing on safety margins and selecting growth stocks with upward beta in the short term [12].

Market Overview - The computing power industry chain is strengthening, with the CPO direction leading the gains [1][3] - The gold and jewelry, innovative pharmaceuticals, rare earth permanent magnets, quantum technology, and IP economy concept stocks are active [1][3] - The sectors of departure tax refund, anti-tariff, semiconductors, liquor, and consumer electronics are weakening [1][3] Index Performance - On June 12, the three major stock indices closed mixed: the Shanghai Composite Index at 3402.66 points, up 0.01%; the Shenzhen Component Index at 10234.33 points, down 0.11%; and the ChiNext Index at 2067.15 points, up 0.26% [1] Sector Performance - Precious metals sector rose by 3.26% with significant inflows [4] - The beauty care sector increased by 2.39% with a net inflow of 6.18 million [4] - The film and television sector saw a rise of 2.32%, with Happiness Blue Ocean up over 13% [5] - The breeding industry declined, with Xianfeng Holdings down over 4% [5] Fund Flow - Main funds saw a net inflow into communication, computer, and media sectors [7] - Notable net inflows included Rongfa Nuclear Power at 8.81 billion, Zijin Mining at 7.86 billion, and Dongfang Caifu at 6.07 billion [8] - Major net outflows were observed in BYD at 6.65 billion, Kweichow Moutai at 4.94 billion, and Yaoji Technology at 4.71 billion [9] Institutional Insights - Guojin Securities suggests that new consumption faces valuation pressure, recommending low absorption rather than chasing highs [10] - China Galaxy Securities notes the positive impact of "H+A" stocks on the brokerage sector [11] - Guodu Securities highlights that the market's recent stabilization above 3400 points lacks clear signs of new capital influx, with trading volume around 1.3 trillion, indicating a need for caution [11]

2025.6.11市场逻辑精选 市场热点 l . 汽车零部件:供应商账期缩短,行业生态改善 驱动：2025年6月10日盘后消息，东风、长城、比亚迪等超10家汽车企业接连宣布，将供应商支付账- 期统一至60天内，以行动加速产业链资金周转，推动汽车产业健康可持续发展。 执行措施："60天付款"含完善机制、强制执行等，明确付款期限与方式，监控合同执行、发票匹配- 、付款申请等全流程节点，保障款项按期支付。 环境改善：缩短供应商账期，利于改善供应链流动性与财务压力。据网络调研，账期缩60天，汽车零- 部件行业整体现金流可增1000亿。 天际股份（与宁德时代合作固态电池材料，供比亚迪六氟磷酸锂 ）、迪生力（汽车铝合金轮毂及轮胎- ）、通达电气（合作开发无人物流车，为比亚迪供车载软硬件 ）、合力科技（汽车模具及制动系统，- 应收账款周转天数235天 ）、泉峰汽车（为比亚迪子公司供变速箱阀板 ）、顺博合金（供比亚迪铸造- 铝合金、电池外壳材料 ）、金麒麟（汽车刹车片龙头，2025年Q1外销占比83.88%）、天安新材（- 汽车内饰）、鸿铭股份（新能源电池箱体）。 猪肉：对欧盟进口猪肉反倾销立案调查期限延长 驱动： 短期价格 ...

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices opened lower on June 12 but turned positive during the morning session, with a narrow range of fluctuations in the afternoon [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.01% to 3402.66 points, while the ChiNext Index increased by 0.26% to 2067.15 points [1] - Total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 12,717 billion, an increase of 162 billion from the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The computing power industry chain showed strength, with CPO direction leading the gains; gold jewelry, innovative pharmaceuticals, rare earth permanent magnets, quantum technology, and IP economy stocks were active [1] - Gold stocks continued to perform well, with several stocks like Ying Si Te and Da Di Xiong hitting the daily limit or rising over 10% [3] - The home appliance sector led the declines, with stocks like Dongfang Electric and He Sheng New Materials dropping over 2% [3][4] Stock Movement - A total of 2,325 stocks rose while 2,864 stocks fell, with 223 stocks remaining flat [1] - There were 94 stocks with gains exceeding 9%, while no stocks experienced declines of 9% or more [2] Market Sentiment and Outlook - Zhongyuan Securities anticipates a steady upward trend in the short term, supported by a loose monetary policy and fiscal measures [5] - Huashan Securities notes that small-cap stocks are performing significantly better than large-cap stocks, indicating strong investment opportunities in this segment [6] - Dongfang Securities emphasizes the importance of a rotation strategy in the current market environment, with a focus on low-position stocks [7] - Galaxy Securities highlights three main lines for investment: high safety margin assets, technology as a long-term focus, and consumer sectors boosted by policy support [8]

Core Viewpoint - The company is conducting a differentiated equity distribution and special ex-rights and ex-dividend treatment due to the repurchase of shares that do not participate in profit distribution [1][5][6] Group 1: Reasons for Differentiated Equity Distribution - The company plans to use its own funds to repurchase shares through centralized bidding for employee stock ownership plans or equity incentives, with a repurchase price not exceeding RMB 25.21 per share and a total repurchase amount between RMB 100 million and RMB 200 million [1][2] - As of June 9, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 17,548,400 shares, which will not participate in profit distribution [2][3] Group 2: Differentiated Distribution Plan - The company intends to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 1.73 per 10 shares (including tax), totaling RMB 85,553,197.82 (including tax) for the 2024 fiscal year [3][4] - After accounting for the repurchased shares, the adjusted cash dividend per share will be RMB 0.1737 (including tax), resulting in a total profit distribution of RMB 85,551,059.76 (including tax) [3][4] Group 3: Specific Ex-Dividend and Ex-Rights Calculation - The total share capital as of June 9, 2025, is 510,070,333 shares, with 492,521,933 shares participating in the distribution after deducting repurchased shares [4][5] - The reference price for ex-rights and ex-dividend is calculated based on the closing price of RMB 22.81 per share, resulting in an actual ex-rights reference price of RMB 22.6363 per share and a virtual ex-rights reference price of RMB 22.6423 per share [5][6] Group 4: Compliance with Regulations - The differentiated equity distribution complies with relevant laws and regulations, and the necessary approval procedures have been followed, ensuring no harm to the company or investors [6]

世纪证券有限责任公司 关于乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司 差异化权益分派特殊除权除息事项的核查意见 世纪证券有限责任公司（以下简称"世纪证券"、"保荐人"）作为乐山巨 星农牧股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"、"上市公司"、"巨星农牧"）的保 荐机构，根据《证券发行上市保荐业务管理办法》《上海证券交易所上公公司自 律监管指引第 11 号—持续督导》《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 7 号—回购股份》等有关法律、法规的规定，对巨星农牧差异化权益分派特殊除权 除息事项进行了审慎核查，具体情况如下： 一、本次差异化权益分派的原因 2024 年 8 月 19 日，公司召开第四届董事会第十九次会议，审议通过了《关 于以集中竞价交易方式回购股份方案的议案》，同意公司本次拟使用自有资金以 集中竞价交易方式回购公司股份，用于员工持股计划或股权激励。公司本次回购 价格不超过人民币 25.21 元/股（含），回购资金总额不低于人民币 10,000 万元 （含），不超过人民币 20,000 万元（含），自公司董事会审议通过本次回购股 份方案之日起 6 个月内。 调整后每股派发现金红利=原定利润分配总额÷最终参与分配的公司股份总 数=8 ...