证券研究报告 2025 年 10 月 10 日 星期五 【A 股市场大势研判】 沪指时隔 10 年重返 3900 点 市场表现： 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： | 申万行业表现前五 | | | 申万行业表现后五 | 概 | 念板块表现前五 | 概念板块表现后五 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 有色金属 | 7.60% | 传媒 | -1.43% | 可控核聚变 | 6.97% | 免税店 | -1.82% | | 钢铁 | 3.38% | 房地产 | -1.39% | 金属铅 | 6.14% | 冰雪产业 | -1.59% | | 煤炭 | 3.00% | 社会服务 | -1.03% | 超导概念 | 5.85% | 租售同权 | -1.52% | | 公用事业 | 2.60% | 汽车 | -0.39% | 金属锌 | 5.72% | 短剧游戏 | -1.35% | | 电子 | 2.18% | 食品饮料 | -0.29% | 金属钴 | 5.50% | 旅游概念 | -1.05% | 资料来源：东莞 ...

根据A股概念涨跌幅与所对应的股票池综合分析，涨幅靠前的三个概念板块分别为：可控核聚变、金属 铅与超导概念。排名前10位的概念板块相关数据见下表： | 概念名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | 涨停成分股占比(%) | 上涨成分股占比(%) | 下跌成分股占比(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 可控核聚变 | 6.97 | 23.17 | 91.46 | 8.54 | | 全鳥铅 | 6.14 | 21.21 | 100.0 | 0.0 | | 超导概念 | 5.85 | 19.23 | 92.31 | 7.69 | | 全属锌 | 5.72 | 16.22 | 94.59 | 2.7 | | 金属结 | 5.5 | 21.62 | 89.19 | 10.81 | | 全属钢 | 5.28 | 22.35 | 90.59 | 7.06 | | 黄金概念 | 5.22 | 25.33 | 88.0 | 12.0 | | 稀土永磁 | 5.05 | 5.17 | 87.93 | 12.07 | | 小金属概念 | 4.16 | 12.84 | 86.49 | 11.49 | | 全 ...

金属钴概念资金流入榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | 主力资金净流入比率（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601390 中国中铁 | | 5.44 | 2.14 | 42814.59 | 17.09 | | 601618 中国中冶 | | 7.53 | 4.98 | 22256.46 | 6.06 | | 000426 兴业银锡 | | 10.00 | 4.20 | 22081.97 | 8.35 | | 600549 厦门钨业 | | 8.85 | 5.74 | 21259.67 | 7.65 | | 002266 浙富控股 | | 10.12 | 2.47 | 20285.83 | 38.25 | | 601669 中国电建 | | 3.94 | 3.33 | 19282.64 | 7.69 | | 002460 赣锋锂业 | | 10.00 | 10.70 | 17875.52 | 2.11 | | 600490 鹏欣资源 | | 8.52 | 10.14 | 17222.27 | 1 ...

Market Performance - The three major A-share indices collectively rose on September 29, with the ChiNext Index increasing by 2.74% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 21,781.43 billion yuan, an increase of over 12 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - More than 3,500 stocks closed higher, with 68 stocks hitting the daily limit up [1] Sector Performance - The leading sectors included metals such as zinc, nickel, and lead, while sectors like pork and military equipment restructuring saw significant declines [2] Institutional Ratings - A total of 21 buy ratings were issued by institutions today, covering 20 stocks, with three stocks receiving target price forecasts [3] - Stocks with buy ratings from institutions averaged a rise of 2.34%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [4] Stock Highlights - Notable stocks that rose today included Lingyi Zhi Manufacturing and New Australia Holdings, with significant gains [5] - The top gainers included Feilihua, Luzhou Laojiao, and Huhua Electric, with increases of 5.24%, 4.3%, and 3.18% respectively [5] Institutional Buying and Selling - In the Dragon and Tiger list, 12 stocks saw net buying from institutions, with Tianqi Materials and Chuling Information receiving over 100 million yuan in net purchases [6] - The top net buying amounts included Tianqi Materials at 1 billion yuan and Lingyi Zhi Manufacturing at 987.78 million yuan [6] - Among the stocks sold by institutions, New Light Optoelectronics faced the highest net selling at 144 million yuan [7] Northbound Capital - Northbound funds saw net buying in 11 stocks, with Lingyi Zhi Manufacturing and Tianqi Materials leading the way [7] - Three stocks experienced net selling from northbound funds, with Wanxiang Qianchao facing a net sell of 105 million yuan [8] Company Announcements - Jingye Intelligent plans to acquire a 51% stake in Hefei Shengwen Information Technology for 1.08 billion yuan, aiming to enhance its military industry strategy [9] - Walton Technology is in the proposal stage for a project to enhance membrane materials and components, subject to internal approvals and market conditions [9] - ST Mingjiahui has received a court ruling for restructuring, which may lead to delisting risks if the restructuring fails [10] - Huayou Cobalt's subsidiary signed a supply agreement with LG Energy Solution for 76,000 tons of ternary precursor products from 2026 to 2030 [11] - China CRRC announced several major contracts totaling approximately 543.4 billion yuan, representing 22% of its projected 2024 revenue [11] - ST Mubang's actual controller is under investigation by the China Securities Regulatory Commission for failing to disclose non-operating fund transactions [11]

Group 1 - The military equipment restructuring concept declined by 0.52%, ranking among the top declines in the concept sector, with companies like Changcheng Military Industry, Hunan Tianyan, and Zhongguang Optical leading the declines [1][1][1] - The top gainers in today's concept sectors included zinc metal (+3.68%), nickel metal (+3.65%), and lead metal (+3.61%), while the pork sector saw a decline of -0.54% [1][1][1] - The military equipment restructuring sector experienced a net outflow of 263 million yuan, with Changcheng Military Industry seeing the largest outflow of 117 million yuan [1][1][1] Group 2 - The top stocks with net outflows in the military equipment restructuring sector included Changcheng Military Industry (-1.20%), Chang'an Automobile (-0.81%), and Construction Industry (-0.51%) [1][1][1] - Conversely, Hunan Tianyan and Huqiang Technology were among the stocks with net inflows, receiving 2.47 million yuan and 222,100 yuan respectively [1][1][1] - The trading volume for Changcheng Military Industry was 4.97%, while Hunan Tianyan had a turnover rate of 2.32% [1][1][1]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively retreated on September 18, with a market turnover of 31,666.43 billion yuan, an increase of over 7,600 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - More than 1,000 stocks closed higher, with 65 stocks hitting the daily limit [1] - F5G concept, Co-packaged Optics (CPO), and copper cable high-speed connections were among the top gainers, while metals like lead and zinc saw significant declines [1] Stock Recommendations - According to statistics from Securities Times, 38 buy-rated reports were released today, with 6 stocks showing an upside potential of over 20% [2] - The stock with the highest upside potential is Haoneng Co., with a target price of 23.64 yuan, indicating a potential increase of 41.64% [2] - Other notable stocks with high upside include Huaibei Mining and Ruoyuchen, with potential increases of 38.20% and 26.89%, respectively [2] - The computer industry is the most favored, with five stocks including Langxin Group and Shensinfeng receiving buy ratings; the pharmaceutical and basic chemical industries also attracted attention with four and three stocks, respectively [2] Institutional Trading - In today's trading, 14 stocks saw net buying from institutions, with Huafeng Technology and Shijia Technology each exceeding 100 million yuan in net purchases [3] - Conversely, 10 stocks experienced net selling, with Dazhihui facing the largest net sell-off of 327 million yuan [3] - Northbound funds saw net buying in 16 stocks, led by Huasheng Tiancheng with a net purchase of 233 million yuan [3][4] Corporate Announcements - Fengshan Group signed a technical development contract with Tsinghua University to collaborate on sodium-ion battery electrolyte and solid-state lithium-ion battery electrolyte projects [5] - Fulian Precision signed a 1.5 billion yuan prepayment agreement with CATL to secure lithium iron phosphate supply and support raw material construction in Jiangxi [5] - Anhui Heli plans to acquire 51% of Jianghuai Heavy Industry for 274 million yuan [6] - Xiaxia Precision intends to invest 30 million yuan in Huaxia Zhuozhi [7] - Dongsoft Group will supply intelligent cockpit domain controllers to a well-known domestic automotive manufacturer, with a total amount of approximately 5.6 billion yuan [8] - Feile Audio has no plans to enter the lithography machine sector or major asset restructuring [9] - Dekeli has received overseas sample orders for silicon-based OCS but has not secured bulk orders from major overseas manufacturers [10] - Hongchang Technology's affiliated robotics company currently has a small order scale and revenue [11] - Wolong Electric Drive reported that its robotics-related products accounted for approximately 2.71% of total revenue in the first half of the year, indicating a low proportion [12]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively retreated on September 18, with a market turnover of 31,666.43 billion yuan, an increase of over 7,600 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - More than 1,000 stocks closed higher, with 65 stocks hitting the daily limit [1] Sector Performance - F5G concept, Co-packaged optics (CPO), and copper cable high-speed connections were among the top gainers [2] - Metals such as lead and zinc experienced significant declines [2] Institutional Ratings - A total of 38 buy ratings were issued by institutions today, with 6 stocks showing an upside potential exceeding 20% [3] - The stock with the highest upside potential is Haoneng Co., with a target price of 23.64 yuan, indicating a potential increase of 41.64% [4] - Other notable stocks with high upside potential include Huabei Mining (38.20%) and Ruoyuchen (26.89%) [3][4] Institutional Buying and Selling - In the Dragon and Tiger list, 14 stocks saw net buying, with Huafeng Technology and Shijia Technology each exceeding 100 million yuan in net purchases [5] - Conversely, 10 stocks were net sold by institutions, with Dazhihui facing the highest net sell of 327 million yuan [5] Notable Announcements - Fengshan Group signed a technical development contract with Tsinghua University for sodium-ion battery electrolyte and solid-state lithium-ion battery projects [9] - Fulian Precision signed a 1.5 billion yuan prepayment agreement with CATL to secure lithium iron phosphate supply [9] - Anhui Heli plans to acquire 51% of Jianghuai Heavy Industry for 274 million yuan [9] - Neusoft Group will supply intelligent cockpit domain controllers to a major domestic automotive manufacturer, with a total amount of approximately 5.6 billion yuan [11]

Group 1 - The concept of "Characteristic Towns" has seen a rise of 1.66%, ranking 9th among concept sectors, with 21 stocks increasing in value, including Rongsheng Development, Three Gorges Tourism, and Tianyu Biological, which reached the daily limit [1] - Major stocks in the "Characteristic Towns" sector that saw significant gains include Meichen Technology, Financial Street, and Chengbang Co., which rose by 7.10%, 5.05%, and 4.72% respectively [1] - The sector experienced a net inflow of 624 million yuan from main funds, with 21 stocks receiving net inflows, and 6 stocks exceeding 30 million yuan in net inflow, led by Huaxia Happiness with 325 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - The top three stocks by net inflow ratio in the "Characteristic Towns" sector are Huaxia Happiness, Three Gorges Tourism, and Rongsheng Development, with net inflow ratios of 36.43%, 34.64%, and 21.65% respectively [3] - The "Characteristic Towns" sector's performance is highlighted by the significant trading volume and turnover rates of leading stocks, indicating strong investor interest [3][4] - Stocks such as *ST Nanzhi, Palm Shares, and ST Lingnan experienced the largest declines, with decreases of 5.02%, 4.53%, and 2.99% respectively, reflecting potential challenges within the sector [1][5]

Market Performance - The BC battery concept index declined by 1.02% as of the market close on September 12, ranking among the top decliners in the concept sector [1] - Within the BC battery sector, leading stocks such as XianDao Intelligent, JuHe Materials, and DiEr Laser experienced significant declines, while stocks like Robotech, Inno Laser, and Dongcai Technology saw gains of 8.83%, 4.57%, and 3.43% respectively [1] Capital Flow - The BC battery concept sector experienced a net outflow of 2.538 billion yuan, with 32 stocks facing net outflows, and 5 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 100 million yuan [2] - XianDao Intelligent led the outflow with a net withdrawal of 1.308 billion yuan, followed by Dongcai Technology, Longi Green Energy, and JuHe Materials with outflows of 267 million yuan, 201 million yuan, and 158 million yuan respectively [2] Top Gainers and Losers - The top gainers in the BC battery concept included Robotech, Foster, and Arctech, with net inflows of 88.06 million yuan, 72.77 million yuan, and 40.07 million yuan respectively [3] - The top decliners in the BC battery concept included XianDao Intelligent with a decline of 8.86%, JuHe Materials with a decline of 6.64%, and DiEr Laser with a decline of 6.16% [2][3]

Group 1 - The football concept sector declined by 1.33%, ranking among the top declines in concept sectors, with notable declines in companies like Jinling Sports, Yue Media, and Sanboshuo [1][2] - Among the football concept stocks, five showed price increases, with Tianwei Video, Mongcao Ecology, and Tianfu Culture rising by 1.06%, 1.06%, and 0.85% respectively [1][2] - The football concept sector experienced a net outflow of 725 million yuan from main funds, with 29 stocks seeing net outflows, and eight stocks with outflows exceeding 30 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - The top net outflow stock was SAIC Motor, with a net outflow of 173 million yuan, followed by Tianfu Culture, Hikvision, and Amway with net outflows of 95.61 million yuan, 83.06 million yuan, and 64.35 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The stocks with the highest net inflows included Aorijin, Nova Star Cloud, and Lehman Optoelectronics, with net inflows of 7.37 million yuan, 6.35 million yuan, and 3.57 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The football concept sector's outflow list included companies like SAIC Motor, Tianfu Culture, and Hikvision, with respective declines of 2.21%, 0.85%, and 0.45% [2][3]