据美国《华盛顿邮报》网站8月23日报道，美国总统特朗普暗示他将暂停为推动乌克兰和 平协议努力，并对不断上升的伤亡人数以及俄乌双方在达成和平协议方面未能取得进展的 现状表达了不满。 特朗普22日在白宫椭圆形办公室对记者说："我对这场战争的任何方面都不满意，完全没 有满意的地方，一点儿都不满意。" 他还表示，将在"两周内"就这场冲突的未来走向作出一项重要决定。不过，"两周"是特朗 普经常使用的表述，并非特指精确的时间范围，而是表明希望稍后再作决定。他表示，过 了这段时间后，"大家就会知道我的选择，因为我只会选其中之一"。 这番表态标志着特朗普的立场出现重大转变。 就在过去几周，他还多次展现出十足的信 心，称自己有能力为乌克兰争取到安全保障，并能迅速促成交战双方领导人（俄罗斯总统 普京与乌克兰总统泽连斯基）举行会晤。 此前，特朗普投入大量时间和精力推动战争尽快结束，包括一周多前与普京在阿拉斯加举 行峰会，随后又于18日在白宫与泽连斯基及欧洲多国领导人会面。 然而，这些努力没有带来任何进展的迹象，俄罗斯始终拒绝接受要求其停止对乌克兰发动 袭击的提议，也不愿在未实现战争最高目标的情况下作出任何让步。外界分析人士指出， ...

特朗普22日在白宫接受媒体采访时说，美方将关注俄乌领导人"是否会晤"，"因为我告诉他们要会晤，但两周后我就知道要做什么了"。 美国总统特朗普22日说，如果俄罗斯与乌克兰领导人在两周内没有举行直接会晤，他将作出"非常重要的决定"，可能是"大规模制裁或关税"。 乐观情绪消退？ 本月18日，特朗普在白宫与乌克兰总统泽连斯基和多名欧洲领导人举行系列会晤。当天，特朗普与俄罗斯总统普京通了电话，他随后宣布，已开 始安排普京与泽连斯基的双边会晤，之后将举行美俄乌三方领导人会晤。 特普私交良好？ 俄罗斯外交部长拉夫罗夫22日在美国全国广播公司新闻台一档节目中说，普京与泽连斯基的会晤尚未被列入日程，但普京愿在会晤议程确定后与 泽连斯基会面。 7月4日，在美国首都华盛顿白宫，美国总统特朗普发表讲话。新华社记者胡友松摄 按照特朗普的说法，如果俄乌领导人没有直接会晤，他可能施加"大规模制裁或大规模关税，或者两者都有"。不过，美方同样有可能"撒手不 管"，说"是你们在作战"。 多家媒体在报道中指出，特朗普7月14日就曾宣布，如果俄罗斯没有在50天内同乌克兰达成和平协议，美国将对俄罗斯征收"非常严厉"的关税及 次级关税，但上述对俄关税及 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - This week, oil prices fluctuated. The inflection point of the fundamentals has emerged, and the market is focusing on the cease - fire negotiation of the Russia - Ukraine conflict and the US tariff increase measures on India. After the "Trump - Putin meeting", the risk rating of sanctions policy has decreased. The short - term absolute price of crude oil is expected to remain volatile, and it is necessary to pay attention to Russian crude oil supply. In the second half of the year, crude oil is expected to weaken under the pattern of supply - demand surplus [5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Daily News - Analysts believe that the expectation of Russia - Ukraine peace weakens the risk of sanctions, and the current oil price trend is consistent with the seasonal trend. The US effort to promote a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine reduces the possibility of additional sanctions on Russia or relevant secondary tariffs on its oil buyers. Seasonally, crude oil prices usually decline before mid - October [3]. - The US Treasury Secretary plans to raise tariffs on India for purchasing Russian oil [3]. - A refinery in Russia was attacked by drones and suspended oil processing. The Volgograd refinery operated by Russia's Lukoil was attacked by drones on August 13 - 14 and has suspended oil processing [3]. - India's imports of Russian crude oil decreased in July. Partly because Reliance Industries, the world's largest refinery operator, reduced its purchases in July compared with the previous high. Indian state - owned refineries will seek other oil sources from the Middle East or the US in August and September to replace Russian oil [3]. - The US API crude oil inventory for the week ending August 15 was - 241.7 million barrels, with an expected - 158.7 million barrels and a previous value of 151.9 million barrels [3]. Regional Fundamentals - US EIA reports show that in the week of August 8, US crude oil exports increased by 259,000 barrels per day to 3.577 million barrels per day; domestic crude oil production increased by 43,000 barrels to 13.327 million barrels per day; commercial crude oil inventories excluding strategic reserves increased by 3.036 million barrels to 427 million barrels, an increase of 0.72%; the four - week average supply of US crude oil products was 21.159 million barrels per day, a 2.89% increase compared with the same period last year; the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) inventory increased by 226,000 barrels to 403.2 million barrels, an increase of 0.06%; and the import of commercial crude oil excluding strategic reserves was 6.92 million barrels per day, an increase of 958,000 barrels per day compared with the previous week [4]. - From August 8 - 14, the operating rate of major refineries and Shandong local refineries in China increased slightly. The production of gasoline and diesel in Chinese refineries increased, while the inventory decreased. The comprehensive profit of major refineries declined, and the comprehensive profit of local refineries increased month - on - month [5]. Weekly View - This week, oil prices fluctuated. The inflection point of the fundamentals has emerged. After the "Trump - Putin meeting", the risk rating of sanctions policy has decreased. It is necessary to pay attention to whether India resumes the purchase of Russian oil in the spot market next week. Fundamentally, global oil inventories are accumulating, and the US commercial crude oil inventory has increased by 3.03 million barrels. The crude oil export volumes of Brazil and Guyana have reached record highs. The peak season of gasoline and jet fuel demand has passed. This year's CDU autumn maintenance time is later, and the planned maintenance volume is lower than in previous years, which supports the demand for crude oil feedstock. The short - term absolute price of crude oil is expected to remain volatile, and it is necessary to pay attention to Russian crude oil supply. In the second half of the year, crude oil is expected to weaken under the pattern of supply - demand surplus [5].

Core Points - Macron stated that a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine would be good news for everyone [1] - Trump expressed confidence in his ability to reach such an agreement, believing that Putin "wants to make a deal for me" [1] Summary by Categories - **Political Dynamics** - Macron emphasized the importance of a potential peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, indicating it would benefit all parties involved [1] - Trump showcased his self-assurance regarding his capability to facilitate this agreement during discussions with European leaders [1] - **International Relations** - The interaction between Trump and Macron highlights ongoing diplomatic efforts and the significance of U.S.-Europe relations in addressing the Russia-Ukraine conflict [1]

Core Viewpoint - The discussion between Trump and Macron highlights the potential for a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, which both leaders view as beneficial for all parties involved [1] Group 1 - Macron expressed that a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine would be good news for everyone [1] - Trump showed confidence in his ability to negotiate such an agreement, stating that he believes Putin "wants to make a deal for me" [1] - The meeting took place during a multilateral discussion with European leaders at the White House [1]

Group 1 - The meeting between US President Trump, Ukrainian President Zelensky, and European leaders is set to take place on August 18, with each party expressing their positions beforehand [1] - Trump stated that Zelensky could almost immediately end the war with Russia if willing, and claimed Ukraine would not regain Crimea or join NATO [1] - US Secretary of State Rubio emphasized the need for both Russia and Ukraine to make concessions for a peace agreement, rather than imposing new sanctions on Russia [1] Group 2 - Following a Russian military attack that resulted in at least 10 deaths, Zelensky accused Russia of conducting a "demonstrative" attack to undermine diplomatic efforts ahead of the meeting [2] - European leaders reiterated their support for Ukraine and called for reliable security guarantees, with the UK and France expressing appreciation for Trump's commitment to provide security [2] - The European Commission announced a preparatory meeting in Washington involving Commission President von der Leyen, Zelensky, and European leaders before the multilateral meeting [2] Group 3 - Russia's representative to international organizations stated that while they agree on the need for reliable security guarantees for Ukraine, Russia also expects effective security guarantees for itself [3] - Russian President Putin communicated the outcomes of his meeting with Trump to leaders from South Africa, Tajikistan, and Brazil, who expressed support for Russia's diplomatic efforts to resolve the Ukraine crisis [3]

俄罗斯最新通报。 当地时间18日，当地紧急情况部门通报称，俄罗斯梁赞州工厂火药车间爆炸事故已造成20人死亡，另有134人受伤。梁赞 州州长帕维尔·马尔科夫宣布，8月18日为梁赞州哀悼日。 俄乌局势方面，美东时间8月17日晚，乌克兰总统泽连斯基飞抵美国华盛顿。根据白宫方面最新公布的日程安排，美东时 间8月18日下午1时15分（北京时间8月19日凌晨1时15分），美国总统特朗普将在白宫会晤泽连斯基。 有专家指出，泽连斯基此次与特朗普的会晤将异常"艰难"，因为拟议和平协议的条款并不完全有利于基辅方面。在会晤 前夕，特朗普向泽连斯基喊话，称如果泽连斯基愿意，俄乌冲突能"几乎立即"结束。 俄罗斯突发爆炸 据央视新闻报道，当地时间18日，当地紧急情况部门通报称，俄罗斯梁赞州工厂火药车间爆炸事故已造成20人死亡，另 有134人受伤。 15日，俄罗斯紧急情况部门称，梁赞州希洛夫斯基区"埃拉斯特克"工厂火药车间发生爆炸，引发火灾，造成多人死伤。 该工厂火药车间建筑已因本次事故完全损毁。 据俄罗斯塔斯社15日报道，有关部门已就起火原因展开调查。 与此同时，俄乌整体战局仍呈现胶着态势。俄罗斯国防部17日通报称，过去一天内，俄军打击 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming meetings between Ukrainian President Zelensky and various European leaders, including U.S. President Trump, to address the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and explore potential peace agreements. Group 1: Meetings and Participants - Zelensky arrived in Washington on August 17, 2023, for discussions with President Trump and other European leaders regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict [1] - A multilateral meeting is scheduled for August 18, 2023, involving Trump, Zelensky, and leaders from the EU, France, Germany, the UK, Italy, and NATO [1][5] - European leaders, including EU Commission President von der Leyen, German Chancellor Merz, French President Macron, UK Prime Minister Starmer, Italian Prime Minister Meloni, and NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg, confirmed their attendance at the meetings [5][6][7][8] Group 2: Key Statements and Positions - Trump stated that Zelensky could end the war with Russia almost immediately if he chooses, emphasizing that Ukraine should not expect to regain Crimea or join NATO [1] - Zelensky expressed that Ukraine's territorial issues can only be discussed at the leadership level and highlighted the importance of security guarantees, similar to NATO's Article 5 [11][13] - Von der Leyen reiterated the EU's commitment to support Ukraine and emphasized that Ukraine should decide its own fate regarding territorial issues [15] Group 3: Security Guarantees and Peace Efforts - U.S. Special Envoy Witkoff indicated that the U.S. might offer Ukraine security guarantees akin to NATO's Article 5, as a way to bypass Russia's opposition to Ukraine joining NATO [17][18] - Russian officials acknowledged the need for reliable security guarantees for Ukraine while also asserting their own rights to effective security assurances [20] - European leaders emphasized the necessity of strong security guarantees for Ukraine to defend its sovereignty and territorial integrity [20]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a shift in U.S. foreign policy towards a broader peace agreement in Ukraine, moving away from immediate ceasefire demands [2] - U.S. Special Envoy for Middle East Affairs, Wittekov, stated that significant progress was made during the meeting between U.S. and Russian leaders, leading to a focus on a comprehensive peace agreement [2] - Russia has made concessions regarding five Ukrainian regions, and President Putin has agreed to include a security guarantee clause similar to NATO's Article 5 in the future peace agreement [2] Group 2 - European leaders, including EU Commission President von der Leyen and various national leaders, are visiting the U.S. to support Ukraine and discuss ongoing diplomatic efforts [3][4] - Von der Leyen emphasized the EU's unwavering support for Ukraine until a just and lasting peace is achieved, asserting that territorial issues must be decided by Ukraine [4] - The EU plans to implement the 19th round of sanctions against Russia in early September, indicating continued economic pressure on Russia [5]

两人均表示此次华盛顿之行至关重要。 冯德莱恩强调，欧盟将坚定支持乌克兰，直到实现公正和持久的和平，任何涉及领土的问题都必须由乌克兰决定，乌克兰必须坐在谈判桌前。而欧 盟将在外交和经济领域继续对俄罗斯施压，预计9月初将出台第19轮对俄制裁方案。泽连斯基上一次到访白宫是在当地时间今年2月28日。当时特朗 普及美国副总统万斯与其发生争吵，双方不欢而散。 据央视新闻报道，美国中东问题特使威特科夫表示，美俄领导人15日会晤取得的重大进展促使美国总统特朗普放弃了俄乌立即停火的诉求，转而致 力于推进一项更广泛的和平协议。 威特科夫当天在接受美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）采访时表示： "我们致力于尽快达成一项永久结束战斗的和平协议。比停火更快。" "我们解决了 所有在停火期间必须讨论和商定的问题。" 威特科夫还表示， 俄罗斯已在涉及五个乌克兰地区的问题上作出"一些让步" 。他说，俄罗斯总统普京已同意在未来和平协议中纳入一项"类北约第 五条款"的安全保障条款，即若乌克兰遭到攻击，将被视为对所有保障国的攻击。威特科夫称，这是绕开俄方坚决反对乌克兰加入北约的一种替代方 案，也是"首次听到俄方同意类似条款写入和平协议，可视为重大突破" ...