Precious Metals - Silver surged through the $100-per-ounce threshold, trading around $101 per ounce, marking a 230% gain over the past year [1] - Gold approached the $5,000-per-ounce level, which is nearly 80 percentage points higher than a year earlier [1] - Palladium increased by 6%, surpassing $2,000 per ounce for the first time since November 2022, while platinum rose 5% to all-time highs above $2,700 per ounce [2] Energy Prices - Henry Hub natural gas rose by 2% to $5.15 per million British thermal units, with week-to-date gains exceeding 60%, marking the strongest weekly surge on record due to extreme cold weather in America [3] - Crude prices also advanced, with WTI rising more than 2% to near $61 a barrel [3] Stock Market Performance - The S&P 500 traded broadly flat, while the Nasdaq 100 rose by 0.5%, and small caps lagged with the Russell 2000 falling by 0.6% [4] - The energy sector led the market for a second consecutive session, reaching levels last seen in 2014, while financials underperformed [4] Earnings and Major Movers - Intel Corp. experienced a significant decline of over 17% after issuing weak first-quarter 2026 guidance, marking its worst session since August 2024 [5] - In the Russell 1000, top gainers included Corcept Therapeutics Inc. (+6.71%) and Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp. (+6.40%), while top losers included Intel Corp. (-16.91%) and First Citizens BancShares Inc. (-8.88%) [6][8]

Market Overview - U.S. stock futures declined slightly after major indices posted gains for two consecutive days [1] - The Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 showed minor declines in premarket trading [4] Economic Data - U.S. Final GDP for Q3 was reported at 4.4%, exceeding estimates of 4.3% [2] - The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index increased by 2.8% year-over-year, aligning with estimates [2] - The 10-year Treasury bond yield was at 4.23%, while the two-year bond yield was at 3.60% [3] Stocks in Focus - **Capital One Financial Corp.**: Shares fell by 3.31% in pre-market trading after Q4 results missed analyst expectations [6] - **Revelation Biosciences Inc.**: Shares surged by 38.11% after announcing an agreement with the FDA for its drug Gemini [6] - **Intel Corp.**: Shares dropped over 12% due to a weak Q1 outlook that fell short of analyst estimates [6] - **CSX Corp.**: Shares increased by 2.99% despite missing consensus estimates on both revenue and earnings [6] Sector Performance - Energy, materials, consumer discretionary, and healthcare sectors led gains in the S&P 500 on Thursday [7] Analyst Insights - Bank of America's fund manager survey indicated institutional investors are the most bullish since 2021, with 38% expecting stronger global growth [9] - The Bull & Bear Indicator rose to 9.4, indicating high optimism among investors [10] Commodities and Crypto - Crude oil futures rose by 1.03% to approximately $59.97 per barrel [11] - Gold Spot price increased by 0.19% to around $4,918.76 per ounce [11] - Bitcoin traded 0.40% lower at $89,258.41 per coin [11]

Market Reactions - U.S. stock futures rose after President Trump indicated a retreat from planned tariffs on the European Union, following a productive meeting with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, leading to a resurgence of the "TACO Trade" [1] - S&P 500 Futures increased by 0.30% to 6,931.00, Nasdaq Futures rose by 0.43% to 25,579.00, and Dow Futures gained 0.18% to 49,353.00 [1] International Market Impact - Asian markets surged, with Japan's Nikkei 225 up 1.20% to 53,409.16, driven by stocks with exposure to European markets [2] Economic Indicators - Japan's exports rose by 5.1% year over year in December, marking the fourth consecutive month of growth, although shipments to the U.S. fell by 11.1% [3] - The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remained flat at 98.787, down 0.01% for the day but up 0.86% over the past month [4] Upcoming Earnings and Reports - Investors are anticipating earnings releases from Procter & Gamble, General Electric, Intel, and Capital One Financial, along with GDP reports, Initial Jobless Claims, and Personal Consumption Expenditure reports [5]

Core Viewpoint - Intel Corp. shares experienced significant gains following President Trump's endorsement of the company's technological advancements and stock performance, particularly after a meeting with CEO Lip-Bu Tan [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Intel shares rose 11% to $45.55, marking the largest single-day increase since September 18, 2023, and the stock is up approximately 23% year-to-date [2]. - Since the announcement of the federal government's plan to acquire up to 10% of Intel, the stock has surged about 90%, with the US currently holding a roughly 5.5% stake [1]. Group 2: Company Developments - CEO Lip-Bu Tan has been proactive since taking over in March, focusing on stabilizing Intel's business and securing investments from Nvidia Corp. and SoftBank Group Corp. [3]. - Intel is set to begin shipping its first sub-2-nanometer 18A products by the end of 2025, although it still relies on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. for some chip fabrication [4]. Group 3: Government Investment - The US government's stake in Intel was valued at $5.7 billion when purchased in August, with potential future value contingent on developments, estimated at $27.7 billion if all shares were owned [6]. - Trump's claim of "Tens of Billions of Dollars for the American People" from the investment does not reflect the current actual gains, which are less than that [5].

Core Insights - Wall Street experienced a significant selloff, with over $500 billion in market value erased in one day, primarily driven by a decline in overbought tech stocks like Palantir Technologies Inc. [1][3] - Strong earnings reports are no longer sufficient to sustain high stock prices, especially for stocks that have already surged significantly, such as those that have increased by 170% in less than a year [2][3]. Market Performance - The Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF saw a 3.6% decline after reaching record highs, reflecting a broader pullback in the tech sector [3]. - Major tech companies faced substantial losses, including Nvidia Corp. down 3.7% ($180.3 billion lost), Alphabet Inc. down 2.3% ($76.9 billion lost), and Tesla Inc. down 4.5% ($67 billion lost) [8]. Valuation Concerns - Analysts suggest that the recent selloff was anticipated due to high market valuations, with the Shiller CAPE ratio reaching 40.95, the highest since August 2000, indicating potential risks for investors [4][5]. - Historical data indicates that when the CAPE exceeds 30, stock returns over the next decade tend to be negative or low single digits, prompting calls for caution and consideration of international equities as a more attractive investment option [5].

Vice President Pence, thank you so much for being here. Thank you both for having me on. I want to start with one of these top stories that we're following today, which has to do with the pressure campaign from the White House when it comes to the Federal Reserve.And now you told Bloomberg Television last month that the president ought to be able to express himself when it comes to the Fed. But I want to get your thoughts on these latest allegations against Fed Governor Lisa Cook. What's her level of concer ...

Summary of Intel Corp. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Intel Corporation - **Industry**: Semiconductors - **Market Cap**: $103 billion as of August 18, 2025 [5] Key Points and Arguments Recent Developments - The Trump Administration is considering converting approximately $8 billion in CHIPS Act funding into a 10% equity stake in Intel, which may lead to shareholder dilution [2][3] - Intel's foundry team has been facing challenges, but there is interest from external customers like AVGO and NVDA for Intel's foundry services, particularly the 14A process [3][4] Financial Performance and Projections - **Revenue Projections**: Expected revenues are projected to decline from $63.1 billion in 2022 to $51.8 billion in 2025, with a slight recovery to $59.2 billion by 2029 [21] - **Earnings**: Net earnings are expected to recover from a loss of $566 million in 2024 to $2.2 billion by 2029 [21] - **EPS Forecast**: EPS is projected to be $0.13 in 2025, with a gradual increase to $0.55 by 2028 [6][21] Valuation Insights - The price target remains unchanged at $25, based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) analysis of Intel's segments [9][25] - An upside case for the stock could reach approximately $40 per share if the market begins to value Intel's manufacturing assets more favorably [4][8] Segment Analysis - **Intel Products**: Valued at $27 per share based on revenue and EBIT margins [10][11] - **Intel Foundry**: Valued at $20 per share, with a focus on capacity and peer comparisons [10][11] - **Mobileye**: Valued at $2 per share, reflecting Intel's 82% ownership stake [10][18] Risks and Challenges - The potential dilution from government equity stakes could impact current shareholders negatively [2] - Competition from AMD and NVDA poses a significant threat to Intel's market position, particularly in data centers [25] Additional Insights - The company is focusing on cost-cutting measures to achieve cash flow breakeven, with tangible capital expenditures expected to decrease significantly [4][21] - The dividend yield is projected to drop to 0% by 2025, indicating a shift in capital allocation priorities [22] Conclusion Intel Corporation is navigating a challenging landscape with potential government involvement and competitive pressures. While there are opportunities for growth through foundry services and product innovations, the company must address financial performance and shareholder concerns to enhance its market position.

Summary of Key Points from Goldman Sachs US Weekly Kickstart Industry Overview - The report discusses the current state of the US capital markets, focusing on the S&P 500, M&A activity, and IPO trends amid economic uncertainty and market volatility [2][3][4]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **S&P 500 Performance**: The S&P 500 has entered a -10% correction territory, leading to a revision of year-end price target to 6200, reflecting a 10% upside from current levels [2][3]. 2. **Earnings Estimates**: Earnings estimates for the S&P 500 have been trimmed, with 2025 and 2026 earnings revised to $262 and $280 respectively, indicating a growth rate of 7% for both years [3][4]. 3. **M&A Activity**: - Completed M&A volume growth forecast for 2025 has been reduced to +7% from +25%, influenced by slower economic growth and lower CEO confidence [2][4]. - Announced M&A activity is up 15% year-over-year, with 152 transactions greater than $100 million YTD, aligning with the 15-year average [2][18]. 4. **IPO Environment**: The IPO barometer suggests a neutral environment for IPOs, with 12 IPOs raising over $25 million so far this year, consistent with last year's pace [2][21][25]. 5. **Market Sentiment**: Post-election optimism regarding capital markets activity has diminished, with stocks sensitive to capital markets activity declining by 23% since January [2][29][33]. 6. **Banking Sector Outlook**: The outlook for large-cap banks has softened due to reduced capital markets activity, although analysts remain optimistic about profitability boosts from deregulation [2][34][33]. Additional Important Insights 1. **Regulatory Environment**: The regulatory posture on M&A transactions is expected to remain stable, which may impact M&A growth, particularly for larger deals [13]. 2. **Tariff Risk Scenario**: In a scenario where economic growth slows to 1.5%, M&A volumes could contract by 3% in 2025, highlighting the sensitivity of M&A activity to economic conditions [14]. 3. **Market Volatility**: The VIX index has climbed to 28, indicating heightened market volatility, which is expected to weigh on capital markets activity [3]. 4. **Investor Positioning**: The Goldman Sachs US Equity Sentiment Indicator suggests light positioning among investors, which could signal potential near-term returns for the S&P 500 [46]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and data points from the Goldman Sachs report, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state of the US capital markets and the factors influencing M&A and IPO activities.

Core Viewpoint - Intel Corp. shares experienced a significant increase of 22% in February, driven by speculation regarding potential sales of its business segments [1] - The recent rise in Intel's stock is attributed to its actual business developments, particularly its 18A manufacturing technology being tested by Nvidia Corp. and Broadcom Inc. [1] Group 1 - Intel's stock surged 22% in February, partly due to hopes of a business sale [1] - Nvidia and Broadcom are currently testing Intel's 18A manufacturing technology [1]

Market Sentiment - Risk assets experienced significant declines due to bearish sentiment driven by escalating trade tensions, disappointing earnings, and signs of economic fragility [1] - The sweeping trade measures, including a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, and additional tariffs on European and Chinese goods, rattled markets and triggered broad-based sell-offs [1][2] Cryptocurrency Market - Cryptocurrencies faced severe risk aversion, with Bitcoin entering a bear market after dropping over 20% from its peak, despite a slight uptick after falling below $80,000 [2] - A massive security breach at Bybit resulted in the theft of $1.5 billion worth of Ethereum, further worsening sentiment in the digital asset space [2] Artificial Intelligence Sector - The artificial intelligence sector saw a decline as investors reassessed high valuations, with NVIDIA Corp. experiencing steep losses despite stronger-than-expected earnings [3] - The downturn in NVIDIA's stock negatively impacted peers such as Advanced Micro Devices Inc., Broadcom Inc., Qualcomm Inc., and Intel Corp., all of which reported declines [3] Economic Data - Economic data showed fresh cracks, with the fourth-quarter GDP remaining unchanged at an annualized growth rate of 2.3%, while inflation metrics were revised higher [4] - Personal spending contracted by 0.2% in January, marking the first negative reading since March 2023, and the Personal Consumption Expenditure price index remained above the Fed's 2% target at 2.5% [4] Housing Market - Housing data was disappointing, with pending home sales plunging 4.6% in January to the lowest level on record, attributed to elevated mortgage rates straining affordability [5] - The labor market showed signs of softening, as weekly jobless claims increased by 22,000 to 242,000, the highest level in over two months [5] General Motors - General Motors Co. announced a dividend hike, raising its quarterly dividend by three cents to 15 cents per share, effective in April [6] - The company also authorized a new $6 billion share repurchase program, which includes a $2 billion accelerated buyback initiative [6]