Steel Dynamics Inc.（STLD）跌幅扩大至超过2.2%。 美国股指涨跌各异，道指下跌283点跌幅0.64%，纳指涨0.65%。 美国商务部长卢特尼克宣称，特朗普政府还没有对粗钢加征关税，才刚刚对钢铁成品征收关税而已。 印度尼西亚将对美国商品实施零关税，但协议包括对印尼商品加征关税。 ...

Company Performance - Steel Dynamics (STLD) closed at $135.07, down 1.67% from the previous trading session, underperforming the S&P 500's loss of 0.33% [1] - The stock has increased by 4.19% over the past month, outperforming the Basic Materials sector's gain of 1.87% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.07% [1] Upcoming Earnings - The upcoming earnings report for Steel Dynamics is expected on July 21, 2025, with projected EPS of $2.04, reflecting a 25.00% decrease compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is anticipated to be $4.67 billion, indicating a 0.76% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Full Year Estimates - For the full year, earnings are projected at $9.67 per share, showing a decline of 1.73%, while revenue is expected to reach $18.28 billion, representing a growth of 4.22% from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates and Rankings - Recent changes in analyst estimates for Steel Dynamics suggest a shifting business landscape, with positive changes indicating analyst optimism regarding profitability [3] - The Zacks Rank system currently rates Steel Dynamics at 3 (Hold), with the consensus EPS estimate decreasing by 4.94% over the last 30 days [5] Valuation Metrics - Steel Dynamics has a Forward P/E ratio of 14.21, which is higher than the industry's Forward P/E of 13.46 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.07, compared to the Steel - Producers industry's average PEG ratio of 1 [6] Industry Context - The Steel - Producers industry is part of the Basic Materials sector and holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 149, placing it in the bottom 40% of over 250 industries [7] - The top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1, indicating the competitive landscape within the industry [7]

Group 1: Stock Performance - Steel Dynamics (STLD) closed at $131.50, with a +2.35% increase from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.8% [1] - The stock has risen by 1.39% in the past month, lagging behind the Basic Materials sector's gain of 2.02% and the S&P 500's gain of 5.12% [1] Group 2: Earnings Estimates - Steel Dynamics is set to release earnings on July 21, 2025, with projected EPS of $2.12, indicating a 22.06% drop compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is $4.67 billion, reflecting a 0.76% increase from the prior-year quarter [2] Group 3: Fiscal Year Projections - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are estimated at $9.75 per share and revenue at $18.08 billion, showing changes of -0.91% and +3.08% respectively from the previous year [3] - Recent revisions in analyst estimates are crucial as they reflect near-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating a favorable business outlook [3] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - Steel Dynamics has a Forward P/E ratio of 13.18, which is higher than the industry average of 10.47, suggesting it is trading at a premium [6] - The company holds a PEG ratio of 0.99, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 0.91, indicating a similar growth trajectory [7] Group 5: Industry Ranking - The Steel - Producers industry is part of the Basic Materials sector and currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 86, placing it in the top 35% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank evaluates the performance of industry groups, with the top 50% rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Group 1: Steel Market Overview - Steel stocks experienced a surge in 2021 and 2022 due to the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA), which allocated $1.2 trillion for projects requiring steel [1] - Interest rates and tariff uncertainties led to a decline in steel stocks in 2024 and early 2025, but recent trends indicate a return of buyers as interest rates are expected to fall [2][3] Group 2: Nucor Inc. Analysis - Nucor Inc. is the largest steel producer in the U.S. and has seen a stock price forecast of $155.56, indicating a 21.27% upside from the current price of $128.27 [2] - Despite a 17% decline in the last 12 months, Nucor's stock has rebounded by 18% in the last month, driven by hopes for renewed infrastructure spending [3] - Analysts project earnings growth of around 43%, supporting a current trading multiple of approximately 22x earnings, which is above its historical average [4] Group 3: Steel Dynamics Inc. Insights - Steel Dynamics Inc. has a 12-month stock price forecast of $148.00, representing a 15.43% upside from the current price of $128.22 [5] - The company recently completed a new plant in Texas, enhancing its production capabilities, particularly in flat-rolled steel, which is in demand for infrastructure projects [7] - Steel Dynamics boasts a strong balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44% and a safe dividend with a payout ratio of 26% [8] Group 4: Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. Overview - Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. has a stock price forecast of $11.53, indicating a 60.74% upside from the current price of $7.17 [9] - The company generates a significant portion of its revenue from the automotive sector and is encouraged to diversify its revenue streams [9] - Cleveland-Cliffs faces challenges due to a high debt load from acquisitions, and any relief from interest rates could improve its earnings per share, which have been negative for the last three quarters [10][11]

Core Insights - Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) has provided earnings guidance for Q2 2025, estimating earnings per share (EPS) in the range of $2.00 to $2.04, an increase from $1.44 in Q1 2025 but a decrease from $2.72 in Q2 2024 [1][8] Group 1: Steel Operations - Profitability from steel operations is expected to be significantly higher than in Q1 2025, driven by wider metal spreads and an increase in average realized steel pricing, which is rising faster than scrap raw material costs [2] - Long product steel shipments have increased sequentially, while flat rolled volumes have slightly decreased due to inventory overhang from coated flat rolled steel imports [2] - The energy, non-residential building, automotive, and industrial sectors are continuing to drive demand for steel [2] - Steel division's pretax earnings are projected to be reduced by approximately $32 million in Q2 2025 due to a noncash write-off of consumable assets [2] Group 2: Metals Recycling Operations - Earnings from metals recycling operations are expected to remain stable sequentially in Q2 2025, with higher shipments compensating for lower realized pricing [3] Group 3: Steel Fabrication Operations - Earnings from steel fabrication operations are anticipated to decline in Q2 2025 compared to the previous quarter, attributed to consistent shipments and metal spread compression as raw material costs rise and average realized sales prices fall slightly [4] - The pace of order activity has increased, and the order backlog has strengthened, extending into 2025 with attractive pricing [4] - Demand is primarily driven by the commercial, data center, manufacturing, warehouse, and healthcare sectors [4] Group 4: Aluminum Operations - The aluminum team is successfully commissioning the Columbus, MS aluminum flat rolled products mill and the San Luis Potosi satellite recycled slab facility, with the first aluminum ingot cast in January 2025 in Mississippi and in March 2025 in Mexico [5] - The company expects to begin shipping material in mid-2025 [5] Group 5: Stock Performance - Shares of Steel Dynamics have decreased by 0.4% over the past year, contrasting with a 31.8% decline in its industry [5]

Commercial Metals (CMC) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.74 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.85 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.02 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -12.94%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this manufacturer and recycler of steel and metal products would post earnings of $0.31 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.26, delivering a surprise of ...

Core Points - American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AAM) recognized top suppliers during its annual Supplier Day event, awarding Supplier of the Year and Supplier Excellence Awards based on delivery, quality, launch performance, innovation, and sustainability [1][2][8] Supplier Awards - Baoding Dongli Machinery Co., Ltd. received the Supplier of the Year Award for Direct Material, recognized for providing 88 iron-casting, steel-forging, and aluminum parts to AAM's facilities in Europe and China, and establishing local warehouses [3] - Steel Dynamics Inc. – Engineered Bar Products Division was awarded the Supplier of the Year Award for Direct Material for supplying nearly 75,000 tons of steel with outstanding quality performance [4] - Okuma America Corporation was honored with the Supplier of the Year Award for Indirect Material for consistently delivering high-quality CNC machine tools that enhance AAM's manufacturing capabilities [5] Supplier Excellence Awards - A total of 13 suppliers received Supplier Excellence Awards for their performance in various categories, including delivery, quality, launch performance, innovation, and sustainability [6][8] - The suppliers recognized for their excellence include Mecanica Garcia Industrial, Warren Industries, Webco Industries, Inc., Bocar, Guangdong Hongteo Technology Co., Ltd., Tubos De Acero De Mexico S.A. (Tenaris), Johnson Electric Otomotiv Ürünleri Limited Şirketi, Wayne Manufacturing, Zouping Tiansheng Metal Technology Co., Ltd., Ansys, Apera AI, Neural Concept, and CEVA Logistics [7][8] Company Overview - AAM is a leading global Tier 1 automotive supplier specializing in driveline and metal forming technologies, supporting electric, hybrid, and internal combustion vehicles, with over 75 facilities in 16 countries [9]

Core Viewpoint - Steel Dynamics, Inc. anticipates second quarter 2025 earnings per diluted share in the range of $2.00 to $2.04, a decrease from $2.72 in the same quarter last year and an increase from $1.44 in the first quarter of 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Steel Operations - Profitability from steel operations is expected to be significantly stronger than the first quarter of 2025, driven by expanded metal spreads and increased average realized steel pricing [2]. - Long product steel shipments improved sequentially, while flat rolled volumes contracted modestly due to inventory overhang from coated flat rolled steel imports [2]. - Demand is primarily led by the energy, non-residential construction, automotive, and industrial sectors [2]. - Steel segment pretax earnings were reduced by approximately $32 million due to a noncash write-off of consumable assets [2]. Group 2: Metals Recycling Operations - Earnings from metals recycling operations are expected to remain steady sequentially, as stronger shipments offset lower realized pricing [3]. Group 3: Steel Fabrication Operations - Earnings from steel fabrication operations are expected to decline compared to the first quarter of 2025, due to steady shipments and metal spread compression from increased raw material costs [4]. - The pace of order activity increased, and the order backlog improved, supported by demand from commercial, data center, manufacturing, warehouse, and healthcare sectors [4]. - Domestic manufacturing investment and the U.S. infrastructure program are expected to positively impact demand for steel products [4]. Group 4: Aluminum Operations - The company is successfully commissioning its aluminum flat rolled products mill in Columbus, Mississippi, and a satellite recycled slab center in San Luis Potosi, Mexico [5]. - The first aluminum ingot was cast in January and March 2025, with shipping expected to begin mid-2025 [5]. Group 5: Stock Repurchase - As of June 11, 2025, the company repurchased $179 million, or one percent, of its common stock during the second quarter [6]. Group 6: Company Overview - Steel Dynamics is a leading industrial metals solutions company, operating with a circular manufacturing model and focusing on lower-carbon-emission products [7]. - The company is one of the largest domestic steel producers and metal recyclers in North America, with ongoing investments in aluminum operations to diversify its product offerings [7].

两国将设定钢铝关税的豁免配额。 美国钢铁公司（X）美股盘后涨0.018%，纽柯钢铁（NUE）和Steel Dynamics Inc盘后持平。 两国将谈判优惠的英国医药关税待遇。 文本显示，美国与英国的协议提及钢铁和铝关税豁免问题。 ...

Industry Overview - The S&P Steel Index is experiencing growth in 2025, driven by tariff leverage, strong balance sheets, and high returns on capital [1] - As of June 12, the S&P Steel Sub-Industry Index has increased by 8.40% year to date, indicating stabilization in the US steel sector [1] - President Trump's decision to double US steel import tariffs from 25% to 50% on June 4, 2025, is a significant factor contributing to this growth [1][2] Tariff Impact - The announcement of the tariff increase led to immediate gains in steel stocks, with Cleveland-Cliffs rising 26% in one day, while Steel Dynamics and Nucor saw increases of 10-11% [2] - Benchmark steel prices rose from $725 per metric ton before the tariff announcement to $875 per metric ton currently, effectively raising the price floor for domestic steel [2] Market Dynamics - The steel industry's rally is attributed to both short-term catalysts and long-term structural forces, including federal spending on infrastructure and reshoring efforts [3] - Supply chain restocking, recovery in the auto sector, and disciplined capital returns from leading companies like Nucor and Steel Dynamics contribute to a more stable sector profile [3] Construction and Demand - Domestic construction activity is robust, particularly in commercial construction, which supports demand for structural steel despite higher interest rates [7] - Key steel-consuming industries, such as automotive and machinery manufacturing, are showing resilience, while renewable energy infrastructure expansion creates new demand for steel [7] Company Highlights - Nucor, trading at $121 per share with a 1.82% dividend yield, is noted for its industry-leading margins and strong balance sheet, despite recent volatility due to tariff negotiations [9] - Steel Dynamics, priced at $133 per share with a 1.50% dividend yield, has shown a 16.7% increase year to date and is recognized for its operational efficiency and low production costs [10][11] - ArcelorMittal, trading at $30 per share with a 1.55% dividend yield, has seen a 30.6% increase year to date and is expected to benefit from strategic acquisitions and joint ventures [12][13] Investment Considerations - Investors are advised to focus on companies with high-margin, value-added products and sustainable dividend growth rather than chasing commodity pricing volatility [14] - Strong fundamentals, including cost-efficient production, strong returns on capital, and quality net margins, are essential for evaluating steel stocks [16]