证券研究报告 2026 年 3 月 2 日 星期一 【A 股市场大势研判】 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 后市展望： 周五，A 股 2 月收官，沪指月线斩获 3 连阳。三大指数开盘集体低开，沪指低开 0.43%， 深成指低开 0.89%，创业板指低开 1.23%。随后指数震荡。截至午盘收盘，三大指数震荡 调整，沪指再度翻绿，创业板指跌超 1%。盘面上，算力租赁概念集体爆发；有色金属板 块反复活跃；AI 编程概念走强；太空光伏概念震荡反弹。午后，指数震荡上行，最终收 盘三大指数涨跌不一。总体上个股涨多跌少，钢铁、煤炭、有色金属、公用事业和农林牧 渔等行业表现靠前；建筑材料、通信、电子、汽车和家用电器等行业表现靠后。概念指数 方面，金属铅、金属锌、小金属概念、金属铜和金属钴等板块表现靠前；国家大基金持股、 PCB 概念、中芯国际概念、存储芯片和先进封装等板块表现靠后。 值得关注的是，为促进外汇市场发展，支持企业管理好汇率风险，中国人民银行决定 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 1 A 股 ...

来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 2月27日，中芯国际跌1.41%，成交额32.14亿元，换手率1.40%，总市值9200.60亿元。 异动分析 国家大基金持股+存储芯片+中芯国际概念+芯片概念 1、公司获得国家集成电路产业投资基金股份有限公司投资，持股比例占总股本比例为1.61%。 2、2025年9月12日互动易：公司代工MCU芯片和特殊存储芯片。 3、中芯国际是中国内地技术最先进、配套最完善、规模最大、跨国经营的集成电路制造企业集团。 资金分析 今日主力净流入-4.38亿，占比0.14%，行业排名169/173，连续3日被主力资金减仓；所属行业主力净流 入-67.00亿，当前无连续增减仓现象，主力趋势不明显。 区间今日近3日近5日近10日近20日主力净流入-4.38亿-10.19亿-11.99亿-5.57亿-38.08亿 主力持仓 主力轻度控盘，筹码分布较为分散，主力成交额16.24亿，占总成交额的11.24%。 技术面：筹码平均交易成本为122.15元 该股筹码平均交易成本为122.15元，近期该股获筹码青睐，且集中度渐增；目前股价靠近支撑位 111.80，注意支撑位处反弹，若跌破支撑位则可能会开启一波下跌行 ...

2、专精特新"小巨人"企业是全国中小企业评定工作中最高等级、最具权威的荣誉称号，是指专注于细 分市场、创新能力强、市场占有率高、掌握关键核心技术、质量效益优的排头兵企业，对于提升中小企 业自身的竞争力，以及提升产业链、供应链稳定性和竞争力具有重大意义。公司已入选工信部专精特新 小巨人企业名单。 3、广州慧智微电子股份有限公司的主营业务是射频前端芯片及模组的研发、设计和销售。公司的主要 产品是5GUHB频段系列产品、5G重耕频段系列产品、4G频段系列产品、其他系列产品。 来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 2月26日，慧智微涨3.39%，成交额1.85亿元，换手率4.40%，总市值61.16亿元。 异动分析 芯片概念+专精特新+5G+国家大基金持股+人民币贬值受益 1、公司主营业务为射频前端芯片及模组的研发、设计和销售。公司具备全套射频前端芯片设计能力和 集成化模组研发能力，技术体系以功率放大器（PA）的设计能力为核心。 主力没有控盘，筹码分布非常分散，主力成交额6100.89万，占总成交额的7.49%。 4、国家集成电路产业投资基金二期股份有限公司持2603万股，占总股本5.75%. 5、根据2024年年报，公司海外 ...

Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor manufacturing company SMIC has received investment from the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund, holding 1.61% of the total share capital, indicating strong governmental support for the company and the industry [2]. Company Overview - SMIC is the largest integrated circuit manufacturing enterprise group in mainland China, known for its advanced technology and comprehensive support [2]. - The company specializes in wafer foundry services based on various technology nodes and platforms, providing design services, IP support, and photomask manufacturing [2]. - As of September 30, 2025, SMIC reported a revenue of 49.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.22%, and a net profit of 3.82 billion yuan, up 41.09% year-on-year [5]. Market Performance - On February 13, SMIC's stock rose by 0.30%, with a trading volume of 4.02 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.72%, bringing the total market capitalization to 935.50 billion yuan [1]. - The stock's average trading cost is 122.58 yuan, with current price levels between resistance at 125.50 yuan and support at 111.80 yuan, suggesting potential for range trading [4]. Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders of SMIC include several ETFs, with notable reductions in holdings from major funds like E Fund and Huaxia [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Guangzhou Huizhi Microelectronics Co., Ltd., specializes in the research, design, and sales of RF front-end chips and modules, with a significant focus on 5G technology and benefiting from the depreciation of the RMB [2][4]. Group 1: Company Overview - The main business of the company includes the development, design, and sales of RF front-end chips and modules, with key products in the 5G and 4G frequency bands [2][8]. - The company has been recognized as a "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" small giant enterprise, indicating its strong market position and technological capabilities [2]. - As of September 30, the company had 17,700 shareholders, an increase of 9.39% from the previous period, with an average of 18,296 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 8.59% [8]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 568 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 48.04%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was -122 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 58.98% [8]. - The company's overseas revenue accounted for 98.18% of total revenue, benefiting from the depreciation of the RMB [4]. Group 3: Shareholder and Market Activity - The National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund holds 26.03 million shares, accounting for 5.75% of the total share capital [3]. - The stock has a current market capitalization of 5.639 billion yuan, with a trading volume of 68.0793 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.75% [1].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Guangzhou Huizhi Microelectronics Co., Ltd., specializes in the research, design, and sales of RF front-end chips and modules, with a significant focus on 5G technology and a strong market position as a "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" enterprise [2][8]. Group 1: Company Overview - The main business of the company includes the development, design, and sales of RF front-end chips and modules, with key products in the 5G and 4G frequency bands [2][8]. - The company was established on November 11, 2011, and went public on May 16, 2023 [8]. - As of September 30, the company had 17,700 shareholders, an increase of 9.39% from the previous period [8]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 568 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 48.04% [8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was -122 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 58.98% [8]. - The company's overseas revenue accounted for 98.18%, benefiting from the depreciation of the RMB [4]. Group 3: Market Position and Recognition - The company has been recognized as a "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" small giant enterprise, which is a prestigious title in China for small and medium-sized enterprises [2]. - The National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund holds 26.03 million shares, accounting for 5.75% of the total share capital [3]. Group 4: Technical Analysis - The average trading cost of the stock is 11.74 yuan, with recent chip reduction slowing down [7]. - The current stock price is near a resistance level of 12.21 yuan, indicating potential for a price correction if this level is not surpassed [7].

Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor manufacturing company SMIC has shown a positive stock performance with a 1.98% increase, reaching a market capitalization of approximately 919.5 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Company Overview - SMIC is the largest integrated circuit manufacturing enterprise group in mainland China, recognized for its advanced technology and comprehensive support [2] - The company specializes in wafer foundry services across various technology nodes and platforms, providing design services, IP support, and photomask manufacturing [2] - As of September 30, 2025, SMIC reported a revenue of 49.51 billion yuan, marking an 18.22% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 3.82 billion yuan, reflecting a 41.09% increase [5] Group 2: Investment and Shareholding - The National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund holds a 1.61% stake in SMIC, indicating institutional confidence in the company [2] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 336,200, with an average of 6,134 shares held per shareholder, a decrease of 25.41% from the previous period [5] - Major shareholders include various ETFs, with notable reductions in holdings from several funds, indicating a shift in institutional investment [6][7] Group 3: Market Performance - The stock experienced a net outflow of 32.64 million yuan today, with a total of 3.92 billion yuan over the last three days, suggesting a lack of strong buying momentum [3] - The average trading cost of SMIC shares is 123.12 yuan, with the stock currently near a resistance level of 118.00 yuan, indicating potential for a price correction if it fails to break through this level [4]

Core Viewpoint - SMIC's stock experienced a slight decline of 0.88% on February 3, with a trading volume of 6.5 billion yuan and a market capitalization of 928.29 billion yuan, ranking 42nd in popularity on Sina Finance's A-share market Group 1: Company Overview - SMIC is the largest integrated circuit manufacturing enterprise group in mainland China, known for its advanced technology and comprehensive support [4] - The company's main business includes integrated circuit wafer foundry services based on various technology nodes and platforms, along with design services, IP support, and photomask manufacturing [4] - As of September 30, 2025, SMIC reported a revenue of 49.51 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 18.22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.82 billion yuan, up 41.09% year-on-year [8] Group 2: Investment and Shareholding - The National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund holds a 1.61% stake in SMIC [2] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders in SMIC increased to 336,200, with an average of 6,134 shares held per shareholder, a decrease of 25.41% from the previous period [8] - Major shareholders include various ETFs, with notable reductions in holdings from several funds, indicating a shift in institutional investment [9] Group 3: Market Activity - The stock has seen a net outflow of 445 million yuan from major investors today, with a total net outflow of 1.375 billion yuan over the past three days [6] - The average trading cost of SMIC's shares is 123.98 yuan, with the stock price approaching a resistance level of 118.00 yuan, suggesting potential for upward movement if this level is surpassed [7]

Market Overview - The A-share market is experiencing narrow consolidation with the three major indices showing slight gains, specifically the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.14%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.50%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.01% [2][4] - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached 2.69 trillion yuan, an increase of 91 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, indicating a potential short-term consolidation phase after continuous volume increases [7] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors include Construction Materials (up 4.09%), National Defense and Military Industry (up 3.23%), and Oil and Petrochemicals (up 3.07%) [3][4] - Conversely, the sectors with the poorest performance include Beauty and Personal Care (down 0.76%), Banking (down 0.43%), and Pharmaceutical and Biological (down 0.42%) [3][4] Concept Indices - Among concept indices, the Domestic Aircraft Carrier concept led with a gain of 3.82%, followed by Combustible Ice (up 3.57%) and Large Aircraft (up 3.04%) [3][4] - On the downside, sectors such as Sci-Tech New Stocks and Photoresists saw declines of 1.09% and 0.93%, respectively [3][4] Future Outlook - The report indicates that the A-share market is likely to continue receiving support from multiple favorable factors, including the "14th Five-Year" industrial guidance, overseas liquidity easing, and domestic policy support [7] - The upcoming economic stabilization policies are expected to drive market risk appetite higher, suggesting a potential upward trend as the spring market approaches [7] Government Initiatives - A significant government initiative includes the allocation of 93.6 billion yuan in ultra-long special treasury bonds to support equipment upgrades across various sectors, which is projected to stimulate total investment exceeding 460 billion yuan [6]

| 002409 | 雅克科技 | -2.17 | 5.56 | -15437.27 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 688981 | 中芯国际 | -0.31 | 3.24 | -14785.15 | | 300567 | 精测电子 | -3.21 | 8.09 | -13211.68 | | 688396 | 华润微 | -1.79 | 2.49 | -10226.41 | | 300474 | 景嘉微 | 0.45 | 5.80 | -10129.13 | | 688347 | 华虹公司 | 0.76 | 4.66 | -9674.34 | | 688783 | 西安奕材 | -2.95 | 12.15 | -9036.65 | | 688072 | 拓荆科技 | -1.31 | 1.99 | -8358.98 | | 600206 | 有研新材 | -0.92 | 3.73 | -8133.91 | | 688549 | 中巨芯 | -1.75 | 6.55 | -7000.58 | | 300024 | 机器人 | -0.71 | 1.98 | -6884.5 ...