The sales of Chinese car company BYD jumped by 305pc in 2025 compared with 2024 - Damian Lemanski/Bloomberg Chinese car sales have almost doubled in Europe despite swingeing trade tariffs, delivering a blow to the region’s domestic manufacturers. The number of cars sold by Chinese companies increased to 509,700 in the first nine months of 2025 – up by 91pc compared with the 266,600 sold in 2024, according to Car Industry Analysis. This included big jumps in sales by companies such as BYD, Leapmotor, Don ...

Hesai (HSAI.O /2525.HK) Share price could still double into FY26 with 5 catalysts; Maintain Buy (Auto-Tech sector top pick) Vi e w p o i n t | 28 Nov 2025 11:15:53 ET │ 14 pages CITI'S TAKE After our mgmt. update meeting with Hesai on 28-Nov, we maintain our 2025-27E LiDAR volume forecasts at 1.68/3.68/5.79mn units, with 2026E LiDAR shipment expectedly contributed by Li Auto (450k), Xiaomi (700k), Leapmotor (400k), BYD (350k), Geely (500k), GWM (200k), Robotics (400- 500k) and others, while we cut ASP assum ...

Core Insights - Tesla's sales in China fell to a three-year low in October, raising concerns about a potential full-year sales decline in the country [1] - The company's market share in the Chinese EV sector decreased significantly from 8.7% in September to 3.2% in October [1] Competitive Landscape - Tesla faces intense competition from local rivals such as NIO and Li Auto, which are also reporting strong sales [1] - Xiaomi has emerged as a new competitor in the upper segment of the Chinese EV market, achieving record sales for its YU7 SUV and SU7 sedan despite safety concerns [2] - Leapmotor, a newer player founded in 2015, has begun to outperform local competitors in sales and stock price, with its C10 SUV priced significantly lower than Tesla's Model Y [4] - Geely's Geome Xingyuan leads EV sales in China this year, targeting budget-conscious consumers with a price tag under $10,000, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [5][6] Tesla's Position and Future Outlook - Despite the competition, Tesla's Model Y remains competitive, ranking 6th in the overall market [7] - Analysts suggest that Tesla needs to refresh its vehicle models to keep pace with local competitors like Xiaomi, BYD, and XPeng [8] - Tesla's third-quarter revenue increased by 12% year-over-year to $28.10 billion, but the company continues to experience a sales slump in Europe due to competition from brands like Volkswagen and BYD [8][9]

Xiaomi Automobile Company, the battery electric vehicle (BEV) subsidiary of Chinese smartphone maker Beijing Xiaomi Technology Company, has raised its full year sales target from 350,000 to 400,000 units, as the company stepped up output of its SU7 sedan and YU7 SUV models. The revised target would represent a threefold increase over the 135,000 vehicles it delivered last year, making it one of the fastest-growing automakers in China. Xiaomi celebrated the production of its 500,000th BEV this week, having ...

Stellantis NV traded more blows with BYD Co., saying its Chinese partner Leapmotor is selling more electric vehicles in Europe’s biggest EV market. https://t.co/NwUa7giPFP ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Hesai Group with a target price of US$38.10, implying an expected share price return of 76.9% [5][12]. Core Insights - The report highlights several upside catalysts for 2026, including anticipated L3 legislation, increased LiDAR content per vehicle, and design wins from major ADAS customers [1][4]. - The company expects significant growth in LiDAR shipments, projecting 2.5 million to 3.5 million units for 2026, with a stable gross profit margin due to cost optimization [3][4]. - The customer mix is strong, with major contributions expected from Li Auto, Xiaomi, and others, achieving 100% LiDAR adoption across their 2026 models [5][7]. Summary by Sections 2026E Upside Catalysts - Management anticipates L3 legislation in 1H26E, which could accelerate LiDAR content per vehicle, estimating three to six LiDAR units per L3 vehicle valued at US$500–1,000 each [1][4]. - The overseas ADAS business is expected to contribute significantly in 2026, alongside growth in the robotics sector, which has higher ASP and margins than ADAS [4]. Customer Mix - Key volume contributors for 2025 include Li Auto, Xiaomi, BYD, Leapmotor, Zeekr, and GWM, with expectations of continued strong performance in 2026 [5][7]. Financial Guidance - For 4Q25E, the company guides revenue between Rmb1.0-1.2 billion, with LiDAR shipments at 600k units and a blended gross profit margin of approximately 40% [2]. - The 2026E outlook includes a shipment increase to at least 2-3 million units, with a projected average selling price (ASP) of Rmb1.8k and a gross profit margin of 40% [3][4]. Capital Expenditure and Operating Expenses - Management plans annual capital expenditures of USD30-50 million, with operating expenses expected to grow by 5% YoY in 2026E [9][10].

Summary of China Auto/EV Global Markets Research Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China auto market**, particularly the **electric vehicle (EV)** segment, highlighting recent trends in wholesales and retails, as well as market dynamics affecting demand and competition. Key Points Market Performance - **Wholesales**: The China auto market delivered **3.0 million** wholesales unit shipments in October 2025, representing a **7.5% year-on-year (y-y)** increase and a **3.6% month-on-month (m-m)** increase [1][6] - **Retails**: Retail unit shipments were **2.2 million units**, showing a **0.9% y-y** decline and a **0.1% m-m** decline [1][6] - **EV Sales**: Monthly retail sales for passenger vehicle (PV) EVs reached **1.28 million units**, marking a **7.0% y-y** increase but a **1.4% m-m** decrease [1][6] Demand Trends - The report indicates that local demand in the China auto market has started to cool down, attributed to the **National Holiday week** and tightening policy trends initiated from **late September 2025** [1][6] - The **EV penetration rate** remains stable at **56.5%**, consistent with the previous month [1][6] Future Outlook - The demand situation for **Q1 2026** is expected to be challenging, particularly due to the upcoming **50% cut to EV purchase tax exemption** and the effects of the national trading-in/scrapping policy [1][8] - OEMs are anticipated to push for sales targets in the last two months of 2025, leading to solid deliveries despite a potentially lackluster orders situation [1][2] Competitive Landscape - Market share winners identified include **Geely**, **Leapmotor**, and **Huawei-related brands** in the mass market, while **Xiaomi** is noted in the premium segment [2] - New entrants like **NIO** and **XPENG** are expected to continue gaining traction with upcoming model launches [2][19] Export Performance - The China auto industry exported **571,000 units** of PVs in October 2025, reflecting a **22.7% y-y** increase and a **2.0% m-m** increase [3][31] - Cumulative exports for the first ten months of 2025 reached **4.7 million units**, a **15.7% y-y** increase, with EV exports showing a significant **87% y-y** growth [3][31] Individual Company Performance - **BYD**: Retail sales dropped to **296,000 units** in October 2025, a **31.4% y-y** decline, with a market share decrease to **23.1%** [15] - **Geely**: Achieved **164,000 unit** EV retail sales (+54.7% y-y) with an improved market share of **12.8%** [16] - **NIO**: Recorded **40,000 unit** retail sales (+90.5% y-y), with expectations for improved quarterly financials [18] - **XPENG**: Delivered **37,000 unit** retail sales (+82.2% y-y), with a strong pipeline for future models [19] Risks and Challenges - The report highlights potential risks including intensified market competition, slower-than-expected overseas expansion, and the impact of geopolitical uncertainties on global expansion efforts for Chinese OEMs [4][8] Conclusion - The China auto market is experiencing a cooling demand phase, with significant competition among OEMs. While some companies are gaining market share, the overall outlook remains cautious due to policy changes and market dynamics. The export performance of EVs is a positive sign amidst local market challenges [1][4][8]

Core Insights - MoonFox Data, a subsidiary of Aurora Mobile, has launched its Financial Alternative Data Solution to enhance investment decision-making efficiency and accuracy by providing real-time, precise data support [1][12]. Investment Analysis Pain Points - Investment institutions face challenges such as delayed performance forecasting due to a 1–1.5 month information lag, which complicates revenue predictions for listed companies [2]. - Limited data coverage restricts research and consulting institutions to either online or offline data, hindering comprehensive evaluations of corporate operations and industry competition [2]. - Private equity and venture capital firms struggle to validate data-financial linkages, making it difficult to assess enterprise value and investment potential [2]. - Identifying high-growth sectors is challenging for investment institutions, risking missed investment opportunities [2]. Application Scenarios - The solution supports earnings forecasting for public companies, allowing funds and investment banks to predict revenues ahead of earnings releases by integrating various data sources [3]. - Real-time corporate performance monitoring is available for all investment institutions, enabling them to track operational dynamics and identify performance risks or growth signals [8][14]. - Subsector opportunity discovery assists VC/PE and research institutions in rapidly identifying high-growth sectors and screening for top-performing targets [9][15]. - Competitive benchmarking allows corporate strategy and research teams to compare operational performance across multiple companies within an industry [10][16]. Compliance and Data Coverage - MoonFox Financial Alternative Data complies with industry-leading data security and privacy standards, offering historical data tracing since 2019 and flexible output granularity [11]. - The platform covers over 300 listed companies and more than 1,000 brands across A-shares, Hong Kong, and US markets, serving clients like BlackRock and Goldman Sachs [12].

Core Insights - BYD's global sales in October decreased by 12% year-over-year, marking the second consecutive monthly decline, indicating challenges in the competitive Chinese EV market [1] - The company's profits fell by approximately one-third year-over-year, and its stock price has dropped around 36% since reaching a record high in May [2] - Despite facing intense competition from domestic rivals, BYD has become the largest seller of electrified vehicles globally, driven by its affordable and technologically advanced models [2] Competitive Landscape - BYD is under pressure from Chinese EV startups such as Xpeng, Nio, and Leapmotor, which reported record monthly sales in October, as well as from Geely, which achieved significant delivery records with its low-cost Galaxy brand [3] - Geely's Galaxy brand, including the Xingyuan compact EV priced at $9,250, directly competes with BYD's ultra-cheap Seagull [3] - Xiaomi, a competitor that transitioned from consumer electronics to EVs, is also gaining traction with strong sales of its second vehicle launched this year [4] International Expansion - BYD's overseas sales surged by 169% in October, with expectations to export nearly 1 million EVs this year, particularly succeeding in the European market where it outsold Tesla in August [10] - The company is investing in international growth, with factories under construction in Hungary and Turkey, and plans to establish 1,000 new stores in Europe next year [11] - BYD aims for around half of its sales to come from outside China in the future, as domestic competition intensifies and the market becomes less sustainable [12] Industry Outlook - Analysts predict a consolidation in the Chinese EV market, with fewer than 20 carmakers expected to survive due to intense competition and regulatory pressures [13]

Group 1 - China EV sales showed strong performance in October, with XPeng, Nio, and Leapmotor reporting record deliveries, while Xiaomi is also likely to have achieved similar results [1] - Li Auto continues to experience significant year-over-year declines in sales [1] - BYD had its best month of 2025, although sales were lower compared to the previous year [1] - Tesla does not report monthly sales figures for China, but industry data indicates a competitive landscape [1] Group 2 - The Nasdaq has set a seven-year record, indicating a strong market performance [2] - A series of high-profile earnings reports are expected in the coming week, which may impact market sentiment [2]