MetaVia (NasdaqCM:MTVA) Conference February 25, 2026 10:15 AM ET Company ParticipantsHyung Heon Kim - President and CEOModeratorWelcome back, everyone. We have MetaVia Inc., trades on the Nasdaq under the symbol MTVA. It's a clinical stage biotech company focused on transforming cardiometabolic diseases. It's developing the treatment for obesity and vanogliprl for the treatment of MASH. Happy to welcome the president, H.H. Kim. Welcome back to the conference today. We're very much looking forward to hearing ...

Core Viewpoint - Ascentage Pharma Group International is actively participating in the Guggenheim Emerging Outlook: Biotech Summit 2026, highlighting its commitment to addressing unmet medical needs in cancer through innovative therapies [1][2]. Company Overview - Ascentage Pharma is a global, commercial stage, integrated biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapies for cancer [3]. - The company has developed a rich pipeline of innovative drug products, including inhibitors targeting key proteins in the apoptotic pathway and next-generation kinase inhibitors [3]. Key Products - The lead asset, Olverembatinib, is the first third-generation BCR-ABL1 inhibitor approved in China for treating chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) with T315I mutations and is included in the China National Reimbursement Drug List [4]. - Olverembatinib is currently undergoing a global registrational Phase III trial (POLARIS-2) for CML and additional trials for newly diagnosed Ph+ acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) and SDH-deficient gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST) [4]. - The second approved product, Lisaftoclax, is a novel Bcl-2 inhibitor for hematologic malignancies, currently being commercialized in China for chronic lymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic lymphoma (CLL/SLL) [5]. - Lisaftoclax is involved in four global registrational Phase III trials, including studies in combination with BTK inhibitors and in newly diagnosed patients with various hematologic conditions [5]. Research and Development - Ascentage Pharma has established a robust R&D capability and holds a portfolio of global intellectual property rights [6]. - The company has formed partnerships with leading biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies, including Takeda, AstraZeneca, Merck, and Pfizer, as well as collaborations with prominent research institutions [6].

Eli Lilly is paying $350 million upfront to collaborate with Chinese biotech Innovent in developing new treatments for cancer and immune disorders, a further vote of confidence for the innovation capabilities of the country’s drugmakers https://t.co/SViSaZ5qnn ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The focus has shifted back to company fundamentals in the China Pharma and Biotech sector, moving away from last year's emphasis on sector beta. [1] - Key companies discussed include BeOne, Kelun-Biotech, and Innovent, which have garnered significant investor attention. [1] BeOne - **Market Cap and Sales Potential**: BeOne's current market cap is $41 billion, with investors optimistic about Brukinsa's potential, expecting peak sales of $5 billion, which some consider conservative. [2] - **IRA Price Cut Exemption**: Brukinsa was not included in the recent IRA price cut announcement, leading to an expected sales upside of 10%-20%, potentially increasing peak sales to $6 billion by 2033. [2][6] - **Sonro Concerns**: Investors are worried about the lack of detailed data on Sonro's efficacy. However, the company believes these concerns are minor, as Sonro's trial results are comparable to venetoclax, which has a significant market presence. [2][9] Kelun Biotech - **Sales Expectations for sac-TMT**: Expectations for sac-TMT's sales range from $4-5 billion to over $10 billion, with Bernstein estimating $8 billion. [3] - **Phase 3 Data Catalyst**: The first global Phase 3 data release in 2026 is anticipated to be a major catalyst for stock performance. [3] - **Market Positioning**: Kelun's strategy focuses on squamous and PD-L1 high patients, avoiding direct competition with Dato-DXd, which targets non-squamous patients. [3][23] - **Market Size for 2L+ EGFRm**: The market for 2L+ EGFRm NSCLC is expected to be smaller than 1L TKIs, but projections indicate reasonable sales of CNY 4 billion. [3][25] Innovent - **Sales Focus**: Investors are primarily interested in mazdutide and IBI363, with concerns about pricing pressures due to competition from GLP-1 drugs. Sales estimates for mazdutide are expected to drop from CNY 3 billion to 2 billion in 2026. [4] - **Long-term Sales Estimates**: Despite short-term pressures, long-term estimates for mazdutide remain at CNY 5.4 billion and 10 billion at peak. [4] - **New Trials and Data**: Innovent is initiating six non-China Phase 1 trials in 2025, with expected readouts for new drugs, including IBI3003, which has received Fast Track designation from the FDA. [4] Financial Metrics - **Valuation and Performance**: The conference included a detailed ticker table with performance metrics for various companies, indicating significant upside potential for stocks like Kelun-Biotech and Innovent. [5] Additional Insights - **Regulatory and Competitive Landscape**: The discussions highlighted the importance of regulatory developments, such as the IRA price cuts, and competitive dynamics in the oncology market, particularly concerning CLL and AML treatments. [2][12][19] - **Clinical Trial Data**: The efficacy of treatments like Sonro and sac-TMT was compared against existing therapies, emphasizing the need for robust clinical data to support market positioning. [9][25] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, focusing on the companies and industry dynamics discussed.

Company Overview - Nuvation Bio is a commercial stage biotechnology company with several products in late-stage development [2] - The company’s lead commercial asset, IBTROZI (taletrectinib), is a next-generation ROS1 inhibitor approved for treating ROS1-positive non-small cell lung cancer [2] Product Pipeline - Safusidenib is a potentially best-in-class mutant IDH1 inhibitor currently in a pivotal study for treating both high-grade and low-grade gliomas [3] - NUV-868 is a BD2-selective BET inhibitor that has completed Phase I studies [3] - The company is also developing a novel drug-drug conjugate preclinical program aimed at providing targeted therapy to cancers [3] Financial Position - Nuvation Bio has a cash balance of approximately $589 million following a recent deal with Eisai [4] - The company anticipates a path to profitability without the need for further funding [4] - IBTROZI is being commercialized in partnership with Eisai, Innovent, and Nippon Kayaku [4]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Healthcare in China - **Focus**: Innovative drug industry and its global ambitions amid domestic challenges [1][11] Core Insights and Arguments - **Globalization Impact**: China's innovative drug industry is gaining global attention, driven by numerous license-out deals and strong clinical data. The industry is expected to leverage cost efficiency, a comprehensive supply chain, and favorable policies to continue its growth [1][11] - **Domestic Market Pressure**: The Basic Medical Insurance (BMI) system is under financial strain, with a 2.0% income growth in the first 10 months of 2025 and a significant surplus decline from RMB52.0 billion in 2024 to RMB27.3 billion in 2025. This indicates a challenging environment for domestic pharmaceutical sales [2] - **Regulatory Changes**: Chinese regulators have implemented transformative policies to control healthcare costs while promoting innovation. These include measures that compress margins for generic drugs but support R&D for innovative drugs [1][30] Investment Opportunities - **Favorable Segments**: The report favors biotech, pharmaceuticals, and Contract Research and Development Manufacturing Organizations (CRDMO) for investment, anticipating positive catalysts such as more out-licensing deals and accelerated progress of licensed assets [3] - **Company Recommendations**: - **Innovent**: Preferred for its co-development model with Takeda - **BeOne**: Noted for its leadership in BTK with Brukinsa - **Hansoh**: Expected solid growth from innovative drugs like almonertinib - **Huadong**: Defensive play with potential from GLP-1 franchise - **SNIBE**: Upgraded to Buy with a price objective of RMB74.0, reflecting strong growth potential [3][6] Clinical Trials and Cost Advantages - **Cost Efficiency**: Clinical trials in China are significantly cheaper than in developed markets, with over 40,000 clinical sites available, which enhances recruitment speed and reduces costs [14][16] - **Regulatory Framework**: Improvements in regulatory processes and a growing number of new drug IND applications (1,263 in 2024) indicate a robust environment for drug development [16][17] Supply Chain and Talent Pool - **Integrated Supply Chain**: China has established a comprehensive supply chain for drug R&D, ranking highly in various stages of drug development, including API manufacturing and clinical trials [21][24] - **Talent Availability**: The country produces over 5 million STEM graduates annually, providing a vast talent pool for the pharmaceutical industry [26] Policy Environment - **Transformative Policies**: Key policies include joining the International Council for Harmonisation (ICH), implementing Value-Based Procurement (VBP) for generics, and introducing measures to support innovative drug development [30][31] Patent Cliff Risks for MNCs - **Patent Expirations**: Major multinational corporations face significant patent expirations over the next few years, with key drugs contributing over 25% of their revenue at risk [32][35] Additional Insights - **Market Dynamics**: The shift towards innovative drugs is reshaping the competitive landscape, with companies needing to adapt to cost-containment measures affecting generic drug margins [30] - **Investment Risks**: The domestic market's pressure and the sustainability of the BMI system pose risks to pharmaceutical companies operating primarily in China [2][3]

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Takeda Pharmaceutical Company (NYSE: TAK) - **Revenue**: $30 billion, with over 50% from the U.S. market, up from less than 20% a decade ago [2][3] - **R&D Investment**: Approximately $5 billion annually [3] - **Global Presence**: Operations in 80 countries, with headquarters in Tokyo and a significant hub in Boston [2][3] Core Focus Areas - **Innovation and Digital Transformation**: Takeda has shifted focus towards innovation and digital technology since 2014, moving all data to the cloud in 2018 [1][2] - **Therapy Areas**: Focus on gastroenterology, neuroscience, and oncology [3] Financial Performance and Strategy - **Generic Exposure**: Experienced a 20% revenue loss from 2021 over the past five years due to generic competition, but expects lower exposure moving forward [3] - **Product Portfolio**: Transitioned away from branded generics and OTC businesses to concentrate on innovative medicines [2][3] Upcoming Product Launches - **Pipeline**: Eight late-stage assets expected to launch before the end of the decade, with significant potential for revenue generation [5][19] - **Key Products**: - **Oveporexton**: First orexin agonist, expected launch in H2 2026, with peak revenue potential of $2-$3 billion [12][19] - **Rusfertide**: For polycythemia vera, also launching in H2 2026, with potential to transform standard care [13][19] - **Zasocitinib**: TYK2 inhibitor for psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis, with peak revenue potential of $3-$6 billion [18][19] Market Dynamics - **Oveporexton**: Addresses unmet needs in narcolepsy type 1, with a patient population of approximately 100,000 in the U.S. [11][12] - **Rusfertide**: Aims to replace phlebotomy in treatment, with 78% of patients currently uncontrolled [14][19] - **Zasocitinib**: Competes in a mature market, with a focus on creating a new oral treatment option [17][28] Oncology Pipeline - **TAC-928 and TAC-921**: New immuno-oncology assets with promising data, focusing on non-small cell lung cancer and gastric cancer respectively [6][7] - **Market Positioning**: Takeda aims to differentiate its oncology products through unique mechanisms and partnerships, particularly with Innovent in China [44] Leadership Transition - **CEO Transition**: Christophe will retire in June 2026, with Julie Kim set to succeed him, marking a significant leadership change [4][21] Challenges and Future Outlook - **Patent Cliffs**: Anticipated decline in revenue from Entyvio starting in 2030, necessitating successful launches of new products to offset losses [19][20] - **Investment Strategy**: Balancing investment in new product launches with margin commitments, while managing the transition from recent losses [45][46] Conclusion - Takeda is positioned for significant growth through its innovative pipeline and strategic focus on high-potential therapy areas, while navigating challenges related to market competition and patent expirations. The upcoming product launches are critical for sustaining revenue growth and maintaining market leadership.

Summary of China Pharma and Biotech Conference Call Industry Overview - **Sector Outlook**: The China Pharma and Biotech sector is experiencing a positive outlook with valuations returning to a more rational range compared to mid-2025. Most stocks have seen a decline of 20-30%, and major healthcare indices are below 2023 post-COVID reopening levels, providing a solid base for growth in 2026 [1][10][11]. - **Growth Drivers**: Accelerated growth and quality improvement in the sector are anticipated, driven by the unique advantages of Chinese drugmakers that support globalization and sector re-rating trends [1][10]. Key Insights on China Biopharma - **R&D Efficiency**: China's early R&D model has matured, with clinical trials costing 60-70% less than in the U.S. Preclinical research averages 1.5 years, and Phase 1 trials take less than 2 years, significantly faster than global standards [2]. - **Global Pipeline Contribution**: China's share of the global biopharma pipeline has increased to 43% in 2025, up from 38% in 2024. However, the percentage of First-in-Class (FIC) drugs remains lower than in developed markets (17% vs. 37%) [2]. - **Out-licensing Trends**: The trend of outbound deals is expected to continue, with innovative models like platform deals and co-development agreements emerging. These deals are seen as avenues for revenue maximization, although they may not impact stock prices as significantly as in 2025 [2][13]. Stock-Specific Catalysts for 2026 - **Oncology Developments**: A significant number of trials (20+) in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) are expected to report data, with key players including Kelun, Innovent, and Akeso. New modalities such as multispecific antibodies and ADCs are also anticipated to provide proof of concept data [3]. - **GLP-1 Drugs**: HRS-9531 (Hengrui) and TG103 (CSPC) have submitted New Drug Applications (NDA) in the second half of 2025, with expected approvals in late 2026 or 2027 [3]. Top Stock Picks - **Innovent**: Anticipated strong sales growth for mazdutide and updates on IBI363 trials across various indications [4]. - **Kelun**: Expected to report results from its first global Phase 3 trial and domestic sales growth of approximately 40% [4]. - **Hansoh & Hengrui**: Projected recurring license income to contribute 10-15% of revenue, with net income growth of 20-30% CAGR from 2024 to 2027 [4]. Investment Ratings - **Outperform Ratings**: Hansoh, Kelun-Biotech, Innovent, and Jiangsu Hengrui are rated as outperform [6]. - **Market-Perform Ratings**: Akeso, BeOne Medicines (BeiGene), Sino Biopharm, Zai Lab, and CSPC are rated as market-perform [6]. Financial Projections - **Stock Performance**: The report includes a detailed table of stock ratings, target prices, and financial projections for various companies, indicating significant upside potential for selected stocks [5][9]. Additional Insights - **Market Dynamics**: The sector has transitioned from exuberance to equilibrium, with a notable correction in stock prices since October 2025, following a period of rapid growth [10][11]. - **Approval Trends**: The number of innovative drug approvals by the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) has accelerated, with 69 approvals in 2025, while the FDA remains receptive to Chinese drug candidates [33]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the positive outlook for the China Pharma and Biotech sector, the efficiency of R&D processes, stock-specific catalysts, and investment recommendations.

Summary of Expert Call on GLP-1 Drugs in China Industry Overview - The discussion focused on the GLP-1 drug market in China, highlighting recent clinical developments and commercial updates [1] Key Updates on GLP-1 Drugs 1. **siRNA Therapy**: - The INLIGHT study by Wave Life Science (WVE US) reported a promising 9.4% reduction in visceral fat and a 3.2% gain in lean mass, addressing a common issue with GLP-1 drugs that typically result in muscle loss [2] - Potential for siRNA therapies to be combined with other drugs for better weight management, pending further clinical trials [2] 2. **Small-Molecule Oral GLP-1 Drugs**: - Orforglipron from Eli Lilly and aleniglipron from Structure Therapeutics were discussed, with orforglipron noted for its efficacy [3] - Aleniglipron may have higher manufacturing costs due to its dosing requirements (120mg) [3] - The expert indicated a decline in potential buyers for small molecules in China as several multinational corporations have already acquired such drugs [3] 3. **Eli Lilly's Retatrutide**: - This triple-agonist drug demonstrated a 28.7% change in body weight in the TRIUMPH-4 clinical trial [4] - Investors are advised to monitor long-term side effects, particularly dysesthesia, which affected 20.9% of the 12mg group [4] - Upcoming data from TRIUMPH-1, TRIUMPH-2, and TRIUMPH-3 trials in 2026 will be crucial for assessing long-term effects [4] Market Dynamics in China - Anticipated significant price cuts for GLP-1 drugs like tirzepatide may be offset by increased market penetration, making these drugs more affordable for patients [5] - Competing domestic drugs, such as mazdutide from Innovent, are expected to follow tirzepatide's pricing strategy [5] Competitive Landscape - The China market is expected to become increasingly crowded with more GLP-1 molecules, leading to potential price reductions [6] - 2026 is projected to be a pivotal year for companies like Innovent, Eli Lilly, and Novo Nordisk, as well as potential generic makers of semaglutide [6] - Leading Chinese companies, including Innovent and Hengrui, are expected to pose strong competition to the global leaders Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk, while smaller players may seek collaborations [6]

Summary of China Healthcare Global Markets Research Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China healthcare and pharmaceuticals sector** and discusses the outlook for 2026, emphasizing the importance of innovation for Chinese firms aiming to expand overseas [1][2]. Key Insights - **Sector Performance**: The healthcare sector has underperformed compared to the broader market, with the CSI 300 Health Care index declining by **12%** while the CSI 300 rose by **3%** from early September to early December [1]. - **Profit-Taking and Fund Rotation**: The underperformance is attributed to profit-taking and fund rotation towards AI themes rather than deteriorating fundamentals. The MSCI China Health Care index still shows a **64% YTD rise**, outperforming the **33%** rise of MSCI China [2]. - **Valuation Metrics**: The P/E ratios for the CSI 300 Health Care and MSCI China Health Care indices are at **2.2x** and **1.6x** respectively, indicating a comfortable valuation level at a five-year low [2]. Business Development (BD) Trends - **Continued Growth in BD**: The report predicts sustained growth in business development, particularly in out-licensing of Chinese molecules to overseas buyers, driven by: 1. Increased R&D investment in the pharmaceutical sector, with a **CAGR of 10%** for China, surpassing the global average of **4%** [10]. 2. Cost and efficiency advantages of Chinese firms in drug discovery and patient enrollment, being **2-3x** and **2-5x** faster than their overseas counterparts [11]. 3. Stabilization of geopolitical tensions, particularly between China and the US, which is expected to remain favorable through 2026 [11]. Market Challenges - **Domestic Market Uncertainty**: The report expresses uncertainty regarding a rebound in the domestic market, particularly for medical devices, due to unresolved channel inventory issues and tightening medical insurance expenditures, which account for **30-40%** of hospital and pharmacy revenues [17]. - **Potential Risks**: Key risks include setbacks in business development, an oversupply of IPOs affecting market liquidity, continued tightening of medical insurance, and geopolitical uncertainties [27]. Investment Opportunities - **Promising Companies**: The report identifies several companies likely to excel in 1H26, including: - **Hengrui**: Strong R&D pipeline and business development track record [26]. - **Innovent** and **BeOne**: Expected to achieve positive earnings inflection points [26]. - **Wuxi XDC**: Strong position in the ADC CRO space [26]. - **Mindray**: Anticipated benefits from tender results translating into revenue [26]. Innovations and Future Trends - **Emerging Modalities**: The report highlights the potential of RNAi-related therapies to lead the next wave of out-licensing, alongside the ongoing interest in antibody-drug conjugates and GLP-1s [20]. - **AI in Healthcare**: The potential for generative AI to transform healthcare is acknowledged, particularly in drug R&D, telehealth, and medical imaging analysis [21]. - **Commercial Health Insurance**: The introduction of new commercial health insurance is expected to drive innovative drug growth, contingent on collaboration among stakeholders [22]. Financial Performance - **Healthcare Sector Performance**: In 2025, the healthcare sector outperformed the broader market, with MSCI China Healthcare reporting a **58%** YTD surge compared to **31%** for MSCI China [30]. - **Biotech and CRO Performance**: Biotech and CRO sectors reported stronger financial results, with A-share healthcare companies showing a **2%** decline in revenue but a **2%** increase in net profit in 1H25 [32]. Conclusion - The China healthcare sector is positioned for growth driven by innovation and business development, despite facing challenges in the domestic market and potential geopolitical risks. The focus on R&D and the advantages of Chinese firms in drug development present significant investment opportunities moving forward.