萧旭岑称，鉴于连战、吴伯雄及马英九本人过往均曾在南京中山陵书写毛笔字，马英九认为郑丽文届时 也会有不少挥毫的机会，便以轻松的口吻劝勉她勤加练习，"因为写毛笔字、练习书法也是对中华文化 的重视与传承。" 1月20日，中国国民党主席郑丽文(右)拜访国民党前主席马英九。图片来源：受访者供图 郑丽文(左)表示，马英九始终关心两岸关系。图片来源：受访者供图 对于马英九为何向郑丽文提出这两项建议，曾担任马英九文教基金会执行长、多次陪同马英九访问大陆 的国民党副主席萧旭岑向中新网解读表示，马英九以温馨的姿态向郑丽文提建议，盼其若有机会访问大 陆，能展现出最佳状态。 中新网1月21日电(燕新台)中国国民党主席郑丽文20日拜会国民党前主席马英九。郑丽文随后在社交媒 体表示，马英九始终关心两岸关系，尤其对国民党推动两岸交流、破冰的路线，表达高度支持与肯定。 郑丽文转述，马英九称，赖清德曾自诩为"务实的台独工作者"，但"务实"与"台独"本质互不相容，放眼 国际社会，无人支持"台独"，"台独"本就是完全行不通的死胡同。 郑丽文说，马英九还特意提醒她，若访问大陆，第一不要穿高跟鞋，第二可以开始练习书法。她还不忘 自嘲："现在开始临时抱 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government expresses willingness to strengthen exchanges and interactions with Taiwan's political parties, including the Kuomintang (KMT), based on the "1992 Consensus" and opposition to "Taiwan independence" [1] Group 1: Government Stance - The spokesperson, Zhu Fenglian, emphasizes the importance of maintaining a political foundation for peaceful development of cross-strait relations [1] - The government criticizes the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) for its persistent stance on "Taiwan independence," accusing it of undermining normal cross-strait exchanges and inciting anti-China sentiment [1] Group 2: Public Sentiment - There is a strong public dissatisfaction and opposition in Taiwan towards the DPP's actions, which are seen as detrimental to the interests of Taiwanese people and contributing to instability [1]

Group 1 - The upcoming Taiwan election in January 2028 is seen as a critical turning point for cross-strait relations, with various parties preparing for potential outcomes [2] - The pro-independence camp in Taiwan, led by Lai Ching-te, is reportedly preparing for both a "decapitation" strategy and escape routes in response to potential threats from mainland China [2][3] - The blue camp in Taiwan is focusing on promoting peace across the strait while also preparing for the 2028 election, with optimistic internal predictions about the election outcome [5] Group 2 - Japan has announced plans to evacuate approximately 120,000 residents from Okinawa within six days in the event of a crisis in Taiwan, indicating a potential capacity to receive evacuees from Taiwan [3] - The Philippines has indicated that it would be "inevitably" drawn into conflict if a situation arises in Taiwan, suggesting a serious consideration of military involvement [4] - Mainland China is preparing for any outcome of the Taiwan election and any potential changes in the situation before the election, indicating a readiness to respond to developments [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Kuomintang (KMT) under Chairperson Zheng Liwen is actively promoting cross-strait dialogue and is preparing to resume the "Cross-Strait Forum," which has been suspended for nearly a decade, indicating a potential thaw in relations between Taiwan and mainland China [1][2]. Group 1: Cross-Strait Dialogue Initiatives - Zheng Liwen stated that communication with the mainland is currently "very smooth," and there is a sense of goodwill from the other side [2]. - The KMT is preparing for the upcoming "Cross-Strait Forum" by focusing on forward-looking major issues [2]. - KMT Vice Chairman Xiao Xucen emphasized that the KMT can maintain mutual trust and communication between the two sides, contrasting the DPP's approach [3]. Group 2: Political Context and Criticism - Zheng criticized the DPP's National Security Council for spreading rumors instead of seeking solutions, suggesting that the DPP should facilitate dialogue rather than obstruct it [2]. - KMT legislators criticized the DPP for lacking the ability to improve relations with the mainland and for damaging communication bridges [4]. - The KMT aims to position itself as a facilitator of cross-strait exchanges in various fields, including culture, education, and technology [4]. Group 3: Historical Context of the Cross-Strait Forum - The "Cross-Strait Forum" was initiated in 2005 and has served as an important communication platform, with the last session held in 2016 [5]. - Historical forums have led to beneficial policies for Taiwan, such as recognizing Taiwanese higher education qualifications and increasing agricultural exports to the mainland [5]. - The forum has previously facilitated discussions on economic cooperation and trade agreements, highlighting its significance in cross-strait relations [5]. Group 4: Public Sentiment and Future Outlook - There is a growing sentiment among the public for self-help and a desire to break away from the current political tensions, with the resumption of the "Cross-Strait Forum" seen as a potential turning point [7]. - The KMT's past governance is associated with frequent interactions and a more stable cross-strait relationship, contrasting with the current administration's approach [7]. - The forum is viewed as a means to enhance communication and reduce hostility, aligning with the public's desire for peace and stability [7].

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming Taiwan election will be a critical turning point for cross-strait relations, with potential outcomes leading to either peaceful unification or various forms of unification depending on the election results [1][4]. Group 1: Key Time Nodes - Experts highlight 2027 as a significant year for Taiwan, but the author identifies 2028 as the more crucial year due to three key dates: January 8 or January 15, May 20, and the U.S. election day [2][10]. - The first key date is the potential date for the next Taiwan election, which could be January 8 or January 15, 2028, based on the previous election schedule [4]. Group 2: Election Outcomes and Implications - If the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) wins the next election, it would mark 16 years of DPP governance, raising questions about the implications for peaceful unification as outlined in the Anti-Secession Law [3][6]. - The DPP's push for "de jure independence" is unlikely, as recent proposals to change legal terminology were quickly retracted after warnings from the mainland [6][7]. - Despite the low likelihood of formal independence, the DPP may still employ strategies to promote independence sentiments and deepen cross-strait tensions [7]. Group 3: Mainland China's Response - Mainland China's actions in the lead-up to the election are expected to serve as warnings, but if the DPP continues to govern, these actions may escalate [8][9]. - The inauguration of the new Taiwanese leader on May 20 will be another critical moment, influencing mainland China's policy decisions based on the leader's inaugural speech [9]. Group 4: Alternative Scenarios - Besides the DPP winning, two other scenarios for the 2028 Taiwan situation include the Kuomintang (KMT) winning the election or the absence of an election altogether [11][12].

Core Viewpoint - The critical time node regarding the Taiwan issue is identified as 2028, with three significant dates: January 8 or January 15, May 20, and the U.S. election day. These dates will influence cross-strait relations and potential outcomes for Taiwan's political landscape [1]. Group 1: Upcoming Elections and Their Implications - The next Taiwan election is projected to occur on January 8 or January 15, 2028, which could mark a significant turning point in cross-strait relations depending on the election outcome [2]. - If the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) wins, it would signify 16 years of DPP governance, potentially triggering provisions in the Anti-Secession Law regarding the loss of peaceful unification possibilities [2]. - The election results will determine the direction of cross-strait relations, with a DPP victory possibly leading to a more aggressive unification approach, while a victory for the opposition could favor peaceful unification [2]. Group 2: DPP's Position and Legislative Actions - The likelihood of the DPP pushing for "de jure independence" is considered low, as evidenced by the withdrawal of a proposal to change the name of the cross-strait relations law, which would have escalated tensions [4][5]. - The DPP may still employ various strategies to promote "Taiwan independence" rhetoric and deepen cross-strait tensions, despite the reduced likelihood of formal independence actions [5]. Group 3: Mainland China's Response and Future Scenarios - Mainland China's actions leading up to the 2028 election are characterized as warning signals, with potential for escalation if the DPP remains in power post-election [6][7]. - The inauguration of the new Taiwanese leader on May 20, 2028, will be pivotal, as China's subsequent actions will depend on the leader's inaugural speech and stance on cross-strait relations [7]. - The outcome of the U.S. election, likely to occur around the same time, could also influence China's policy towards Taiwan, particularly if a Democratic administration is perceived to be more lenient towards "Taiwan independence" [7].

Core Viewpoint - The articles emphasize the importance of cross-strait relations and the commitment to national unity, highlighting the year 2025 as a pivotal moment for both Taiwan and mainland China, with a focus on enhancing cooperation and mutual benefits for Taiwanese compatriots [1][2]. Group 1 - 2025 is identified as a year for overcoming challenges in cross-strait relations and building momentum for national unification, with increased convenience for Taiwanese individuals traveling to the mainland [2]. - There has been a significant increase in the number of Taiwanese compatriots, including youth, visiting the mainland, indicating progress in cross-strait exchanges and cooperation [2]. - The establishment of high-quality cross-strait integration development demonstration zones aims to enhance the welfare of Taiwanese compatriots and businesses [2]. Group 2 - The year 2026 marks the beginning of the "15th Five-Year Plan," with a commitment to implementing the guiding principles of Xi Jinping's thought and the resolutions from the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party [2]. - The articles stress the importance of adhering to the "One China" principle and the "1992 Consensus" to promote peaceful development of cross-strait relations and advance national unification [2]. - There is a call for dialogue and consultation with various political parties and groups in Taiwan to foster cooperation and address the issue of national unification [2].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of cross-strait relations and the commitment to national reunification, highlighting the year 2025 as a significant period for both Taiwan and mainland China to strengthen economic ties and cultural exchanges [1][2]. Group 1: Key Points on Cross-Strait Relations - The year 2025 is identified as a crucial time for overcoming challenges in cross-strait relations and building momentum for national reunification, with increased convenience for Taiwanese citizens traveling to the mainland [2]. - There has been a notable increase in the number of Taiwanese individuals, including youth and first-time visitors, traveling to the mainland, indicating progress in cross-strait exchanges and cooperation [2]. - The construction of high-quality cross-strait integration development demonstration zones is being advanced, ensuring equal treatment for Taiwanese citizens and enterprises, which enhances their welfare [2]. Group 2: Future Plans and Policies - The year 2026 marks the beginning of the "15th Five-Year Plan," with a commitment to implement the guiding principles of Xi Jinping's thought and the resolutions from the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party [2]. - The focus will be on promoting peaceful development of cross-strait relations and advancing the national reunification agenda, while creating better conditions for Taiwanese businesses and citizens in the mainland [2]. - There is a strong opposition to "Taiwan independence" and foreign interference, with a call to support patriotic unification forces on the island, aiming to maintain peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait [2].

Core Viewpoint - The spokesperson of the Taiwan Affairs Office emphasized that both sides of the Taiwan Strait belong to the Chinese nation and are all Chinese, countering the Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP) narrative of "de-Sinicization" [2]. Group 1: Historical and Cultural Identity - The statement from the Kuomintang (KMT) chairman highlighted that expressing "I am Chinese" in Taiwan has been unfairly labeled as a "original sin" due to the DPP's manipulation over the past 30 years [2]. - The Taiwan Affairs Office reiterated that the identity of being Chinese is a natural cultural and historical recognition that should not be demonized by the DPP [2]. Group 2: Political Manipulation and Public Response - The DPP is accused of deliberately distorting historical and cultural connections between the two sides to confuse the younger generation in Taiwan regarding their national identity [2]. - There is a growing backlash from various sectors in Taiwan against the DPP's political maneuvers, indicating that such efforts are unlikely to succeed [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes the ongoing tensions between the mainland and Taiwan, particularly regarding maritime law enforcement and accusations of smuggling activities [1][2] - The Fujian Coast Guard conducted law enforcement patrols near Kinmen, which Taiwan's authorities claim poses significant risks to navigation safety [1] - The spokesperson for the Taiwan Affairs Office, Zhang Han, asserts that the patrols are intended to maintain order in the waters and ensure the safety of fishermen from both sides [1] Group 2 - Zhang Han criticized the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) for ignoring the historical context of cross-strait fishing activities and accused them of creating risks for navigation through their actions against mainland fishermen [1][2] - The mainland's Public Security Bureau issued a bounty for information on Taiwanese individuals involved in smuggling activities, which Taiwan's authorities claim is an overreach of jurisdiction [1] - The DPP's recent requirement for 12,000 mainland spouses in Taiwan to submit proof of residency has been condemned by Zhang Han as a violation of family stability and an abuse of power [2]