Management updated its full-year guidance by revising revenue expectations downward at constant exchange rates, citing stronger-than-anticipated Vyvanse generic erosion in the U.S. Furuta said Takeda is “revising only revenue guidance to low single-digit decline at CER,” while maintaining full-year guidance for core operating profit and core EPS due to ongoing operating expense discipline. Based on revised FX assumptions, Takeda forecast full-year revenue of JPY 4.53 trillion, core operating profit of JPY 1 ...

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company (NYSE:TAK) Q3 2026 Earnings call January 29, 2026 05:30 AM ET Company ParticipantsAndrew Plump - President of Research & DevelopmentChristophe Weber - CEOChristopher O'Reilly - Head of Investor RelationsJulie Kim - CEO-electMilano Furuta - CFOConference Call ParticipantsHidemaru Yamaguchi - AnalystHiroyuki Matsubara - AnalystMike Nedelcovych - AnalystSeiji Wakao - AnalystShinichiro Muraoka - AnalystSteve Barker - AnalystTony Ren - AnalystChristopher O'ReillyThank you for taking ...

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company (NYSE:TAK) Q3 2026 Earnings call January 29, 2026 05:30 AM ET Company ParticipantsAndrew Plump - President of Research & DevelopmentChristophe Weber - CEOChristopher O'Reilly - Head of Investor RelationsJulie Kim - CEO-electMilano Furuta - CFONone - Company RepresentativeConference Call ParticipantsHidemaru Yamaguchi - AnalystHiroyuki Matsubara - AnalystMike Nedelcovych - AnalystSeiji Wakao - AnalystShinichiro Muraoka - AnalystSteve Barker - AnalystTony Ren - AnalystChristopher ...

Group 1 - The vaccine ETF (159643) rose over 1.1%, indicating a strengthening of its technological attributes, which may become a new driving force in the pharmaceutical sector [1] - 2025 is projected to be a landmark year for Chinese innovative drugs going global, with total outbound licensing transaction amounts reaching $135.655 billion, including upfront payments of $7 billion and a record 157 transactions [1] - The innovative drug sector is expected to create a new valuation anchor, with an anticipated index increase of 35.31% in 2025 [1] Group 2 - Breakthroughs in small nucleic acid drugs have been achieved, with GSK's Bepirovirsen completing Phase III studies for chronic hepatitis B, potentially becoming the first functional cure [1] - Domestic companies such as Yuyuan Pharmaceutical and Reborn Biotech have made progress in liver-targeted and thrombosis treatment areas [1] - The development of oral immunomodulatory drugs is accelerating, with Takeda's TYK2 inhibitor zasocitinib showing superior results in Phase III studies for psoriasis compared to placebo [1] Group 3 - Brain-computer interface technology is entering the industrialization phase, with Neuralink's devices set for mass production and increased domestic policy support [1] - The ZAP-X radiation therapy device presents breakthroughs in brain tumor treatment, revealing a potential market worth billions in China [1] - The commercialization of AI in healthcare is advancing, with pathology fee reforms incorporating AI-assisted diagnostics into pricing structures [1]

Group 1 - The year 2025 is significant for China's innovative drug exports, with a total transaction amount reaching $135.655 billion, a down payment of $7 billion, and a record 157 transactions [1] - The innovative drug sector not only provides R&D funding for companies but also reshapes the industry's valuation system, with the innovative drug index increasing by 35.31%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 17.65% [1] - Breakthroughs in small nucleic acid drugs have been noted, with GSK's Bepirovirsen for chronic hepatitis B completing Phase III studies, and domestic companies like Yuyuan Pharmaceutical and Reborn Biotech making significant progress in liver-targeted drug development [1] Group 2 - In the oral autoimmune drug sector, Takeda's TYK2 inhibitor zasocitinib shows excellent performance in Phase III studies for psoriasis, with domestic companies such as Yifang Biotech and Nocare Biopharma also advancing related clinical trials [1] - Brain-computer interface technology is entering the industrialization phase, with Neuralink planning to mass-produce devices by 2026, supported by domestic policies accelerating medical application implementation [1] - The ZAP-X radiation therapy device brings new breakthroughs in brain tumor treatment, with domestic market demand potential reaching a scale of hundreds of billions [1] Group 3 - The commercialization path for AI in healthcare is becoming clearer, with pathology fee reforms establishing pricing mechanisms for AI-assisted diagnosis, leading to accelerated development in consumer applications [1]

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Takeda Pharmaceutical Company (NYSE: TAK) - **Revenue**: $30 billion, with over 50% from the U.S. market, up from less than 20% a decade ago [2][3] - **R&D Investment**: Approximately $5 billion annually [3] - **Global Presence**: Operations in 80 countries, with headquarters in Tokyo and a significant hub in Boston [2][3] Core Focus Areas - **Innovation and Digital Transformation**: Takeda has shifted focus towards innovation and digital technology since 2014, moving all data to the cloud in 2018 [1][2] - **Therapy Areas**: Focus on gastroenterology, neuroscience, and oncology [3] Financial Performance and Strategy - **Generic Exposure**: Experienced a 20% revenue loss from 2021 over the past five years due to generic competition, but expects lower exposure moving forward [3] - **Product Portfolio**: Transitioned away from branded generics and OTC businesses to concentrate on innovative medicines [2][3] Upcoming Product Launches - **Pipeline**: Eight late-stage assets expected to launch before the end of the decade, with significant potential for revenue generation [5][19] - **Key Products**: - **Oveporexton**: First orexin agonist, expected launch in H2 2026, with peak revenue potential of $2-$3 billion [12][19] - **Rusfertide**: For polycythemia vera, also launching in H2 2026, with potential to transform standard care [13][19] - **Zasocitinib**: TYK2 inhibitor for psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis, with peak revenue potential of $3-$6 billion [18][19] Market Dynamics - **Oveporexton**: Addresses unmet needs in narcolepsy type 1, with a patient population of approximately 100,000 in the U.S. [11][12] - **Rusfertide**: Aims to replace phlebotomy in treatment, with 78% of patients currently uncontrolled [14][19] - **Zasocitinib**: Competes in a mature market, with a focus on creating a new oral treatment option [17][28] Oncology Pipeline - **TAC-928 and TAC-921**: New immuno-oncology assets with promising data, focusing on non-small cell lung cancer and gastric cancer respectively [6][7] - **Market Positioning**: Takeda aims to differentiate its oncology products through unique mechanisms and partnerships, particularly with Innovent in China [44] Leadership Transition - **CEO Transition**: Christophe will retire in June 2026, with Julie Kim set to succeed him, marking a significant leadership change [4][21] Challenges and Future Outlook - **Patent Cliffs**: Anticipated decline in revenue from Entyvio starting in 2030, necessitating successful launches of new products to offset losses [19][20] - **Investment Strategy**: Balancing investment in new product launches with margin commitments, while managing the transition from recent losses [45][46] Conclusion - Takeda is positioned for significant growth through its innovative pipeline and strategic focus on high-potential therapy areas, while navigating challenges related to market competition and patent expirations. The upcoming product launches are critical for sustaining revenue growth and maintaining market leadership.

Group 1: Drug Approvals and Clinical Trials - AstraZeneca and Daiichi Sankyo's drug combination Enhertu and Perjeta received FDA approval as a first-line treatment for HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer, marking the first new first-line therapy in over a decade, showing a 44% reduction in disease progression or death risk compared to traditional THP therapy [1] - Takeda's oral TYK2 inhibitor zasocitinib demonstrated strong performance in two Phase III trials for moderate to severe plaque psoriasis, with over 75% improvement in key metrics after 16 weeks, and plans to submit for FDA approval in 2026 [2] Group 2: Clinical Trial Setbacks - Daiichi Sankyo's ADC drug ifinatamab deruxtecan has paused patient recruitment in its global Phase III trial due to unexpected interstitial lung disease deaths, which affects its accelerated approval plans based on Phase II data [1] Group 3: Mergers and Acquisitions - Fosun Pharma plans to acquire a 53% stake in Green Valley Pharmaceutical for approximately $200 million to revive the controversial Alzheimer's drug GV-971, which did not receive regulatory renewal in China [4] - Harbour BioMed entered into a collaboration agreement with Bristol-Myers Squibb worth up to $1.1 billion, including an initial payment of $90 million, for a multispecific antibody [5] - Sanofi signed two biotechnology collaboration agreements, including a deal worth up to $1.04 billion for the Alzheimer's candidate ADEL-Y01, with an initial payment of $80 million [6] Group 4: Regulatory Changes - The U.S. Congress passed the revised Biosecure Act as part of the annual defense bill, which is expected to raise entry barriers for Chinese life sciences companies into the U.S. market [3]