技術分析

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BTC周線不妙?回抽做空?留意MACD背離!ETH還行嗎?
提阿非羅大人TiaBTC· 2025-08-18 20:00
我最常用Bybit,最符合技術分析:https://bit.ly/tiabtc 現貨常用幣安,最高減40%手續費:https://bit.ly/tiaba 老牌OKX歐易,長久可靠低費率:https://bit.ly/tiok 最強跟單Bitget,最多新手福利:https://bit.ly/tiabtg 註冊入金(或重啟老賬戶),免費體驗會員一月:https://bit.ly/tia_discord 客服:Discord社群中找@tiahelper 推特:https://x.com/tiabitcoin 課程:https://www.tiabtc.com Telegram:https://t.me/tiaalert #bitcoin #比特幣 #以太幣 #以太坊 #btc #大餅 #eth #doge #狗狗幣 #技術分析 #道氏理論 #波浪理論 #斐波拉契 #諧波形態 #自然交易理論 #自然交易法 #江恩理論 #sol #ada #bnb #xrp #dot #avax #luna #uni #大作手回憶錄 #傑西利弗莫爾 #李佛摩 #美聯儲 #美股 #幣圈 #加密貨幣 #數字貨幣 #硬件錢包 #中本聰 ...
BTC下跌才開始?是否有反彈?ETH還去新高嗎?
提阿非羅大人TiaBTC· 2025-08-15 19:17
我最常用Bybit,最符合技術分析:https://bit.ly/tiabtc 現貨常用幣安,最高減40%手續費:https://bit.ly/tiaba 老牌OKX歐易,長久可靠低費率:https://bit.ly/tiok 最強跟單Bitget,最多新手福利:https://bit.ly/tiabtg 註冊入金(或重啟老賬戶),免費體驗會員一月:https://bit.ly/tia_discord 客服:Discord社群中找@tiahelper 推特:https://x.com/tiabitcoin 課程:https://www.tiabtc.com Telegram:https://t.me/tiaalert #bitcoin #比特幣 #以太幣 #以太坊 #btc #大餅 #eth #doge #狗狗幣 #技術分析 #道氏理論 #波浪理論 #斐波拉契 #諧波形態 #自然交易理論 #自然交易法 #江恩理論 #sol #ada #bnb #xrp #dot #avax #luna #uni #大作手回憶錄 #傑西利弗莫爾 #李佛摩 #美聯儲 #美股 #幣圈 #加密貨幣 #數字貨幣 #硬件錢包 #中本聰 ...
匯豐(00005)短線攻略:關鍵位100元爭奪戰!牛熊證邊隻槓桿最吸引?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-15 03:57
Core Viewpoint - HSBC's stock price is currently around 100.6 HKD, showing increased short-term volatility with a 4.7% fluctuation over the past five days, indicating a tug-of-war between bulls and bears at a critical level [1][2]. Technical Analysis and Key Levels - Support levels for HSBC are identified at 96.5 HKD (short-term support) and 92.3 HKD (strong support), while resistance levels are at 104.4 HKD (recent high) and 108.5 HKD (yearly target) [2]. - The 10-day moving average (98.41 HKD) and 30-day moving average (98.16 HKD) have formed a "golden cross," but the stock price is nearing the upper Bollinger Band, making the ability to break through the psychological barrier of 100 HKD a focal point [2]. - There is speculation on whether HSBC will first retrace to the 96.5 HKD support if the broader Hong Kong market weakens, or if it will benefit from interest rate hike expectations to test higher levels [2]. Recent Performance and Investor Sentiment - In August, HSBC's stock price rose nearly 10% after a significant drop at the end of July, stabilizing around the 100 HKD mark [4]. - Investors are divided, with some seeing a double-top formation that could lead to a drop towards 90 HKD, while others believe the stock is on a stable upward trajectory [4]. Product Review and Strategy Insights - Recent product performance shows that UBS bull certificates have significantly outperformed the underlying stock, with one product rising 7% and another 10% despite only a 0.2% increase in the stock price [5]. - In the current market environment, investors are encouraged to consider UBS call options with a leverage of 17.3 times, particularly suitable for aggressive investors anticipating a breakout [7]. - For bearish investors, options with lower leverage and favorable implied volatility are also available, providing a range of choices depending on market outlook [7][11]. Market Volatility and Trading Opportunities - The current market volatility has increased the risk associated with bull and bear certificates, necessitating close monitoring of the distance between the stock price and the recovery price [11].
多空激戰!舜宇光學短線機會浮現
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-13 19:11
Core Viewpoint - Sunny Optical Technology (02382) has recently attracted attention with its stock price at 77.1 HKD, showing bullish signals in technical analysis [1] Technical Analysis - The stock price has stabilized above the MA10 (74.89 HKD) and MA30 (74.02 HKD), with MA60 (68.94 HKD) providing solid support, indicating a strengthening medium-term trend [1] - The RSI indicator is at 62, nearing the overbought zone but not yet overheated, while MACD and Bollinger Bands have issued buy signals [1] - Key support levels are at 74 HKD (Support 1) and 71.4 HKD (Support 2); maintaining above these levels will sustain the bullish pattern [2] - Resistance levels are at 79.3 HKD (Resistance 1) and 82.7 HKD (Resistance 2); breaking through 79.3 HKD could trigger a new upward movement [2] Investment Signals - Current technical signals summarize as "buy," with a short-term preference, and the upper resistance levels align with investor expectations [4] - For investors optimistic about short-term breakthroughs, options such as Societe Generale call warrant 13939 (exercise price 89.5 HKD, leverage 4.8) and Barclays call warrant 15410 (exercise price 89.55 HKD, leverage 4.9) are recommended [7] - Cautious investors may consider the put warrant 14741 (exercise price 73.82 HKD, leverage 4.5) as a hedging tool against potential market adjustments [7] Derivative Products - Bull certificates like HSBC Bull Certificate 62734 and UBS Bull Certificate 57312 have a buyback price set at 70 HKD, with actual leverage of 8.1 and 7.9 respectively, suitable for investors expecting short-term rebounds [10] - A bear certificate option is Citigroup Bear Certificate 55092, with a buyback price of 88 HKD and actual leverage of 6.6, suitable for strategies anticipating a price peak and subsequent decline [10]
匯豐技術指標分歧,100元關口何去何從?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-13 11:57
消息面上,匯豐近日公布季績,淨利潤略超市場預期,主要受淨息差擴大推動,獲多家投行上調目標價。另有傳聞指其考慮提高股息率,吸引不少收入型投 資者入場。不過,市場亦關注環球經濟放緩對其信貸質素的影響。 從技術分析角度綜合多個指標來看,匯豐目前技術指標總結信號為「中立」,強度 10。多條移動平均線呈現「買入」信號,顯示中長期有一定支持。但多 個震盪指標信號呈「中立」狀態,RSI 指標值為 61,處於中間偏強區域,反映短期走勢仍有分歧。 支持位同阻力位方面,匯豐第一支持位在 96.8 元,更深層次的支持位在 93.5 元;阻力位上,首個阻力位在 103.1 元,更高的阻力位在 106.4 元。目前股價逼 近 100 元關口,處於支持位與阻力位中間偏上位置,系統評估其上升概率為 54%,近 5 日振幅 4.2%,顯示短線波動相對平穩,但仍有操作空間。 牛熊證方面,看好嘅投資者可關注摩通牛證(56622),實際槓桿 11.4 倍,收回價 88 元,不僅槓桿最高且溢價最低,安全墊充足;瑞銀牛證(56446)同樣 擁有 11.4 倍實際槓桿,收回價 88 元,溢價較低,亦是穩健之選。看淡嘅話,摩通熊證(54138)與瑞銀熊證 ...
以太4000!一切剛剛開始?或熱鬧將散場?BTC被搶風頭!
提阿非羅大人TiaBTC· 2025-08-08 18:19
Cryptocurrency Exchange Platforms - Bybit is highlighted as a preferred platform for technical analysis [1] - Binance is mentioned as the largest exchange, offering a 40% fee reduction [1] - OKX is noted as an established platform with commission waivers [1] Promotional Offers - Registration and deposit (or reactivation of old accounts) provide a free one-month membership experience [1] Social Media and Support Channels - Customer support is available on Discord via @tiahelper [1] - Twitter: https://xcom/tiabitcoin [1] - Telegram: https://tme/tiaalert [1] Educational Resources - Courses are available at https://wwwtiabtccom [1] Trading and Investment Topics - Mentions various cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, Solana, ADA, BNB, XRP, DOT, AVAX, LUNA, UNI [1] - Includes trading terminology such as "抄底 (buy the dip)", "做多 (go long)", "做空 (go short)", and "套保 (hedging)" [1] - References technical analysis concepts like Dow Theory, Wave Theory, Fibonacci, Harmonic Patterns, and Gann Theory [1]
中移動短線走勢反覆,如何憑技術分析把握機會?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-08 11:53
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is showing mixed performance, with investors adopting a cautious sentiment, particularly regarding China Mobile's stock amid concerns over the overall growth of the telecommunications industry [1]. Group 1: Company Performance - China Mobile (00941) closed at HKD 85.95, with a slight increase of 0.47% and a trading volume of HKD 1.864 billion, indicating relatively stable fluctuations with a 5-day volatility of 1.9% [1]. - As of 10:17 AM today, China Mobile's stock price rose to HKD 87.1, reflecting a 1.34% increase with a trading volume of HKD 755 million [1]. - There are rumors that China Mobile will increase its investment in 5G base station construction to enhance network coverage quality, providing some support for its stock price [1]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - Multiple technical indicators suggest a "sell" signal with a strength of 11, indicating potential pressure on the medium to long-term trend [3]. - The first support level is at HKD 82.8, with a deeper support level at HKD 79.5; resistance levels are at HKD 89.1 and HKD 92.4, placing the current stock price between support and resistance [3]. - The system assesses a 57% probability of upward movement, indicating some upward momentum despite the technical pressures [3]. Group 3: Derivative Products - For bullish investors, Huatai call option (29531) is recommended with a leverage of 27.4 times and an exercise price of HKD 96.66, offering high cost-effectiveness [5]. - For bearish investors, HSBC put option (19060) has a maximum leverage of 10.2 times with an exercise price of HKD 71.83, presenting a low implied volatility [6]. - The performance of related products shows significant leverage effects, with some options experiencing increases of 6% to 7% shortly after their issuance [3].
8月7日【港股Podcast】恆指、金沙、騰訊、華虹、泡泡瑪特、山東黃金
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-07 12:44
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) shows strong investor sentiment with a trading volume of 200 billion, stabilizing around 25,000 points, closing at 25,081 points [1] - Investors are advised to consider support levels at 24,481 and 24,200 points when selecting products, with resistance levels at 25,475 and 25,900 points [1] Group 2: Company Analysis - Sands China (01928.HK) has seen its stock price rise, breaking through 20 HKD, with buy signals and resistance levels at 21.7 HKD and 22.3 HKD [4] - Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) experienced volatility, with a trading range between 572 HKD and 560 HKD, and buy signals with resistance at 573 HKD and 603 HKD [7] - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) is on an upward trend, with buy signals and resistance levels at 47.2 HKD and 51.9 HKD, aiming for 50 HKD in the short term [9] - Pop Mart (09992.HK) reached a high of 293.4 HKD, with buy signals and support levels at 259 HKD and 243 HKD [12] - Shandong Gold (01787.HK) has seen a four-day price increase, closing at 28.94 HKD, with strong buy signals and resistance levels at 29.1 HKD and 31.6 HKD [15]
銀河娛樂(00027)午市分析:超買回調風險浮現?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-06 19:53
從關鍵價位觀察,38.6元構成近期重要支撐,若失守可能進一步下探37.5元;上方40.9元為短期阻力,突破後有望挑戰42.4元。保力加通道顯示股價已逼近上 軌,通常這種情況下可能伴隨成交量萎縮出現技術性回調。特別值得注意的是,雖然牛熊力量指標維持買入信號,但心理線指標顯示賣出信號,反映市場分 歧正在加大。 昨日專欄【港股Podcast】中,投資者問銀娛 (00027.HK):走勢破頂,拉高出貨嗎?還是會挑戰44-50元?Simon:走勢對比幾日比較強,過往平穩上行,今日盤 中高見40.56元,升穿保力加通道頂部。買賣信號為"買入"。當前阻力位在41.7元和42.6元。投資者的目標價需要多一些耐心,等待長一點的時間。 今日銀河娛樂(00027)股價報40.04元,微跌0.25%。技術指標呈現矛盾信號,RSI高達73已進入超買區域,MACD卻維持買入信號,顯示市場情緒高漲但短期 可能面臨技術性調整。股價目前仍穩站MA10(38.48元)及MA30(37.63元)上方,但隨機震盪指標與威廉指標同步發出賣出信號,這種技術背離現象值得投資 者警惕。 | | | | | | AI | Q G ( | | | --- | ...
BTC如期反彈!W底形成?多空之間,小心!
提阿非羅大人TiaBTC· 2025-08-06 17:42
朋友們大家好,大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是2025年8月6日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖,從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣之前在這邊盤整 然後往下面跌,跌到前面這一帶就止住了 因為它是之前這一帶的高點 然後就出現了一個還不錯的反彈 因為你可以看到 這樣的一根k線 其實是一根看漲吞沒的k線對不對 然後它就反彈到前面 這一帶的低點附近 好像受到了一些阻礙 給人一種感覺 這邊是盤整 然後跌破了這一帶 應該是支撐阻力互換對不對 然後來到這邊一直站不上去 我相信在這種時候 很多人會覺得 現在是背靠著阻力去做空的時機 但是我不會嘗試這樣子去做 因為這一帶如果說重新給它站回去 我會覺得這邊從小級別 因為我們現在看的是日線 可能會出現4小時 或者說一小時級別 比較大的一根陽線 那麼只要是出現了這樣的k線 那麼你可以跟進去 因為它會小小的回落 那麼你這個時候跟進去的話 它之後有可能會漲到更高的地方去 至少是把前面這三個 比較臨近的高點給它拿掉 那目前來說有沒有站上去呢 目前還是沒有站上去 所以我們來看一下小級別它到底在怎麼做 那麼這個是4小時級別 我們可以看到好像嘗試沒有站上去 然後 ...