证券研究报告 2026 年 3 月 2 日 星期一 【A 股市场大势研判】 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 后市展望： 周五，A 股 2 月收官，沪指月线斩获 3 连阳。三大指数开盘集体低开，沪指低开 0.43%， 深成指低开 0.89%，创业板指低开 1.23%。随后指数震荡。截至午盘收盘，三大指数震荡 调整，沪指再度翻绿，创业板指跌超 1%。盘面上，算力租赁概念集体爆发；有色金属板 块反复活跃；AI 编程概念走强；太空光伏概念震荡反弹。午后，指数震荡上行，最终收 盘三大指数涨跌不一。总体上个股涨多跌少，钢铁、煤炭、有色金属、公用事业和农林牧 渔等行业表现靠前；建筑材料、通信、电子、汽车和家用电器等行业表现靠后。概念指数 方面，金属铅、金属锌、小金属概念、金属铜和金属钴等板块表现靠前；国家大基金持股、 PCB 概念、中芯国际概念、存储芯片和先进封装等板块表现靠后。 值得关注的是，为促进外汇市场发展，支持企业管理好汇率风险，中国人民银行决定 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 1 A 股 ...

责任编辑：小浪快报 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 02月27日消息，截止13:50，金属铅板块活跃，锌业股份、华钰矿业、驰宏锌锗、国城矿业（维权）、 中色股份、中金岭南等个股涨幅居前。 ...

截至2月10日，盛达资源股东户数7.62万，较上期减少14.94%；人均流通股8754股，较上期增加 17.57%。2025年1月-9月，盛达资源实现营业收入16.52亿元，同比增长18.29%；归母净利润3.23亿元， 同比增长61.97%。 分红方面，盛达资源A股上市后累计派现12.98亿元。近三年，累计派现1.20亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，盛达资源十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第四大流 通股东，持股1663.34万股，相比上期减少892.71万股。前海开源金银珠宝混合A（001302）位居第六大 流通股东，持股1121.69万股，相比上期增加113.11万股。华商新趋势优选混合（166301）位居第九大流 通股东，持股700.00万股，为新进股东。银华内需精选混合(LOF)（161810）、银华同力精选混合 （009394）退出十大流通股东之列。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd., is experiencing growth in revenue and profit, driven by its main business in gold and non-ferrous metal mining, with significant overseas revenue contributions due to the depreciation of the RMB [4][9]. Company Overview - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. is located in Inner Mongolia and was established on June 22, 1998. It was listed on April 14, 2004. The company's main business includes gold and non-ferrous metal mining and resource recycling [8]. - The revenue composition of the company is as follows: gold accounts for 90.03%, electrolytic copper 3.76%, and other products including zinc concentrate, rare earth products, and molybdenum concentrate make up the remainder [8]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 8.644 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 38.91%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.058 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 86.21% [9]. - The company has distributed a total of 387 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with the same amount distributed over the past three years [9]. Market Activity - On February 12, the stock price of Chifeng Gold increased by 0.08%, with a trading volume of 2.133 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 3.34%. The total market capitalization is 72.691 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has shown no significant trend in net inflow from major investors, with a net outflow of 2.1359 million yuan on the day of analysis [5][6]. Business Operations - The company operates a multi-metal mine in Laos, primarily engaged in copper mining and smelting [3]. - The overseas revenue accounted for 69.11% of total revenue, benefiting from the depreciation of the RMB [4]. Strategic Developments - The company is collaborating with Xiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd. to develop rare earth resources in Laos, with a project that has an estimated resource of 101 million tons of ore and 25,500 tons of rare earth oxides [4].

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly rising by 0.09% to close at 4131.99, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.35% to 14160.93 [2] - The overall trading volume in the market was below 2 trillion yuan, indicating a lack of strong market momentum [4][6] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Construction Materials (3.29%), Nonferrous Metals (2.39%), and Oil & Petrochemicals (2.18%) [3] - Conversely, the sectors that underperformed were Communication (-2.17%), Media (-1.99%), and Social Services (-1.74%) [3] Future Outlook - The market is expected to enter a phase of consolidation with potential short-term adjustments as investor sentiment becomes cautious ahead of the Spring Festival [6] - Long-term, the regulatory environment is signaling a focus on market normalization and risk prevention, suggesting a shift towards a more balanced market structure [6] - There is an emphasis on dividend assets for long-term positioning, along with opportunities in cyclical industries and undervalued traditional consumer sectors [6] Economic Indicators - Consumer demand is recovering, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising by 0.2% month-on-month and year-on-year [5] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 0.4% month-on-month but decreased by 1.4% year-on-year, reflecting ongoing pressures in the industrial sector [5] - The People's Bank of China is expected to maintain a moderately loose monetary policy to support liquidity and financing conditions [5]

Core Viewpoint - Shengda Resources has experienced a significant stock price increase of 54.72% year-to-date, despite a recent decline of 3.15% over the past five trading days [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of February 10, Shengda Resources' stock price is 47.90 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 33.05 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has seen a trading volume of 7.08 billion CNY, with a turnover rate of 2.19% [1]. - The stock has been on the "Dragon and Tiger List" four times this year, with the most recent appearance on February 3 [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Shengda Resources reported a revenue of 1.652 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 18.29% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 323 million CNY, showing a year-on-year increase of 61.97% [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of January 30, the number of shareholders for Shengda Resources reached 89,500, an increase of 74.73% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder is 7,446, which is a decrease of 42.77% from the previous period [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 16.6334 million shares, a decrease of 8.9271 million shares from the previous period [3].

Core Viewpoint - China Nonferrous Metal Construction Co., Ltd. (中色股份) has experienced fluctuations in stock price and trading volume, with a recent decline in share price despite a year-to-date increase. The company shows a mixed financial performance with a slight decrease in revenue but a significant increase in net profit. Group 1: Stock Performance - On February 6, 中色股份's stock price fell by 2.45% to 7.17 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 70.04 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.50%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 14.27 billion CNY [1] - Year-to-date, 中色股份's stock has increased by 7.98%, but it has declined by 9.47% over the last five trading days, with a 1.99% increase over the last 20 days and a 9.97% increase over the last 60 days [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, 中色股份 reported a revenue of 6.931 billion CNY, a slight decrease of 0.21% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 42.84% to 481 million CNY [2] - The company has distributed a total of 1.079 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 91.67 million CNY distributed over the last three years [3] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of January 30, 2025, 中色股份 had 156,000 shareholders, an increase of 42.71% from the previous period, with an average of 12,668 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 29.93% [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited as the second-largest shareholder with 26.94 million shares, a decrease of 2.0884 million shares from the previous period [3]

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4075.92, down by 0.64% (-26.29 points) [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13952.71, down by 1.44% (-203.56 points) [2] - The CSI 300 Index closed at 4670.42, down by 0.60% (-28.26 points) [2] - The ChiNext Index closed at 3260.28, down by 1.55% (-51.24 points) [2] - The STAR 50 Index closed at 1432.52, down by 1.44% (-20.95 points) [2] - The Beijing Stock Exchange 50 Index closed at 1507.29, down by 2.03% (-31.28 points) [2] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Beauty Care (3.21%), Banks (1.57%), and Food & Beverage (1.31%) [3] - The worst-performing sectors included Non-ferrous Metals (-4.57%), Electric Power Equipment (-3.41%), and Coal (-2.22%) [3] - Concept sectors showing strength included Horse Racing (1.89%) and Duty-Free Shops (1.33%) [3] - Concept sectors underperforming included BC Battery (-5.18%) and Lead Metal (-4.14%) [3] Market Outlook - The market experienced a weak adjustment with all major indices closing lower, particularly the ChiNext Index [4] - Consumer sectors showed resilience with significant activity in Food & Beverage, Retail, and Tourism [4] - The financial sector strengthened in the afternoon, while commodities like Non-ferrous Metals and Oil & Gas faced declines [4] - The overall market sentiment indicated more stocks declining than rising, with over 3700 stocks down [6] Economic Indicators - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.18 trillion, a decrease of 304.8 billion from the previous trading day [6] - Industrial profits for large-scale industrial enterprises are projected to grow by only 0.6% in 2025, below GDP growth [6] - The People's Bank of China emphasized support for key sectors like technology innovation and small to medium enterprises [5] Risks - Potential risks include unexpected declines in the overseas economy and prolonged high interest rates affecting domestic liquidity [7] - Trade tensions between China and the U.S. could further pressure domestic exports [7]

Core Insights - The A-share market experienced a collective decline on Thursday, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.64% to close at 4,075.92 points, the Shenzhen Component Index dropping by 1.44%, and the ChiNext Index decreasing by 1.55% [2][7] - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached 2.19 trillion RMB, with over 3,700 stocks declining [7] - In terms of industry performance, the beauty and personal care sector, along with the banking industry, led the gains, while the non-ferrous metals and electric equipment sectors faced declines [7] - Concept sectors such as horse racing and duty-free shops saw gains, whereas BC batteries and lead metal concepts experienced losses [7] - The Hong Kong market showed a slight increase, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.14% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 0.74% [7] - Internationally, US stock markets saw declines across all three major indices, with the Dow Jones down by 1.20%, the S&P 500 down by 1.23%, and the Nasdaq down by 1.59% [7] - European stock markets also experienced collective declines, while the Asia-Pacific markets showed mixed results [7] Important News - The Ministry of Finance, General Administration of Customs, and State Taxation Administration jointly announced a "zero tariff" policy for imported goods purchased by residents in Hainan Free Trade Port, allowing for a tax exemption on imports within a limit of 10,000 RMB per person per year, with no restrictions on purchase frequency [3][8] - The 2026 National Service Consumption and Service Trade Work Conference emphasized the shift in consumption structure from goods to services, aiming to cultivate new growth points in service consumption, support service exports, and innovate in digital trade [3][8]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a significant adjustment, with all three major indices declining over 2% [1][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4015.75, down 2.48%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 2.69% to 13824.35 [2] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Food & Beverage (+1.11%), Banks (+0.17%), and Household Appliances (-0.49%) [3] - Conversely, the worst-performing sectors were Non-ferrous Metals (-7.62%), Steel (-5.93%), and Basic Chemicals (-5.69%) [3] Market Sentiment and Outlook - The market showed a broad decline, with over 4600 stocks falling, and 123 stocks hitting the daily limit down [6] - The report indicates that the market sentiment has cooled significantly, with expectations of continued volatility in February [6] - Despite the current downturn, there is an expectation that the overall index adjustment space is limited, and stabilization may occur around the Chinese New Year [6] Economic Indicators - The manufacturing PMI for January was reported at 49.3, indicating a contraction, while the non-manufacturing business activity index was at 49.4, also showing a decline [5] - The report highlights that some small and medium-sized banks have begun reducing deposit rates, which may set the stage for broader interest rate cuts by the central bank [6]