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打起來了,還盤整嗎?!比特幣去前高?避險資產?
朋友們,2026年3月2日 華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 那這個是比特幣的周線圖 從周線級別來看 我們發現比特幣 在過去的這幾個禮拜 都是非常窄幅的盤整 然後本周剛開始 好像有那麼一種要上漲的感覺 那麼只要是有那麼一點上漲 很多人就會認為 你可以看 這是底 不會再跌到這個地方來了 那我仍然是認為他目前 是在一個盤整區間內 有可能會盤整比比較久 那有的朋友會說哎 你沒有看新聞嗎 現在這個政治局勢 都成這個樣子了 然後中東 都打成這個樣子了 那麼在這樣的情況下 比特幣還會盤整嗎 這個時候 是不是成為一個避險資金 然後馬上就迅速往上漲了 實際上 如果說你想要吸引眼球 是可以這樣子去說 但是我認識認為 這樣的一些新聞面的因素 我是有考慮在內的 我認識認為它在一個盤整區間內 而且盤整一段時間之後 可能會因為一些什麼樣的政治事件 然後再往下面跌 跌到更低的位置 然後再收回來 然後進入到一段漫長漫長 緩緩上漲的趨勢中 那麼就目前來說 他仍然是在周線級別的盤整區間內 我並沒有看到特別明顯的強勢 好不好 那這個呢 是周線級別 我們接下來看到日線級別 從日線級別來看到 我們發現周末的時候 你可以看到 他做了一個什麼樣的 ...
伊朗美國戰爭升溫!黃金價格再度創下新高?全球央行買金潮真相解析#黃金#伊朗#戰爭#美伊戰爭#以色列
川普真的對伊朗開火,美國、以色列聯手攻擊伊朗! 這波黃金買盤背後的真相到底是什麼?👇 戰爭、避險、資產保值,聰明錢到底在做什麼? #伊朗 #美國 #美伊戰爭 #黃金 #黃金投資 #避險資產 #央行 #金融市場 #投資理財 #比特幣 #幣圈 #國際新聞 #中東 #戰爭財經 #財富自由 #邦妮區塊鏈 ...
永金证券晨会纪要-20260206
永丰金证券· 2026-02-06 10:10
Core Insights - The report highlights the mixed performance of the US stock market, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average showing significant gains while the Nasdaq Composite faced declines due to concerns over new AI tools impacting software businesses [8][10] - Gold prices have rebounded, surpassing the $5,000 per ounce mark, driven by rising inflation expectations and geopolitical uncertainties, positioning gold as a key asset for risk-averse investors [8][10] - The report indicates a strong demand for AI and cloud computing, with companies like Lumentum Holdings and Super Micro Computer showing impressive revenue growth, reflecting the ongoing investment in AI infrastructure [24][25] Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,847.32, up by 12.55 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 1.84% [14] - The report notes that the Chinese technology sector is under pressure, with the Hang Seng Tech Index experiencing a 20% decline from its previous high in October, entering a technical bear market [12] - The report mentions that the US 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.263%, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards safer assets [8] Economic Data - The US non-manufacturing index for January was reported at 53.8, slightly above expectations, while the ADP private sector employment report showed an increase of 22,000 jobs, below the anticipated 45,000 [10][21] - The report highlights that the Chinese yuan is expected to strengthen, with predictions suggesting a year-end value of 6.92 against the US dollar, driven by market optimism [12][21] Company Analysis - China Overseas Development is positioned to benefit from government policies aimed at stabilizing the housing market, with a closing price of HK$14.53 [22] - Lumentum Holdings reported a revenue of $665.5 million for Q2 2026, a 65% year-over-year increase, driven by strong demand in AI and cloud data centers [24] - Super Micro Computer's net sales reached $12.7 billion in Q2 2026, significantly up from previous quarters, reflecting robust growth in AI server demand [25]
BTC周線跌破?趨勢更明確!反彈已結束?
朋友們大家好,大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是2026年 1月26日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的周線圖 從周線級別來看 我們發現上周的周線 是一根比較大的陰線 那麼原先我們可以看到 比特幣是在這邊有一個假突破 然後跌下來有一段時間 然後盤整盤整盤整,盤整這一段時間其實波動都非常的小 然後往上面突破 來到前面這一帶 把自然反彈的高點給它一個突破 突破之後又重新跌了回來 然後這一周就是在繼續往下跌 你可能會認為這個價格 好像又回到了盤整區間 大不了就從頭再來再盤整 盤整了之後再上漲或者下跌 都有可能性 但是我個人是覺得好像並沒有那麼樂觀 原先在這邊盤整的時候是一個意思是一個縮量的盤整 然後來到這邊之後 在這種盤整區 它一度走出去了 然後又跌回來 那麼這樣的k線和以往的k線 就不能夠等同視之 那麼以前是盤整好像問題不大 但是這樣的一個雖然在盤整區 但是卻是一個大陰線 表明著說 它其實做一個假突破之後 走出了這樣的盤整區間 那麼這個盤整區間你不能說是橫向的 因為這樣的一個假突破之後 這邊一定會有很多人 在那邊嘗試做突破的多 然後一旦跌回來 那麼這樣的一些多頭會止損止損 帶動行情繼續 ...
整合中銀觀點與技術圖表:紫金礦業上行看44.9元,下行守35.2元
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-15 12:42
Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining (02899) is experiencing strong market momentum, with its stock price recently reaching 40.22 HKD, marking a 2.39% increase in a single day, driven by the company's market capitalization exceeding 1 trillion RMB for both A-shares and H-shares by the end of 2025, indicating market recognition of its growth strategy involving gold, copper, and lithium [1] Technical Analysis - The stock price is currently positioned above all key moving averages, with the 10-day, 30-day, and 60-day moving averages at 37.57 HKD, 34.86 HKD, and 33.36 HKD respectively, forming a bullish pattern [2] - The overall technical rating from Investing.com is "strong buy," with momentum indicators like MACD and CCI signaling positive trends; however, the RSI is at 73, indicating overbought conditions, suggesting potential short-term volatility [2] - Key resistance is identified at 41.5 HKD, with a potential next target of 44.9 HKD if this level is breached; support levels are at 37.3 HKD and a stronger support at 35.2 HKD [3] Market Sentiment and Growth Drivers - Market optimism for Zijin Mining is intertwined with global macroeconomic trends and the company's individual growth potential, particularly as central banks increase gold reserves amid geopolitical tensions, driving long-term gold price increases [5][6] - The company anticipates a significant profit increase of approximately 59% to 62% for the fiscal year 2025, projecting net profits between 51 billion to 52 billion RMB, indicating strong growth momentum [8] Derivative Instruments and Strategies - In a rising stock trend, derivative instruments have shown enhanced capital efficiency, with notable performance from UBS and HSBC bull certificates, which increased by 42% and 39% respectively [9] - Investors are advised to consider derivative products closely tied to key support and resistance levels, with options for bullish certificates near resistance and protective bull certificates below strong support [11][12] - For those anticipating a price correction, high-leverage bear certificates are available, but they carry significant risk due to their proximity to current stock prices [13]
1月13日【中銀做客】恒指、紫金礦業、江西銅業、石藥集團、藥明生物、中國人壽
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-14 04:23
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index reached a high of 27,143 points, close to the November high of 27,188 points, but the upward momentum has slowed down [1] - The trading volume in the Hong Kong market was robust, exceeding 276 billion, indicating high market activity [1] - The A-share market also saw increased trading volume, approaching 3.6 trillion, reflecting a similar trend in market enthusiasm [1] Investor Sentiment - After the Hang Seng Index surpassed 27,100 points, some investors became more conservative, opting to lock in profits by selling call warrants and buying put warrants [2] - The market is expected to experience a short-term adjustment around the 27,000-point level, as investors digest the recent rapid gains of nearly 1,000 points in about a week [2] Individual Stocks - Zijin Mining (02899) has shown strong performance, reaching a high of 40.7 HKD, with positive sentiment towards precious metals expected to continue [3] - The international gold price is projected to rise to 5,000 USD per ounce, with current prices around 4,600 USD, indicating a bullish outlook for precious metals [3] - Investors are encouraged to consider leveraged products related to precious metals, such as call warrants for Zijin Mining with a strike price of 48.65 HKD [4] Other Stocks of Interest - Jiangxi Copper (00358) is gaining attention, with a notable increase in street stock volume, indicating growing investor interest [5] - The company derives 20%-30% of its profits from gold, making it a dual-play opportunity for investors [5] - Stone Pharmaceutical (01093) has reached a high of 10 HKD, with potential for further gains as AI applications in pharmaceuticals are expected to enhance profitability [6] - WuXi Biologics (2269) is also benefiting from AI in drug development, with its stock price nearing 40.2 HKD, close to its previous high of 42.6 HKD [7] Insurance Sector - China Life Insurance (02638) has shown impressive performance, nearly doubling in value over the past year, with a current high of 33.18 HKD [8] - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from improved fundamentals and increased market activity, with long-term capital inflows supporting growth [8] - Investors are advised to consider call warrants for China Life with a strike price of 35.02 HKD, which may soon reach the strike price [8]
金價波動助推山東黃金!技術指標現超買警訊
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-28 07:45
Core Viewpoint - Shandong Gold (01787) is experiencing significant volatility due to fluctuations in international gold prices, with current technical indicators suggesting a strong medium-term trend but potential short-term pullback risks [1]. Technical Analysis - The stock price of Shandong Gold is currently at 38.36 HKD, having broken above the 10-day moving average, significantly higher than the 30-day moving average of 30.99 HKD and the 60-day moving average of 28.93 HKD, indicating a bullish medium-term trend [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has reached 77, and other indicators such as the Williams and Stochastic indicators show overbought conditions, suggesting a possible price correction [1]. - Despite the overbought signals, the Bull-Bear Power indicator and MACD still maintain buy signals, indicating a fierce battle between bulls and bears [1]. Support and Resistance Levels - Key resistance levels are identified at 40.6 HKD and 43.1 HKD, while support levels are at 33.4 HKD and 30.6 HKD, with an initial support level at 34.4 HKD [1]. - If the stock price falls below 34.4 HKD, it may test the 30.6 HKD level [1]. - The stock has shown a 14% volatility over five days, indicating active market participation but also increased risk [1]. Market Performance - Recent performance in the warrant market shows that a call warrant recommended on September 17 achieved an 11% return within two days, driven by a 3.18% increase in the underlying stock [3]. - Investors continue to show interest in gold's hedging properties amid market volatility [3]. Warrant Products - Investors are advised to consider specific warrant products: - Call warrant (20782) with a leverage of 1.8 times and an exercise price of 45.678 HKD, which has favorable leverage and implied volatility [5]. - Bank of China call warrant (20315) offers 3.6 times leverage with an exercise price of 45.8 HKD, suitable for conservative investors due to its low implied volatility [5]. - Given the high volatility of gold stocks, strict position control and clear stop-loss points are recommended for investors [5].